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View Poll Results: Who should be inducted into the HOF?
Jack Morris 18 25.71%
Jeff Bagwell 34 48.57%
Lee Smith 15 21.43%
Tim Raines 40 57.14%
Alan Trammell 17 24.29%
Edgar Martinez 20 28.57%
Fred McGriff 7 10.00%
Larry Walker 8 11.43%
Mark McGwire 18 25.71%
Don Mattingly 7 10.00%
Dale Murphy 17 24.29%
Rafael Palmeiro 8 11.43%
Bernie Williams 2 2.86%
Barry Bonds 45 64.29%
Roger Clemens 44 62.86%
Mike Piazza 48 68.57%
Curt Schilling 28 40.00%
Kenny Lofton 6 8.57%
Craig Biggio 42 60.00%
Sammy Sosa 9 12.86%
David Wells 0 0%
Steve Finley 0 0%
Julio Franco 1 1.43%
Reggie Sanders 0 0%
Shawn Green 0 0%
Jeff Cirillo 1 1.43%
Woody Williams 0 0%
Rondell White 0 0%
Ryan Klesko 0 0%
Aaron Sele 0 0%
Roberto Hernandez 0 0%
Royce Clayton 0 0%
Jeff Conine 0 0%
Mike Stanton 0 0%
Sandy Alomar 2 2.86%
Jose Mesa 1 1.43%
Todd Walker 0 0%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 70. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 12-03-2012, 01:16 PM   #1
lighthousekeeper
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2013 Baseball HOF Voting

This year is arguably the most intriguing baseball Hall of Fame ballot ever, with many big name first timers. Screw the BBWAA - let's declare the FOFC the new authority for HOF determination.

Same rules apply: Voters are instructed to cast votes for up to 10 candidates; any candidate who receives votes on at least 75% of the ballots will be honored with induction to the Hall

Voting to close on 12/18 2:20PM EST.
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Last edited by lighthousekeeper : 12-03-2012 at 01:21 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 01:26 PM   #2
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From Baseball Reference (Baseball Reference HOF summary page )

Code:
Batting Stats Pitching Stats Rk YoB %vote HOFm HOFs Yrs WAR WAR7 JAWS Jpos G AB R H HR RBI SB BB BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ W L ERA ERA+ WHIP G GS SV IP H HR BB SO Pos Summary 1 Jack Morris 14th 66.7% 122 39 18 39.3 30.8 35.1 57.8 568 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 -100 254 186 3.90 105 1.296 549 527 0 3824.0 3567 389 1390 2478 *1/D 2 Jeff Bagwell 3rd 56.0% 150 59 15 76.7 46.7 61.7 51.5 2150 7797 1517 2314 449 1529 202 1401 .297 .408 .540 .948 149 *3/D9 3 Lee Smith 11th 50.6% 135 13 18 27.6 19.7 23.7 32.3 1023 64 2 3 1 2 0 3 .047 .090 .094 .183 -50 71 92 3.03 132 1.256 1022 6 478 1289.1 1133 89 486 1251 *1 4 Tim Raines 6th 48.7% 90 47 23 66.2 41.1 53.7 50.7 2502 8872 1571 2605 170 980 808 1330 .294 .385 .425 .810 123 *78D4/9 5 Alan Trammell 12th 36.8% 118 40 20 67.1 43.3 55.2 52.1 2293 8288 1231 2365 185 1003 236 850 .285 .352 .415 .767 110 *6D5/478 6 Edgar Martinez 4th 36.5% 132 50 18 64.4 41.8 53.1 53.4 2055 7213 1219 2247 309 1261 49 1283 .312 .418 .515 .933 147 *D*5/3 7 Fred McGriff 4th 23.9% 100 48 19 48.2 33.2 40.7 51.5 2460 8757 1349 2490 493 1550 72 1305 .284 .377 .509 .886 134 *3D 8 Larry Walker 3rd 22.9% 148 58 17 69.7 43.1 56.4 55.4 1988 6907 1355 2160 383 1311 230 913 .313 .400 .565 .965 141 *9387/D45 9 Mark McGwire 7th 19.5% 170 42 16 58.7 40.1 49.4 51.5 1874 6187 1167 1626 583 1414 12 1317 .263 .394 .588 .982 163 *3D/597 10 Don Mattingly 13th 17.8% 134 34 14 39.8 34.4 37.1 51.5 1785 7003 1007 2153 222 1099 14 588 .307 .358 .471 .830 127 *3D97/548 11 Dale Murphy 15th 14.5% 116 34 18 42.6 39.0 40.8 54.8 2180 7960 1197 2111 398 1266 161 986 .265 .346 .469 .815 121 *8*9372 12 Rafael Palmeiro 3rd 12.6% 178 57 20 66.1 36.6 51.3 51.5 2831 10472 1663 3020 569 1835 97 1353 .288 .371 .515 .885 132 *3*D7/98 13 Bernie Williams 2nd 9.6% 134 48 16 45.9 35.7 40.8 54.8 2076 7869 1366 2336 287 1257 147 1069 .297 .381 .477 .858 125 *8D9/7 14 Barry Bonds 1st 340 76 22 158.1 71.1 114.6 50.7 2986 9847 2227 2935 762 1996 514 2558 .298 .444 .607 1.051 182 *78D/9 15 Roger Clemens 1st 332 73 24 133.9 64.0 99.0 57.8 709 179 5 31 0 12 0 13 .173 .236 .207 .443 17 354 184 3.12 143 1.173 709 707 0 4916.2 4185 363 1580 4672 *1 16 Mike Piazza 1st 207 62 16 56.1 40.7 48.4 41.0 1912 6911 1048 2127 427 1335 17 759 .308 .377 .545 .922 143 *2D3 17 Curt Schilling 1st 171 46 20 76.1 46.7 61.4 57.8 571 773 39 117 0 29 1 25 .151 .178 .171 .348 -9 216 146 3.46 127 1.137 569 436 22 3261.0 2998 347 711 3116 *1 18 Kenny Lofton 1st 91 42 17 64.9 42.0 53.5 54.8 2103 8120 1528 2428 130 781 622 945 .299 .372 .423 .794 107 *87/D9 19 Craig Biggio 1st 169 57 20 62.1 40.6 51.3 54.4 2850 10876 1844 3060 291 1175 414 1160 .281 .363 .433 .796 112 *4*287/D9 20 Sammy Sosa 1st 202 52 18 54.8 42.2 48.5 55.4 2354 8813 1475 2408 609 1667 234 929 .273 .344 .534 .878 128 *98D/7 21 David Wells 1st 88 40 21 49.2 29.0 39.1 57.8 660 178 8 23 0 5 0 3 .129 .148 .140 .289 -22 239 157 4.13 108 1.266 660 489 13 3439.0 3635 407 719 2201 *1 22 Steve Finley 1st 72 36 19 40.4 30.4 35.4 54.8 2583 9397 1443 2548 304 1167 320 844 .271 .332 .442 .775 104 0 0 0.00 1.000 1 0 0 1.0 0 0 1 0 *897/D1 23 Julio Franco 1st 58 42 23 39.7 29.1 34.4 54.4 2527 8677 1285 2586 173 1194 281 917 .298 .365 .417 .782 111 *6*4*3*D/579 24 Reggie Sanders 1st 18 27 17 36.7 25.2 30.9 55.4 1777 6241 1037 1666 305 983 304 674 .267 .343 .487 .830 115 *9*78/D 25 Shawn Green 1st 62 33 15 31.4 29.5 30.4 55.4 1951 7082 1129 2003 328 1070 162 744 .283 .355 .494 .850 120 *9387D 26 Jeff Cirillo 1st 37 23 14 32.0 28.7 30.3 53.4 1617 5396 800 1598 112 727 63 563 .296 .366 .430 .796 102 0 0 0.00 2.000 1 0 0 1.0 0 0 2 1 *534D/671 27 Woody Williams 1st 17 14 15 28.1 20.2 24.2 57.8 443 540 52 105 4 43 1 17 .194 .222 .267 .489 29 132 116 4.19 103 1.321 424 330 0 2216.1 2217 309 711 1480 *1 28 Rondell White 1st 6 17 15 25.5 19.9 22.7 54.8 1474 5357 756 1519 198 768 94 360 .284 .336 .462 .799 108 *7*8D 29 Ryan Klesko 1st 24 26 16 24.6 20.4 22.5 51.5 1736 5611 874 1564 278 987 91 817 .279 .370 .500 .870 128 *7*39/D 30 Aaron Sele 1st 21 15 15 17.5 17.6 17.5 57.8 404 58 5 9 0 1 0 3 .155 .197 .190 .386 1 148 112 4.61 100 1.491 404 352 0 2153.0 2413 225 798 1407 *1 31 Roberto Hrnandz 1st 93 7 17 17.2 16.7 16.9 32.3 1010 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 166 67 71 3.45 131 1.367 1010 3 326 1071.1 1002 96 462 945 *1 32 Royce Clayton 1st 24 23 17 16.4 15.5 15.9 52.1 2108 7379 935 1904 110 723 231 565 .258 .312 .367 .679 78 *6/5D 33 Jeff Conine 1st 22 23 17 16.2 15.2 15.7 50.7 2024 6957 870 1982 214 1071 54 671 .285 .347 .443 .789 107 *3*79D5 34 Mike Stanton 1st 66 7 19 13.3 14.3 13.8 32.3 1178 24 3 8 0 3 0 1 .333 .360 .375 .735 96 68 63 3.92 112 1.352 1178 1 84 1114.0 1086 93 420 895 *1 35 Sandy Alomar 1st 48 24 20 11.6 11.8 11.7 41.0 1377 4530 520 1236 112 588 25 212 .273 .309 .406 .716 86 *2/D3 36 Jose Mesa 1st 113 1 19 9.6 12.1 10.8 32.3 1023 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .333 .000 .333 -3 80 109 4.36 100 1.472 1022 95 321 1548.2 1629 151 651 1038 *1 37 Todd Walker 1st 10 22 12 8.3 8.9 8.6 54.4 1288 4554 647 1316 107 545 66 421 .289 .348 .435 .783 98 *453D/76
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Last edited by lighthousekeeper : 12-03-2012 at 04:05 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 01:53 PM   #3
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I voted for Bonds and Clemens and not for McGwire and Sosa. Reasoning behind that is that I think the former two guys were easily good enough before/without the steroids and the latter two, I'm not sure about.

Other than that - Raines, Biggio and Piazza get in. Two of arguably the best at their position all time and Raines is probably only second to Rickey Henderson as the premier speed guy of his era.
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Old 12-03-2012, 01:56 PM   #4
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Same as above with the steroids guys. If you want to put something on their plaques re: PEDs, go ahead.
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Old 12-03-2012, 02:30 PM   #5
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Inducted ever or inducted this year?

I wouldn't vote for Clemens (fucker) or Bonds this year, but think they probably both need to be in there sometime in the next decade or so.
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Old 12-03-2012, 02:37 PM   #6
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By the time he gets to the Veterans Committee, will there be enough veterans who have hit game winning home runs off of Jose Mesa to vote him in for his generosity to the game?

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Old 12-03-2012, 02:45 PM   #7
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By the time he gets to the Veterans Committee, will there be enough veterans who have hit game winning home runs off of Jose Mesa to vote him in for his generosity to the game?

SI

I don't know, according to modern statistical metrics that summarize HOF induction likelihood, Mesa apparently has a better shot than Tim Raines and only a slightly worse shot than Jack Morris.
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Old 12-03-2012, 02:47 PM   #8
lighthousekeeper
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Originally Posted by Drake View Post
Inducted ever or inducted this year?

I wouldn't vote for Clemens (fucker) or Bonds this year, but think they probably both need to be in there sometime in the next decade or so.

Voting is based on induction for this year.

(Keep in mind the world might end, you might die, or you might get kicked out of the FOFC-BBWAA before next year's ballot, so make sure your vote counts while you have the chance.)
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Old 12-03-2012, 03:43 PM   #9
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Morris is the only one on the list I actually would vote for.
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Old 12-03-2012, 04:04 PM   #10
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Morris is the only one on the list I actually would vote for.
It's the Hall of Fame, not the "Hall of Was Almost As Good As Dave Stieb".
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Old 12-03-2012, 04:05 PM   #11
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the "Hall of Was Almost As Good As Dave Stieb".

I would absolutely visit that HOF. I can only imagine its somewhere in rural Ontario?
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Old 12-03-2012, 04:59 PM   #12
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Morris is the only one on the list I actually would vote for.

Really? Jack Morris, who never one a Cy Young, ERA trophy, and only lead the league in stikeouts once in his career?
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:01 PM   #13
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Jack Morris is a shoe in for me.
I also voted, McGwire, Bonds, Clemens, Piazza, Raines, L. Smith, Murphy and Schilling.

I missed Biggio or I would have voted for him, as well.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:04 PM   #14
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Someone explain the Jack Morris love for me? I liked Jack Morris the player, but his stats really don't really do anything for me for HoF voting.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:07 PM   #15
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Morris, Lee Smith, Raines, Trammell, Edgar
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:08 PM   #16
molson
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I bet the real vote is going to end up a lot like this one - there's a bunch of viable candidates that are going to spread the vote pretty thin, since most people only vote for a handful of guys. It might be a class of 0 or 1.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:10 PM   #17
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i laugh at those who think 'roiders will get voted in 1st ballot.

nelson laugh HA HA /nelson laugh
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:15 PM   #18
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Bagwell should be in, Biggio should be in, Raines should be in, Clemens, Piazza, Bonds all in. I don't know how you can justify keeping these guys out. Are they going to disqualify everyone from 90s-00s era? A guy like McGwire just has HRs so I can see keeping him out. Bonds and Clemens should easily be in. Bagwell and Piazza don't have much against them except speculation.

Last edited by Jas_lov : 12-03-2012 at 05:16 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:16 PM   #19
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Someone explain the Jack Morris love for me? I liked Jack Morris the player, but his stats really don't really do anything for me for HoF voting.

He was widely regarded as the best pitcher of the 80s by many people? Im sure stats don't bear this out at all, but it explains why he might get into the HOF.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:17 PM   #20
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i laugh at those who think 'roiders will get voted in 1st ballot.

nelson laugh HA HA /nelson laugh

It said who should be elected to the HoF, not "who do you think" will get voted in.

Last edited by Young Drachma : 12-03-2012 at 05:17 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:18 PM   #21
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I think that Dale Murphy and Lee Smith(among others) will get in via the veterans committee some day.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:20 PM   #22
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How does Bonds and Clemens get so many votes but Sosa doesn't?
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:23 PM   #23
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I don't know how you can justify keeping these guys out. Are they going to disqualify everyone from 90s-00s era?

It's like any other crime, you only get punished if you get caught, that's the risk. The fact that you can't catch every thief, murderer, etc, doesn't mean you shouldn't punish the ones you do catch.

So it's kind of a mess but it's one players brought about themselves. They fought against drug testing forever, they chose for the waters to be muddied, so they get to stand and be judged by sportswriters instead of drug tests. Their choice.

Last edited by molson : 12-03-2012 at 05:23 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:25 PM   #24
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He was widely regarded as the best pitcher of the 80s by many people? Im sure stats don't bear this out at all, but it explains why he might get into the HOF.

I would have taken Herhiser over Morris any day if we're talking 1980s. I'm amazed Hershiser never got more votes. I never expected him to get in but couldn't believe he was off the ballot after two tries.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:26 PM   #25
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i laugh at those who think 'roiders will get voted in 1st ballot.

nelson laugh HA HA /nelson laugh

Quote:
Originally Posted by Young Drachma View Post
It said who should be elected to the HoF, not "who do you think" will get voted in.

Well done YD!
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:28 PM   #26
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How does Bonds and Clemens get so many votes but Sosa doesn't?

Bonds and Clemens were great players before people think they started in on the roids. Sosa didnt really become a great player until many feel he started in on the roids.

Of course its all speculation.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:37 PM   #27
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Schilling will be an interesting vote - his playoff numbers are really good, and it wasn't just a couple of games, it was 19 starts, which included some really big, historically noteworthy games. And there's no steroid suspicion, which probably gives guys something of a bonus now. And 3,000+ Ks, reaching which has been a 100% lock until possibly Clemens and Schilling this year.

Last edited by molson : 12-03-2012 at 05:50 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:41 PM   #28
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I voted for Larry Walker for no good reason other than that I really liked him.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:45 PM   #29
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Dola...

I'm going to start a Hall of People Drake Likes. It'll have Larry Walker, Nomar Garciaparra, Reggie Miller, Jim Harbaugh, Hoosier PG Michael Lewis, and Amy Adams in it. And Neal Stephenson. And maybe Quiksand.
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Old 12-03-2012, 05:51 PM   #30
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Dola...

I'm going to start a Hall of People Drake Likes. It'll have Larry Walker, Nomar Garciaparra, Reggie Miller, Jim Harbaugh, Hoosier PG Michael Lewis, and Amy Adams in it. And Neal Stephenson. And maybe Quiksand.

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Old 12-03-2012, 05:55 PM   #31
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Todd Walker? Really, Todd Walker?
And of course he will get a vote by someone.
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Old 12-03-2012, 06:11 PM   #32
General Mike
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Voted for Bagwell, Biggio, Trammell, Raines, Piazza, Bonds, Clemens, Murphy and Schilling.
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Old 12-03-2012, 06:12 PM   #33
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How does Bonds and Clemens get so many votes but Sosa doesn't?

Because even statistically his HoF case is rather borderline.
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Old 12-03-2012, 07:08 PM   #34
Young Drachma
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Schilling will be an interesting vote - his playoff numbers are really good, and it wasn't just a couple of games, it was 19 starts, which included some really big, historically noteworthy games. And there's no steroid suspicion, which probably gives guys something of a bonus now. And 3,000+ Ks, reaching which has been a 100% lock until possibly Clemens and Schilling this year.

Markus told me that clutch doesn't exist and that's why OOTP doesn't have it and why star players are so shitty in the post-season. So I can't vote for Schilling since he doesn't exist.

Last edited by Young Drachma : 12-03-2012 at 07:08 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 08:03 PM   #35
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He was widely regarded as the best pitcher of the 80s by many people? Im sure stats don't bear this out at all, but it explains why he might get into the HOF.
That, plus apparently for some voters Game 7 of the '91 World Series was worth 100 career wins.
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Old 12-03-2012, 08:04 PM   #36
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First, on the roids thing. If you don't want to risk voting anyone in who may have done roaids, then you shouldn't vote for ANYONE in this era because you simply have no idea who was doing what. You don't know, can't know and shouldn't presume. So be consistent - vote for 'em all or none. Take your pick, but don't be a pussy trying to convict one guy while excusing your favorite player. Ken Caminitti said more than half were doing it and there's no reason to doubt him. Canseco may be an ass, but pretty much everything out of his mouth concerning roids has been proven true and his number was higher. So give up the crusade or vote for none, there can be no logical middle ground.

My votes are broken down as follows:

The No-Brainers:
Bonds
Clemens
Piazza

These guys have to be first ballot, no matter how much you like or dislike them. An all-time top 5 hitter, an all-time top 5 pitcher and the all-time best hitting catcher.

The Closer Inspections:
Biggio - 62 WAR + 3,000 hits gets you in the door.
Bagwell - 77 WAR should be automatic, but how did this guy only play in 4 All-Star games? Because he wasn't thought of as highly as his peers. But his peak was amazing and he passes the sniff test for me.
Schilling - Win totals put aside, this guy was a dominant pitcher of his era. A workhorse who has the best K/BB ratio of all time, he was no doubt a top starter. If he's iffy, then consider his postseason stats and he gets the nod.


Now that was my ballot for this year. Guys I'd entertain in the future - The Wait Until Next Years

Tim Raines - A great leadoff hitter with a 66 WAR. Perhaps the 2nd best base stealer in the modern era. Borderline, but he probably get my vote (but not in this class)...

Kenny Lofton - ...unlike Lofton, who probably doesn't.

Sosa - It's not the 'roids. It's the numbers. Good, but gaudy HR totals aren't all that impressive from that era (whether it be juiced players or balls or ballparks or all 3). He was a one-trick pony. It was a helluva trick, but one I'd like to contemplate a bit more on and see how his peers shake out. He probably gets a vote from me in the future...

McGwire - ...unlike Big Mac, whose injuries derailed him too much.

Larry Walker - I loved watching this guy play and he put up some great statistics. But a lot of that was due to the absurdity of Coors Field. His Away OPS is 200 points lower than his home one. He's a .278 hitter on the road and .348 at home. Probably not.


And who the fuck voted for Jeff Cirillo, Sandy (not Roberto) Alomar and Jose Mesa?

Last edited by Blackadar : 12-03-2012 at 08:08 PM.
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Old 12-03-2012, 08:17 PM   #37
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And who the fuck voted for Jeff Cirillo, Sandy (not Roberto) Alomar and Jose Mesa?

I don't actually believe Cirillo should get in. But I figured for the purposes of such a serious poll with far reaching implications, I'd throw one of my favorite Brewers of the 90's (slim pickings there) a bone.
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Old 12-03-2012, 08:24 PM   #38
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it's a wonder anyone ever gets elected to the HOF. 75% is a pretty tough threshold to meet. it will be interesting to watch this year if the pro-roiders and anti-roiders (plus the random cirillo fanboys) cancel each other out and 0 get selected.
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Old 12-03-2012, 09:02 PM   #39
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Really? Jack Morris, who never one a Cy Young, ERA trophy, and only lead the league in stikeouts once in his career?
Morris is the romantic view of what a pitcher should be. He took the ball every fourth or fifth day for about 15 years, threw a lot of complete games, has the no-hitter and rings, was clutch for a couple of World Series champions and has a couple of marquee wins -- 1991 World Series and throwing a national televised no-hitter. And even though he won a championship with Detroit, for most of his career in D-town they were a pretty crummy team.

I get younger fans who don't get the Morris mystique because you had to watch Morris to understand his value.

That said, I'm surprised more stat heads don't jump on Morris because he illustrates the importance of a couple of key metrics. If Morris left the game after six innings like he was Pedro Martinez rather than throwing a 120 pitches every night, his stats would look a lot better.
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Old 12-03-2012, 09:12 PM   #40
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We're a tough group. I'll bet almost to a tee that everyone will get a higher percentage from the real voters than us, except for perhaps some of the PED cases. I can't see Bonds and Clemens getting even 2/3 of the vote.

Three guys who should be in and it's a shame two of them are not: Biggio, Lee Smith and Raines. No one with more hits than Biggio, more saves that Smith or more stolen bases than Raines eligible for the Hall of Fame is not in. Again, based on today's metrics, Raines is arguably the greatest base stealer of all time. Not only does he have the fifth most steals, he also was successful about 85% of the time, which is absolutely ridiculous.

My cutoff guy is Fred McGriff. I really want to vote McGriff because I always liked him as a player and he was so freaking reliable. But he spent too much of his career post-'95, which means you have to assign a "juiced ball" era discount. I don't think McGriff juiced, but all offense post-strike is suspect to a certain percentage. If McGriff had just a few more of everything, it would be easy.

You could argue that the 1994 shutdown cost McGriff a spot in the Hall of Fame. 500 home runs (discounting PED users) is a guaranteed Hall slot. McGriff had 34 home runs and was arguable in his peak season. Give him those 48 games back, and I wonder if we feel differently about the Crime Dog.

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Old 12-03-2012, 09:53 PM   #41
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Sosa - It's not the 'roids. It's the numbers. Good, but gaudy HR totals aren't all that impressive from that era (whether it be juiced players or balls or ballparks or all 3). He was a one-trick pony. It was a helluva trick, but one I'd like to contemplate a bit more on and see how his peers shake out. He probably gets a vote from me in the future...

The numbers aren't anywhere close to what I think many would assume.

Sosa had an amazing peak, but the roughly 10 years he played prior to that peak he compiled a not-so-impressive .257/.308/.469. The peak was hall of fame worthy. The other two thirds of his career wasn't even close. He's a borderline candidate that would fall on the outside of the HoF for me and it has absolutely nothing to do with steroids.
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Old 12-03-2012, 10:05 PM   #42
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Edgar Martinez should be in the Hall. Bagwell, Piazza, Biggio, Raines, and Schilling would be get yes votes from me. Clemens, Bonds, and McGwire obviously should get in on stats, but with the PED questions I can see both sides of the argument and generally don't care strongly one way or the other if they get in or not.
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Old 12-04-2012, 03:45 AM   #43
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It requires a 75% vote to get in, right? It looks like no one is going to make it in 2012 if FOFC is anywhere near the real results.
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Old 12-04-2012, 04:47 AM   #44
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it's a wonder anyone ever gets elected to the HOF. 75% is a pretty tough threshold to meet. it will be interesting to watch this year if the pro-roiders and anti-roiders (plus the random cirillo fanboys) cancel each other out and 0 get selected.

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Morris is the romantic view of what a pitcher should be. He took the ball every fourth or fifth day for about 15 years, threw a lot of complete games, has the no-hitter and rings, was clutch for a couple of World Series champions and has a couple of marquee wins -- 1991 World Series and throwing a national televised no-hitter. And even though he won a championship with Detroit, for most of his career in D-town they were a pretty crummy team.

I get younger fans who don't get the Morris mystique because you had to watch Morris to understand his value.

That said, I'm surprised more stat heads don't jump on Morris because he illustrates the importance of a couple of key metrics. If Morris left the game after six innings like he was Pedro Martinez rather than throwing a 120 pitches every night, his stats would look a lot better.

His stats say he would actually look worse if he left after 6 innings.

Jack Morris Career Pitching Splits - Baseball-Reference.com
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Old 12-04-2012, 07:20 AM   #45
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His stats say he would actually look worse if he left after 6 innings.

Jack Morris Career Pitching Splits - Baseball-Reference.com
My point (which was unclear) is that he pitched differently than current era pitchers. He had to assume every night he was pitching nine innings and throwing 120 pitches. Pedro Martinez came out throwing gas for 6 innings, Morris had to pace himself. Morris' numbers look worse compared to current era pitchers largely due to the way he was handled. But it was a different era. He was arguable one of the 3 pitchers of his era.

Frankly, his splits make him even more HOF worthy. The guy was his best in late innings.

And this is coming from a guy who largely hated Morris during his career.
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Old 12-04-2012, 08:44 AM   #46
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It requires a 75% vote to get in, right? It looks like no one is going to make it in 2012 if FOFC is anywhere near the real results.

In fairness, I don't think the BBWAA will have people like Samifan who only trout-vote for Jose Mesa, or people who only homer-vote for Jeff Cirillo.

...but who knows, that probably does happen in the BBWAA vote.
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Old 12-04-2012, 09:46 AM   #47
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In fairness, I don't think the BBWAA will have people like Samifan who only trout-vote for Jose Mesa, or people who only homer-vote for Jeff Cirillo.
No, they have people like Mariotti who can't be bothered to put that much thought into it.
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Old 12-04-2012, 09:55 AM   #48
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His stats say he would actually look worse if he left after 6 innings.

Jack Morris Career Pitching Splits - Baseball-Reference.com

Maybe he meant 3 innings...
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Old 12-04-2012, 10:22 AM   #49
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Here are the accumalative pitching stats for years 1980-1989 in the MLB. Sorted by WAR.

I think my biggest issue with Morris' stats is that accumulative they are really good if not great, but if you just look at year to year they aren't very impressive, there are only three above 4. His best WAR seasons only rank as the 91st and 92nd best in the 10 year stretch (1987, 1986, both 4.8 WAR).


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Old 12-04-2012, 10:23 AM   #50
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If it's truly the Hall of "Fame", someone like Jose Mesa will be remembered way longer than a vanilla guy like Biggio.
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