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Old 05-07-2012, 05:58 PM   #1424
SirFozzie
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: The State of Insanity
So, here's the games of interest:

Title:
Man City (v QPR)
Man Utd (@ Sunderland)

City has a +8 goal difference advantage : City must match United's result to win the title (barring Utd putting nine or more against Sunderland)

Champions League (3rd and Possibly 4th)

Arsenal 67 (@ WBA)
Tottenham 66 (v Fulham)
Newcastle 65 (@ Everton)
Chelsea 61 (@Liverpool, vBlackburn)

The top team out of this is guaranteed a Champions League spot, 4th place depends on the result of the Champions League final (If Chelsea beat Bayern, they take away the final Champions League spot from 4th place)

The tie breaker may come down to Goals Scored (Arsenal have a +24 Gpal Differential, Tottenham +23, and Newcastle +8, Chelsea +21). Arsenal will beat Tottenham on goals scored if they tie, I believe).

Relegation Fight:

Only two teams really at risk for the final spot (Aston Villa theoretically could be relegated, but they'd have to lose by about 17 goals to go down)

QPR 37 (-22) @ Man City
Bolton 35 (-31) @ Stoke

Realistically, QPR must lose (likely) and Bolton must win (not as likely) for Bolton to send QPR down.


So, the breakdown:

Guaranteed Champions League
Man City
Man Utd

Possible Champions League/Guaranteed Europa League
Chelsea (guaranteed as FA Cup winner, could qualify for CL two ways (Champions League champion or placing) or Europa League by league position, if they qualify for either competition, the spot would drop down to the next league spot, as the losing FA Cup finalist (Liverpool) have already qualified for Europa League))

Possible Chamipions League/Europa League/Out of Europe
Tottenham
Newcastle

Guaranteed Europa League
Liverpool (League Cup Winner)

Anyone want to write up a table based on all the possible results?
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