View Full Version : Looking for defensive gameplan stats
ddrrbb
07-10-2007, 07:05 PM
Maybe someone out there knows the answer, but I'm looking for the most common defensive situations. By this I mean, 1st and 10 is the most common I would assume, then maybe 2nd and 6-7, 3rd and short. Well, whatever it may be. I'm just trying to make a personalized gameplan, but am overwhelmed by the all the possibilities on the Defensive Plan grid. I tried eliminating Agg Run and Agg Pass completely, but I'm getting bad results.
Ideally, I would like to just have AI recommend a plan, and then have 5 or 6 "core" situations that I can tweak and play around with and see how the changes affect season sim results, etc.
If anyone has some info or stats, let me know.
db
primelord
07-11-2007, 11:01 AM
This is from a sample of 80,000 run and pass plays. I obviously ignored kicking plays since they don't apply to your game plan question.
<table align="center" border="1"><tbody><tr><td>Distance</td><td>First Down</td><td>Second Down</td><td>Third Down</td><td>Fourth Down</td></tr><tr><td>1 yard to go</td><td>0.3%</td><td>1.3%</td><td>1.5%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>2 yards to go</td><td>0.2%</td><td>1.5%</td><td>1.7%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>3 yards to go</td><td>0.2%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>1.7%</td><td>0.0%</td></tr><tr><td>4-5 yards to go</td><td>1.0%</td><td>4.3%</td><td>3.4%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>6-7 yards to go</td><td>0.5%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>3.3%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>8-10 yards to go</td><td>40.2%</td><td>13.5%</td><td>5.5%</td><td>0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>11-16 yards to go</td><td>1.4%</td><td>4.5%</td><td>3.0%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>17+ yards to go</td><td>0.9%</td><td>1.4%</td><td>1.1%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr></tbody></table>
Subby
07-11-2007, 12:03 PM
81% of plays happen in just 9 situations - very interesting.
Obviously, the play type break down would also be useful there, StatBoy ;)
primelord
07-11-2007, 01:26 PM
81% of plays happen in just 9 situations - very interesting.
Obviously, the play type break down would also be useful there, StatBoy ;)
Only because I heart you. For the record this is all MP data so this does not accurately refelect what the AI does on average. Because of slightly different rounding when the splits were done the percentages equal 100.2%. I don;t feel like breaking it out to 2 decimal places so you will just have to live with it. :)
<table border="1"><tbody><tr><td rowspan="2">Distance</td><td colspan="2">First Down</td><td colspan="2">Second Down</td><td colspan="2">Third Down</td><td colspan="2">Fourth Down</td></tr><tr><td>Run</td><td>Pass</td><td>Run</td><td>Pass</td><td>Run</td><td>Pass</td><td>Run</td><td>Pass</td></tr><tr><td>1 yard to go</td><td>0.2%</td><td>0.1%</td><td>0.8%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1.0%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>0.05%</td><td>0.05%</td></tr><tr><td>2 yards to go</td><td>0.2%</td><td>0.1%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>3 yards to go</td><td>0.1%</td><td>0.1%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1.2%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.0%</td></tr><tr><td>4-5 yards to go</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.4%</td><td>2.2%</td><td>2.1%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>2.7%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>6-7 yards to go</td><td>0.3%</td><td>0.2%</td><td>2.4%</td><td>2.7%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>2.7%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>8-10 yards to go</td><td>19.5%</td><td>20.8%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>8.2%</td><td>0.8%</td><td>4.7%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.3%</td></tr><tr><td>11-16 yards to go</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.8%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>3.0%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>2.6%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr><tr><td>17+ yards to go</td><td>0.3%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.4%</td><td>1.0%</td><td>0.2%</td><td>0.9%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>0.1%</td></tr></tbody></table>
ddrrbb
07-11-2007, 05:36 PM
Thanks primelord, that is exactly what I was looking for. Regardless of MP or not, it's a large sample and shows pretty much where I should concentrate my gameplanning efforts. Much appreciated.
Now I just have to make use of the info......
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