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-   -   Coin Tosses (/forums/showthread.php?t=442863)

threes_co 09-12-2010 08:32 PM

Coin Tosses
 
I have won 13 coin tosses in a row. What is wrong w/ my system? Is this a bug, or have I just been getting extremely lucky?

JaymeeAwesome 09-12-2010 08:43 PM

You would think that you would have a 50/50 shot with only two chances, but since you get to choose before every 50/50 chance the odds are skewed. It's very possible to have a streak of 13.

oneamongthefence 09-12-2010 09:23 PM

Re: Coin Tosses
 
Do you always receive the ball?

threes_co 09-12-2010 09:26 PM

Re: Coin Tosses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by albert_24 (Post 2041597476)
Do you always receive the ball?

No. I always elect to kick.

Exonerated 09-13-2010 01:25 AM

Re: Coin Tosses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ace23 (Post 2041597492)
No. I always elect to kick.

The CPU always elects to receive.

hampshire2012 09-13-2010 02:38 PM

Re: Coin Tosses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jaymee13 (Post 2041597290)
You would think that you would have a 50/50 shot with only two chances, but since you get to choose before every 50/50 chance the odds are skewed. It's very possible to have a streak of 13.

Please please please tell me you are joking with this statement.

And if you interested, the chances of winning 13 times in a row is 1 in 8192. Which given the amount of games of madden that get played it is actually quite likely it will happen to someone.

I am 100% the coin toss is fair, it is like the easiest thing to program into a game.

Vitch 09-13-2010 04:51 PM

Re: Coin Tosses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by hampshire2012 (Post 2041600058)
Please please please tell me you are joking with this statement.

And if you interested, the chances of winning 13 times in a row is 1 in 8192. Which given the amount of games of madden that get played it is actually quite likely it will happen to someone.

I am 100% the coin toss is fair, it is like the easiest thing to program into a game.

But, if you win twelve in a row, the odds of winning the next one is still 50/50.

hampshire2012 09-13-2010 04:59 PM

Re: Coin Tosses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Vitch (Post 2041600657)
But, if you win twelve in a row, the odds of winning the next one is still 50/50.

Correct (not that I need to tell you that!) I was trying to make the point that a) 13 coin toss wins in a row is not actually as unlikely as it may seem, and that b) there absolutely no way that the coin toss logic is unfair.


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