QuikSand
02-11-2011, 08:22 AM
Just an idle thought here...
I play in a few MP FOF leagues, and in some of them we have a year-end process for owners to vote on awards for players, etc. Among them, at least in my BenELou-run leagues, is an award for GM of the year.
I confess that I am not a deep research type of guy on these things, so I tend to skip quickly through the awards, I give some thought based on the info right in front of me, but I don't really look deeply.
So... we basically award "GM of the year" to the team who made the biggest leap forward in record. It's an obvious place to start. But I don't think it captures things that well.
Frex, what about a team that deals up in 2020 to get a stud rookie QB? Guy goes out and has his usual young QB struggles, but by about 2022 he is fully developed, gets over the big cohesion liability, and starts getting pretty decent. It's certain possible that team wins something like 5 games in 2020, 6 games in 2021, and then 11 games in 2022, right? But we would be tempted to give that GM an award for the "big jump" year in 2022... but the real GM decision was the wheeling and dealing needed to get up to pick 1.1 to draft that stud QB, and that happened in 2020.
So... open question. Is there any way to have a more nuanced discussion of "who did the best job this year?" in this situation? For players, it's fairly easy to pull stats from a database (or at least Ben does it I suppose, I don't know that it's easy) -- but except for hand-written essays, I don't see an easy way to make this vote/debate anything more than a formula. If we just sorted by BestGM = (3 x this year's wins) - (2 x last year's wins) I suspect we'd end up with a very solid prediction tool for this award, more or less mirroring the mental shortcut that most of us probably use.
Anything we could do better here?
I play in a few MP FOF leagues, and in some of them we have a year-end process for owners to vote on awards for players, etc. Among them, at least in my BenELou-run leagues, is an award for GM of the year.
I confess that I am not a deep research type of guy on these things, so I tend to skip quickly through the awards, I give some thought based on the info right in front of me, but I don't really look deeply.
So... we basically award "GM of the year" to the team who made the biggest leap forward in record. It's an obvious place to start. But I don't think it captures things that well.
Frex, what about a team that deals up in 2020 to get a stud rookie QB? Guy goes out and has his usual young QB struggles, but by about 2022 he is fully developed, gets over the big cohesion liability, and starts getting pretty decent. It's certain possible that team wins something like 5 games in 2020, 6 games in 2021, and then 11 games in 2022, right? But we would be tempted to give that GM an award for the "big jump" year in 2022... but the real GM decision was the wheeling and dealing needed to get up to pick 1.1 to draft that stud QB, and that happened in 2020.
So... open question. Is there any way to have a more nuanced discussion of "who did the best job this year?" in this situation? For players, it's fairly easy to pull stats from a database (or at least Ben does it I suppose, I don't know that it's easy) -- but except for hand-written essays, I don't see an easy way to make this vote/debate anything more than a formula. If we just sorted by BestGM = (3 x this year's wins) - (2 x last year's wins) I suspect we'd end up with a very solid prediction tool for this award, more or less mirroring the mental shortcut that most of us probably use.
Anything we could do better here?