Is it really a masterclass though? Nobody is buying it. Maybe some hardcore Russian supporters who are willing to overlook reality to make themselves feel better.
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Tucker Carlson and his ilk seem to be peddling it, too. So maybe you'll be hearing it from your parents and/or grandparents soon, if not already
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Don't worry though. Now that all the boomers have SS they won't dare modify it for them. It'll be for those good for nothing Xers and Millennials. Just like pretty much every piece of legislation of the past 40-50 years has been for the benefit of the Boomers. |
Sir, this is
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I should have said masterclass in gaslighting for domestic consumption. Saw this earlier today. I don't what the show is (e.g. something out of someone's garage?) and I don't play ARMA. But if true, pretty funny. Any ARMA players here and can they confirm? Russia released footage, destroying a ukrainian Convoy. Only was it made in Arma 3. You cant make this shit up :D : ukraine Quote:
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Targeting dams have been in the news lately. The accusation of Russia planning to blow up dams have been countered with Ukraine planning to do it. So if it happens, there'll be finger pointing.
Ideally, there would be a contingent of UN personnel protecting the dam and declaring it hands off from the combatants, but that obviously won't happen. Quote:
On a tangential note, I got curious about a post that said Taiwan was within striking range of China's Three Gorges Dam, implying this was a counter measure if China was to invade. Reading more into it, the Three Gorges is a "gravity" dam. Meaning there is alot of concrete (as in, really, a lot) and anything short of a tactical nuke (or multiple MOABs) won't take it out. Interesting tidbit on dams and wonder if true. |
Below is a subtitled video clip of a Russian talk show. They discuss & show clips of how effective the Iranian drones are and mentioned how Iran is getting more orders because their drones have proven effective. Then 3/4 in they pivot and say the writings on the drones are Russian and therefore are Russian.
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I don't know what the big deal is. If I was Putin, I would say "we are building a coalition against the evil West and Iran is our friend". Just open it up and don't hide the fact they are getting weapons from other friendly countries. And yeah, I'd ask my allies for boots on the ground, even if it's a token amount. |
Not much publicly being disclosed on the Kherson front. There's posts about how Russians are evacuating the right (west) side of the Dnieper. Russia warning of Ukraine using a dirty bomb. Another Russian fighter jet crashing into a residential area.
Also, interesting post this morning about a gas station not accepting Rubles. The owner better hopes Ukraine does retake and hold Kherson. https://twitter.com/KramarenkoMari3/...QrRakORYwodFcg Quote:
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Russian Defense Secretary calling countries warning that Ukraine is about to set off a dirty bomb. Russia is definitely laying the ground work for using WMD's.
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Kinda glad that tactical nukes aren't talked about anymore.
Dirty bombs are next. Tactical nukes is >>>> dirty bombs so, relatively speaking, not near as bad overall. Quote:
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I am a supporter of Ukraine but I don't think below (and the trend towards more accountability) is unreasonable. I do still think the (admittedly, wide range of) $17B - $63B is still a pretty good deal considering how frakked Russia is. Liberal Democrats call on Biden to shift Ukraine strategy | CNN Politics Quote:
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Russia Spokesmen: "We should drown every Ukrainian"
Liberal Democrats: "Can't we just talk this out?" Pretty much actual statement on Russian TV. Sorry, I normally sympathize with AOC et all, but this time, they are flat out WRONG. Step one is Russia gets the fuck out of Ukranian territory (the pre-2014 territory), and THEN we talk. Ukraine urges global ban of Russia's RT over presenter's call to drown children | Reuters (contrary to the reaction post saying, this was a taped show. If they didn't agree with it, they would have edited it out) |
From what I've read on https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews, that guy was fired.
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I have to believe that guy was an outlier extremist. I've watched other clips that she's posted on Russian talk shows. Lots of BS stuff but nothing that extreme. He should be "taken out" by the same group that took out that guy's daughter. |
If he's been doing it for months, it's not because his view is repugnant, it's because NOW he's getting Russia Blowback.
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Don't worry, McCarthy and the GOP have already telegraphed their plans, as above. They're not going to stop helping Ukraine. And there won't be any increased accountability - they've never done it before so why should we expect it start now. Those are just laughably transparent talking points to get the gullible or willfully ignorant to carry water for them They're just going to try and make the Dems sign off on cuts to Social Security and Medicare in exchange for helping Ukraine. "Oh, you want to help Ukraine and go back against the weakening of NATO that our Orange Godchild was doing to line his own pockets? Then you'd better kick granny and gramps off of Social Security and take a political hit for it, even though these things aren't totally related. Otherwise, we're going to let the US default on its debt, drive the economy off a cliff, and blame it all on Sleepy Joe in time for him to get crushed in the 2024 election." There's no universe where they actually care about the foreign aid going to Ukraine, except for the increasing number of them like Rob Johnson and Kevin McCarthy bought by Russian money. Considering the completely contrasting results between the much larger Russian forces vs the smaller Ukranian ones, I think it's pretty safe to assume that the gross differences in supply line (and intelligence) effectiveness are significantly responsible. If you suddenly change that balance, I'm sure there will be a bunch of Pikachu shocked face and finger pointing six months down the road when Ukraine starts getting ground under again when it's really clear how that happened. Unsurprisingly, when we stop handing them weapons that are vastly superior to what they are fighting against, the manpower advantage suddenly matters a lot more. Then again, that's why the Russian misinformation machine is going into overdrive trying to keep their red wave intact. Cheaper to buy US politicians and our electorate than actually buy bombs, especially when half the world won't take your currency right now because of said war. SI |
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ehh....pretty naïve. It isn't like we haven't seen this before in history. Just because others aren't saying the quiet part out loud, yet, doesn't mean they aren't thinking it or support it. signed 6 million dead Jews... |
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I didn't mean to say he had been doing it for months (I don't know). I do know that I've watched this channel Russian Media Monitor - YouTube which subtitles and reports on Russian talk shows. The guests are way out there (from the western perspective) but the guy in question is an outlier even to those guests. |
Never heard of these drones before.
Wouldn't be surprised if they are developing a version that can shoot a bullet or two. Drones are definitely changing the future of warfare. Ukrainian Army to Receive "Black Hornet" Military Micro-Drones - The Debrief Quote:
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Fuhgeddaboudit. Jayapal made a boo boo. Quote:
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Someone had posted near the start, there wasn't that much combat footage. There's a ton of them now.
This one is pretty much one-on-one. If I was the guy outside, I would have waited for help. If I was the guy inside, I would have yelled out to surrender. A Ukrainian hero clearing trenches, has an intense fight with a russian. : UkraineWarVideoReport |
The Russian narrative seems to be shifting towards war against Satanists.
I get the war against "Fascism", I can believe regular Russians believe/can go for that. I can believe many believe Russian "motherland needs to be defended" against NATO encroachment. I just can't believe regular Russians will believe it's a war against Satanism. I don't have a good sense of how much of this is being spread domestically, but it is popping up in some Russian news talk shows Russian Media Monitor - YouTube |
Supposedly a drone attack against Russian ships in Sevastopol, Crimea. There was an attack but conflicting results.
Supposedly Russian ships shot down the drones, other say ship(s) were damaged. One said submersible drone(s) were used. Pics of smoke but can't really see anything definite. It's good that Ukraine is taking the fight to Crimea now. Make it more real. More news to come. |
There's a rumor going around that the recently dismissed General Lapin was found dead in the Moskva River.
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Hmmm. Unconfirmed reports he was just dimissed today (article below dated today).
https://meduza.io/en/news/2022/10/29...ter-in-ukraine Quote:
EDIT: Rybar (pro-Russian mil-blogger, toes the party line but generally in the know). Nothing on the death though Quote:
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FWIW, Newsweek concluded it's false. Fact Check: Was 'Fired' Russian General's Body Found in Moscow River? Quote:
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I'm glad that Russia has agreed to continue the deal but I don't really know what Russia gets out of this. I don't really see Russia getting any PR benefits considering the voluminous bad PR will outweigh any incremental bad PR from not continuing with the deal.
Just say ... you want to feed the world, go truck it to a NATO or EU port. I'll promise that I won't bomb any grain convoys travelling towards Poland or Moldova. Putin much have a reason(s) but just doesn't seem to be in their strategic interest to make it easier for Ukraine. Russia changes course, rejoins Ukraine grain export deal | CNN Quote:
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For a Star Wars fan, this is pretty funny & cool. Ukraine is the king of trolling. God help the US if we every get in a conflict with them, so much rich material for them to use. Hope they keep it like that after the war is over, would love to get a pic standing beside it.
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Pretty cool shot of Polish soldiers on the Belarus border.
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There's news of another prisoner exchange. I think this is the 4th time. It's good that this is continuing. I would like some guarantees (from both sides) that they will not return to the front (I know they did this for some Azov leaders).
Also more news, evidence that Russian have abandoned the western bank of Kherson. Unsure if this means they plan to fight it out on the eastern bank though. Thought below story was interesting. Some serious crowdfunding to help out Ukraine. Doing the math of $5.5M / 50 = $110K each. Heck, I might just shell out $110K for that novelty and have it parked in my front yard. ‘A joke that went out of control’: crowdfunding weapons for Ukraine’s war | Ukraine | The Guardian Quote:
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There was a reddit post that said below. It didn't have a link
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There's been leaks about the withdrawal for the past couple weeks, but guess this makes it official.
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Once Ukraine launched their counteroffensive, they weren't going to be able to keep it. Who knows how much of the city is left in any sort of livable or defendable condition, though. And how many traps are there now
SI |
Interesting article from a couple days ago. Essentially, the US was not encouraging Zelenskyy to negotiate now but encouraging him to change the messaging that he was willing to negotiate.
I read somewhere else that US asked Zelenskyy to drop the "not with Putin" requirement, which he did. I like this move and sounds reasonable to me. Lay the ground work now for some negotiations later. I think Zelenskyy can get back to pre-Feb borders but Crimea is going to be the big sticking point. Wonder how the not-so-bad mid-terms are factoring into Russian and Ukrainian calculus to negotiate. US officials urge Ukraine to signal it is still open to diplomatic discussions with Russia | CNN Politics Quote:
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And, under no circumstances, should Zelenskyy be anywhere near the negotiations until it's time to sign stuff. Planes blow up and polonium finds its way into people's pockets so easily.
SI |
... or near windows.
I think the Russian strategy is to, at a minimum, fight to a stalemate. If there are no significant Ukrainian successes, I can see increase pressure from US/NATO to negotiate (e.g. oh, you want $15B of neat toys, here's $5B) by mid-2023. I'm guessing pre-Feb borders; Russia keeps Crimea; no restitution from Russian but US/EU will help with rebuilding; no NATO invite but some sort of other military presence, security guarantee; maybe a UN buffer. Russia goes home claiming they've degraded Ukraine where they are no longer a threat, and no NATO expansion. It would be great if Crimea was targeted next. Not house to house fighting, but choke it off and bomb all the bridges, cause panic and civilian relocation. I can see that as really hurting Putin's credibility, but that would be a major escalation that the allies do not want. Clip below on Russian news pundits solemnly discussing the Kherson withdrawal. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFClOV4iQMY |
I'm reading there are anywhere between 18-20 Thousand Russian troops on the wrong side of the river, and they are getting annihilated trying to get to Crimea. Totally and completely destroyed.
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How the frak could that happen. There’s been rumors for the past 2 weeks so you’d figure there was enough time to plan/do some sort of organized withdrawal.
Hope it’s true. It’ll be an interesting read the next several days EDIT: the Rybar guy is saying it’s civilians that waited too long to leave. We’ll know the truth soon enough |
This is one of those reports. Someone a former intelligence officer trusts.
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Reading other stuff, think pretty clear it’s just not civilians. Looking forward to reading the updates Fri morning
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From the lack of pics and reports on Reddit, I don't think the massive rout occurred. There was fighting but it wasn't a Russian Dunkirk.
But Kherson has been liberated. Plenty of those pics. |
Article on internal discussions on negotiations with Russia. Really no idea what Biden is thinking but it is good that he is getting differing opinions to consider.
Militarily and intelligence wise, we've probably learn close to enough of Russian tactics, weapons capabilities etc. Biden admin divided over path ahead for Ukraine as top US general Milley pushes for diplomacy | CNN Politics Quote:
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Nice! Zelenskyy knows how to use the media (and play on public opinion).
Forget what I said previously, let's continue $ and military support, and encourage Ukraine to invade Russia proper (including Crimea). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyuzRDu9y08 |
How in the world do you negotiate this?
Like Russia would go "keep the borders where they are now and, fingers crossed, we definitely won't invade you in another 5 years, all the while trying to undermine your democracy so we can install another Lukashenko"? And if you're Ukraine, my offer is "GTFO our land" and Russia will never go for that - they can't. SI |
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That's a terrible deal from the Ukrainian perspective given how the war is going. There's precisely zero chance I'd take that if I were them. A deal doesn't get done without one of NATO membership or Crimea being handed back. |
And I'm sure both of those are non-starters for Russia.
Also, Russia's plan to screw with Western democracies has had an off couple of weeks with the GOP wave not materializing and the UK government falling apart. SI |
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Pretty much. So the war goes on |
I would like to try the Russian version of McDonalds.
'Tasty and That's It': Russia's knock-off McDonald's goes international | Euronews |
Is there moto: "Have it our way,....or else."
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"Coming to a nuclear powerplant near you ... whether you like it or not."
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"I'm forced to be loving it!"
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