View Full Version : Electoral College: Can it be changed?
mtaystl03
11-06-2004, 02:28 AM
OK, first of all I am no big-time political activist or anything of the sort. I am a democrat that believes this country would be better off with John Kerry running things. That is all I am going to say about that.
The problem I have goes deeper, beyond the scope of democrat-republican or gay rights-Iraq or any issue that divides the nation. I have a fundamental problem with the way the electoral college is manipulating the votes.
Four years ago Bush received less votes and won the presidency. I am sure everybody is aware of that and how rediculous it is. The fact that 500,000 more votes for Al Gore gets him diddly is ludacris.
Let's shift the focus to this year. Bush did win the popular vote by around 3.5 million (my numbers may be a little off) and the fact remains that if John Kerry received close to 200,000 more votes from Ohioans (?) HE would be the next president!!!
Isn't it about time to change this stuff?
Adding, this brings up the question of "WHY" and the only thing I can think of is the fact that the media can treat it like a football game by keeping score and getting updates and having countdowns and coming up with crazy situations. It gives the media something to cover other than simply 'who has more votes'. Is it entertaining? Sure. Is it right? No.
That brings up the next question I have. If people do decide it is time to change this. How is it done? I really have no idea.
This was definately sparked by Bill Maher tonight but don't hold that against me. This is a fundamental problem that needs to be addressed. Right after the voter fraud and all that stuff ;)
SackAttack
11-06-2004, 02:58 AM
Four years ago Bush received less votes and won the presidency. I am sure everybody is aware of that and how rediculous it is. The fact that 500,000 more votes for Al Gore gets him diddly is ludacris.
The rapper? Seriously, I don't have a problem with the Presidency not being decided by a popular vote, for reasons I'll get into in a moment...
Let's shift the focus to this year. Bush did win the popular vote by around 3.5 million (my numbers may be a little off) and the fact remains that if John Kerry received close to 200,000 more votes from Ohioans (?) HE would be the next president!!!
3.5 mil? close enough for government work. It's hard to point just at Ohio as the deciding factor, though. Keep in mind, Bush lost Wisconsin (11,813) and Pennsylvania (127,472) by a combined 139,285 votes. That's just 2,801 votes more than John Kerry needed to win Ohio outright. It's easy to point at Ohio and say that another 136,484 votes and Kerry would be President, but if Bush gets another 127,473 votes in Pennsylvania, not only does Ohio become irrelevant, but he actually wins by one *more* electoral vote. And that's before you ignore the potential impact of Bush also winning Wisconsin.
In other words, saying that the closeness of Ohio is grounds for a total overhaul of the Electoral College is deceptive at best.
Isn't it about time to change this stuff?
This was definately sparked by Bill Maher tonight but don't hold that against me. This is a fundamental problem that needs to be addressed. Right after the voter fraud and all that stuff ;)
Perhaps, but the question remains, how would you change it? The way it stands now, it's possible to carry the thirteen largest states and win the election even if you lose the other thirty-seven.
Let's break it down. Of 538 electoral votes, 3 belong to DC, despite its lack of Congressional representation (does DC have a House member? I know they lack Senators). That leaves 535, of which it's further important to note that 100 electoral votes are based upon Senatorial representation, which is equal among all 50 states. That leaves another 435 electoral votes, which are split based upon population, with each EV representing a more-or-less equal chunk of the population (although no state may have fewer than one EV after you remove the Senate-based EVs).
The idea is that large urban areas such as New York City, Chicago, and Los Angeles aren't supposed to be able to dictate election results for the rest of the country - you still have to carry some of the rural areas unless you make a clean sweep of the thirteen largest states. If you switch to a popular vote methodology, you're going to give disproportionate power to those large urban centers. John Kerry won just shy of 56 million votes in this past election. Roughly 4 million of those came from New York, another ~3 million from Pennsylvania, and another 5.5 million from California. That's 12.5 million votes, or just about 22%, of Kerry's vote total in just *three* states. 2.5 million in Michigan, 3.5 million in Florida. That's 18.5 million votes in just five states, 33% of Kerry's vote total from 10% of the nation's states.
That ignores New Jersey, Massachusetts (and remarkably, Texas) where Kerry racked up another 7 million or so.
Now, I've heard it argued that votes in "flyover" states would actually be more valuable in a straight popular vote, and that candidates would be forced not to take those voters for granted, but when I see numbers like the ones quoted above, where five states could put a candidate 35% of the way to a possible victory, I do have to wonder how true that is. And then you have the realization that an extra, say, 100k votes in each of the 50 states would put Kerry over the top in a popular vote. Wouldn't that be a temptation towards greater voter fraud, since he (or any candidate in that position) wouldn't actually have to *carry* 'red' states in order to benefit politically from such activity?
If you've got a better idea than the electoral college, I'd love to hear it, but I don't think a popular vote is the answer.
Tigercat
11-06-2004, 03:14 AM
No one would get special attention in a popular vote election, or rather everyone would. It wouldn't be the case where just urban areas would get appearences, appearences would be for nation-wide appeal only. So you would see some rural appearences for all the rural areas, urban attention for urban areas, and so on and so forth.
Why do we need the electorial college to give attention to individual states/areas of the country when we already have Congress to give state/regional power?
The Presidency is not meant to be represented by regional/state interests. Thats not why we have the electorial college system, so it shouldn't be why we should keep it.
We have the electorial college system because our founding fathers did not trust the people at large, plain and simple. So why was it good enough to recognize that that fear is unfounded and change the Senate election procedures, and yet 220 years later, we still have the electorial college system?
If we want the federal branch to represent in the manner in which it was meant to represent in, there is no reason not to use the popular vote. But yet we still have the EC system because it makes individual voters and individual states feel more important. Good government be damned.
SackAttack
11-06-2004, 03:27 AM
No one would get special attention in a popular vote election, or rather everyone would. It wouldn't be the case where just urban areas would get appearences, appearences would be for nation-wide appeal only. So you would see some rural appearences for all the rural areas, urban attention for urban areas, and so on and so forth.
I don't buy that, though. You might see some rural appearances - just as you do now - but the campaign would still be calculated largely to get your voters out in large, urban areas where most of the population is concentrated. You still see that today anyway, but it would be even more critical to get your base mobilized in those large states if you needed every vote, regardless of whether you'd carry the state or not. An extra million votes in California would be of greater benefit than an extra 100,000 voters in Iowa, you know?
Why do we need the electorial college to give attention to individual states/areas of the country when we already have Congress to give state/regional power?
Because the voice of a voter in a smaller state is still valuable, and it wouldn't be a good thing if the voice of urban voters could completely drown that out.
The Presidency is not meant to be represented by regional/state interests. Thats not why we have the electorial college system, so it shouldn't be why we should keep it.
It isn't, though. It takes more than the South to win an election, and it takes more than California to win an election. Both are valuable prizes, but you still have to build a coalition of sorts across the country unless your appeal is strong enough to win New York and California and Texas and Florida and...well, let's just say if you're carrying four states that're that diverse, there's a real good shot that you're going to be carrying a fairly hefty percentage of the nation anyway.
We have the electorial college system because our founding fathers did not trust the people at large, plain and simple. So why was it good enough to recognize that that fear is unfounded and change the Senate election procedures, and yet 220 years later, we still have the electorial college system?
The election of Senators and the election of Presidents weren't the same thing then, and they aren't now. Senators were chosen by state legislators, so there was likely a fair amount of vote trading going on. "Look, you support my boy for Senate, and when this vote for your pet project comes up, I'll lend it all the support I can."
Electors for the Presidency don't exactly have that luxury. To be honest, I still don't trust the people at large, and I went over the reasons why in a thread over at Ben's place.
If we want the federal branch to represent in the manner in which it was meant to represent in, there is no reason not to use the popular vote. But yet we still have the EC system because it makes individual voters and individual states feel more important. Good government be damned.
As I said, if you've got a better idea than the Electoral College, let's hear it, but I don't think a popular vote qualifies.
As I said, if you've got a better idea than the Electoral College, let's hear it, but I don't think a popular vote qualifies.
How about the following method (and if you don't like the fact that it essentially uses a popular vote, it could be modified to fit within the current Electoral College)? I have a feeling this would've been especially useful in this past campaign considering most people's feelings that neither Kerry nor Bush were particularly good candidates. You just have to get past the fact that it's a bit long and written as if you are far their intellectual inferiors.
Condorcet: A Better Election Method
In every U.S. election, voters who are dissatisfied with both major parties face the classic dilemma of deciding whether to base their vote on principle or pragmatism. Rather than "wasting" their vote on a candidate with no chance of winning, most end up voting defensively for the "Republicrat" they disagree with least just to oppose the one they disagree with even more. Most voters assume that this dilemma is an inherent fact of democracy, but it is not. It is completely attributable to the inadequacy of our current plurality election method, and a simple expansion of voting rights could end it.
The reason we have a two-party system in the United States is widely misunderstood. It is not because the Democrats and Republicans consistently have the best ideas, nor is it because the media or the debate commission shut out the other parties. We have a two-party system because our plurality voting system does not allow voters to fully specify their preferences. This fact is known as "Duverger's Law." To vote for minor parties, voters must effectively withdraw from the races between the two major parties, even though they may have a strong opinion on those races too. Voters who vote for minor parties essentially "waste" their votes and fail to oppose political movements they strongly disagree with. Protest votes may send a "signal," but the unfortunate reality is that they have virtually no direct effect on the actual outcome of elections -- and the indirect effect is usually contrary to the voter's intention.
The right to vote is the foundation of democracy, and a simple expansion of voting rights could improve the democratic process dramatically. Instead of allowing voters to select only a single candidate for each office, they should be allowed to rank the candidates according to preference. Such an expansion of voting rights would allow voters to fully specify their preferences. Although ranked voting may not at first seem important, it could end the two-party system as we know it. It will not make the voters wiser, nor will it guarantee that they will elect better candidates, but it can give them the kind of leaders they really want -- and that is the essence of democracy.
When voters cast their votes in our current plurality system, they are allowed to select only a single candidate for each office. That is far better than no choice at all, of course, but it is nowhere near as good as also being allowed to specify a second and third choice, or beyond. Current voting rights are therefore incomplete. Complete voting rights would allow voters to vote according to their convictions and principles without wasting their vote on a candidate with little or no chance of winning. The rules for determining the winner would be slightly more complicated than they are now, but they would be based on elementary mathematics and should be understandable by virtually anyone old enough to vote.
The proper method of counting ranked votes is called the Condorcet election method, named after the French mathematician who conceived it a couple of centuries ago. The main idea is that each race is conceptually broken down into separate pairwise races between each possible pairing of the candidates. Each ranked ballot is then interpreted as a vote in each of those one-on-one races. If candidate A is ranked above candidate B by a particular voter, that is interpreted as a vote for A over B. If one candidates beats each of the other candidates in their one-on-one races, that candidate wins. Otherwise, the result is ambiguous and a simple procedure is used to resolve the ambiguity. Condorcet voting is explained in more detail elsewhere at this web site.
The Condorcet system allows voters to vote their true preferences without worrying about wasting their vote on a candidate with little or no chance of winning. It frees voters from the possibility that, by voting their true preference, they will neglect to oppose a candidate they strongly disagree with and who could actually win. That is, the Condorcet system eliminates the "horse-race" effect, which forces voters to consider not only which candidate they prefer, but also what each candidate's chances are of winning. It allows voters to vote for the candidate they agree with most rather than against the major-party candidate they disagree with most. In other words, it eliminates the need for defensive or strategic voting.
Distortions such as occurred in the 1992 presidential election could not happen under the Condorcet system. In that election, Ross Perot was a strong third-party candidate and may have taken enough votes from George Bush to allow Bill Clinton to win, despite the fact that most Perot voters may have preferred Bush over Clinton. Clinton received substantially less than a majority of the popular vote, and Bush might have defeated him in a one-on-one race (neglect the electoral college for now, which should be abolished). In a Condorcet voting system, the outcome might have been quite different. With no worry about splitting the vote, more Republicans might have voted for Perot, and Perot might have won, for example. On the other hand, most voters who voted for Perot might have selected Bush as their second choice, and Bush might have won re-election.
The Democratic and Republican parties will probably not like the Condorcet voting system, at least not in general elections, because they could eventually lose their effective duopoly. Competition would be spurred dramatically, and some of the parties now considered minor would become stronger. Voters who believe in laissez faire government could vote Libertarian, for example, and still register their preference for Republicans over Democrats. Similarly, those who believe that the government should provide economic security could vote for their preferred parties and still register their preference for Democrats over Republicans. Although Condorcet voting removes the artificial advantage of the two major parties in general elections, however, it would help them tremendously in their own primary elections.
Our current plurality voting system is particularly inadequate in primary elections with many candidates. Suppose, for purposes of illustration, that the Republican party is predominantly conservative, and their field of candidates consists of six conservatives and one moderate. The conservative candidates are likely to split the conservative vote, but the moderate would presumably get the entire moderate vote and could possibly win with a small plurality much less than a majority of the votes. That outcome would be unfair to the conservative majority. The issue here is completely non-ideological, however, and labels are used as examples only. The same phenomenon could happen to the Democratic party, for example, if the field of candidates consisted of six liberals and one moderate -- or, for that matter, six moderates and one liberal.
Although the examples given for purposes of illustration are simplistic, the basic principle applies in every election. Popular political trends tend to attract more candidates, and candidates with similar platforms tend to split the vote with each other, which is unfair to the voters who wish to support those platforms. This fundamental flaw in our current incomplete plurality voting system makes it very difficult for the majority to consistently get the kind of leaders they really prefer. The Condorcet system is much more likely to give them what they want and is therefore more democratic.
The current system has other deficiencies too. Consider the 1996 Republican presidential primary election as an example. Suppose that a particular voter preferred Alan Keyes and strongly disagreed with Pat Buchanan. He could have voted for Keyes, but if he were rational he would have realized that Keyes had virtually no chance of getting nominated, and that if he voted for Keyes he would be taking the chance of letting Buchanan (who started out strong) win the nomination. Rather than voting for Keyes, his rational vote in the current system would be to vote defensively against Buchanan by voting for Bob Dole, the "highest ranking" Republican. In a Condorcet system, on the other hand, he could have voted exactly as he wished: for Keyes first and Dole second (or at least ahead of Buchanan).
The preceding example shows how the current system strongly favors prominent "insider" candidates and magnifies the inherent disadvantage of less prominent candidates. It is no wonder that the last three Republican presidential nominees were George Bush (then vice-president), Bob Dole (Senate majority leader), and George W. Bush (son of a former president). Nor is it any wonder that sitting presidents rarely, if ever, lose a bid for renomination by their own party. Many voters are willing to settle for familiar but mediocre candidates rather than wasting their votes on "long shots" and taking the chance of letting the nomination go to someone they strongly disagree with. In the Condorcet system, such compromises are unnecessary.
The Condorcet election method is fundamentally different than our current plurality system and obviously cannot be implemented overnight. The public needs to be educated on the inadequacy of our current system and the major advantages of the Condorcet system. Although the rules of the Condorcet system are simple enough, their profound implications are not immediately apparent, and many will mistakenly dismiss the whole idea as unnecessarily complicated. Also, the Condorcet system can easily be tested in a non-binding mode before actually being phased in for real public elections. Such testing can be started immediately by private polling organizations.
Aside from irrational fear of change, the only reason to oppose complete voting rights is to protect the current political duopoly from outside competition. Such protection obviously cannot be good for democracy. Unfortunately, it is those very "Republicrats" who currently have the power to change the voting system, so democracy will undoubtedly have some difficulty evolving. Rest assured that they will ridicule Condorcet voting as too complicated, but they will only be insulting the intelligence of the American public. They will also characterize it as radical, but so was the concept of voting itself when first introduced. With a proper understanding of what is at stake, however, rationality can ultimately prevail.
Tigercat
11-06-2004, 05:17 AM
Because the voice of a voter in a smaller state is still valuable, and it wouldn't be a good thing if the voice of urban voters could completely drown that out.
So who are you trying to protect from your viewpoint? People of regional differences will be represented well enough in Congress in the Senate, I am sorry, but who gives a crap about regional interests in electing a President? If we are gonna have a system that regionally elects everything, are we really THAT different from Britain at this point in time? And if we aren't electing THAT differently, perhaps we should ask ourselves that shouldn't we be? Perhaps that question won't be fully clear until something really out of whack happens, such as if Kerry would have found a way to win all the states he needed Tues(including Ohio), but yet found a way to lose the popular vote by 5+%, improbable but not impossible.
In our system the President is meant to be popular elected. The EC system, as devised when devised, was one of the closest things to popular votes those who created it could reasonably come up with.
Its a popular vote meant to challenge the regional interests of the Senate and House. Now that we as a society have less hangups(ha, well some of us in this thread not included) on going with the will of the people, if we truly want to have the type of balanced government that was intetended for this system we would go to the popular vote. I'm not naive enough to think that a perfect political world would even contain something that looks like a democracy, but I can't help but to think that the Constitution as it is is just begging the end of the EC. But thats just my interpretation.
Tigercat
11-06-2004, 05:25 AM
As far as elections and two party systems go, plurality voting is a good idea and works fairly well in Europe and Great Britain. Some cities even use in here in the US for council seats and such.
I always like the so called "open primaries" of Louisiana. Not really primaries, what happens is everyone just runs at once, all people and all parties. To ensure that the winning party has the majority of the popular vote, if the leading party doesn't have 50%+, you take the leading vote getter and add how every many other candidates you need(starting with the second most vote getter and work your way down) until you have that 50%(usually its just two candidates). Then you have another election to see if a candidate can get 50, if there still isn't a 50, rinse and then repeat.
Primary systems, especially closed primary states, are just aweful. The system is just reenforcing the hold the two parties have on our politics, it isn't right.
tanglewood
11-06-2004, 05:58 AM
JAG, that system is called AV (Alternate Vote), no idea where the name Condorcet came from.
To summarise it clearer:
You have four candidates in an election: Republican, Democrat, Libertarean and Green in a state where only 100 people vote.
Every voter puts down their preference list of candidates. For example a small government right winger might list as so:
1. Liberterian
2. Republican
3. Democrat }
4. Green } They might not list Democrat or Green at all, but here the voter simply indicates his preference for Dems over Greens, not really his approval of their policy.
A left wing moderate may list:
1. Democrat
2. Green
3. Republican
4. Liberterian
So after all 100 votes have been counted, the following totals are reached:
REPUBLICAN -- 37 votes
DEMOCRAT -- 34 votes
GREEN -- 17 votes
LIBERTERIAN -- 12 votes
In this election, no candidate has reached a majority in the first ballot, so the bottom party is struck off and all the votes for that party redistributed to other parties based on their second preferences.
REPUBLICAN -- 46 votes
DEMOCRAT -- 36 votes
GREEN -- 18 votes
LIBERTERIAN 2nd prefs.: 9 Republican, 2 Democrat, 1 Green
Once again, there is no overall majority so the Green party votes are split between the Republicans and the Democrats based on their second preferences. Also, the Liberterian vote whose second preference was the Greens gets his vote redistributed to his third preference.
DEMOCRAT -- 50 votes
REPUBLICAN -- 49 votes
GREEN VOTE 2nd prefs. -- 14 Democrat, 3 Republican, 1 Liberterian (this vote did not have a 3rd prefernce, so is discounted)
The Democrat party wins despite originally lagging behind in the first ballot. Alos everyone who voted for a third part had their vote counted in the end (except one who declined to list more than two preferences).
tanglewood
11-06-2004, 06:02 AM
As far as elections and two party systems go, plurality voting is a good idea and works fairly well in Europe and Great Britain.
Britain is a three party system though and also a parliamentary system so it is difficult to compare the electoral process.
Also, France, Germany, Spain and Italy use PR, not plurality and thus have many parties.
JAG, that system is called AV (Alternate Vote), no idea where the name Condorcet came from.
To summarise it clearer:
You have four candidates in an election: Republican, Democrat, Libertarean and Green in a state where only 100 people vote.
Every voter puts down their preference list of candidates. For example a small government right winger might list as so:
1. Liberterian
2. Republican
3. Democrat }
4. Green } They might not list Democrat or Green at all, but here the voter simply indicates his preference for Dems over Greens, not really his approval of their policy.
A left wing moderate may list:
1. Democrat
2. Green
3. Republican
4. Liberterian
So after all 100 votes have been counted, the following totals are reached:
REPUBLICAN -- 37 votes
DEMOCRAT -- 34 votes
GREEN -- 17 votes
LIBERTERIAN -- 12 votes
In this election, no candidate has reached a majority in the first ballot, so the bottom party is struck off and all the votes for that party redistributed to other parties based on their second preferences.
REPUBLICAN -- 46 votes
DEMOCRAT -- 36 votes
GREEN -- 18 votes
LIBERTERIAN 2nd prefs.: 9 Republican, 2 Democrat, 1 Green
Once again, there is no overall majority so the Green party votes are split between the Republicans and the Democrats based on their second preferences. Also, the Liberterian vote whose second preference was the Greens gets his vote redistributed to his third preference.
DEMOCRAT -- 50 votes
REPUBLICAN -- 49 votes
GREEN VOTE 2nd prefs. -- 14 Democrat, 3 Republican, 1 Liberterian (this vote did not have a 3rd prefernce, so is discounted)
The Democrat party wins despite originally lagging behind in the first ballot. Alos everyone who voted for a third part had their vote counted in the end (except one who declined to list more than two preferences).
Thank you, that was stated much more clearly. Hopefully everyone reads your post before mine. :)
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 07:58 AM
The Electoral College exists because we were not intended to be a pure Democracy. The President was to be elected by the states, and not necessarily by the direct vote of the people (although a state could choose to do it that way). It was all part of trying to limit the forces of democracy (mob rule) from seizing control of the government. A government designed to protect liberty loses its ability when the mob is able to seize it. It was to keep the tyranny of the majority in check...which has failed, because the people have cut the plan off at the knees.
"Each State shall appoint, in such a Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress; but no Senator or Representative, or Person holding an Office of Trust or Profit under the United States, shall be appointed as an Elector."
The original plan was far superior to direct election. Each state would appoint its own electors, who would cast votes in their home state, and all would then submit their tallies. Both the President and Vice President could not reside in the same state. They were elected separately (not as a package deal, unlike today). If no one candidate got the required majority of electoral votes (which had to be considered likely since these electors were picked by each state and met by themselves), then the top 5 candidates would be submitted directly to the House of Representatives for the final selection. That would have been how the "people" chose their President. It might have gone a long way towards preventing these Presidents who create un-funded initiatives that are forced onto the states...which only happens because those programs are used to buy votes.
I could go on, but I am at work and need to get busy with that. Democracy is mob rule, which is why we had the system we had. The Founders intentionally tried to avoid it, but we twisted the system into it anyway. Once the mob learned they could seize the sword of government, they've hardly hesitated to use it against their neighbor.
EDIT: I should add that I would favor returning the original ideal before simply tearing it all down into a purely direct vote. Any liberty-minded individual has reason to fear direct vote by the masses.
Dutch
11-06-2004, 08:25 AM
Los Angeles and Chicago and New York could always leave the Union and elect John Kerry there president. But allowing those three cities to always choose the president goes against the vision and foresight of the founding fathers of this great nation.
If you want to have a presidency that is ruled by those who want a strong minimum wage, high taxes, and elitists to run the whole show, I would suggest they leave the union.
Geography and Resources are just as valuable to our nation as sheer numbers of people. If people were the only valuable resource worthy of importance why isn't India or China the greatest nation on earth?
It takes all 50 states to make us great, not 3 over-populated city states. The electoral must stay. And so far, the electoral college and the popular vote have been different 3 times, I think. That makes the popular vote the primary/dominant factor already. This just gives some of the smaller states a 1 in 10 or 1 in 15 chance to make a difference. A "great compromise" if you ask me.
Chubby
11-06-2004, 08:44 AM
Los Angeles and Chicago and New York could always leave the Union and elect John Kerry there president. But allowing those three cities to always choose the president goes against the vision and foresight of the founding fathers of this great nation.
If you want to have a presidency that is ruled by those who want a strong minimum wage, high taxes, and elitists to run the whole show, I would suggest they leave the union.
Geography and Resources are just as valuable to our nation as sheer numbers of people. If people were the only valuable resource worthy of importance why isn't India or China the greatest nation on earth?
It takes all 50 states to make us great, not 3 over-populated city states. The electoral must stay. And so far, the electoral college and the popular vote have been different 3 times, I think. That makes the popular vote the primary/dominant factor already. This just gives some of the smaller states a 1 in 10 or 1 in 15 chance to make a difference. A "great compromise" if you ask me.
No it doesn't, it takes 13. Carry those and you don't need the rest to win the presidency. But eveidently that doesn't seem to both people.
I love the "candidates will just campaign in big cities to win" as if a candaidate is going to get 100% of the vote in the big cities.
Go look at the county by county breakdowns of say NY (since I know the counties). Kerry crushed in the NYC counties yet only won the state by 1.2 million. Why? Because he lost a whole lot of smaller counties. This would happen on a national scale as well (NY may vote for one guy but the smaller states can and will balance it out).
But it's ok for 3/4 of a state to have their vote not count (upstate NY) vs a system where each vote counts the same regardless of whether your in a "swing state" or not. The only votes that counted in NY were the 1st 2,793,930 for Kerry and Bush. After that, your vote was irrelevant.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 08:49 AM
States with 3 electoral votes carry more weight than they would in a direct vote.
Don't forget that it is about electing the President of the United STATES of America. I happen to think that the name of the country means something, and it is important to note that we do not live in the UPA (United People of America).
Chubby
11-06-2004, 08:52 AM
So if John Q. Crooked Politician came in and won each of the 13 biggest states by 1 vote then got a grand total of zero votes in the other 37 states, you'd be fine with him winning the election?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 08:52 AM
But it's ok for 3/4 of a state to have their vote not count (upstate NY) vs a system where each vote counts the same regardless of whether your in a "swing state" or not.
Yes, it not only is fine...it's appropriate. There never was an intention for the President to be selected by popular vote of the people. He is elected by the states. Your vote in each state is an attempt to influence the candidate that your state will choose and nothing more.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 08:54 AM
So if John Q. Crooked Politician came in and won each of the 13 biggest states by 1 vote then got a grand total of zero votes in the other 37 states, you'd be fine with him winning the election?
If he ends up with 270 votes in the Electoral College after they meet? Certainly. Why not?
Mac Howard
11-06-2004, 08:56 AM
The system described by Jag is used here in Australia but it has its problems also. What's more the results are no different - the decision in the end still comes down to a choice between the party of capital and that of labour with the candidates THEY choose to put forward. In the end everyone finishes up voting for one of these.
Another problem arises because the tendancy to introduce minority parties into the election results in as many as 20 candidates. Most people find it difficult to list these in anything of a meaningful order. The consequence is that the parties themselves advise their supporters on the ranking that they prefer.
This in turn results in parties trading "preferences" - you advise our party as second preference and we'll advise yours etc. Some extremely dubious stuff happens behind closed doors which we don't learn about until the winner suddenly introduces legislation which does not have the approval of its own supporters but comes out of some secret deal with the Greens or the Family First or whatever party for their preferences.
John Howard won the election a few weeks ago and many claim this a vote for the war in Iraq but in fact these preference deals were a signitficant influence in the win (essentially the Greens directing preferences to his party and causing the Labor party to lose seats in Tasmania and WA).
What you can't get away from is that, no matter what system you use, politicians will find some way to work the system to their own advantage :rolleyes:
Chubby
11-06-2004, 08:56 AM
Yes, it not only is fine...it's appropriate. There never was an intention of the President to be selected by popular vote of the people. He is elected by the states. Your vote in each state is an attempt to influence the candidate that your state will choose and nothing more.
So we should abide by all intentions our government made when the constitution was written? So we're going to bring back slavery and take away a woman's right to vote now because it was "never an intention" that those things happen?
So you're all for moving to an electoral college-like system for all state and local elections too? Let's see, we can make the run for governor based on who gets the most "County Electoral Votes". You carry a county then you get all of the CEV's that county has based on population. This way Joe Farmer isn't ignored in the race for governor in favor of just campaigning in the big cities right?
Chubby
11-06-2004, 08:59 AM
If he ends up with 270 votes in the Electoral College after they meet? Certainly. Why not?
So by your rationale, it's ok if we ignore 64% of the country statewise and probably 80% of the country individual votewise?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:00 AM
Let's break it down. Of 538 electoral votes, 3 belong to DC, despite its lack of Congressional representation (does DC have a House member? I know they lack Senators).
I believe D.C. has a non-voting member in the House, much like Guam and other non-states that are part of the USA. However, none of those other places get electoral votes. That is a perversion of the system. They should not have any.
Chubby
11-06-2004, 09:01 AM
I believe D.C. has a non-voting member in the House, much like Guam and other non-states that are part of the USA. However, none of those other places get electoral votes. That is a perversion of the system. They should not have any.
Why not? So anyone living in DC can't have a say in who our President will be?
Dutch
11-06-2004, 09:06 AM
Okay, screw these liberal losers. Enough compromising. Let's make the United States of America count. 100 votes. Each state gets to allow each of their senators a vote. We'll scrap the House of Representatives completely. That way we will never disenfranchise Alaska or North Dakota, or Mississippi or Hawaii or Washingon DC (I'll give DC 1 vote).
Now take your popular vote and go to hell. (If you wish to compromise with me, let me know, otherwise, stop blowing steam up my ass.)
Do you get how compromising works now?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:07 AM
So we should abide by all intentions our government made when the constitution was written? So we're going to bring back slavery and take away a woman's right to vote now because it was "never an intention" that those things happen?
No. Those are issues of life and liberty, which unfortunately were not addressed then. I don't believe that having the President selected by the states is even near the level of allowing slavery or denying women's suffrage. Give me a compelling argument that it is, and I may change my mind.
So you're all for moving to an electoral college-like system for all state and local elections too? Let's see, we can make the run for governor based on who gets the most "County Electoral Votes". You carry a county then you get all of the CEV's that county has based on population. This way Joe Farmer isn't ignored in the race for governor in favor of just campaigning in the big cities right?
I am not sure if I would be for that system or not. Can you show me the proposal for such system? I can read about the Electoral College, where can I read about this similar system for state and local elections? What is so hard to comprehend that Presidents are elected by the STATES? Read it slowly. Put each word into dictionary.com if you do not know what they mean.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:10 AM
Why not? So anyone living in DC can't have a say in who our President will be?
Read the U.S. Constitution. Electoral votes are determined by members of the House of Representatives (precedent says "voting members" since the concept of non-voting members is not even allowed by the Constitution by my recollection) plus members of Senate. D.C. has no full members in the House or the Senate...therefore they should have NO electoral votes. It really is not as difficult as you are trying to make it.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:11 AM
So by your rationale, it's ok if we ignore 64% of the country statewise and probably 80% of the country individual votewise?
I am saying someone is duly elected as President when they have 270 electoral votes.
Chubby
11-06-2004, 09:12 AM
No. Those are issues of life and liberty, which unfortunately were not addressed then. I don't believe that having the President selected by the states is even near the level of allowing slavery or denying women's suffrage. Give me a compelling argument that it is, and I may change my mind.
I am not sure if I would be for that system or not. Can you show me the proposal for such system? I can read about the Electoral College, where can I read about this similar system for state and local elections? What is so hard to comprehend that Presidents are elected by the STATES? Read it slowly. Put each word into dictionary.com if you do not know what they mean.
What part of "it was set up this way because they didn't trust the people" don't YOU get? Trying to say "well that's how they set it up so that's how it should be" is completely warped expecially when you only want to use that argument in certain situations that suit you (yes for EC, no for bringing back slavery even tho they BOTH were intended in the original consitution). You're not going to change your mind so why bother to pretend that something might sway you? (anymore than you having a snowballs chance in hell of convincing me the EC is a good thing).
I just showed you one. Why is it so hard to grasp? Take the same principles from the Presidential Electoral College and apply them on a state level.
Chubby
11-06-2004, 09:14 AM
I am saying someone is duly elected as President when they have 270 electoral votes.
again, you don't want to answer the point because it's contrary to your argument.
If someone carries the 13 largest states by 1 vote each and gets a combined zero votes in the other 37 states then do you think that's ok since we'd be ignoring 74% of the country statewise and probably 80% of the individual votes?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:19 AM
What part of "it was set up this way because they didn't trust the people" don't YOU get? Trying to say "well that's how they set it up so that's how it should be" is completely warped expecially when you only want to use that argument in certain situations that suit you (yes for EC, no for bringing back slavery even tho they BOTH were intended in the original consitution). You're not going to change your mind so why bother to pretend that something might sway you? (anymore than you having a snowballs chance in hell of convincing me the EC is a good thing).
I just showed you one. Why is it so hard to grasp? Take the same principles from the Presidential Electoral College and apply them on a state level.
Give me a compelling argument that the Electoral College is on the same level as allowing slavery or denying women's suffrage or do not use them as an argument to change the Electoral College.
If I tell you I may change my mind if someone puts forward a convincing argument, I mean just that. You may be accustomed to dealing with liars in your life, but I mean those words when I say or type them. Spend your time coming up with that convincing argument instead of accusing me of having no personal ethics, alright?
As for a state deciding to use the Electoral College idea for themselves, I suppose I am alright for it, as long as their state constitution indicates that Governors (or whomever are to be elected to these state offices, which is something you failed to define) are to be elected by counties rather than the people.
Ryan S
11-06-2004, 09:22 AM
Britain is a three party system though and also a parliamentary system so it is difficult to compare the electoral process.
Not really. The third party in Britain is a fraction of the size of the big two and is never likely to get much bigger. They can make their big promises because they know that they don't have a hope in hell of winning. If the Conservatives get their act together the Liberal Democrats will be crushed.
Scotland has a 4 party system, but the Scottish parliament is an irrelevance and a waste of time and money.
I hate the idea of Multiparty politics because you end up with coalition governments which are always a mess. The multiple voting system which was mentioned earlier in the thread is a terrible idea.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:23 AM
again, you don't want to answer the point because it's contrary to your argument.
If someone carries the 13 largest states by 1 vote each and gets a combined zero votes in the other 37 states then do you think that's ok since we'd be ignoring 74% of the country statewise and probably 80% of the individual votes?
Ok. Read this slowly... If it means they have 270 votes when the Electoral College meets, then yes.
Francis_Cole
11-06-2004, 09:35 AM
If someone carries the 13 largest states by 1 vote each and gets a combined zero votes in the other 37 states then do you think that's ok since we'd be ignoring 74% of the country statewise and probably 80% of the individual votes?
While england does not have a Electoral College system, it too has not had a government who has won the majority of the popular vote since 1935 (mainly due to the great number parties). And secondly, and probably most importantly; In theory the queen can chose any MP to be prime minster, though in theory she will chose the leader of the party with the majority of seats (though once it was actually offered to another party in a year which escapes me now - they declined though)
Fran
Dutch
11-06-2004, 09:43 AM
I hate the idea of Multiparty politics because you end up with coalition governments which are always a mess. The multiple voting system which was mentioned earlier in the thread is a terrible idea.
I agree 100%! When I was in Turkey, this was at the extreme (like 6 or 7 major political parties) and they would form coaltions to get into power.
And sometimes they wouldn't form based on similar ideologies, but over simple math and percentages. So you would have the strongest Attaturk/Pro-Western government joinging with a weaker pro-Islamic/Eastern Government to fight off the strong Pro-Islamic/Eastern government who pulled in coalitions with pro-Attaturk/Western governments.....thus the gridlock they enjoy today.
JonInMiddleGA
11-06-2004, 09:45 AM
Yes, it not only is fine...it's appropriate. There never was an intention for the President to be selected by popular vote of the people. He is elected by the states.
It may or may not surprise (because I've commented on this before) but ...
you and I are in complete agreement on your statement above. Heck, I could have written your quote word-for-word, so apparently close are our positions.
Although I'm sure you know this already, I believe it bears noting for the record: the 2004 election results produced the opposite of what some observers expected -- there were quite a few predictions that Bush would win the popular vote & Gore would take the electoral vote. And in spite of that dismal prospect, I supported the electoral college then just as much as now.
There are parts of the Constitution that I wouldn't mind seeing amended, but the EC isn't one of them.
JonInMiddleGA
11-06-2004, 09:48 AM
Now take your popular vote and go to hell. (If you wish to compromise with me, let me know, otherwise, stop blowing steam up my ass.)
Do you get how compromising works now?
That's just ... beautiful. I had to look twice, through the tears in my eyes, to make sure I didn't pen that myself.
JonInMiddleGA
11-06-2004, 09:58 AM
As for a state deciding to use the Electoral College idea for themselves, I suppose I am alright for it, as long as their state constitution indicates that Governors (or whomever are to be elected to these state offices, which is something you failed to define) are to be elected by counties rather than the people.
I wonder ... how many people other than me & SD ('cause I know he caught it / will catch it when he reads this) and maybe GrantDawg realize that this was pretty much the case in a number of states until the mid-60's? I also suspect that John Galt will pick up on it as well.
(FTR, that's not a shot at anybody else's intelligence, there's just a history of correlation between things I notice & things Ben notices. And the other two as well fairly often. Maybe it's an age thing? ;) )
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 10:03 AM
Maybe it's an age thing? ;) )
I hope it's an age thing, but I don't know how much older you guys are. :D
lynchjm24
11-06-2004, 10:04 AM
Ok. Read this slowly... If it means they have 270 votes when the Electoral College meets, then yes.
We all know how it works. Some of us think that it is stupid that someone who lives in Ohio or Florida has a vote that is more important then someone who lives in Connecticut or Vermont.
If you don't think that is the case then you can't think much of the people who run the campaigns because that is how them run them. I live in Connecticut and did not see more then a handful of television ads from either party for the Presidential election. I was ignored because my state was 'won' and if it wasn't, the 7 electoral votes aren't worth spending money to win.
Dutch
11-06-2004, 10:06 AM
That's just ... beautiful. I had to look twice, through the tears in my eyes, to make sure I didn't pen that myself.
I suspected you might enjoy that bit of passion there, Jon. :D
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 10:10 AM
If you don't think that is the case then you can't think much of the people who run the campaigns because that is how them run them. I live in Connecticut and did not see more then a handful of television ads from either party for the Presidential election. I was ignored because my state was 'won' and if it wasn't, the 7 electoral votes aren't worth spending money to win.
I was glad that I was not hit with spam phone and mail campaigns this time around. I suppose Georgia had been predicted to be a lock for the GOP, but regardless the reasons I am fine with it. I prefer to be ignored by the main parties because they are unlikely to do what it takes to win my vote. Both parties are locked into platforms that make them an unreasonable option for me at this time...
lynchjm24
11-06-2004, 10:22 AM
I was glad that I was not hit with spam phone and mail campaigns this time around. I suppose Georgia had been predicted to be a lock for the GOP, but regardless the reasons I am fine with it. I prefer to be ignored by the main parties because they are unlikely to do what it takes to win my vote. Both parties are locked into platforms that make them an unreasonable option for me at this time...
Well that has nothing to do with the Electoral College being a flawed system.
There is no argument that someone's vote in a close populous state is worth more then a vote in a decided or small state. I would never take the overall popular vote very seriously because of the effect that this has on voters.
mtaystl03
11-06-2004, 10:31 AM
I couldn't read everything but this is great discussion esp. for me who isn't exactly "up to speed" with the politics.
Here is another question I have (and if it was stated earlier I apologize): Everybody is all over the GOTV movement this year, correct? We want everybody to get out there and cast your ballot. What happens to those people that live in a state that their favorite candidate for the job has absolutely no chance of winning? Illinois for example. Wouldn't voting for a republican in Illinois basically render a vote their worthless? The popular vote doesn't matter so what would possess a person to waste their time to vote for a guy that has no chance of winning in his or her state?
How many states are like this? Kerry had no chance in Colorado. Any others?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 10:34 AM
Well that has nothing to do with the Electoral College being a flawed system.
There is no argument that someone's vote in a close populous state is worth more then a vote in a decided or small state. I would never take the overall popular vote very seriously because of the effect that this has on voters.
I know. Your state being ignored because it has been 'sewn up' by one major party or the other is a problem stemming from the "two-party system" and not the electoral college system. The only way to change that would be for people to stop voting for the big parties simply because they spend the most money, which is the only method seemingly used to define who is a 'legitimate candidate.'
lynchjm24
11-06-2004, 10:34 AM
The popular vote doesn't matter so what would possess a person to waste their time to vote for a guy that has no chance of winning in his or her state?
It works the other way as well, you can skip a 2 hour line to vote for Kerry in NY or for Bush in Texas.
The system described by Jag is used here in Australia but it has its problems also. What's more the results are no different - the decision in the end still comes down to a choice between the party of capital and that of labour with the candidates THEY choose to put forward. In the end everyone finishes up voting for one of these.
Another problem arises because the tendancy to introduce minority parties into the election results in as many as 20 candidates. Most people find it difficult to list these in anything of a meaningful order. The consequence is that the parties themselves advise their supporters on the ranking that they prefer.
This in turn results in parties trading "preferences" - you advise our party as second preference and we'll advise yours etc. Some extremely dubious stuff happens behind closed doors which we don't learn about until the winner suddenly introduces legislation which does not have the approval of its own supporters but comes out of some secret deal with the Greens or the Family First or whatever party for their preferences.
John Howard won the election a few weeks ago and many claim this a vote for the war in Iraq but in fact these preference deals were a signitficant influence in the win (essentially the Greens directing preferences to his party and causing the Labor party to lose seats in Tasmania and WA).
What you can't get away from is that, no matter what system you use, politicians will find some way to work the system to their own advantage :rolleyes:
That's very disheartening, but of course should have been obvious. Oh well, I still happen to like the idea theoretically. :)
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 10:44 AM
The popular vote doesn't matter so what would possess a person to waste their time to vote for a guy that has no chance of winning in his or her state?
How many states are like this? Kerry had no chance in Colorado. Any others?
You might need to ask one of them. My candidate probably had no reasonable chance to win Georgia. I voted for them because I could not stomach a vote for anyone else, and our ballot access laws can be very restrictive but a relatively strong showing usually makes it easier to qualify for the ballot next time around. You wouldn't vote for a Democrat or Republican for the ballot access reason, though, because they already control that process and won't lock themselves out. Presumably someone might still vote for Kerry or Bush, in a state that is assuredly going the other way, because they hope to influence some of the future Electors to consider changing their vote. You know the U.S. Constitution does not require the Electors to vote for any particular candidate. Your Presidential vote is really just for a particular slate of Electors.
Georgia went decidedly for Bush. If you had no interest in trying to win some hearts and minds of the Electors, selected by the GOP for Georgia, by voting for Kerry, I have little idea what purpose the vote served (other than a personal one for each voter).
Arles
11-06-2004, 10:59 AM
I think this is best shown with a sports anology - college football. Let's say I have a 10-game season. My team wins 10 games by margins of 3, 3, 7, 3, 10, 3, 3, 7, and 10 points. So, to summarize, I am 10-0 with a +49 overall margin. Now, let's say another team goes 5-5 with margins of +30, -3, -7, +15, +7, -3, -10, +25, -10, +15. So, that team would be 5-5 with a +59 overall point margin.
The question become which system do you think should decide a winning team? Total points? or overall record? The EC was setup to reward candidates for winning individual states (like a sports game) and then counting the total "Wins" at the end to see who did the best. And, like college, teams get an advantage for winning against the tougher opponents (ie, high population). So, from that standpoint, winning in New York may be akin to beating Duke in hoops, while North Dakota is more like beating Akron.
The point here is that the EC provides a system that rewards candidates that get their message across to the most demographic areas. Without it, a candidate could simply hit the top 10 cities and get about 70-80% of the votes he will need. You would never see a candidate in Hawaii, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, Minnesota or Nevada as often as you do now. This will cause more of America to feel out of touch with the winners. Also, for those of you comparing the US to Europe and other governments, they do not have the state-system that we do. So, it's comparing apples to oranges. The US was setup to allow different areas (ie states) to customize the role of government to the needs of their individual communities within a global set of parameters setup by the Feds. This, IMO, makes an EC system much more desireable since you will have completely different needs in Mississippi than Massachusetts. So, why just throw all their votes into a big pot, shake it up, and choose the winner? It makes much more sense to make candidates try to get a plurality of votes in both Miss and Mass.
JonInMiddleGA
11-06-2004, 11:00 AM
... I have little idea what purpose the vote served (other than a personal one for each voter).
I suspect, and that's about all it is, that there's a significant number of voters who cast a Kerry ballot in Georgia or a Bush ballot in New York for the simple reason that they were at the polls anyway & figured "why not?".
Although I know there's a number of people who vote for President & then skip everything else, I would at least suspect that those who do go to the polls, in spite of knowing their choice has no real chance, also have an interest in one or more other races. They might just be voting (mentally) "from the bottom up" instead of "from the top down" (there's usually a correlation between ballot placement and total votes cast) and casting that ballot since they're already in the voting booth.
Or not ... just a thought.
Arles
11-06-2004, 11:05 AM
Also, for those of you worried about Kerry voters going to the polls in Colorado or Bush voters hitting the polls in California, don't forget there are ballot initiatives and senates/house candidates as well. In fact, while Kerry lost in Colorado, the democrats did pickup a senate seat there with the Salazar win. In California, republicans helped reject atleast three "big government" ballot proposals. So, I would think that individual votes were very important in both states, even though the presidential race wasn't all that close at those spots.
Desnudo
11-06-2004, 11:45 AM
I agree with the basic sentiment of the original post. The elimination of the electoral college is long overdue. One vote for one voter with popular vote deciding the outcome is how nearly every other election is decided from elementary school to the US Senate. I think it's crazy that we have this arcane method still in place.
Glengoyne
11-06-2004, 11:45 AM
I'm not sure if anyone has pointed this out yet, but we do not live in a democracy. We live in a democratic Republic. There is a difference.
While it is a popular notion that the electoral college was put in place because the elite didn't believe that the unwashed masses could be trusted with the responsibility to elect the president, it really isn't all that simple. That was a concern for at least a couple of the participants, but the main reason for the creation of the electoral college was that a compromise was needed. A compromise between the Urban and Rural states. It was an extension of the compromise between the states on the makeup of the Congress. In order for the States to unite together into a single nation, the compromise was required. The smaller rural states simply weren't going to join the union if the large population centers were going to dictate the course of government.
I think it works rather famously. Look at how close Kerry came to winning, while only carrying a fraction of the landmass or acreage of the country as a whole. I'm not trying to say that acreage counts in any meaningful way, but I think it illustrates the beauty of the compromise worked out all those years ago.
Radii
11-06-2004, 11:58 AM
Georgia went decidedly for Bush. If you had no interest in trying to win some hearts and minds of the Electors, selected by the GOP for Georgia, by voting for Kerry, I have little idea what purpose the vote served (other than a personal one for each voter).
I had not done any research on the local races, so I did not vote in them. In everything I did vote for, I knew in advance what the result would be, and I knew the result would be by a wide, wide margin. Yet I waited in line for 45 minutes anyway, cast my vote against bush, against Isakson, the US House seat was unopposed in my district, and I do not want an amendment about men and women marrying on the constitution.
So why did I wait in line 45 minutes when none of these things had a prayer of going my way? Well, perhaps there's an advantage in getting as many democrats out and keeping the race as close as possible. Perhaps if I get out there and make it a little bit closer, more democrats will get out and vote next time in Georgia. Other than that? Just voicing my ideal opinions, knowing there is no logical hope behind them given how our system works today.
The system described by Jag is used here in Australia but it has its problems also. What's more the results are no different - the decision in the end still comes down to a choice between the party of capital and that of labour with the candidates THEY choose to put forward. In the end everyone finishes up voting for one of these.
The results are much the same in the lower house were the 2 major parties dominate with a few independents making up the numbers, there was a green party member in the house of reps but that was from a by-election and that member lost his seat in october. Where it makes the most difference is in the senate (which has a much more complicated preferential voting system) where a lot of people vote differently to how they did in the house of reps and quite a few senators from the minor parties get elected to provide "checks and balances". The Australian Democrats, who mainly just contest senate seats had a slogan for many years of "Keep the bastards honest".
The best aspect of the preferential system (IMO) is that you can send a message with your vote and still have it "count". So I can have say in which of the 2 major parties I want to govern while making it clear that neither were my first choice.
lynchjm24
11-06-2004, 01:56 PM
I think it works rather famously. Look at how close Kerry came to winning, while only carrying a fraction of the landmass or acreage of the country as a whole. I'm not trying to say that acreage counts in any meaningful way, but I think it illustrates the beauty of the compromise worked out all those years ago.
It makes for interesting television. It's a horrible way to elect the leader of the free world.
I cannot stand George W. Bush. I still can be impartial enough to see that if Kerry had won Ohio by 50,000 votes that there is no way it would be 'fair' for Bush to lose this election.
fantastic flying froggies
11-06-2004, 02:06 PM
1 person = 1 vote. Whoever gets the most votes win.
Democracy, pure and simple.
(and as a foreigner, i am completely free from any sort of partisanship...)
cuervo72
11-06-2004, 02:54 PM
Wow, I'm always amazed that we could have survived for over 200 years with names such as Washington, Franklin, Hamilton and Madison on the Constitution rather than luminary thinkers such as mtaystl03, Tigercat, Jag and Chubby.
Glengoyne
11-06-2004, 03:07 PM
1 person = 1 vote. Whoever gets the most votes win.
Democracy, pure and simple.
(and as a foreigner, i am completely free from any sort of partisanship...)
Republic > Democracy
fantastic flying froggies
11-06-2004, 03:09 PM
Republic > Democracy
How so?
Dutch
11-06-2004, 03:18 PM
FFF,
How does voting work in the European Union?
Glengoyne
11-06-2004, 03:20 PM
How so?
Well off the top of my head, I think I simply regard the composition of our government superior to most other forms I have looked at.
It really does work. A true democracy boils down to majority rule, and I don't think you can really accomplish anything under that system. The Republic/representative Democracy system we have seeks to promote leaders to guide the country, and sometimes make tough decisions that the population as a whole would not agree with. <--not a reference to Bush in any way shape or form.
fantastic flying froggies
11-06-2004, 03:25 PM
FFF,
How does voting work in the European Union?
I started answering you, but it is so complex that the bottomline is, I don't really know... :confused:
Dutch
11-06-2004, 03:27 PM
For instance, a true democracy would have failed the USA in the 1860's.
A true democracy would have failed Germany in the 1940's.
Nothing's perfect when you are dealing with decision making.
fantastic flying froggies
11-06-2004, 03:30 PM
Well off the top of my head, I think I simply regard the composition of our government superior to most other forms I have looked at.
It really does work. A true democracy boils down to majority rule, and I don't think you can really accomplish anything under that system. The Republic/representative Democracy system we have seeks to promote leaders to guide the country, and sometimes make tough decisions that the population as a whole would not agree with. <--not a reference to Bush in any way shape or form.
OK, i think i understand what you're saying.
But if you have the popular vote, you can still elect the leader you're seeking, can't you? Whoever gets the most votes by the people is elected the leader and his government then rules for the given period of time it's elected for.
Glengoyne
11-06-2004, 03:44 PM
OK, i think i understand what you're saying.
But if you have the popular vote, you can still elect the leader you're seeking, can't you? Whoever gets the most votes by the people is elected the leader and his government then rules for the given period of time it's elected for.
It could certainly work that way. I mean if the constitution were to be drawn up today, that would be a very plausible option. Especially with the Tricameral makeup. The executive branch is somewhat limited in power in any case. The current system was chosen as a compromise between (high population)Urban and (low population)Rural states. There is essentially no way to change it other than an amendment, and I don't see all of those low population "red" states giving up their current status. Besides, I believe it still works very well.
wbatl1
11-06-2004, 04:19 PM
OK, i think i understand what you're saying.
But if you have the popular vote, you can still elect the leader you're seeking, can't you? Whoever gets the most votes by the people is elected the leader and his government then rules for the given period of time it's elected for.
Because when it was drawn up it was to give the very rural states a say they would not have with a popular vote. Right now, the smallest states have 3/538 of the total vote(.6%), and 3/270(1.1%) of the vote needed to win. A state like Wyoming has 3 electoral votes. However, Wyoming only has a voting age population of 350,000, compared with about 215 millionvoting age people nationwide. So, if there was a popular vote, Wyoming's residents would count for 350,000/215,000,000(.15%) of total vote. Obviously it benefits the states that are small, increasing their say in the matter, while it still favors the big states, who still have the biggest say.
wbatl1
11-06-2004, 04:21 PM
Well, glengoyne beat me to the punch some when I was researching my stats.
Wolfpack
11-06-2004, 04:33 PM
Why vote in a unwinnable state? I can attest having to live in the wonderfully diverse town of Ann Arbor (diversity of skin color, not of thought, please) that I got sick and tired of seeing the bumper stickers that said "Re-Defeat Bush" or "We didn't elect him before, let's not vote for him again this time, either." I was in a deep blue area of a blue state, but I wanted more than anything for Bush to at least win the popular vote on top of the electoral college so all the "peace-loving" individuals around here can shut up once and for all on the matter.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 07:33 PM
One vote for one voter with popular vote deciding the outcome is how nearly every other election is decided from elementary school to the US Senate.
Originally, the Senators were appointed by the legislatures of each state (they were supposed to represent state interests, while the House represented the people), but this is another step we've taken towards Democracy and away from the well-crafted Republic that we were intended to have.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 07:39 PM
I had not done any research on the local races, so I did not vote in them. In everything I did vote for, I knew in advance what the result would be, and I knew the result would be by a wide, wide margin. Yet I waited in line for 45 minutes anyway, cast my vote against bush, against Isakson, the US House seat was unopposed in my district, and I do not want an amendment about men and women marrying on the constitution.
I can sort of understand that point of view. I have a hard time understanding the purpose of a vote for a Democrat as a message to other liberals. Surely they know that Democrats are out there and are possible choices after the millions of dollars they spend each election year, nevermind the fact that they have a part in designing ballot access laws and can make sure they always qualify. It's a different ballgame for anyone not part of the two corporate political parties.
I voted for my first choices, the Libertarians, in order to help them get on the ballot next time as and prove that those votes actually are counted (despite claims from Republicans and Democrats that they aren't).
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 07:44 PM
It makes for interesting television. It's a horrible way to elect the leader of the free world.
We aren't electing the "Leader of the Free World." We're electing the President of the United States of America. Semantics, maybe...but what he is known as in the press, or around the world, does not carry with it a requirement that we change a fundamental building block of our nation. What other powerful country in the "free world" gives their populace a say in their head of state? It isn't the UK, France, or Germany, as I recall. Am I wrong?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 07:45 PM
1 person = 1 vote. Whoever gets the most votes win.
Democracy, pure and simple.
(and as a foreigner, i am completely free from any sort of partisanship...)
Too bad we aren't a pure democracy. That's why it was not designed that way, and why it is not currently handled that way. It's a popular misconception that we are a democracy. We are not, and have never been, a democracy.
Dutch
11-06-2004, 08:16 PM
Does the European Union count every single last vote of the people when they have a motion to pass or fail?
Dutch
11-06-2004, 08:18 PM
Too bad we aren't a pure democracy. That's why it was not designed that way, and why it is not currently handled that way. It's a popular misconception that we are a democracy. We are not, and have never been, a democracy.
It's a popular misconception that we do not vote in the naming of our President, but ultimately, if the people had not cast one single vote for George Bush, George Bush would not be President. It is truely up to us to name the next President of the USA.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:14 PM
It's a popular misconception that we do not vote in the naming of our President, but ultimately, if the people had not cast one single vote for George Bush, George Bush would not be President. It is truely up to us to name the next President of the USA.
We vote for the Electors, who then select the President. That is fact. Historically, they tend to vote the way the people in each state ask them to through the votes...but they do not have to, and if they submitted 270 electoral votes for Kerry he would legally be the next President.
Dutch
11-06-2004, 09:37 PM
I'm not so sure that the electoral college has ever gone against the popular vote in their state/district. Even in Florida last year, I don't recall any drama over the "elector" was going to vote for Bush regardless.
I'm not even convinced their is an "elector".
Dutch
11-06-2004, 09:39 PM
I started answering you, but it is so complex that the bottomline is, I don't really know... :confused:
Fair enough!
I remember at one point a very controversial issue in the EU where Ireland had a big referendum and had the people vote. But I have no idea why the people were voting. Perhaps to produce the singular Irish vote?
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 09:47 PM
I'm not even convinced their is an "elector".
Do some reading.
Here is just one easy example that I found using news.google.com...
hxxp://www.californiaaggie.com/article/?id=6187
Here are some relevant portions that may educate you a little bit :
According to Professor Carlton Larson at the UC Davis School of Law, each state is allocated a certain number of electoral votes. Each state gets two electoral votes which represent the Senate plus the number of members in the House of Representatives.
"The Democratic and Republican Party in each state picks their electors," Larson said. "Generally these people are state-elected officials who have been around the parties. They are people who can be trusted for a long time."
Larson said that there are 538 electoral votes nationwide. A candidate must receive a majority of 270 electoral votes in order to win the presidency.
"When you vote, you are essentially voting for a slate of electors who are committed to a certain candidate," Larson said. "Generally those electors vote for the people they are committed to, but may sometimes switch their vote."
The Electoral College is based on a "winner-take-all" system, where the candidate who gains the most popular votes will also earn all of the electoral votes for that state. Nebraska and Maine are the only states that split their electoral votes proportionally between the two candidates.
Young Drachma
11-06-2004, 10:10 PM
I believe D.C. has a non-voting member in the House, much like Guam and other non-states that are part of the USA. However, none of those other places get electoral votes. That is a perversion of the system. They should not have any.
I hate this argument about D.C. The only reason people have a problem with the District of Columbia having any voting rights, is because of the way they vote and because of their demographics.
Not saying either is unwarranted, but the citizens of no other capital city in the entire world has less fundamental rights than the people in the rest of the country.
D.C. is not Guam. It's the capitol of the country. There is a difference between the capitol city of the nation and say, a territory we won in a war.
Part of the reason it's run so "poorly" is not just because the city is damn near broke and they're never had control of their own budget - even back when things weren't as bad as they are now.
Who cares about "founder's intent" over 200 years later? It doesn't matter what they wanted, because the political reality is that our nation's capitol is a fiefdom of the legislators who work and live there most of the year. The citizens (and don't say, "Oh they should just move..seeing as D.C. is a lot older than some states in this country. Meaning that their people could plausibly be long generations of residents) of the District are full entitled to having their interests represented in Congress. Territories and Commonwealths like Puerto Rico and others not so much, though in reality foreign countries give their territories political representation, so I'm not sure what the big deal is - especially since they're considered citizens anyway.
But that's for a whole different thread.
DC Vote (http://www.dcvote.org/index.cfm)
Don't DC citizens already have representation in Congress?
District of Columbia citizens have no representation of any kind in the US Senate and only a nonvoting delegate to the US House of Representatives. US citizens who live in Washington, DC, have no voting representation on the national issues considered by Congress. Furthermore, since Congress also acts as Washington's "state" legislature, local citizens are also denied voting representation in a state legislative body-something that all other Americans enjoy.
Doesn't DC have self-government through its elected city council and mayor?
The District of Columbia does have a locally elected mayor and city council. However, all locally passed laws must be sent to Congress for review. Congress has frequently overruled decisions of the locally elected government and has even overturned citizen-passed ballot initiatives.
Is DC Vote arguing that the lack of representation in Congress is unconstitutional?
That is exactly our argument. The Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution provides all citizens equal protection under the law. That means that all citizens are entitled to an equal voice in selecting elected officials. DC residents share with all Americans the right to one equal vote for a U.S. House representative and one vote for each of two U.S. senators. Congress has denied that right for 200 years under the premise that the Constitution also allows Congress total power over Washington, DC However, Congress's power over DC residents does not allow for the abridgement of free speech rights or the right to a fair trial. Similarly, Congress's power over DC should not be used as an excuse to deny DC residents their fundamental right to vote.
Why not just make DC into a territory like the other 5 US territories and not require residents to pay income tax?
The people of Washington, DC, have always fulfilled all their obligations as citizens of the United States. They have paid taxes, served in foreign wars, and helped build a great nation. Although there are some who would be happy to have the District become a territory, the majority of citizens want to contribute fully to the nation and to be treated as full citizens.
Dutch
11-06-2004, 10:26 PM
Do some reading.
Tough crowd.
But isn't the electoral college "voters" just semantics? I mean, California is a winner take all state. When the people voted for Al Gore in 2000, there wasn't any drama over how the 55 electoral college votes would be cast. Gore got all 55 of them. (or whatever number it is, I'm sure I could look it up on google.)
The 55 "electors" were selected post-popular vote by Al Gore and the Democratic Party.
So the real voters are the people, not the electors.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 10:33 PM
I hate this argument about D.C. The only reason people have a problem with the District of Columbia having any voting rights, is because of the way they vote and because of their demographics.
The people in the District of Columbia could promise to vote for my candidate of choice on every single ballot and I would still maintain they deserve no electoral votes until they become a state. There is no other non-state that is allowed to have them.
Not saying either is unwarranted, but the citizens of no other capital city in the entire world has less fundamental rights than the people in the rest of the country.
Perhaps you could share how many of these capital cities are in non-states, and how many of them are nations that select their president by the state rather than direct vote of the populace? If the people of D.C. are unhappy that they do not live in a state, there are 50 of them to choose from. Or they can stay there and fight for statehood. Once they become a state, I agree that they are entitled to all the rights/privledges/powers delegated to all other states.
Glengoyne
11-06-2004, 10:49 PM
Tough crowd.
But isn't the electoral college "voters" just semantics? I mean, California is a winner take all state. When the people voted for Al Gore in 2000, there wasn't any drama over how the 55 electoral college votes would be cast. Gore got all 55 of them. (or whatever number it is, I'm sure I could look it up on google.)
The 55 "electors" were selected post-popular vote by Al Gore and the Democratic Party.
So the real voters are the people, not the electors.
As I understand it, each party has a slate of electors they have named prior to the election. I believe in some states the name of each district's elector is listed along with the candidate's name. To be selected as an elector you really need to be part of the Party machine. Believe it or not, I am not near partisan enough to be an elector.
So yes California is a winner take all state, and the slate of electors from CA will be the very partisan bunch of Democrats the party appointed before the election. Those 55 people could vote for whoever they wanted to though. CA does not have a law binding those electors to vote along with the popular vote of the state.
So yes the real voters are the people, they are just electing a very partisan bunch of people to cast their collective vote for president. In other words it is splitting hairs to maintain that we don't vote for the President.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 10:58 PM
In other words it is splitting hairs to maintain that we don't vote for the President.
There always remains the chance that something could happen that convinces them to vote for a different candidate when the time comes. As long as that possibility exists, the populace is not directly electing the President. They may be 'effectively' doing it, but they are not directly doing it.
Glengoyne
11-06-2004, 10:59 PM
The people in the District of Columbia could promise to vote for my candidate of choice on every single ballot and I would still maintain they deserve no electoral votes until they become a state. There is no other non-state that is allowed to have them.
I counter by saying that no other non-state is given an electoral votes by the Constitution, well an amendment, but it is still the Constitution. More people live in D.C. than live in Wyoming(and a number of other states) so I don't see a reason not to give them electoral votes. I'm guessing that is why the amendment was ratified.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 11:15 PM
I counter by saying that no other non-state is given an electoral votes by the Constitution, well an amendment, but it is still the Constitution. More people live in D.C. than live in Wyoming(and a number of other states) so I don't see a reason not to give them electoral votes. I'm guessing that is why the amendment was ratified.
I can see how the amendment is a reasonable sort of compromise, considering that D.C. would otherwise not have any. It does break the system, though, which is the election of the President and Vice President by the states. It's interesting to note that this amendment was not passed until 1960-61. I should read about what caused this to finally happen then, as opposed to 10, 50, or 100 years before.
duckman
11-06-2004, 11:27 PM
Personally, I think that changing the number of electors to one (1) per state is a sound idea. That forces the candidates to go to every state to help them win elections. In theory, anyways.
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 11:28 PM
DC residents share with all Americans the right to one equal vote for a U.S. House representative and one vote for each of two U.S. senators.
I didn't read this sentence well enough before. They are wrong in their argument here. I believe that members of the House and Senate were specifically allocated to states. Since the Constitution does not spread this to Districts, Territories, Protectorates, etc, they do not currently have the same "right" as people living in states. They may wish to argue that they SHOULD be able to share that "right", but I don't think they currently do.
I, personally, find it strange that anyone would live there given that state of affairs. Given the unlikelihood, some 200+ years later, of gaining full statehood, I might just move on. What better way to protest than by abandoning the District altogether? It may make the biggest point of all, or just bring in more commuters from the surrounding states...
Tekneek
11-06-2004, 11:30 PM
Personally, I think that changing the number of electors to one (1) per state is a sound idea. That forces the candidates to go to every state to help them win elections. In theory, anyways.
Hmmm. So, unless someone gets at least 26, it would go to the House of Representatives...or whoever gets the most automatically wins regardless of majority?
duckman
11-06-2004, 11:35 PM
Hmmm. So, unless someone gets at least 26, it would go to the House of Representatives...or whoever gets the most automatically wins regardless of majority?
Yes. It's not a perfect system, but maybe a fairer (is there such a word?) system. It would still give the less populated states the leverage in who gets to be President.
Sharpieman
11-07-2004, 12:54 AM
Better yet, why do we have an election DAY and on a weekday. Why don't we have a 7 day election?
Glengoyne
11-07-2004, 02:48 AM
Yes. It's not a perfect system, but maybe a fairer (is there such a word?) system. It would still give the less populated states the leverage in who gets to be President.
Giving Wyoming and other low population states gives the citizens there a slight advantage in that their individual votes carry a little bit more weight than a citizen in any of the large population states. If you assign CA a single electoral vote, the disparity isn't slight. Each Californian would have only a fraction of the "voice". Each person in Wyoming would have about 60 times more say in who wins the presidency than each person in California.
Really I think the current system is a great compromise between large and small population centers.
fantastic flying froggies
11-07-2004, 08:01 AM
We aren't electing the "Leader of the Free World." We're electing the President of the United States of America. Semantics, maybe...but what he is known as in the press, or around the world, does not carry with it a requirement that we change a fundamental building block of our nation. What other powerful country in the "free world" gives their populace a say in their head of state? It isn't the UK, France, or Germany, as I recall. Am I wrong?
I can't say for the others but in France, we do. We definitely vote directly for our President. And it's a popular vote, with all voters being equal. The only added twist is that it is in 2 rounds. In the first round, everybody can run. The first two move on to the 2nd round and whoever wins that one is elected president for 5 years.
Dutch
11-07-2004, 08:23 AM
Just like us FFF. The difference is we are the United States of America and you are the United State of France. We are a collection of states like the European Union or the old Soviet Union.....just much more closely knit.
fantastic flying froggies
11-07-2004, 11:24 AM
Just like us FFF. The difference is we are the United States of America and you are the United State of France. We are a collection of states like the European Union or the old Soviet Union.....just much more closely knit.
Right.
But please, do not compare the European Union with the USA, they should not even be used in the same sentence! Right now, the EU is a union just in name, it is not much more than a glorified trade agreement. I really hope it will one day become a true federal state or confederacy, but it is still in the far distant future.
Wolfpack
11-07-2004, 08:50 PM
Better yet, why do we have an election DAY and on a weekday. Why don't we have a 7 day election?
I've wondered it myself, but with everyone screaming "FRAUD" on both sides, I don't know that it's doable. How do you secure every precinct in the country for that long a period to make sure ballots don't "appear" or "disappear" during non-polling hours? I wouldn't think they'd want to be open 24/7 during that period.
Dutch
11-07-2004, 09:05 PM
Right.
But please, do not compare the European Union with the USA, they should not even be used in the same sentence! Right now, the EU is a union just in name, it is not much more than a glorified trade agreement. I really hope it will one day become a true federal state or confederacy, but it is still in the far distant future.
I think I was fair when I said the USA was much more closely knit than the EU. But the foundation of the EU in it's infantcy is not Democracy but a Republic of Nations. That was the only comparison I wished to make.
200 years ago, New Hampshire could not give a rats ass what New Yorkers thought and were not interested in New Yorkers telling them what to do.....just like I'm sure France would not be too interested in a true EU where Germany or Turkey called all the shots.
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