SackAttack
03-13-2008, 01:49 AM
Just an idle poll here. I don't post very many of these, so it might even be my first. How exciting!
I don't know what effect, if any, Florida and Michigan will ultimately have on who the Democrats nominate for President. I'm curious, though, what the long-term ramifications are going to be.
Way I see it (and here comes the wordy version of the poll choices), that there are four possible outcomes.
1) The Florida and Michigan delegations somehow get seated, either exactly as they are, or via some kind of "re-vote." They learn their lesson (and other states learn from their example), and a semblance of sanity prevails in 2012.
2) The delegates are seated in one fashion or another, and chaos reigns in 2012 as the big states openly thumb their nose at the process, seeking "bellwether" status knowing that there will be no repercussions to speak of.
3) The delegates are NOT seated. The DNC reacts not with an attitude of "Obey the rules next time," but instead seeks to reform the process. This results either in eased restrictions on who can vote when, or in regional super-primaries: the West, Midwest, South and Northeast each hold their primaries as a bloc, so that the impact is more regional, rather than state-specific. There is no race to be "first," because every state in a region votes on the same day.
Because there are only four total primaries, you get them spread out. February, March, April and May, or else MAM&June. That allows the candidates to spend time within a specific region, rather than hopping from West Virginia to Washington State to Kentucky in the span of a week (this actually happens May 13-20).
4) The delegates are NOT seated. The DNC holds firm to the rules as agreed to by the candidates. They adhere to that system in 2012, and this time all 50 states play ball.
Those are my thoughts. I guess I'll add a fifth option for "something completely different," although I confess I can't think of what that might be.
Poll will be appended momentarily.
I don't know what effect, if any, Florida and Michigan will ultimately have on who the Democrats nominate for President. I'm curious, though, what the long-term ramifications are going to be.
Way I see it (and here comes the wordy version of the poll choices), that there are four possible outcomes.
1) The Florida and Michigan delegations somehow get seated, either exactly as they are, or via some kind of "re-vote." They learn their lesson (and other states learn from their example), and a semblance of sanity prevails in 2012.
2) The delegates are seated in one fashion or another, and chaos reigns in 2012 as the big states openly thumb their nose at the process, seeking "bellwether" status knowing that there will be no repercussions to speak of.
3) The delegates are NOT seated. The DNC reacts not with an attitude of "Obey the rules next time," but instead seeks to reform the process. This results either in eased restrictions on who can vote when, or in regional super-primaries: the West, Midwest, South and Northeast each hold their primaries as a bloc, so that the impact is more regional, rather than state-specific. There is no race to be "first," because every state in a region votes on the same day.
Because there are only four total primaries, you get them spread out. February, March, April and May, or else MAM&June. That allows the candidates to spend time within a specific region, rather than hopping from West Virginia to Washington State to Kentucky in the span of a week (this actually happens May 13-20).
4) The delegates are NOT seated. The DNC holds firm to the rules as agreed to by the candidates. They adhere to that system in 2012, and this time all 50 states play ball.
Those are my thoughts. I guess I'll add a fifth option for "something completely different," although I confess I can't think of what that might be.
Poll will be appended momentarily.