Fanclub update study

[Alf]

There is an ongoing study in France to know how your fanclub increases work. And there are already some models for D3-D6 divisions.

On the left your fanclub size, on the right the max number of supporters per update (counting 10 PR guys and nice club run)

. D3 :


1485 => 13
1627 => 12
1773 => 11
1921 => 10
2070 => 9
2220 => 8
2370 => 7
2520 => 6
2670 => 5
2820 => 4
2970 => 3

. D4 :

1034 => 14
1179 => 13
1325 => 12
1472 => 11
1620 => 10
1769 => 9
1919 => 8
2070 => 7
2222 => 6
2375 => 5

. D5 :

538 => 16
624 => 15
742 => 14
876 => 13
1018 => 12
1164 => 11
1312 => 10
1461 => 9
1610 => 8
1760 => 7
1910 => 6
2060 => 5

. D6 :

581 => 13
727 => 12
874 => 11
1022 => 10
1171 => 9
1321 => 8
1472 => 7

[Franklinnoble]

Fascinating. Thanks for sharing.

[OldGiants]

I've getting one less new fan per week than the chart shows and that would be in line with the results because I'm only carrying 6 spokies. That would be D6 with a nice run, since I've never lost.

edit--and I hit 995 fans this morning.

[vex]

That matches up to what I get. I started out with 1931 this week and got 8 both times.


EDIT: I'm in Div. IV

[FrogMan]

Thanks Alf, this is great info that I copied onto my spreadsheet for future refereence :D

For the record, here are the last few weeks of my incoming supporters

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 336pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=445 border=0 x:str><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 107pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 5193" width=142><COL style="WIDTH: 59pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2852" width=78><COL style="WIDTH: 62pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2998" width=82><COL style="WIDTH: 46pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2230" width=61><COL style="WIDTH: 62pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 2998" width=82><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; WIDTH: 107pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=142 height=17 x:num="38100">04-04-23</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; WIDTH: 59pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=78 x:num>22.07</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; WIDTH: 62pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=82 x:num>1802</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; WIDTH: 46pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=61 x:num x:fmla="=9+9">18</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; WIDTH: 62pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" width=82 x:num>16.5</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="38107" x:fmla="=+A1+7">04-04-30</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=+B1+0.01">22.08</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1820</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=9+9">18</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num="16.666666666666668">16.7</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="38114" x:fmla="=+A2+7">04-05-07</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=+B2+0.01">22.09</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1838</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=9+9">18</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>16.8</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="38121" x:fmla="=+A3+7">04-05-14</TD><TD class=xl31 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=+B3+0.01">22.10</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1856</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=9+9">18</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num="16.90909090909091">16.9</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="38128" x:fmla="=+A4+7">04-05-21</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=+B4+0.01">22.11</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1874</TD><TD class=xl30 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=9+9">18</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>17.0</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl32 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" height=17 x:num="38135" x:fmla="=+A5+7">04-05-28</TD><TD class=xl34 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=+B5+0.01">22.12</TD><TD class=xl34 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num>1892</TD><TD class=xl34 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num x:fmla="=9+9">18</TD><TD class=xl33 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-TOP: #d4d0c8; BORDER-LEFT: #d4d0c8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #d4d0c8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent" x:num="17.076923076923077">17.1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

The date is the Friday, the number in the thousands is myt total number of supporters once both updates have happened in the week. As you can see, I've been getting 9 per update on a steady basis, that with 10 spokerpersons. The last column is my average since the beginning of the season, including the first bad week or so and the week when I lost in the Cup...

FM

[Rich1033]

Looks right on for me. I just dropped from 9 to 8 and Im around 1630 supporters.

[AAGunner3]

looks relatively accurate to mee too.

[Alf]

There is a thread on the French HT Conference that is updated regularly to modify the "thresholds" when we see one (at which number of supporters should I see my supporter increase drop from 10 to 9 for exemple).

This info is just a little bonus ! Not really important though. But it's nice. I love stats ;)