Front Office Football Central - View Single Post - Werewolf LVI: Beneath the Iron Cross

Chief Rum · 10-03-2007, 01:29 AM

Wow, quite the day. Good job, AC.

Still not sure why so much confidence in hoops being the alpha. I do think it is likely Eaglefan or hoopsguy is the Alpha, as I buy into AC's theory connecting the two. I saw some of that myself in that same game (particularly since I was along with them for the ride). It's unlikely they are both wolves chosen by another Alpha (although possible).

I see it much more likely that hoops was selected. The odds, assuming no weight, has hoops at just 1/16 chance of being the Alpha wolf. But given his reputation and WW stature, even given the likelihood he would be scanned, it is much more likely hoops would be selected to be a wolf by the Alpha wolf.

For that reason, I think Eaglefan was the Alpha wolf and hoopsguy the first name on his list.

Assuming I live through the night, I think there is tons here for me to analyze. I look forward to doing that some tomorrow afternoon when I return from work (my first free night since the game began).

Way to go, villagers.

10-03-2007, 01:29 AM	#547
Chief Rum Hall Of Famer Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Where Hip Hop lives	Wow, quite the day. Good job, AC. Still not sure why so much confidence in hoops being the alpha. I do think it is likely Eaglefan or hoopsguy is the Alpha, as I buy into AC's theory connecting the two. I saw some of that myself in that same game (particularly since I was along with them for the ride). It's unlikely they are both wolves chosen by another Alpha (although possible). I see it much more likely that hoops was selected. The odds, assuming no weight, has hoops at just 1/16 chance of being the Alpha wolf. But given his reputation and WW stature, even given the likelihood he would be scanned, it is much more likely hoops would be selected to be a wolf by the Alpha wolf. For that reason, I think Eaglefan was the Alpha wolf and hoopsguy the first name on his list. Assuming I live through the night, I think there is tons here for me to analyze. I look forward to doing that some tomorrow afternoon when I return from work (my first free night since the game began). Way to go, villagers.