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No sense in trying to figure it out now; unless the real seer is online as they should definitely reveal at this point as we would have caught 2 of the 3 wolves and be in great shape.
We'll see tomorrow where this goes. |
If I were scum, I'd bet that the martyr wouldn't get back in time to protect seer!Shoveler.
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Risky, but I'd think either way Shoveler would be the target .. unless they did miss Zinto's BG clarification |
I also think the seer should reveal and then I'll vote Shoveler. I'm pretty sure I know who the seer is.
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Updated Autumn to mostly good. Reading back over the posts after the reveal I think it does lean him towards good. |
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Updated with my lean on Autumn. |
If Shoveler reveal is countered (though we will be adding colors if we get a counter).
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Sorry, cheek was still supposed to be green in that day one vote (in the counter scenario).
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Good night all.
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FTR; I will be away much of the day tomorrow. Still not feeling well but will be in the office tomorrow and my schedule looks crazy with meetings (ugh). Will try to get to the thread over my phone when I can but I hate posting a lot when on the phone.
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:popcorn:
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She knows. She thinks this sounds like an awful game. However the direct yet warm ms.path loves few things more than talking to smart young women. |
VOTE SHOVELER
Hi, I'm Red. N1 scan on EagleFan, conditional on Narcizo if EF got lynched. EF is good, you may note my quick turnaround on him right after D1. N2 scan was Autumn, conditional to fontisian if Autumn got lynched. Autumn is good. Shoveler, on the other hand is not me. So he must be Team Rocket. |
I can give you quotes:
Post #317 Quote:
Post #318 Quote:
Post #358, soon after start of D2. Quote:
Post #361 Quote:
Post #373 Quote:
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Vote Shoveler |
Vote Shoveler
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Unusual for me to be so accurate on day two. Or any day to be honest.
Vote Shoveler No reason for Path to lie plus neither Shoveler nor the Matyr dying. |
Ok for the porpoises of vote analysis I'm going to colour Path, Autumn and Eagle blue and Shoveler red because I'm hard pressed finding a way that Path isn't telling the truth. In fact I'll, appropriately enough, colour myself Blue as that's who I am, as will be proved tonight.
You won't believe how glad I am that Path didn't reveal after Shoveler last night, as I wouldn't have protected him then. (Zinto kindly allowed me to use conditional protect orders so I was protecting the first person to reveal as a seer - in retrospect I should have protected the last person to reveal). Anyway, no harm as it turned out. |
Day Two Final Tally
Raven 6- Autumn(622), Vaimes(626), Fontisian(636), Path(638), Timmae(641), JAG(675) Autumn 4- The Jackal(546), Shoveler(579), Chief Rum(585), Raven(597) Shoveler 2-EagleFan(360), Narcizo(510) Timmae 1- Grover(530) Grover it is then. |
Accidentally marked Vaimes as blue for some reason but the point remains. My trust list of uncleared is something like
Fontisian Vaimes Jackal Timmae JAG Grover |
Well, I was wrong on my seer guess. But anyway,
Vote Shoveler |
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Unvote Shoveler Vote Timmae |
Unvote Timmae
Vote Shoveler |
Post 530 for Grover, switching from font to timmae when Raven had 3 and timmae had 2 doesn't look too good.
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In case anyone was to distrust the path reveal for some reason... |
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For good measure. |
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This is also a fun post in retrospect and then font's curiosity at how it resolves itself without a lynch. |
Grover's my only guess for the last wolf at this point after reading back. path had some good dialogue calling him out Day 2 and his vote on timmae yesterday looks fishy in retrospect.
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Well this has to be the biggest bullshit counter claim I have ever seen. I scanned EF last night and yes he is town, but of course you knew that already. Guess your plan is working for now. After I get lynched today and flip good you're hosed. Not sure the strategy for the counter, not going after me last night should have been good enough. |
Vote Shoveler
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vote shoveler
Last nights actions push me in this direction. We will see who is lying quickly enough. The stooges never lied... Maybe these guys are the 3 cabelleros. |
Oh man...
Who to believe. I will be around all day and tonight for once. So... still catching up here. |
vote shoveler
path seems more legitimate here. Whereas, Shoveler seems to have the hint of desperation of a wolf trying to save themselves. |
Between the wolves not going after Shoveler and that a fake counter by path really does the wolves no good... And my initial read on Shoveler...
vote Shoveler |
I ought to try and do some sort of analysis but I haven't really had time today and its difficult seeing past Grover. My worry is that this, barring Path's scan tonight, is all the information we're going to get. But with the number of cleared villagers I think the wolf would have to be the last possible person imaginable for us not to win. But wackier things have happened.
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wow, 10 votes for shoveler this page alone. And then that vote on me because narc apparently doesn't have good taste in comedy shows. Anyways... reading back through the thread to try and verify who team shoveler may be and who team path may be.
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There could be reads here. If shoveler flips evil then I have slight negative (evil) reads on narc, font and to a lesser extent EF. |
I dont see myself talking my way out of this lynch. So if lynching me helps reveal Path's deceit, why not start the nightfall votes and just move the game forward?
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Nightfalls are never a good idea for team good IMHO. I will not be nightfalling.
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As of Post 789
Shoveler 7-Path(763), Font(765), Vaimes(766), JAG(771), Narcizo(773), Grover(783), EagleFan(784) EagleFan 1-Autumn(710) Autumn 1-Timmae(728) |
Timmae and Autumn you didn't unvote your previous votes.
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I know you're essentially a sitting duck, but I don't think this is a good idea. We need to continue fostering discussion about who could be the third wolf. While I do think you are lying about being the seer, it's fairly obvious that EF was good, it would behoove us not to go down the nightfall road. There's plenty to discuss, even with your fate sealed. Also, waiting 12 hours to die when you know it's going to happen really, really sucks. I'm sorry that we have to delay the inevitable. |
unvote eaglefan
vote shoveler |
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EF? I've cleared EF. Hell, even the fake seer has claimed to clear EF, though he didn't leave any bread crumbs as far as I can tell. |
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We can talk it out if you like. I have more posts to reference, though it looks like JAG hit many of them. |
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Lol, yep. Obviously I havent reached your claim and views on my reread yet! |
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Right. My fault. Sorry boss! |
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sounds exactly like my yesterday and today, i'm inhaling cough drops |
I had a feeling path was the seer as well
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vote shoveler
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