The second one.
Do NOT get obsessed with the idea that your button presses have 100% control over the pitch location. I am 100% sure they do NOT.
That's the fun of Classic Pitching. Sometimes the guy just gets wild. Pay attention to your Pitch Confidence meters: do not expect to throw low-confidence pitches with accuracy most of the time.
....
On another but related note, I think one reason people complain about relief pitchers getting bombed is because they are not adjusting their button-press-timing to account for pitching from the stretch, versus a full wind-up.