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#1 | |||
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Banned
Join Date: May 2003
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POL - Spy Agencies Say Iraq War Worsens Terrorism Threat
Gee, I coulda told ya that!
hxxp://www.nytimes.com/2006/09/24/world/middleeast/24terror.html?ei=5094&en=003f596f66422cfd&hp=&ex=1159070400&partner=homepage&pagewanted=print Quote:
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#2 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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I would be curious what peopel on here think. How about making this a poll to see for kicks. I tend to agree with the basic premise that the war made it worse for us here in the long run.
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#3 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Conyers GA
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Hello, Mr. Obvious.
I said that before the war even started. |
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#4 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Apr 2005
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#5 |
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World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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In other news, water is wet. The sky is blue. And that woman that is still in the bar at 2am with an Adam's Apple; that's a man, baby!
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#6 |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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Links to the actual classified documents that are leaked to the New York Times would be helpful.
The first thing I would be curious about, is what is the actual classification of the leaked document. CONFIDENTIAL, SECRET, or TOP SECRET. Then, I would like to know who leaked it. Otherwise, we might believe this is made up. Last edited by Dutch : 09-24-2006 at 07:37 AM. |
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#7 |
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Hockey Boy
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Royal Oak, MI
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Many people did. It was, indeed, the obvious result.
__________________
Steve Yzerman: 1,755 points in 1,514 regular season games. 185 points in 196 postseason games. A First-Team All-Star, Conn Smythe Trophy winner, Selke Trophy winner, Masterton Trophy winner, member of the Hockey Hall of Fame, Olympic gold medallist, and a three-time Stanley Cup Champion. Longest serving captain of one team in the history of the NHL (19 seasons). |
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#8 | |
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Hockey Boy
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Royal Oak, MI
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Quote:
I admire your stead-fast belief in the world as you see it. But, every time you post on these topics this is the image I get... ![]() Don't worry. I am not going to go all "duckman on Mr. Biggles" on you. This is the last you'll see of it from me.
__________________
Steve Yzerman: 1,755 points in 1,514 regular season games. 185 points in 196 postseason games. A First-Team All-Star, Conn Smythe Trophy winner, Selke Trophy winner, Masterton Trophy winner, member of the Hockey Hall of Fame, Olympic gold medallist, and a three-time Stanley Cup Champion. Longest serving captain of one team in the history of the NHL (19 seasons). |
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#9 |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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I am not personally attacking you. I am just asking for further information and clarification.
Last edited by Dutch : 09-24-2006 at 07:44 AM. |
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#10 |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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The article has plenty of references to other published sources which say the same thing, as well as public comments by those involved in the WoT or U.S. intelligence apparatus. We'll undoubtedly see some of the text from the NIE in time. How about, instead of buying yourself time and hoping you won't have to comment, either contradicting the tenor of these findings or not.
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#11 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: MA
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I only clicked this to read Dutch's replies. Good stuff.
Last edited by jeff061 : 09-24-2006 at 09:51 AM. |
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#12 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Back in Houston!
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Quote:
![]() SI
__________________
Houston Hippopotami, III.3: 20th Anniversary Thread - All former HT players are encouraged to check it out! Janos: "Only America could produce an imbecile of your caliber!" Freakazoid: "That's because we make lots of things better than other people!" |
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#13 | |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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Quote:
If there are plenty of unclassified sources, why not just stick to them? Why leak alleged classified documents? And what about classified documents should the government verify or contradict? Wouldn't that then be a litmus test for knowing what is actual classified documents and what is forged? Simply put, the government is put into a catch-22 by the New York Times. If they say the document is fake for some documents and leaked as others, then we (and subsequently our adversaries) will know which leaked/forged documents to pay attention to. But in any event, where is the alleged classified documents the New York Times has? What do they look like? Who classified them? Where did they come from? What were they classified as? |
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#14 |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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#15 | |||
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Muskogee, OK USA
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Quote:
It's nice to be loved. ![]()
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Quote:
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#16 | |
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College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Davis, CA
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For an unclassified document saying a lot of the same things, how about a reference to an April speech by the current CIA director, Michael Hayden?
Plus, if you read the NY Times article, you would know that the NY Times does not have the classified document, so couldn't link to it even if they wanted to. It is reporting what intelligence officials who have seen the document are telling them. http://www.latimes.com/news/nationwo...home-headlines Quote:
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#17 | |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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Quote:
Ah, so this alleged document that nobody is allowed to see is steering the mindset of millions of readers, fascninating approach to journalism, but one I don't agree with. |
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#18 |
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College Starter
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Davis, CA
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Come on, Dutch. You know very well that this document exists. The government produces this document every few years. Furthermore, if the NY Times has multiple sources who have seen the document (and it says it has more than a dozen from many different agencies, and includes people who participated in writing the report), and they're giving consistent information about its conclusions, then there's a good chance the information about the report's conclusions is reliable.
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#19 | |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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Quote:
Honestly, I'm sure it exists as well. I just want to read it. |
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#20 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: The State of Insanity
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Quote:
But Dutchy.. the Times may just be taking a page from the Administration, after all we're not talking about the CIA torture plan.. you know, the one that all senators and representatives are supposed to be voting on this week, with the CIA only briefing 40 or so folks on it. WASHINGTON -- As lawmakers prepare to debate the CIA's special interrogation program for terrorism suspects, fewer than 10 percent of the members of Congress have been told which interrogation techniques have been used in the past, and none of them know which ones would be permissible under proposed changes to the War Crimes Act. Only about 40 of the 535 senators and representatives -- the top members of leadership in both parties, members of the House and Senate intelligence committees, and a small handful of others -- have been briefed on the past practices of the CIA program, which permits more aggressive interrogation tactics than those used by other agencies. The lack of consultation means that senators and representatives will be voting next week to authorize a program that most know little about, raising questions about Congress's oft-repeated vow to increase its oversight of the war on terrorism. http://www.boston.com/news/nation/wa...rogram?mode=PF Besides, the White House has confirmed it, just saying it's "not representative of the complete document" http://www.boston.com/news/nation/wa...als_us_report/
__________________
Check out Foz's New Video Game Site, An 8-bit Mind in an 8GB world! http://an8bitmind.com |
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#21 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: The State of Insanity
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Dola: Besides, folks want them to link the whole document so they can accuse them of treason and being unpatriotic, just like the LAST time the Times published acurate information that contradicted the Gov't.
__________________
Check out Foz's New Video Game Site, An 8-bit Mind in an 8GB world! http://an8bitmind.com |
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#22 | |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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Quote:
If he doesn't want to be accused of treason or being unpatriotic, I'd suggest not leaking classified information. |
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#23 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Same . Its amusing to what lengths people will go to defend this horrid decision.
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
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#24 |
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"Dutch"
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Tampa, FL
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I'm sorry, I thought this article was posted to discuss it, not me.
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#25 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Nah, the article is pretty much pointing out the obvious. I'm just here to see how some on the right try to spin it
.
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
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#26 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Sep 2005
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I don't buy it. The leftist NY Times will print anything that makes this administration look bad. I mean, from what I read we just killed Bin Laden, so we won the war on terror. Mission accomplished!
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#27 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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So, is terrorism up in the world since the Iraq war or not? Or are these just predictions?
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#28 | |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Jan 2004
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Quote:
We killed him or he got an illness and died, basically because he is old? |
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#29 | |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
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Quote:
Of course, that would be the RIGHT way to frame the question. And then, it would be neccesary to show that one thing is, in fact, caused by the other. |
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#30 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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Well we know that terrorist acts were up worldwide in 2003 and 2004. After that the admin decided to stop publishing the numbers.
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#31 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Nov 2003
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Maybe someone will leak those numbers. Of course if they leak the full document, Dutch will accuse them of being unpatriotic and treasonous, and if they don't leak the full document Dutch won't believe the reports because he really wants to see the full document... I guess we're just better off not knowing whether terrorism is up or down.
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#32 | |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Quote:
Why would those numbers be a government secret? Doesn't the news tend to cover terrorist attacks? I'm sure there's numbers out there. The tricky part would be what to do with Iraq terrorism numbers (and how to define terrorism in that context). Obviously, numbers there are WAY up, but I wonder if violence there has sublanted worldwide terrorist activity. Last edited by molson : 09-24-2006 at 08:15 PM. |
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#33 |
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The boy who cried Trout
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: TX
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Terrorism may be a bigger threat to the united states than it was before Iraq, but the attention paid to it is way our of proportion to what the actual threat is.
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#34 |
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General Manager
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: The Mountains
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Is it consisent for someone to accuse the administration of "fear mongering", while at the same time saying that because of Iraq, the terrorism threat is enhanced?
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#35 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Newburgh, NY
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I completely agree with Sachmo here so let me try to explain.
Let's say terrorism = 100 Iraq has increased terrorism to 130 The people in power at both the federal and local levels say terrorism = 500!!!
__________________
To love someone is to strive to accept that person exactly the way he or she is, right here and now.. - Mr. Rogers |
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#36 | |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Decatur, GA
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Quote:
Terrorism threat to where, though? And then again, it is a bit hypocritical to scream about terrorism while persuing policies that increase that threat.
__________________
"A prayer for the wild at heart, kept in cages" -Tennessee Williams |
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#37 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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Quote:
Given that the NIE is a pretty well-known document, and its creation, usage and distribution is not necessarily a complex thing, I think you're trying to make this a lot more confusing for yourself than you need to. Numerous intelligence and government sources have confirmed to journalists (when they haven't been publically saying so in speeches) that the invasion of Iraq has been detrimental to efforts in the War on Terror and that this is one of the conclusions of the NIE in question. This is a contention made by many people who are not part of the government for years now. Do you want to address the contention, or do you want to keep stalling? It amuses me that you were all happy to go into Iraq based on evidence the Bush Administration wouldn't show you, but when the NYT references a document that contains a contention that is contrary to your worldview, you absolutely refuse to hear about it. Head in the sand, indeed. |
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#38 | |
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Coordinator
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
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Quote:
Yes. The Administration would have you believe that thousands of potential terrorists stream across our borders each day (see rhetoric in anti-immigration speeches) and that no one is safe, even in Des Moines. The reality is that more Americans have died as a result of the invasion of Iraq (soldiers dead in theater, soldiers dead from injuries, same for civilians) than from 9/11. |
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#39 |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Seattle, Washington
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I wish my dad would have stayed in the oil business.
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#40 |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Fresno, CA
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After reading the article, I don't think it is telling us anything we didn't already pretty much know.
It says that the report lists the war in Iraq as one factor driving an increase in the "Global Jihadist movement". This pretty much follows because one of the stated goals of Al Qaeda was to remove the west's armed forces from the middle east. Obviously, for those predisposed to become millitant terrorists, i.e. those otherwise disillusioned with their lot in life, that bit of influence might well push them over the edge. I don't think that basic fact is really even disputable. The article, or at least some of those interpreting it, seem to "spinning" those basic facts into more of an attack on the administration, than I think is indicated by what has been leaked. Now perhaps the thing is that the admin didn't openly predict this problem at the outset. They certainly didn't, but then again the Admin's apparent lack of foresight on post war Iraq shouldn't really be big news either. I guess I'm just not certain this is as big or as shocking a development as some seem to be making of it. Partly because the report doesn't exactly quantify the assertion ,from what I understand. In other words, the questions of "how much worse of a problem is terrorism today than before the Invasion of Iraq?", "How much of that change is directly attributable to Iraq?", and "If Iraq hadn't been invaded, would the terror organizations found another pretense to bolster recruiting?" aren't addressed by the report. At least from the reports of leaks that I've seen. I'll note that I don't think the report would address especially the last question, because it is strictly hyperbole. Although, I do think that sentiment has some merit. |
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#41 | ||
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Death Herald
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Le stelle la notte sono grandi e luminose nel cuore profondo del Texas
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There seems to be a bit of a disconnect at the White House. Yesterday, Tony Snow admitted during the briefing that the conflict in Iraq is one factor in the spread of Islamic Extemism:
hxp://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20060925/ts_alt_afp/usattacksiraq_060925193019 Quote:
Yet today, Bush is denying this. hxxp://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060926/ap_on_go_pr_wh/us_afghanistan Quote:
__________________
Thinkin' of a master plan 'Cuz ain't nuthin' but sweat inside my hand So I dig into my pocket, all my money is spent So I dig deeper but still comin' up with lint |
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#42 | |
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Hockey Boy
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Royal Oak, MI
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Quote:
Here's a decent editorial piece on this kind of thing. hxxp://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2006609250332 BRIAN DICKERSON: Some material may not be suitable for voters BY BRIAN DICKERSON FREE PRESS COLUMNIST September 25, 2006 "We are safer, but we are not yet safe," President George W. Bush told the nation in his televised address from the Oval Office on the fifth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. Yet the consensus of the president's intelligence advisers -- including John Negroponte, his handpicked director of national intelligence -- is that exactly the opposite is true. According to news reports published Sunday, a classified National Intelligence Estimate completed in April concludes that the U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq has invigorated Islamic radicalism throughout the world and that the overall terrorist threat has grown since Sept. 11, 2001. The intelligence assessment, titled "Trends in Global Terrorism," represents the consensus view of 16 intelligence agencies within the federal government. It concludes that the terrorist threat to the United States and its allies is now viral, comprising innumerable self-generating cells that share many of Al Qaeda's objectives but have little or no contact with the organization's leaders. How can we explain such a fundamental contradiction between what the president's top advisers are telling him and what he is telling us? Or, to put it another way: What did the president know, and when did he decide to disregard it? It seems to me there are four possible explanations: 1) The president hasn't read the 5-month-old intelligence estimate or been briefed on its conclusions. 2) The president is familiar with the estimate but disagrees with its conclusions, either because he knows things his advisers don't or has convictions they lack. 3) The president concedes the estimate is accurate but has made a paternalistic decision not to share it with the American people, in the same way that parents of young children sometimes turn off their televisions when the news is upsetting. 4) The president concedes the estimate is accurate but has made a political decision to conceal it from voters who may hold him and his political allies responsible. In many ways, the last of these explanations is the most reassuring. Deceitfulness is not an attractive quality, but it is preferable to self-delusion, particularly in a commander in chief. The conclusion that the president deliberately lied, while uncharitable on its face, is more generous and less alarming than the suspicion that he either doesn't know or doesn't care about his own government's best thinking. But whether the president's lack of candor is motivated by a benign concern for the nation's morale or a cynical calculation of political advantage, the rest of us have to rise above it. Voters and those who seek to represent them in Congress have to live in the real world, whether or not the president chooses to join them there. Some Republicans may continue to support the current policy toward Iraq on the grounds that it will eventually produce the desired result. But even they will have to disassociate themselves from Bush. As long as the president stands behind a lie, no one can afford to stand behind him.
__________________
Steve Yzerman: 1,755 points in 1,514 regular season games. 185 points in 196 postseason games. A First-Team All-Star, Conn Smythe Trophy winner, Selke Trophy winner, Masterton Trophy winner, member of the Hockey Hall of Fame, Olympic gold medallist, and a three-time Stanley Cup Champion. Longest serving captain of one team in the history of the NHL (19 seasons). |
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#43 |
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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: The State of Insanity
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Good to see Bush is declassifying the NIE to get the whole thing out there.. Of course this raises the question of why it wasn't declassified earlier as the only thing changed is politics.
__________________
Check out Foz's New Video Game Site, An 8-bit Mind in an 8GB world! http://an8bitmind.com |
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#44 |
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Pro Starter
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: The Internets
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This is the link to the declassified report (or at least its conclusions - I'm not sure if more is being declassified or if this is it):
http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/De..._Judgments.pdf
__________________
I do mind, the Dude minds. This will not stand, ya know, this aggression will not stand, man. - The Dude |
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#45 | |
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High School Varsity
Join Date: Nov 2003
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Quote:
It strikes me as fair, with regard to Iraq and everything else. It really is disappointing things like this can't be declassified more often. I can't imagine how this compromises security, and certainly it would add to our democratic dialogue on terrorism. It is a government "of the people", we have a right to know... Also, am I the only one who's a little creeped out when the federal government refers to the United States as "The Homeland"? |
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#46 | |
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World Champion Mis-speller
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Covington, Ga.
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Quote:
No. No you are not. That has bothered me since the whole "Homeland Security Office" started. It just sounds a bit Nazi-ish, doesn't it? |
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#47 | |
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Grizzled Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Fresno, CA
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Quote:
Considering all of the resources being thrown at Terrorism these days, I'm not sure the above equation holds true. In other words, I'm not sure it holds that because the threat of terrorism is greater, necesitates that we, the American public, aren't as safe or safer than before 9/11. They have taken some of the 9/11 commission's suggestions to heart, and I don't know that that should be simply dismissed. I do agree with Fozzie that declassifying the NIE is a good thing, and will demystify and clarify some of the second hand accounts we've gotten so far. |
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