Ok, I have been doing this for years with MLB 2k, as it helps with the accuracy of rosters. This can help create ratings for anything from a classic season to updated rosters. I usually use it to help create base ratings for guys who either missed a lot of time to injury or only played a fraction of a season, so you can figure out what they would do if they were given a full season.
The formula itself is:
162/g=n and after you figure out what n is, you use the formula:
s*n= The projected statistic in a 162 game season
Key:
g= Games Played
n= Number calculated from the formula 162/g.
s= whatever statistic you need to find out what it would be in a 162 game season, like plug in 11 if he hit 11 home runs.
Okay, so now, lets use a real example. In the 2006 season, Gary Sheffield played 39 games because he injured his wrist.
His stat line was:
G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
39 38 166 151 22 45 5 0 6 25 5 1 13 16 .298 .355 .450 .806
Usually, I only use it for stats like 2B, HR, RBIs, SBs, BBs, and SOs, because the rest generally do not matter too much when determining a rating. So we start off by plugging 39 into g and dividing 162/39. You will usually get a single digit number under 5 with loads of decimals. In Sheffield's case, n is 4.1538461534615. So lets take his home run total (6), and plug it into s. You multiply s times n and you will get about 25 home runs. Now we are getting somewhere. His home run total in 2005 was 34. His home run total in 2007 was 25. This is a special case because he was injured and he tried to play through his injury. This next step usually doesn't have to be done unless the guy got injured. We can round his home run total up to 30, because that seems like a logical estimate considering he hit 34 home runs in 2005 on the same team in a hitter friendly park, and he hit 25 home runs in a pitcher friendly park in 2007 on a different team. Now, 2k in recent years has made it so that a hitter can only hit around 50 home runs in a simulated season if they have a HR rating in the high 90s. Using that piece of information, I have created a scale to rate home run totals.
HR Rating
0-5 40-55
6-10 56-60
11-25 61-75
26-30 76-80
31-40 81-89
41-45 90-93
46-50 94-97
51+ 98-99
I have put Gary Sheffield's home run ratings at 79 vs L and 82 vs R.
You can use similar scales to determine other ratings like SB, BB, SO, and RBIs, and doubles can be rated on the same scale as home runs. From times I have simulated seasons in franchise with (for example) my 2006 roster, where I used this formula all the time, the final statistics are extremely accurate.
Questions and comments are appreciated.
*Hits projection formula in post #6*
*Wins projection formula in post #10*
The formula itself is:
162/g=n and after you figure out what n is, you use the formula:
s*n= The projected statistic in a 162 game season
Key:
g= Games Played
n= Number calculated from the formula 162/g.
s= whatever statistic you need to find out what it would be in a 162 game season, like plug in 11 if he hit 11 home runs.
Okay, so now, lets use a real example. In the 2006 season, Gary Sheffield played 39 games because he injured his wrist.
His stat line was:
G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
39 38 166 151 22 45 5 0 6 25 5 1 13 16 .298 .355 .450 .806
Usually, I only use it for stats like 2B, HR, RBIs, SBs, BBs, and SOs, because the rest generally do not matter too much when determining a rating. So we start off by plugging 39 into g and dividing 162/39. You will usually get a single digit number under 5 with loads of decimals. In Sheffield's case, n is 4.1538461534615. So lets take his home run total (6), and plug it into s. You multiply s times n and you will get about 25 home runs. Now we are getting somewhere. His home run total in 2005 was 34. His home run total in 2007 was 25. This is a special case because he was injured and he tried to play through his injury. This next step usually doesn't have to be done unless the guy got injured. We can round his home run total up to 30, because that seems like a logical estimate considering he hit 34 home runs in 2005 on the same team in a hitter friendly park, and he hit 25 home runs in a pitcher friendly park in 2007 on a different team. Now, 2k in recent years has made it so that a hitter can only hit around 50 home runs in a simulated season if they have a HR rating in the high 90s. Using that piece of information, I have created a scale to rate home run totals.
HR Rating
0-5 40-55
6-10 56-60
11-25 61-75
26-30 76-80
31-40 81-89
41-45 90-93
46-50 94-97
51+ 98-99
I have put Gary Sheffield's home run ratings at 79 vs L and 82 vs R.
You can use similar scales to determine other ratings like SB, BB, SO, and RBIs, and doubles can be rated on the same scale as home runs. From times I have simulated seasons in franchise with (for example) my 2006 roster, where I used this formula all the time, the final statistics are extremely accurate.
Questions and comments are appreciated.
*Hits projection formula in post #6*
*Wins projection formula in post #10*
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