Rookie
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Re: APF 2k9 is no longer "on the slate" for release
The way I see it, there are four possibilities that may happen to give video football fans what they really want: a fully realized, realistic, well developed and full featured football game with outstanding graphics, true to life A.I., the NFL, and fun in spades. They are as follows:
Scenario 1:Take Two tells EA where they can stash their huge wads of cash and in trying to reverse and improve the company's fiscal outlook, decides to focus on the IPs that have the most potential for strong sales. GTA 4 releases and does very well at retail, spurring new development for established franchises, including All Pro Football. APF 2K9 is shelved, but APF 2K… uh… APF 2Kten (I guess) enjoys a longer development cycle, more legends, online like you wouldn’t believe, and is one of the greatest football games ever made, NFL or no. EA then jealously cries all over its money and mourns what might have been.
Odds of it actually coming true: 20 to 1. Last week Iwould've been a little more confident about this one, but since we now know about some of Take Two's major stockholders dumping large chunks of shares and one or two of them actually bringing lawsuits against the board in the wake of the publically announced EA buyout attempt, it's looking less likely. Especially the EA crying part. Nobody cries on huge piles of cash.
Scenario 2: Take Two is purchased by EA. The employees at Visual Concepts are faced with a choice to be folded into EA or dismissed (or maybe they don't get a choice). Many ex-VC developers join Natural Motion, developers of Backbreaker, the only other high profile football game left. Backbreaker is delayed a bit, but is improved. It sells modestly, but is picked up for another year and eventually becomes APF with amazing physics.
Odds: Maybe 50 to 1. Backbreaker is far enough into development that the whole VC crew coming over with cases of beer to help wouldn't change the game a whole lot for this year's version unless it was delayed substantially. You can't delay the release of a football game, people want it near the beginning of football season. As for Backbreaker 2010, if Backbreaker 2009 isn’t completely astounding, it too will drown in the wake of the Madden juggernaut, and there will be no 2010 for Natural Motion’s football game.
Scenario 3: EA buys Take Two and merges VC with its own Tiburon studios, the two sides shake hands and make nicey-nice. After all, these two teams did make some great games in the past; logic dictates that the blending of the two developers could only improve their chances to make a brilliant football simulation. With more talent to develop the game, they could produce more within the standard development cycle and we would cease to see games lacking in previously standard features year after year. Think of it, everything you loved about both franchises back in the day would return. Let Tiburon handle the teams, player ratings, and game modes, and let VC handle A.I., online/multiplayer, and presentation and you've suddenly got a game that would make heads spontaneously explode. Oh, Lord in heaven, I hope this happens…. Also, as a result, NBA 2K dissolves but NBA Live rises from the ashes to take its place as the must have hoops title. And Sony continues to quietly make excellent baseball games.
Odds: Hmmm, (strokes beard): I’m thinking 100 to 1 for the formation of the Justice League of Football Developers, 3 to 1 that EA eventually buys Take Two, 75 to 1 NBA Live is ever good again, and 1.5 to 1 that MLB ’09 The Show will be amazing.
EA's track record speaks for itself. If EA owns Take Two, the VC team would suffer final humiliation, slowly and solemnly being handed their hats, one by one as they take their severance and walk out the door. Then Tiburon throws a lavish victory celebration for themselves, foolishly squandering time and resources that they should be using to regain the once great status of their games. EA, once again, with no real competition or any reason to change anything, doesn’t. Madden sells another metric sh*tload of copies.
Scenario 4: EA buys Take Two, eliminates VC, and with no other competition in the football marketplace save for an upstart title from an unproven developer, makes the sports gamers of the world do the gaming equivalent of kneeling before Zod. Madden's sales continue to rise, even as EA continues to let the game descend into something less and less resembling the sport we love. EA makes press releases touting Peyton Manning as being the first player with a 'commercially viable' rating of 102, as if we cared. The vision cone returns, "but maybe you'll really like it this time." EA announces German and Chinese language versions in an attempt to reach new markets, Pat Summerall makes a return to the booth and Brett Favre becomes a sideline announcer after receiving a glowing recommendation from John Madden, among a million other little sideways improvements to change Madden enough to scroll the number on the outside of the box one year higher.
Odds: Bingo. I'm sorry to say this, but EA doesn't love you. EA doesn't love football. EA loves your money. We'll either play Backbreaker or get used to forking over sixty bones every year for a sub-par, barely improved roster update. The only other option is to enjoy things like GTA 4 (ironically putting more cash in EA's pockets) and waiting a couple years to see how they dilute the GTA 5, Bioshock 2, and Mass Effect 2 experiences. Don't get me wrong, EA does make some great stuff, (skate, for one) and I don't hate them, I just want them to stop coasting and resting on past accomplishments.
EA, hurry up and make a truly great football game like you used to.
As if your market share depended on it, as it once did.
Until then, I just won’t play new sports games.
Last edited by rrobbone; 03-12-2008 at 03:03 AM.
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