View Full Version : Seriously, Biden is a total idiot.......
Mizzou B-ball fan
01-31-2007, 10:11 AM
As a Republican, I personally hope he stays in the race and trashes all the other Democratic candidates. His comments on Obama are simply Trent Lott-esque.......
Biden Unbound: Lays Into
Clinton, Obama, Edwards
Loquacious Senator, Democratic Candidate on Hillary: ‘Four of 10 Is the Max You Can Get?’ Edwards ‘Doesn’t Know What He’s Talking About’
By Jason Horowitz
To hear him tell it, Hillary Clinton’s position is calibrated, confusing and “a very bad idea.” John Edwards doesn’t know what he’s talking about and is pushing a recipe for Armageddon in the Middle East. Barack Obama is offering charming but insubstantial fluff. And all of them are playing politics.
“Let me put it this way,” Mr. Biden said. “You didn’t hear any one of them get in this debate at all until they announced for President.”
Mr. Biden, who ran an ill-fated campaign for President in 1988, is a man who believes his time has finally come, announcing this week that he was filing papers to make his 2008 Presidential bid official. Although he admits to a tendency to “bloviate,” he thinks that an aggressive advocate with rough edges might be just what the party needs right now. “Democrats nominated the perfect blow-dried candidates in 2000 and 2004,” he said, “and they couldn’t connect.”
Though Mr. Biden, 64, has never achieved his national ambitions, he has in recent years emerged as one of the party’s go-to experts on foreign policy. In the past week, he has spearheaded the Democratic pushback against the President’s plan to increase troop levels in Iraq, opposing the move with a non-binding resolution that his party has rallied around.
On a recent weekday afternoon, he was discussing his rivals over a bowl of tomato soup in the corner of a diner in Delaware, about a 15-minute drive from his Senate office. He wore a red cardigan and blue shirt, periodically raising his raspy voice over the sound of loudspeakers summoning customers to pick up their sandwiches. He had showed up carrying a Mead notebook filled with handwritten talking points, but once he’d gotten started, he closed the book and pushed it aside.
The subject he prefers to talk about these days—particularly when contrasting himself with his prospective Presidential rivals—is Iraq.
Addressing Mrs. Clinton’s latest proposal to cap American troops and to threaten Iraqi leaders with cuts in funding, Mr. Biden lowered his voice and leaned in close over the table.
“From the part of Hillary’s proposal, the part that really baffles me is, ‘We’re going to teach the Iraqis a lesson.’ We’re not going to equip them? O.K. Cap our troops and withdraw support from the Iraqis? That’s a real good idea.”
The result of Mrs. Clinton’s position on Iraq, Mr. Biden says, would be “nothing but disaster.”
Most early polls show Mrs. Clinton as the party’s clear front-runner. Mr. Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, is firmly in the thick of a pack of third-tier candidates. Still, he thinks that at such a precarious point in the nation’s history, voters are seeking someone with his level of experience to take the helm.
“Are they going to turn to Hillary Clinton?” Biden asked, lowering his voice to a hush to explain why Mrs. Clinton won’t win the election.
“Everyone in the world knows her,” he said. “Her husband has used every single legitimate tool in his behalf to lock people in, shut people down. Legitimate. And she can’t break out of 30 percent for a choice for Democrats? Where do you want to be? Do you want to be in a place where 100 percent of the Democrats know you? They’ve looked at you for the last three years. And four out of 10 is the max you can get?”
Mr. Biden is equally skeptical—albeit in a slightly more backhanded way—about Mr. Obama. “I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy,” he said. “I mean, that’s a storybook, man.”
But—and the “but” was clearly inevitable—he doubts whether American voters are going to elect “a one-term, a guy who has served for four years in the Senate,” and added: “I don’t recall hearing a word from Barack about a plan or a tactic.”
Ksyrup
01-31-2007, 10:15 AM
"Mr. Biden, who ran an ill-fated campaign for President in 1988, is a man who believes his time has finally come, announcing this week that he was filing papers to make his 2008 Presidential bid official."
But he copied Obama's filing papers!
panerd
01-31-2007, 10:18 AM
As a third party voter I hope that he runs against Hilary.
stevew
01-31-2007, 10:22 AM
Who started the whole "Obama went to a wahhabi school thing?" If it was Hillary, did she hire Karl Rove?
Mizzou B-ball fan
01-31-2007, 10:23 AM
But he copied Obama's filing papers!
Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery.
NoMyths
01-31-2007, 10:24 AM
Yep, only took a little under four hundred years, but we finally have "the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy". Guess it was only about a hundred years of work for each of those character traits. Good thing we've got Biden and his haw lantern scouting the path for us.
John Galt
01-31-2007, 10:25 AM
Who started the whole "Obama went to a wahhabi school thing?" If it was Hillary, did she hire Karl Rove?
It was actually from a periodical called Insight on the News. Insight on the News is part of Rev. Moon's media empire (which also includes the Washington Times). So, I'm doubting it was Hilary's people that planted the story.
NoMyths
01-31-2007, 10:35 AM
You also have to love him trotting out the "but he speaks so well!" chestnut.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 10:38 AM
It's the "clean" part that I just can't understand. Does he really think it's unusual for blacks to be clean?
John: FYI: Insight was a part of the Moonie empire, but isn't anymore. Moon dumped it, but the guy currently running it kept it going.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 10:47 AM
You also have to love him trotting out the "but he speaks so well!" chestnut.
I must have missed that part of the article.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 10:49 AM
"articulate"
John Galt
01-31-2007, 10:52 AM
It's the "clean" part that I just can't understand. Does he really think it's unusual for blacks to be clean?
John: FYI: Insight was a part of the Moonie empire, but isn't anymore. Moon dumped it, but the guy currently running it kept it going.
Didn't know that. I only knew Insight from the old days and when I saw that was the source for the Obama allegations, then I was sure it was unreliable.
My favorite part about the whole thing was for the media outlets that picked the story up, they totally omitted the fact that right after attending that school in Indonesia he went to Catholic school there as well. Just like your average terrorist-in-training.
stevew
01-31-2007, 10:54 AM
Biden has no chance of winning, I don't know why he's trying to flatter himself by running. I'd put him behind Hillary, Obama, and Vilsack by a ton for starters, this is just a futile attempt.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 10:58 AM
Barring any unexpected revelations, the only candidates with a chance of winning the Democratic nomination are Hillary, Obama and maybe Edwards. I think Gore would also have a serious chance, but I don't think it's likely he's going to throw his hat into the ring.
Anyone else declaring for the Democratic nomination is doing so because they're either a) deluded b) running for VP or c) doing so to increase their speaking/book-deal money.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 11:04 AM
"articulate"
Spinning that (in the middle of a bunch of attributes) into a "but he speaks so well!" comment seems a bit of a stretch.
kcchief19
01-31-2007, 11:30 AM
It was actually from a periodical called Insight on the News. Insight on the News is part of Rev. Moon's media empire (which also includes the Washington Times). So, I'm doubting it was Hilary's people that planted the story.
Then Fox News rode it off the rails, and we know Hillary isn't pitching stories to them ...
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 11:34 AM
Who started the whole "Obama went to a wahhabi school thing?" If it was Hillary, did she hire Karl Rove?
They attributed it from her camp. Seems a little early for her to mudsling. But she's not going to use him as her VP, so...I don't know that she doesn't want to make his camp a little hot under the collar especially since they're vying for the same behind-the-scenes people and early supporters.
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 11:35 AM
Then Fox News rode it off the rails, and we know Hillary isn't pitching stories to them ...
Right, this was my take. That they wanted to kill two birds with one stone with that story. Seems like it'll take a little more than that, I'd imagine.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 11:37 AM
Brian: That's what articulate means.
Nobody had to dig up the story on Obama. It's in his books.
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 11:40 AM
It's the "clean" part that I just can't understand. Does he really think it's unusual for blacks to be clean?
John: FYI: Insight was a part of the Moonie empire, but isn't anymore. Moon dumped it, but the guy currently running it kept it going.
Clean-cut, I imagine. Not clean like "he showered." I think in contrast to say, a Jesse Jackson or really the whole image of the black politicians as grimy huckster. Obama really does rise above that, but he's the first to emergy on the national stage too without all of the civil rights baggage of the 1960s. And while people downplay it, I really do believe the fact that his dad wasn't American plays a huge part in his disconnectedness from all of that.
In terms of a "first mainstream black candidate" I don't think it ever occured to anyone that it would REALLY be an African-American in the true sense of the term. So, it's sorta...bizarre.
QuikSand
01-31-2007, 12:29 PM
I do support his use of "blow dried" as a pejoratrive insult to phony politicians.
QuikSand
01-31-2007, 12:36 PM
One thing we know for certain is that longshots never come from way back in the polls to win elections.
I'm hardly going to argue that Biden is a likely nominee, but if he's going to win, it's got be by separating himself somehow. If he becomes the Democrats' perceived "straight shooter" who happens to have some experience on issues of importance... well, that seems to me to be a reasonable straw at which to grasp. What is a better option? Run as just one more candidate with the same list of tired ideas and Bush-bashing as the last guy and the next guy?
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 12:53 PM
I do support his use of "blow dried" as a pejorative insult to phony politicians.
You mean like this guy...
http://www.senate.gov/~foreign/Images/biden.gif
NoMyths
01-31-2007, 12:59 PM
Spinning that (in the middle of a bunch of attributes) into a "but he speaks so well!" comment seems a bit of a stretch.
As JPhillips pointed out, it's not spin -- that's the English definition. "Articulate" is merely the fancy (read: political) way of saying so. Biden simply said that this is the first African-American who has talked well, dressed well, seemed intelligent, and was good-looking...he just did so in more articulate language.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 01:02 PM
Biden simply said that this is the first African-American who has talked well, dressed well, seemed intelligent, and was good-looking...he just did so in more articulate language.
Before this ends up spinning even further into a racial spiral, didn't Biden say that this was the first A-A Presidential candidate with those qualities?
(Because if he actually said just the first A-A who was etc, etc. then you've got a helluva story on your hands here)
NoMyths
01-31-2007, 01:13 PM
Before this ends up spinning even further into a racial spiral, didn't Biden say that this was the first A-A Presidential candidate with those qualities?
(Because if he actually said just the first A-A who was etc, etc. then you've got a helluva story on your hands here)
Not according to the story copied in the first post, he didn't.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 01:23 PM
As JPhillips pointed out, it's not spin -- that's the English definition. "Articulate" is merely the fancy (read: political) way of saying so. Biden simply said that this is the first African-American who has talked well, dressed well, seemed intelligent, and was good-looking...he just did so in more articulate language.
You just seem to be taking that as way more of a backhanded compliment than I believe it was meant to be. Seriously, I think some people just want to be see offense in things. Clearly a president should be articulate (the current Bush notwithstanding), but call a black man articulate and all hell breaks loose. I also saw your later post answering Jon that his comments were of the first "African-American", not the first "African-American presidential candidate", when the "presidential candidate" was clearly implied since the whole interview was about presidential candidates. I clearly read his description of Obama way differently than you do.
albionmoonlight
01-31-2007, 01:25 PM
It was years ago, but I remember someone doing a study that showed that you could pretty much predict who was going to win the presidency by which of the two major candidates had the least negative campaigning done against them in their primary.
Now, I have no idea what article that was, whether it is still relevant, or what standards the guy used to determine "negative campaigning," but it is probably something about which both parties need to think.
For the first time in forever, both parties' nominations are wide open, with no sitting President or Vice-President running. It would seem that such an open field would encourage candidates to go negative early and often.
Hell, we still have almost two years until the election, and we are hearing the attacks start already.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 01:25 PM
Before this ends up spinning even further into a racial spiral, didn't Biden say that this was the first A-A Presidential candidate with those qualities?
(Because if he actually said just the first A-A who was etc, etc. then you've got a helluva story on your hands here)
Mr. Biden is equally skeptical—albeit in a slightly more backhanded way—about Mr. Obama. “I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy,” he said. “I mean, that’s a storybook, man.”
I don't know. The word mainstream doesn't strike me as a synonym with presidential candidate. It seems much more far reaching than that.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 01:26 PM
You just seem to be taking that as way more of a backhanded compliment than I believe it was meant to be. Seriously, I think some people just want to be see offense in things. Clearly a president should be articulate (the current Bush notwithstanding), but call a black man articulate and all hell breaks loose. I also saw your later post answering Jon that his comments were of the first "African-American", not the first "African-American presidential candidate", when the "presidential candidate" was clearly implied since the whole interview was about presidential candidates. I clearly read his description of Obama way differently than you do.
So you believe he chose the word "mainstream" to mean presidential candidate? Can I have some of what you're smoking.
Please. :)
BrianD
01-31-2007, 01:29 PM
I don't know. The word mainstream doesn't strike me as a synonym with presidential candidate. It seems much more far reaching than that.
Again, context counts. The whole discussion was about presidential candidates. Is Obama a fringe third-party candidate? No, he is a mainstream candidate...in one of the top two parties being talked about by the mainstream media as a real candidate.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 01:31 PM
Barring any unexpected revelations, the only candidates with a chance of winning the Democratic nomination are Hillary, Obama and maybe Edwards. I think Gore would also have a serious chance, but I don't think it's likely he's going to throw his hat into the ring.
Anyone else declaring for the Democratic nomination is doing so because they're either a) deluded b) running for VP or c) doing so to increase their speaking/book-deal money.
I don't believe that's true at all. Where was Kerry in '02? Or Bill Clinton in '90? It's still anybody's game.
John Galt
01-31-2007, 01:39 PM
I don't believe that's true at all. Where was Kerry in '02? Or Bill Clinton in '90? It's still anybody's game.
I agree with st. cronin, so everyone else MUST be wrong.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 01:40 PM
I agree with st. cronin, so everyone else MUST be wrong.
I couldn't disagree more.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 01:42 PM
Again, context counts. The whole discussion was about presidential candidates. Is Obama a fringe third-party candidate? No, he is a mainstream candidate...in one of the top two parties being talked about by the mainstream media as a real candidate.
So, Biden can't use english correctly and it's up to the end user to not once, but at least twice, come up with an alternate meaning to challenging words like "mainstream" and "articulate." Got it.
Look, I'm not calling the man racist but did he say something ridiculously stupid? Yes he did. Trying to mangle it to make him look good is pretty much a huge stretch.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 01:42 PM
I don't believe that's true at all. Where was Kerry in '02? Or Bill Clinton in '90? It's still anybody's game.
Completely different situations. Neither 2002 nor 1990 featured an early Democratic candidate with either the war chest & control of the national party (Hillary) or the star power (Obama) that you're seeing now.
Toddzilla
01-31-2007, 01:44 PM
One thing we know for certain is that longshots never come from way back in the polls to win elections.
I'm hardly going to argue that Biden is a likely nominee, but if he's going to win, it's got be by separating himself somehow. If he becomes the Democrats' perceived "straight shooter" who happens to have some experience on issues of importance... well, that seems to me to be a reasonable straw at which to grasp. What is a better option? Run as just one more candidate with the same list of tired ideas and Bush-bashing as the last guy and the next guy?
Wasn't Clinton an also-ran in the Democratic primaries, way way back in the polls? Granted, its not an election, but he turned it around in a big way.
Once the candidates are decided, can a longshot win an election? Ask George Allen and his 20+ point lead.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 01:45 PM
Completely different situations. Neither 2002 nor 1990 featured an early Democratic candidate with either the war chest & control of the national party (Hillary) or the star power (Obama) that you're seeing now.
But just the fact that there are two of them is bad news for both of them. If there was just one of them, I would be more inclined to agree with you. I think this is going to get very ugly, in an entertaining way, and all three of those top candidates could blow up.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 01:51 PM
But just the fact that there are two of them is bad news for both of them. If there was just one of them, I would be more inclined to agree with you. I think this is going to get very ugly, in an entertaining way, and all three of those top candidates could blow up.
That's why Joe should wait a bit. I think he'd be better served by Biden his time a while before making a move.
John Galt
01-31-2007, 01:53 PM
Completely different situations. Neither 2002 nor 1990 featured an early Democratic candidate with either the war chest & control of the national party (Hillary) or the star power (Obama) that you're seeing now.
If we could predict the future, it wouldn't be the future. Candidates peak too early, shoot themselves in the foot, or otherwise fall apart. In hindsight we can see why, but pretending that we saw it in the moment is an illusion.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 01:53 PM
Let me just add, that those three (four, actually) names are definitely the most likely candidates. But I think it's at best 50/50 that one of them is actually the nominee. There's too much time, too many things can go wrong.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 01:55 PM
So, Biden can't use english correctly and it's up to the end user to not once, but at least twice, come up with an alternate meaning to challenging words like "mainstream" and "articulate." Got it.
Look, I'm not calling the man racist but did he say something ridiculously stupid? Yes he did. Trying to mangle it to make him look good is pretty much a huge stretch.
I'm not trying to make the guy look good, and I'm not coming up with new meanings to mainstream and articulate. You are the one that chose to equate "mainstream" to "presidential candidate". I'm saying that he didn't include the words "presidential candidate" either explicitly or in code because he didn't have to. The whole conversation was about presidential candidates. You are taking a sound-bite and fitting your own context around it. I'm suggesting we fit the sound-bite into the original context.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 02:15 PM
But just the fact that there are two of them is bad news for both of them. If there was just one of them, I would be more inclined to agree with you. I think this is going to get very ugly, in an entertaining way, and all three of those top candidates could blow up.
Look, first of all, I said "barring unexpected revelations", so I understand the possibility that one of these candidates could blow up (i.e. Howard Dean). My point, however, is that the material advantages both Hillary and Obama have at this stage were not possessed by any Democratic candidates in 1990 or 2002.
If we could predict the future, it wouldn't be the future. Candidates peak too early, shoot themselves in the foot, or otherwise fall apart. In hindsight we can see why, but pretending that we saw it in the moment is an illusion.
In hindsight we can see why Clinton won the nomination before the 1992election, but that's not my point. My point was that in 1990 I remember thinking "these guys are all a bunch of losers, I don't think any of them can win." I also don't remember any real front-runners in 2002. Sure, Kerry had a lot of party organization backing, Dean had the grassroots, and Edwards was having some success with the middle ground, but I don't remember thinking of any of them as front-runners. In fact, I remember the consensus in 2002 being that if Gore joined the race, he'd wipe the floor with all of them.
So, again, my point is that the situation now is completely different to those two examples. Hillary and Obama are clearly front-runners, and possess current advantages that the other Democratic candidates simply don't have, and aren't likely to gain. Sure, either Hillary or Obama could implode, but if they don't, I don't see how anyone but either of the two of them wins this nomination.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 02:26 PM
I'm not trying to make the guy look good, and I'm not coming up with new meanings to mainstream and articulate. You are the one that chose to equate "mainstream" to "presidential candidate". I'm saying that he didn't include the words "presidential candidate" either explicitly or in code because he didn't have to. The whole conversation was about presidential candidates. You are taking a sound-bite and fitting your own context around it. I'm suggesting we fit the sound-bite into the original context.
Actually, I didn't equate "mainstream" to "presidential candidate." I twice denied that when someone says mainstream he means presidential candidate. Barring just forgetting the words he chose to use, then they have, oh, you know, meaning. What is the meaning of the word mainstream in this statement? Why was it used?
You say it doesn't matter. Since he was clearly talking about presidential candidates that the words he uses don't mean what they mean when speaking english otherwise. Even if he meant mainstream political candidates that are black he's just insulted Keyes, Jackson etc saying they do not possess the qualities of intelligence, articulation cleanliness, looks, etc.
Either way, it's a dumb thing to say.
John Galt
01-31-2007, 02:28 PM
flere, my point isn't that the other situations are similar. Rather, I'm saying front-runners have a way of disappearing in unpredictable ways in primary season. Little things (like Iowa and New Hampshire) can totally change the outcome. External events can also change the whole feel of an election (Bush I's unexpected collapse certainly changed the whole feel of the 92 election). And suddenly someone comes out of "nowhere" and wins the nomination. And then, in hindsight, we see why that person came out of "nowhere" and the flaws in the frontrunners that we ignored before. If Clinton's campaign implodes, for example, we might say her negative ratings were her undoing. If Obama meltsdown, may be we will chalk it up to inexperience and he will look like he never stood a chance in hindsight.
Knowing with any degree of certainty who the Democrat's 2008 nominee will be in January 2007 is hubris. Even limiting yourself to the options of Edwards, Obama, and Clinton seems foolish, IMO.
ISiddiqui
01-31-2007, 02:33 PM
Have to agree with John Galt. It is WAAAY too soon to be saying who are the only ones with a chance. You have to wait until at least the summer to get a decent picture, and even then, you have primary bumps and skeletons in the closet, etc.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 02:36 PM
You also have to look at other things Biden has said. For example this when asked why he could win southern primaries,
"my state was a slave state."
or this
"You cannot go to a 7-Eleven or a Dunkin' Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent."
Axxon
01-31-2007, 02:39 PM
"You cannot go to a 7-Eleven or a Dunkin' Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent."
Clearly he was talking here about a presidential candidate going into one of these places and by effecting a disguise accent you might be able to order a sugary pastry without being assailed by the public. Clearly a wise tip to dispense to his rivals.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 02:41 PM
flere, my point isn't that the other situations are similar. Rather, I'm saying front-runners have a way of disappearing in unpredictable ways in primary season.
Could you give some examples? I'm not trying to be difficult here, but I'm honestly trying to think of examples where a clear front-runner went into a primary season and didn't get the nomination, barring unforseen revelations or a "Dean-esque" meltdown.
Knowing with any degree of certainty who the Democrat's 2008 nominee will be in January 2007 is hubris. Even limiting yourself to the options of Edwards, Obama, and Clinton seems foolish, IMO.
I honestly think it's different this year. Barring unforseen revelations or a "Dean-esque" meltdown, I think one of those three is the nominee in 2007.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 02:46 PM
I honestly think it's different this year. Barring unforseen revelations or a "Dean-esque" meltdown, I think one of those three is the nominee in 2007.
Way, way too early for a prediction but my Nostradamus vision says that Edwards wins the nomination after cutting a deal to make Obama the vp and getting his support.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 03:10 PM
Actually, I didn't equate "mainstream" to "presidential candidate." I twice denied that when someone says mainstream he means presidential candidate. Barring just forgetting the words he chose to use, then they have, oh, you know, meaning. What is the meaning of the word mainstream in this statement? Why was it used?
Right, you twice denied the connection...which nobody made. What did he mean by mainstream? I don't know, why don't you read my post where I stated explicitly what I thought he meant. I'll even quote it so you don't have to scroll..."Again, context counts. The whole discussion was about presidential candidates. Is Obama a fringe third-party candidate? No, he is a mainstream candidate...in one of the top two parties being talked about by the mainstream media as a real candidate."
You say it doesn't matter. Since he was clearly talking about presidential candidates that the words he uses don't mean what they mean when speaking english otherwise. Even if he meant mainstream political candidates that are black he's just insulted Keyes, Jackson etc saying they do not possess the qualities of intelligence, articulation cleanliness, looks, etc.
Are you even trying to comprehend what I am saying, or are you just interested in picking a fight? Words have meaning, and context has meaning. You shouldn't need an explanation for that, but I'll give you one anyway. If I say you are "intelligent", does that tell you all you need to know without context? What if that statement was made in the context of MENSA candidates? Sounds like a compliment to me. What if the context was dog show contestants? Not such a compliment there. Hell, what if I was using sarcasm? Context matters.
As far as the insult to Keyes and Jackson, your argument has merit. But keep in mind that if I said Obama was different becase he had these (whatever these are) 6 qualities, that doesn't mean that everyone else lacks all 6, just that they don't have all 6.
Either way, it's a dumb thing to say.
So you don't agree that Obama is the first mainstream black candidate with lots of good qualities? Which part do you disagree with? The fact that he is mainstream (as he is being talked about in the mainstream media)? The fact that the word "candidate" wasn't used during a discussion about candidates? The fact that he is the "first" mainstream candidate (Keyes or Jackson deserving that title)? The fact that he posesses those qualities?
BrianD
01-31-2007, 03:14 PM
"my state was a slave state."
or this
"You cannot go to a 7-Eleven or a Dunkin' Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent."
Hard to imagine a context where these statements wouldn't look bad. The only thing that could have made these statements worse was if he actually called someone articulate *shudder*.
Edit: For the context-impared, only the second statement contained sarcasm. As an exercise to the reader, toggle the sarcasm-flag off and on for the two statements. Do they read differently?
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 03:14 PM
I don't believe that's true at all. Where was Kerry in '02? Or Bill Clinton in '90? It's still anybody's game.
The Dems had a very weak field of candidates in 1992. Cuomo didn't run. Gephardt didn't run. Gore didn't run. There was no one in the field that had the instant name recognition/financial edge of Hilary Clinton or the media hype of a Barack Obama. And Clinton wasn't invisible in 90. He was at least as well known as Vilsack. And Kerry (along with Edwards) was considered one of the early frontrunners in the Dem primary if Gore decided not to enter.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 03:19 PM
Brian: I don't want to pick a fight and I actually agree with you regarding "mainstream". However, if you want to look at context, you have to look at historical context as well. Using a word like "articulate" in describing why Obama as a serious challenge is offensive. Notice Biden doesn't single out Edwards or Clinton or Vilsack or anyone else. He only makes a point of calling the black candidate articulate. That's because he obviously finds it unique that this black man is so well spoken.
Biden's an ass and a gaffe prone ass at that. I don't think he's going to burn a cross in Obama's yard or anything, but he clearly sees black politicians as lesser than white politicians. Add to that his just downright stupid public comments and I'm embarrassed that he's a member of my party.
NoMyths
01-31-2007, 03:27 PM
Hard to imagine a context where these statements wouldn't look bad. The only thing that could have made these statements worse was if he actually called someone articulate *shudder*.
And if only there wasn't such a long and established history of such statements being directly tied to racist thought -- long enough that when I say he's trotting out the old "but he speaks so well!" chestnut, folks know what I'm talking about. It shouldn't be a surprise, to Mr. Biden or anyone, that an African-American can be articulate, handsome, bright, etc. And yet apparently in almost four-hundred years of Africans and their descendents being on this continent, Mr. Obama seems to be the first one to have all these qualities and pursue a political career with them.
I know you want to beat at the pinata of political correctness here, BrianD, but the man's statement is asinine. There have been plenty of men and women who have been candidates for political office both large and small. Because of men like Mr. Biden, this is the first year in which any of those men or women actually had an outside shot at being taken seriously by the political establishment...and heck, since Mr. Obama looks and talks so good, why, he's apparently transcended his race (which is in and of itself a relative term as it applies to Mr. Obama, and pretty much everyone else) enough to be a candidate, unlike every other African-American, none of which are articulate, pretty, and smart enough.
Or anyway, that's the literal interpretation of a dumb statement that he had no business making. He doesn't say a word about the man's political stance, experience, or qualifications (even to denigrate them). He talks about how he's pretty, smart, and talks good, which is apparently such a rare combination in African-Americans that Mr. Obama is the very first mainstream one to have them all.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 03:30 PM
In January 12, 2003 the Gallup poll said:
Lieberman 19%
Kerry 17%
Gephardt 13%
Edwards 12%
Graham 6%
Hart 6%
Sharpton 4%
Dean 4%
BrianD
01-31-2007, 03:37 PM
Brian: I don't want to pick a fight and I actually agree with you regarding "mainstream". However, if you want to look at context, you have to look at historical context as well. Using a word like "articulate" in describing why Obama as a serious challenge is offensive. Notice Biden doesn't single out Edwards or Clinton or Vilsack or anyone else. He only makes a point of calling the black candidate articulate. That's because he obviously finds it unique that this black man is so well spoken.
I agree that historical context is important, and I completely understand why "articulate" could be offensive. In fact, when I read the article I figured that someone was going to jump on the use of the word. Had that been the only compliment I would have seen it as offensive. In the middle of other character strengths listed, I no longer see the outrage. Biden listed a number of character strengts and then commented that he didn't know if Obama's Senate career has been long enough to allow him to win. What do people focus on? The word "articulate". Now I am willing to admit that I probably don't "feel" the proper historical outrage at the term, but I wonder if this is the kind of thing that can ever go from being a backhanded compliment to a real compliment?
Biden's an ass and a gaffe prone ass at that. I don't think he's going to burn a cross in Obama's yard or anything, but he clearly sees black politicians as lesser than white politicians. Add to that his just downright stupid public comments and I'm embarrassed that he's a member of my party.
I'm not particularly familiar with Biden's history or his personal faults. I have no interest in protecting him or standing up for him. My comments were just on the content of the article.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 03:54 PM
Or anyway, that's the literal interpretation of a dumb statement that he had no business making. He doesn't say a word about the man's political stance, experience, or qualifications (even to denigrate them). He talks about how he's pretty, smart, and talks good, which is apparently such a rare combination in African-Americans that Mr. Obama is the very first mainstream one to have them all.
But—and the “but” was clearly inevitable—he doubts whether American voters are going to elect “a one-term, a guy who has served for four years in the Senate,” and added: “I don’t recall hearing a word from Barack about a plan or a tactic.”
And for the record, Biden didn't write the article. I'm not willing to assume what he did or didn't say aside from what got quoted in the article.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:09 PM
I believe the front-runner for the Democratic nomination in 1990 was actually Paul Tsongas.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:09 PM
Knowing with any degree of certainty who the Democrat's 2008 nominee will be in January 2007 is hubris.
Somebody needs to re-read the Maximum Football thread.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 04:12 PM
I believe the front-runner for the Democratic nomination in 1990 was actually Paul Tsongas.
Well sure, if you don't count Cuomo who ended up not running. I can't find any 1990 polls at the moment. But let's say you are correct, it still doesn't prove your original point, unless you are arguing that Tsongas in 1990 was as strong and well known as Hilary, Obama, or Edwards are now. And that would be a pretty stupid argument.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 04:14 PM
I believe the front-runner for the Democratic nomination in 1990 was actually Paul Tsongas.
But I don't really remember him as much of a front-runner. Certainly not like Hillary or Obama today. Tom Harkin, after all, won the Iowa primary, and it was Clinton coming in 2nd to Tsongas in New Hampshire (neighboring Tsongas' home state) which gave Clinton the momentum.
By the way, you're not related to Paul Cronin, are you?
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:18 PM
Well sure, if you don't count Cuomo who ended up not running. I can't find any 1990 polls at the moment. But let's say you are correct, it still doesn't prove your original point, unless you are arguing that Tsongas in 1990 was as strong and well known as Hilary, Obama, or Edwards are now. And that would be a pretty stupid argument.
That isn't my argument at all. My argument is that if this is a football game, we aren't even at halftime yet. Sure, the front runners look strong, but anything can happen. The front-runners, except for perhaps Edwards, also have very significant weaknesses.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:19 PM
By the way, you're not related to Paul Cronin, are you?
I don't know. Who is he?
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 04:28 PM
I don't know. Who is he?
Paul Tsongas beat him in one of his senatorial elections. Came up when I was double-checking some facts on him on wikipedia.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:29 PM
Paul Tsongas beat him in one of his senatorial elections. Came up when I was double-checking some facts on him on wikipedia.
Well, if anybody on my father's side was ever involved in Democratic politics, he doesn't get mentioned, so it's possible. I never heard of him though.
;)
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 04:30 PM
That isn't my argument at all. My argument is that if this is a football game, we aren't even at halftime yet. Sure, the front runners look strong, but anything can happen. The front-runners, except for perhaps Edwards, also have very significant weaknesses.
But you used 1992 and 2004 as examples. Neither of those years was there any candidate that had the same kind of national name recognition or financial war chest of Hilary. And none of them had the star appeal of Obama. And that's because the star candidates in those years (Cuomo and Gore) decided not to run.
Yes, we might not be at halftime yet, but Hilary, Obama, and maybe Edwards are so far ahead of the field, it would be really difficult for anyone else to make a dent. I'm not saying it can't happen, but it would far more improbable than it was for Kerry or Clinton to win.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 04:32 PM
He was a Republican, actually: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_W._Cronin
And actually it looks like he lost a Congressional election to Tsongas.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 04:38 PM
It's like a marathon. We're at 13 miles. The leading pack consists of Hillary, Obama and Edwards, and they've got almost a 1 mile lead on the rest of the field.
Hillary's got about 100 yards on Obama and is looking strong, but it's suspected that she doesn't have enough in the tank to respond if Obama draws level with her. She is the pre-race favorite, though and has led from the start.
Obama was with the anonymous pack for the first 7 miles then put on a burst of speed to almost catch up to Hillary. He looks great, and his running is effortless at the moment, but he's still got a fair amount of ground to make up on Hillary.
Edwards trailed only Hillary out of the gate, and has recently been passed by Obama. He's struggling, and most pundits don't think he has the ability to catch up to either of them, though he's well-placed if either should falter.
...and to complete the analogy, Al Gore is actually still at the starting line, giving an interview, but we know he has a motorcycle he can use to catch up to the front-runners if he so wishes.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:40 PM
Don't think I'm related to him.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 04:42 PM
It's like a marathon. We're at 13 miles. The leading pack consists of Hillary, Obama and Edwards, and they've got almost a 1 mile lead on the rest of the field.
Hillary's got about 100 yards on Obama and is looking strong, but it's suspected that she doesn't have enough in the tank to respond if Obama draws level with her. She is the pre-race favorite, though and has led from the start.
Obama was with the anonymous pack for the first 7 miles then put on a burst of speed to almost catch up to Hillary. He looks great, and his running is effortless at the moment, but he's still got a fair amount of ground to make up on Hillary.
Edwards trailed only Hillary out of the gate, and has recently been passed by Obama. He's struggling, and most pundits don't think he has the ability to catch up to either of them, though he's well-placed if either should falter.
...and to complete the analogy, Al Gore is actually still at the starting line, giving an interview, but we know he has a motorcycle he can use to catch up to the front-runners if he so wishes.
And Joe Biden just got caught trying to pull a Rosie Ruiz, which he has been known to do before.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 04:42 PM
That's too bad. I was looking forward to taunting you with "Your X Lost To Tsongas" in future political arguments. Childish, sure, but then I'm a Democrat. Oh wait, wrong thread.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 04:43 PM
And Joe Biden just got caught trying to pull a Rosie Ruiz, which he has been known to do before.
Nah, Biden's stopped at a water table at about 11 miles telling anyone who will listen how he's going to win the race.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:43 PM
That's too bad. I was looking forward to taunting you with "Your X Lost To Tsongas" in future political arguments. Childish, sure, but then I'm a Democrat. Oh wait, wrong thread.
:D
Axxon
01-31-2007, 04:45 PM
So you don't agree that Obama is the first mainstream black candidate with lots of good qualities? Which part do you disagree with? The fact that he is mainstream (as he is being talked about in the mainstream media)? The fact that the word "candidate" wasn't used during a discussion about candidates? The fact that he is the "first" mainstream candidate (Keyes or Jackson deserving that title)? The fact that he posesses those qualities?
The fact that the word candidate was extraneous but "mainstream african american" had to be explicitely said. It's a stupid thing to say. That's it.
You can make the stretch to say what he meant to say and that's fine. I wasn't arguing that point. His words clearly leave an impression on enough people ( the writer of the article for one ) that it's politically a dumb thing.
Also, I'd say Jackson made quite a credible run at the democratic nomination so yeah, that's wrong too. He was easily a mainstream candidate at that point in time.
Now, you tell me, which of the fourdisqualified him. Is he unclean, stupid, ugly, or inarticulate?
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 04:47 PM
dola
I'm actually a great admirer of Paul Tsongas.
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 05:03 PM
Jackson came in 2nd in '88...before he was revealed as the huckster he is now. I think he probably just meant "this guy could actually win" referring to Obama.
But Colin Powell wasn't exactly a slouch back in the 90s when he decided against running. I dunno that he would've won, but...in retrospect, he might have put together a convincing campaign had he chose to enter the race.
So the comment was poorly timed and ill concieved. And reveals how out of touch the Democratic Party is with the base that seems to lock 'n step vote for them (black folks) no matter what sort of trash comes out of the mouth of party leaders, no matter what their race is, with some exceptions obviously. This isn't so much a big surprise, as much as it makes you wonder if people are really listening or if the mirage of an even more hostile GOP (whereas, I think they're somewhere between indifferent and lacking understanding..but would be receptive if more were at the table) keeps people so many voting Dem year after year.
And yes, I understand the history and trends. Just thinking out loud.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 05:09 PM
Jackson came in 2nd in '88...before he was revealed as the huckster he is now. I think he probably just meant "this guy could actually win" referring to Obama.
But Jackson had already damaged himself with the "Hymietown" remark in the 1984 primary. He made a great run in 1988, actually leading after the Michigan primary, but the 84 gaffe was going to doom him at some point. Even if he somehow won the nomination, it would have been a disastrous general election. In 1992 Jerry Brown seriously derailed his own campaign by announcing Jackson as his VP choice right before the NY primary.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 05:10 PM
He talks about how he's pretty, smart, and talks good, which is apparently such a rare combination in African-Americans that Mr. Obama is the very first mainstream one to have them all.
Umm ... he pretty much is the first black Presidential candidate to get far enough to be considered "mainstream". He is, unlike Jackson and Keyes before him, probably a legitimate contender for his party's nomination and perhaps even for the office itself.
And that is indeed pretty rare, even rarer than a black football coach reaching the Super Bowl.
Easy Mac
01-31-2007, 05:11 PM
Umm ... he pretty much is the first black Presidential candidate to get far enough to be considered "mainstream". He is, unlike Jackson and Keyes before him, probably a legitimate contender for his party's nomination.
And that is indeed pretty rare, even rarer than a black football coach reaching the Super Bowl.
So which black Republican will seriously run? And assuming Obama = Lovie Smith (Illinois), who will be his Rex Grossman (his seriously untalented white boy who he stands by).
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 05:17 PM
CONDI!!!!
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 05:18 PM
I think that -- just like football coaches -- the issue here isn't that black folks weren't articulate or clean-cut before. It's the fact that Americans had all sorts of goofy ideas about what blacks can and cannot do, so...they remained hesitant.
Just like NFL owners hiring black coaches or having black quarterbacks lead their franchises.
So this issue isn't about being good enough, it's about a populace being able to look past its own ignorance.
And Obama is more of an anomly just given his interesting background and how the "mainstream" (e.g. white people) can relate to that, as opposed if he was Barack Obama from Newark or Compton or something.
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 05:18 PM
CONDI!!!!
That wouldn't end well. :)
Young Drachma
01-31-2007, 05:21 PM
So which black Republican will seriously run? And assuming Obama = Lovie Smith (Illinois), who will be his Rex Grossman (his seriously untalented white boy who he stands by).
J.C. Watts could probably pass a decent VP candidate for somebody, if you wanted to play the Illinois Senate race of "match our black candidates" game. Not that he's not servicable otherwise, but he's been out of the game for a while and seems more content to just make money from the lobbying side of the house.
I'm still not convinced Obama will win the Democratic nomination. And no way if Hillary wins that she chooses him as her VP.
The GOP can't seem to get blacks elected to Congress these days, let alone the White House. I think if the black vote was a priority for the party or if there was ever an inclination to make it a priority, there would need to be a lot of grassroots changes in approach and such alike. They've blown majority opportunities in recent years -- especially back in 02 and 04 -- to capture winnable districts, because they fail to raise money for these candidates the same way they do for others.
The national party seems to think that if you put a black face out there, that's enough. And it's not. It has to be a combination of big ideas and grassroots communicaton, especially if you're talking about a candidate in a district that has a substantial black population or in the case of a Senate candidate like Michael Steele.
I think this past year's black candidates just picked a bad year to show up on the scene en masse, more than anything. But again, I blame the party for that and figure it's a lot like hiring black coaches to coach the Bengals, but not some flagship franchise until they can "prove" themselves. Politics is obviously a little different for other dynamic reasons, too.
In other words, I wouldn't hold my breath. Save for a Barack-like ascent of some sort of "clean, articulate, good-smelling" black hope to appear on the GOP scene speaking the language of God, Guns and Country.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 05:23 PM
So which black Republican will seriously run?
I don't see one on the horizon anytime soon.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 05:47 PM
The fact that the word candidate was extraneous but "mainstream african american" had to be explicitely said. It's a stupid thing to say. That's it.
You can make the stretch to say what he meant to say and that's fine. I wasn't arguing that point. His words clearly leave an impression on enough people ( the writer of the article for one ) that it's politically a dumb thing.
You do realize that it was a conversation about politics, and specifically presidential candidates, right?
Now, you tell me, which of the fourdisqualified him (Jackson). Is he unclean, stupid, ugly, or inarticulate?
Personally I would have picked "mainstream" as the disqualifier in that statement.
Look, I understand you took offense to the statement, and that is really all that matters. If it was offensive to you it was probably offensive to others. I suppose I shouldn't belittle that just because I didn't feel the same offense. Of course you know that race will come up often in this political race, and not everything that could be taken the wrong way should be.
BrianD
01-31-2007, 05:50 PM
Umm ... he pretty much is the first black Presidential candidate to get far enough to be considered "mainstream". He is, unlike Jackson and Keyes before him, probably a legitimate contender for his party's nomination and perhaps even for the office itself.
And that is indeed pretty rare, even rarer than a black football coach reaching the Super Bowl.
I was going to make the same point, but it seemed like it might work better coming from someone else.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 05:55 PM
Of course you know that race will come up often in this political race ...
Gee, ya think?
But absent that issue, are we even talking about a candidate that has so little experience? Or more to the point, is he even a candidate if he's white?
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 06:16 PM
Gee, ya think?
But absent that issue, are we even talking about a candidate that has so little experience? Or more to the point, is he even a candidate if he's white?
Since when has experience mattered? Did Bush have more experience than Gore? Clinton have mroe experience than Bush? Carter have more experience than Ford?
Barack has been a US Senator for 2 years and was in the state senate 6 years before that. Edwards was a Senator for 4 years when he first ran.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 06:21 PM
You do realize that it was a conversation about politics, and specifically presidential candidates, right?
Personally I would have picked "mainstream" as the disqualifier in that statement.
Look, I understand you took offense to the statement, and that is really all that matters. If it was offensive to you it was probably offensive to others. I suppose I shouldn't belittle that just because I didn't feel the same offense. Of course you know that race will come up often in this political race, and not everything that could be taken the wrong way should be.
Dude pulls second in the democratic primary and you don't call that mainstream? Hmm.
I actually wasn't offended by the words, frankly. I do think the words have the power to offend and if someone who doesn't offend by mere words like this finds the wording peculiar you can be certain that others are going to use this against him. That's why it's stupid.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 06:22 PM
Since when has experience mattered? Did Bush have more experience than Gore? Clinton have mroe experience than Bush? Carter have more experience than Ford?
Barack has been a US Senator for 2 years and was in the state senate 6 years before that. Edwards was a Senator for 4 years when he first ran.
Actually, we tend to elect governors more than senators for what it's worth.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 06:23 PM
Outside of McCain, where's the experience for any of the top tier candidates on either side? And remember, experience, policies et al. don't matter much. The presidential election is all about likability. That's why Obama is a real contender.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 06:24 PM
Actually, we tend to elect governors more than senators for what it's worth.
I know that, but I was just responding to Jon's question on experience. Edwards was a white candidate with not much more Senate experience, and less overall experience.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 06:25 PM
Look, I understand you took offense to the statement, and that is really all that matters.
I was going to say something to the effect that if that is the understanding you got from my written word then that doesn't speak highly of your ability to understand what Biden said when you see it written but I didn't. Now I'm strictly stating it as a joke. ;)
I'm outta here. Home beckons. My workday is done. Have fun discussing this.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 06:26 PM
I'm not sure what people mean when they say "experience." If we are talking about Obama's experience in matters of foreign policy and areas that the President needs to be expert and skilled on, I'm not convinced that makes a difference in his ability to convince people to vote for him, and it wouldn't mean much to me personally.
If by "experience" we mean instead experience running a national campaign, that speaks more to his electability, and Obama's lack of experience there would worry me - not in terms of would I vote for him, but in terms of would I bet money on this guy winning the nomination. Clinton (especially) and Edwards have quite a bit more "experience" there, and I do think that's important.
Axxon
01-31-2007, 06:27 PM
I know that, but I was just responding to Jon's question on experience. Edwards was a white candidate with not much more Senate experience, and less overall experience.
Edwards was a southern candidate used to try and counter the republican stronghold on the region. That was why he was chosen and he really hadn't gotten very far in his own campaign.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 06:27 PM
Dude pulls second in the democratic primary and you don't call that mainstream? Hmm.
No, I wouldn't.
Me & you had as good a chance of being President as Jesse Jackson had.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 06:28 PM
If by "experience" we mean instead experience running a national campaign, that speaks more to his electability, and Obama's lack of experience there would worry me - not in terms of would I vote for him, but in terms of would I bet money on this guy winning the nomination. Clinton (especially) and Edwards have quite a bit more "experience" there, and I do think that's important.
Ooh, insightful post for st.cronin. Nicely done.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 06:30 PM
No, I wouldn't.
Me & you had as good a chance of being President as Jesse Jackson had.
I actually agree with Jon here, for reasons that I stated earlier in this thread. There was no way that Jesse "Hymietown" Jackson was mainstream or had a remote chance of winning the Presidency.
larrymcg421
01-31-2007, 06:32 PM
Edwards was a southern candidate used to try and counter the republican stronghold on the region. That was why he was chosen and he really hadn't gotten very far in his own campaign.
But Jon asked if we would even be talking about a white candidate who had so little experience. People were definitely talking about Edwards.
JPhillips
01-31-2007, 06:32 PM
Obama can neutralize a lot of that because he's been campaigning for over a year already. He's a natural on the stump and very telegenic. His money operation is better than I expected and he quickly bagged some of Kerry's money men less than 24 hours after Kerry declined to run.
Where Obama is untested is crisis management. Every campaign has something major to contend with and I don't know how he'll handle a scandal.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 06:32 PM
But absent that issue, are we even talking about a candidate that has so little experience? Or more to the point, is he even a candidate if he's white?
George W. Bush: 6 years Governor of Texas
Bill Clinton: 12 years Governor of Arkansas
George H.W. Bush: 4 years U.S. Congress, 8 years Vice President
Ronald Reagan: 8 years Governor of California
Jimmy Carter: 2 terms State Senator, 6 years Governor of Georgia
Richard Nixon: 4 years U.S. Congress, 2 years U.S. Senate, 8 years Vice President
Lyndon Johnson: 4 years U.S. Congress, 12 years U.S. Senate, 2 years Vice President
John F. Kennedy: 6 years U.S. Congress, 8 years U.S. Senate
Dwight Eisenhower: no formal political experience
Previous to Eisenhower (arguably), I don't know how relevant prior experience is, so I'll stop there. Draw your own conclusions, I guess.
st.cronin
01-31-2007, 06:35 PM
GW Bush probably was comparable to Obama in terms of experience campaigning on the national level, but he had some advantages that Obama does not have.
flere-imsaho
01-31-2007, 06:39 PM
If by "experience" we mean instead experience running a national campaign, that speaks more to his electability, and Obama's lack of experience there would worry me - not in terms of would I vote for him, but in terms of would I bet money on this guy winning the nomination. Clinton (especially) and Edwards have quite a bit more "experience" there, and I do think that's important.
His campaign for the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate seat he now holds was pretty tough. He definitely only had an outside chance when the campaign began, as he was up against candidates with more campaigning experience, money, and establishment ties. I know it's not the same as a Presidential campaign, but Illinois politics, especially Democratic politics, are pretty brutal, so I'd say he's definitely not a neophyte.
This is often overshadowed by the cakewalk he had in the election against the two Republican candidates, the first of whom imploded and the second of whom was Alan Keyes.
JonInMiddleGA
01-31-2007, 06:39 PM
George W. Bush: 6 years Governor of Texas
Bill Clinton: 12 years Governor of Arkansas
George H.W. Bush: 4 years U.S. Congress, 8 years Vice President
Ronald Reagan: 8 years Governor of California
Jimmy Carter: 2 terms State Senator, 6 years Governor of Georgia
Richard Nixon: 4 years U.S. Congress, 2 years U.S. Senate, 8 years Vice President
Lyndon Johnson: 4 years U.S. Congress, 12 years U.S. Senate, 2 years Vice President
John F. Kennedy: 6 years U.S. Congress, 8 years U.S. Senate
Dwight Eisenhower: no formal political experience
Previous to Eisenhower (arguably), I don't know how relevant prior experience is, so I'll stop there. Draw your own conclusions, I guess.
Obama - 3 years in the US Senate & 1 1/2 terms in the state Senate.
I think you have to throw Eisenhower out due to other circumstances, but Carter I'll agree is a good counterpoint. Then again, how seriously was Carter's candidacy being taken at this stage of the campaign? (The answer would be "not at all").
Toddzilla
01-31-2007, 11:13 PM
GW Bush probably was comparable to Obama in terms of experience campaigning on the national level, but he had some advantages that Obama does not have.Bring back "Understatement of the Century"
flere-imsaho
05-19-2009, 01:08 PM
So, I originally re-found this thread while looking to see if MBBF was always as interested in fair and balanced political views as he claims to be now.
As a Republican, I personally hope he stays in the race and trashes all the other Democratic candidates.
But then I found this:
Barring any unexpected revelations, the only candidates with a chance of winning the Democratic nomination are Hillary, Obama and maybe Edwards. I think Gore would also have a serious chance, but I don't think it's likely he's going to throw his hat into the ring.
Anyone else declaring for the Democratic nomination is doing so because they're either a) deluded b) running for VP or c) doing so to increase their speaking/book-deal money.
BASK IN MY AWESOMENESS PEOPLE!!!!! :D
Knowing with any degree of certainty who the Democrat's 2008 nominee will be in January 2007 is hubris. Even limiting yourself to the options of Edwards, Obama, and Clinton seems foolish, IMO.
Have to agree with John Galt. It is WAAAY too soon to be saying who are the only ones with a chance. You have to wait until at least the summer to get a decent picture, and even then, you have primary bumps and skeletons in the closet, etc.
Again, the awesomeness, bask in it plzkthx.... :D
gstelmack
05-19-2009, 01:13 PM
:cool:
(but this really needs a CougPic)
Mizzou B-ball fan
05-19-2009, 01:31 PM
It must be exhausting to be right all the time. :D
Though it should be noted that the posts that flere linked have little to do with my actual feelings after the last year of Bush where he suddenly decided to sign everything thrown in front of him. You'll note that I even called myself a Republican in that post. There's no way I'm even close to being a 'Republican' now.
I'm actually glad you posted that stuff. I'm really surprised at how much my view of Republicans has changed in a relatively short period of time.
It should be noted that my view of Biden as noted in the subject has changed very little.
flere-imsaho
05-19-2009, 01:38 PM
It must be exhausting to be right all the time. :D
It's just a burden I have to bear.
Mizzou B-ball fan
05-19-2009, 01:39 PM
It's just a burden I have to bear.
You bear it well.
flere-imsaho
05-19-2009, 01:44 PM
Thank you, just my small contribution to the well-being of all humanity.
albionmoonlight
05-19-2009, 01:50 PM
It was years ago, but I remember someone doing a study that showed that you could pretty much predict who was going to win the presidency by which of the two major candidates had the least negative campaigning done against them in their primary.
Now, I have no idea what article that was, whether it is still relevant, or what standards the guy used to determine "negative campaigning," but it is probably something about which both parties need to think.
For the first time in forever, both parties' nominations are wide open, with no sitting President or Vice-President running. It would seem that such an open field would encourage candidates to go negative early and often.
Hell, we still have almost two years until the election, and we are hearing the attacks start already.
I think that it is safe to say that Obama had a lot more dirt thrown on him in the Primary than McCain. And Obama won. So, I swung and missed on that one.
flere-imsaho
05-19-2009, 01:56 PM
I can't see how such a study would draw any meaningful conclusions given the very small sample size (44 Presidents, even less in the "modern" era, even less where neither was an incumbent or a sitting VP).
Now, I could see such a study if it had been applied to Congressional seats with no incumbents.
molson
05-19-2009, 02:12 PM
I think that it is safe to say that Obama had a lot more dirt thrown on him in the Primary than McCain. And Obama won. So, I swung and missed on that one.
I think you were right in that it depends what is considered "negative campagining". Does comparing McCain to Bush count?
Kodos
05-19-2009, 02:20 PM
I don't think that hurt Bush Jr.
molson
05-19-2009, 02:28 PM
I don't think that hurt Bush Jr.
Being compared to GWB is more "negative" than being compared to GHWB.
Though I don't remember the latter being a huge part of Gore or Kerry's campaign. I do remember that "McCain voted with Bush 95% of the time", since I heard that message 100 billion times.
larrymcg421
05-19-2009, 02:35 PM
That was actually a McCain quote that they used against him. He proclaimed the 90% statistic himself during the primaries.
molson
05-19-2009, 02:42 PM
That was actually a McCain quote that they used against him. He proclaimed the 90% statistic himself during the primaries.
Sure, but it was still used against him in a "negative" way. Is using a candidate's own words against him not "negative campagining"? I would think that kind of stuff would make-up a good deal of the category of negative campagining, taking stuff out of context (like with Obama's comments about spreading the wealth around, loyalty to the black masses, etc.)
stevew
05-19-2009, 04:26 PM
I thought this was going to be about Biden's comments on swine flu(which I actually think were technically correct, but not his place to cause panic), or (supposedly) revealing the location of an underground bunker.
He's funny.
M GO BLUE!!!
05-19-2009, 07:54 PM
Seriously, the White House needs to hire me to write better excuses for everybody...
Did the VP reveal the location of the VP's secret underground bunker?
Their excuse: "What he meant was the upstairs guest room."
Mine: "Of course there is a safe location in the VP residence, as there is for all major government officials. In this day, if we did not have such secure precautions we would be foolish. As to whether there is a 'secret bunker' that VP Cheney spent time in you should really ask him as we weren't aware of his exact movements. If, God forbid, it is at some point necessary to secure VP Biden he will be secure no matter the location, whether it be in his official residence, where VP Cheney spent time, or another location."
fantom1979
05-19-2009, 08:12 PM
I like Biden, he provides that sidekick factor that every administration should have. I don't think there has been someone like him in the VP office since Quayle.
"The holocaust was an obscene period in our nation's history.… No, not our nation's, but in World War II. I mean, we all lived in this century. I didn't live in this century, but in this century's history."
SFL Cat
05-19-2009, 08:18 PM
The scary thing is, he's next in line if anything happens to Obama. Talk about a tool...
stevew
05-19-2009, 08:22 PM
Please. He would at least be qualified to be president.
RainMaker
05-19-2009, 08:28 PM
I think that it is safe to say that Obama had a lot more dirt thrown on him in the Primary than McCain. And Obama won. So, I swung and missed on that one.
But was it bad dirt? The dirt thrown on him in the primary from what I gathered was just Reverand Wright. No one really gave a shit about that (or those that did weren't voting for Obama anyway). McCain was blasted by conservatives non-stop during the primary.
I think Obama got by fairly clean in the primary and general election. One of the biggest criticism levied against him was inexperience which actually seemed to play in his favor a bit. I just thought Hilary and McCain ran stupid campaigns. Obama was beatable.
SFL Cat
05-19-2009, 08:57 PM
Please. He would at least be qualified to be president.
Define qualified...
flere-imsaho
05-19-2009, 09:35 PM
Define qualified...
What's the point? You don't even think Obama is qualified to be President.
ISiddiqui
05-19-2009, 09:36 PM
Bah... if you seriously want to impress me, pick the front runners for the Republican nomination in 2012. Go!
SFL Cat
05-19-2009, 09:49 PM
What's the point? You don't even think Obama is qualified to be President.
True.
fantom1979
05-19-2009, 11:25 PM
Bah... if you seriously want to impress me, pick the front runners for the Republican nomination in 2012. Go!
Right now I would say the potential players are Huckabee, Romney, Palin, Gingrich, Paul, Jindal, Sanford, and Thompson.
I would guess that the 3 left standing come Super Tuesday are Jindal, Gingrich, and Palin.
I predict Newt Gingrich as the Republican Nominee.
3 years from now, I will pull up this post and realize how dumb I am.
flere-imsaho
05-20-2009, 08:39 AM
I would be very, very surprised if it's Gingrich.
Mizzou B-ball fan
07-16-2009, 06:46 PM
The man's genius knows no bounds. The sad part is that much of this administration likely agrees with him judging from what they've proposed.
"‘We Have to Go Spend Money to Keep From Going Bankrupt’"
http://www.cnsnews.com/public/content/article.aspx?RsrcID=51162
molson
07-16-2009, 06:52 PM
Economic Fear-Mongering.
No different than the Bush administration's national security fear-mongering (except in terms of which one different political affiliations have a problem with).
SirFozzie
07-16-2009, 06:53 PM
The man's genius knows no bounds. The sad part is that much of this administration likely agrees with him judging from what they've proposed.
"‘We Have to Go Spend Money to Keep From Going Bankrupt’"
http://www.cnsnews.com/public/content/article.aspx?RsrcID=51162
"If we don't spend money, the terrorists will have won"
To pretend only one side pushes the Capitalism button is beneath you, MBBF.
Glengoyne
07-16-2009, 09:22 PM
I would be very, very surprised if it's Gingrich.
I don't think it will be Gingrich either. Largely because he was demonized so much in the past.
I actually have a lot of respect for the man. I'd like him to be more moderate, but he isn't afraid of reform. The contract with America was the real deal. It took Delay, Hastert, and company many years to overturn all of the reforms Newt Championed and established.
Mizzou B-ball fan
07-17-2009, 07:13 AM
"If we don't spend money, the terrorists will have won"
To pretend only one side pushes the Capitalism button is beneath you, MBBF.
So there were two responses to the article posting, with both noting that 'Bush did it too'? Seriously? You know that the situation is relatively dire when a counter argument is that he's no worse than the Bush administration. That's a scary proposition and makes me more, rather than less worried about the comment. Good to see most are at least aware now that we've basically replaced one form of idiot with another form of idion.
Ronnie Dobbs2
07-17-2009, 07:27 AM
MBBF, you must be new to arguing about politics.
Mizzou B-ball fan
07-17-2009, 07:36 AM
MBBF, you must be new to arguing about politics.
So do you agree with Biden's comments?
Ronnie Dobbs2
07-17-2009, 07:37 AM
No, I agree that most people don't really care about the policies involved, they just want to root for their side.
ThunderingHERD
07-17-2009, 07:37 AM
I'm confused about what you think is "idiotic" in this article. Is it the quote you pulled, "We Have to Go Spend Money to Keep From Going Bankrupt"? Because that sounds like pretty standard "it takes money to make money" talk, and is not nearly as controversial or contradictory as you seem to think.
Mizzou B-ball fan
07-17-2009, 07:44 AM
I'm confused about what you think is "idiotic" in this article. Is it the quote you pulled, "We Have to Go Spend Money to Keep From Going Bankrupt"? Because that sounds like pretty standard "it take money to make money" talk, and is not nearly as controversial as you seem to think.
IMO, there's a big difference between saying "We have to spend money to make money" and "We have to spend money to keep from going bankrupt". Also, comparing the private business theory of buiding a business to make a profit to the reckless spending of our government is shaky ground at best.
Mizzou B-ball fan
07-17-2009, 07:48 AM
No, I agree that most people don't really care about the policies involved, they just want to root for their side.
Agreed, which is why I pointed out how silly it is to justify the actions of one administration by saying another below average administration did the same thing.
ThunderingHERD
07-17-2009, 07:53 AM
IMO, there's a big difference between saying "We have to spend money to make money" and "We have to spend money to keep from going bankrupt".
Not if you're losing money.
So the government doesn't have to spend any money? We could just cut our expenses down to 0 tomorrow? This statement is not contradictory, despite what a grade-school level parse of it may indicate. It's another gotcha quote that appeals to willful ignorance and preconceptions, much like "I voted for it before I voted against it," Rumsfeld's "known unknowns" line (I picked one from both sides!), and dozens of other non-issues.
Mizzou B-ball fan
07-17-2009, 08:03 AM
Not if you're losing money.
So the government doesn't have to spend any money? We could just cut our expenses down to 0 tomorrow? This statement is not contradictory, despite what a grade-school level parse of it may indicate. It's another gotcha quote that appeals to willful ignorance and preconceptions, much like "I voted for it before I voted against it," Rumsfeld's "known unknowns" line (I picked one from both sides!), and dozens of other non-issues.
Fair enough. You and I have a major difference concerning the wasteful nature of our government. The obvious point is that much of this reckless spending appears to be doomed to fail in Congress, which is saying something given that the Democrats have a large majority in both houses. Common sense will apparantly triumph over the need to fulfill an ill-conceived campaign promise.
ThunderingHERD
07-17-2009, 08:08 AM
You and I have a major difference concerning the wasteful nature of our government.
Do we? I'm just here to defend the logical consistency of one particular statement, since that's what seemed to be at issue. I'm not particularly interested in arguing the specifics of what the government should or should not be spending money on.
Mizzou B-ball fan
04-13-2011, 07:37 PM
Been awhile on this thread, but probably worthy of a revival after today's incident........
<script type="text/javascript" src="http://video.foxnews.com/v/embed.js?id=4642947&w=466&h=263"></script><noscript>Watch the latest video at <a href="http://video.foxnews.com">video.foxnews.com</a></noscript>
Amusing part is that the lady in the background also appears to be nodding off early in the clip.
M GO BLUE!!!
04-13-2011, 08:00 PM
It's called "concentrating really, really, really hard." ;)
sterlingice
04-13-2011, 09:56 PM
Lots of deliberation to get to that point 4 years after the original was posted? ;)
SI
M GO BLUE!!!
04-14-2011, 07:43 AM
Perhaps he should have done something socially acceptable to the right-wing. Like shoot somebody.
Mizzou B-ball fan
04-14-2011, 07:45 AM
Perhaps he should have done something socially acceptable to the right-wing. Like shoot somebody.
Going to be awfully hard to hit a target with your eyes closed.
Blackadar
04-14-2011, 11:14 AM
Going to be awfully hard to hit a target with your eyes closed.
It worked for Cheney.
Rizon
04-14-2011, 11:59 AM
In other surprising news: Lance Bass is gay.
fantom1979
04-15-2011, 08:40 AM
Is it just me, or does Timothy Geithner blink a lot?
panerd
04-15-2011, 09:31 AM
Is it just me, or does Timothy Geithner blink a lot?
Nonverbal Signs of Lying - Truth About Deception (http://www.truthaboutdeception.com/lying-and-deception/detecting-deception/nonverbal-cues.html)
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