|
From the White House to the NBA. That's...not expected.
|
I think this is suggestive. I believe at this point they might just be waiting to see if the Dems gain control of the Senate before making an AG announcement. If they win, they name Garland so they can replace his seat, if they lose, they give it to Doug Jones who should be an easy confirmation.
|
I see GA Dem Senate ads but I see more of Rep Senate ads.
A pretty good one just now was a housewife saying how she voted for Biden but now will be voting Rep for "balance". Worried for Warnock also, the Rep ad quoting his wife is pretty effective to me. Haven't seen much of Ossoff which is surprising because I read the Dems had a pretty good war chest. IMO the Rep is doing a better job with ads so far. |
Come inside the perimeter, I See about 10 of each (R and D) every 30 minutes.
|
Yep, I see a ton of Ossoff and Warnock ads (same as Loeffler, but very few Perdue ads - more third party against Ossoff lately).
Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk |
Latest GA polls from 538. Should be fun tomorrow.
Ossoff - 49 vs 47.4 Warnock - 49.3 vs 47.3 Latest Polls Of The Georgia Senate Runoff Elections | FiveThirtyEight |
I do not trust the polls, but the turn out numbers look encouraging so far. I still believe it will end up being a big GOP win, though. I have been burned too many times when I have hope.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
Loeffler is trying super hard now, just said she would back voting against the elector results.
On a side note, I was up in Blue Ridge the last few days and saw tons of ads for both parties, as well as quite a few Warnock/Ossoff signs. Obviously neither are coming within 60 pts in Fanin/Gilmer, but the Trump signs are mostly gone and there are not too many Loeffler/Perdue signs/ |
I love Blue Ridge. That is all.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
It seems like Loeffler and Ossoff have been more negative with their campaigning, so it seems possible that their internal polls may be showing that they need to reduce turnout for their opponents (vs rallying their own troops). Betting odds favor the democrats. Should be interesting and will probably take a week or so to do all the counts.
|
Damn this thread is huge and we haven't even had inauguration day yet.
|
I read this somewhere else, but if Trump wins the write-in vote for both elections, does he get to be both Senators? Is there like, a rule for that or something?
|
Quote:
Loeffler is running an ad that makes Warnock's skin much darker. Maybe she wins but seems like desperate moves. |
Quote:
Can this happen just so we can see McConnell's reaction when he thinks he has to deal with Trump in the Senate? |
Quote:
|
I am guessing this is the thread for the GA elections. Are these getting called tonight?
|
The Dems are toast.
CNN just said 93% of the current votes counted are early. The republicans are going to fly by late night. Kind of ironic if you think about it. |
STOP THE COUNT
|
Quote:
Depends on how close it is. The count is progressing pretty well. The NYT needle has the Dems favored right now... https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...lection_recirc |
Quote:
Jake Tapper just had a great rant on this. |
That goddamn needle still gives me flashbacks.
|
Numbers just came in in Fulton, and they were very good. Both Dems up on Biden's numbers, with a still good number of mail ballots to count that are even heavier Dem.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
The numbers Kornacki is showing on MSNBC look good for Dems. They're running ahead of Biden.
|
If both Republicans end up losing, there is no chance either concedes right?
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
Does this increase the odds someone does something to force Biden to take legal action tomorrow?
|
PredictIt is going huge for Dems right now...
.87 for Warnock .80 for Ossoff Wondering if I should sell some of my Ossoff I bought at .38 to hedge. |
Quote:
Of course not. |
Can't understand why McConnell didn't go with the $2k checks. Was a powerful message to hand to Democrats in that state.
|
Ossoff would be the youngest elected Senator since Joe Biden.
|
Normally I would want a divided government, but McConnel really needs to go back to hide in his shell.
|
Quote:
GOP needs to suffer for Trump. |
Warnock seems to be positioned well based on the numbers/trend coming in. Purdue and Ossoff will be really tight.
|
Quote:
MSNBC just showed where votes are remaining and there seem to be a lot left around Atlanta. I think Warnock could get called tonight (I doubt we get any concessions). |
These numbers have me pretty excited.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
I will also say a numbers guy who lives and knows the state well says we will have calls tonight. He is not saying the Dens will definitely win, but it would be a less than one percent Perdue win if he did.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
The NYT needle seems to show Warnock at over 70% chance and Ossoff at over 60% chance of winning based on the numbers so far. The tightening is based on GOP counties coming in and they show Warnock and Ossoff doing better than Biden in November.
Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk |
Schumer is terrified he might be the majority leader.
|
Good news. I look forward to seeing what happens. It'll still be tough to get anything substantive through the Senate, but a lot easier than it would have been without getting to 50-50.
|
Well Perdue is up almost 2 % and warlock down 1% so think arrest the Dems split which sucks.
|
Dave Wasserman has called one seat for Warnock.
Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk |
This doesn't seem to be going well. Hope there are some Dem strongholds to still come in
|
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...900417536?s=19
Wasserman calls it for Warnock. Ossoff to close to call. Sent from my Pixel 4 XL using Tapatalk |
Quote:
It’s looking good for Dems |
Yeah seeing some journalists/election experts calling Georgia for Warnock
|
The needle has Warnock at +1.7 and Ossoff at +1.0
|
Quote:
Georgia is going blue but Lathum is going Q. :p |
Does this mean I won't have to see Kelly Loeffler's janky eye anymore when I watch the news?
I've never seen anyone so uncomfortably wear a trucker hat like she does in her ads. She's totally just a normal Southern girl. |
We're Ossoff away from Senate minority leader McConnell.
|
Quote:
DeKalb has 200,000+ outstanding alone. |
https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/...835595265?s=21
Quote:
|
With the remaining votes this looks to be over. Doubt it is even in the recount range after late mail in ballots are counted.
Where will Loeffler and Perdue get their stock picks from now? |
If this holds, I imagine we hate Joe Manchin by the end of the year.
|
Quote:
Yeah he’s ares me as the swing vote. I could see him voting with the Rs at times. But Biden will likely be able to keep him on board with the Dems side. |
The data analyst for The Economist magazine calling both races for the Dems
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
I wish we had a live cam of the Turtle. |
Kelly Loeffler is apparently going to speak soon. Prepare for the shenanigans.
|
Quote:
He won't defect, but he'll use his newfound power. Any other Dem Senators that might be a bit wobbly? |
DeKalb County expecting to release large vote count before 11pm
|
Quote:
Lol, probably right before DeKalb drops its votes |
|
Stating the obvious, but this is such an important result if it holds, even aside from Senate control, especially if these Dems outperformed Biden. It's at least some evidence that the Republicans have gone to far and that they'll face push back from real voters. It's just hard for me to fathom how decent people aren't jumping ship in bigger numbers. I'll never understand it. But maybe at least a few are.
|
|
Crazy numbers:
|
Quote:
Arizona's 2 are pretty conservative by Democratic standards. |
Georgia people: Monica Kaufman is doing election coverage on WSB radio. Never knew how much I'd miss her.
|
171k votes from DeKalb to be uploaded soon.
|
Offshore odds have Warnock at -5000 and Ossoff at -2000 to win. Both huge favorites
|
If Ossoff does make it 50, this was an interesting article from 2012 about how Joe Manchin & McConnell hate each other. politico.com/story/2012/02/football-feud-mcconnell-vs-manchin-072591 Hopefully their relationship hasn't improved since then! :)
|
So ummm anybody else switching over to Fox News to see if they called the election yet?;)
|
Quote:
Literally just watching. It’s that horrible blond woman and they weren’t even covering the election. They had a law professor on to talk about Pences options tomorrow. |
Ossoff odds drop to -450
|
Gee I hope all these predictions are true and the D take them both but man the Ossoff one is going to be super close. They just said there is only 130k votes left for Dekalb county and not the 200k originally reported. Ossoff is down 113k . I am not seeing how he can catch up.
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
He and Biden are both Catholic. I think they’ll have a good working relationship. He’s always going to vote pro-coal and pro-energy, but he’s fallen in line on most all of the important votes. He voted for Kavanaugh, but most people in the state think he may have lost his re-election if he had not. For A WV Democrat, he’s as good as it is going to get. Quote:
There is a great poster/drawing of Manchin vs McConnell facing off in one of the bars near WVU’s stadium. There was a lot of ill will. The sad thing is that Louisville lost that battle, but won the war by getting into the ACC, which is a much better fit for WVU (with the geography and almost all their traditional rivals) than the Big 12. |
So the NYT needle has it right now at 95%+ for Warnock and 89% for Ossoff
|
Now you have the orange clown and the Twitter trolls claiming De Kalb is waiting to see how many votes are needed before they release their count.
And the sheeple just eat it up. |
Ossoff is down 113k. If he wins the DeKalb vote by the expected margin, he'll pick up 120k votes
|
If both Dems win, don't expect much in the way of legislation, but appointments will go through and the GOP won't be able to flood the media with bullshit investigations.
|
Chatham county has gone to bed with 20k votes left to count. Nothing important going on.
|
Quote:
|
Quote:
Justice Breyer can retire. And could they do another round of stimulus if they offset it with tax increases on corps/rich? Maybe that could get 60 votes anyway but at least they'll be able to bring things like that up for a vote. |
|
Cohn has been really good about explaining the needle. Looks good for the democrats.
|
Doh. Looks like GD beat me to punch.
|
De Kalb just came in. Warlock is up by a big margin and Ossoff is in striking distance.
|
Big chunk from DeKalb. Warnock pulls ahead, Ossoff 2k back. Still got more to go in DeKalb
Bartow also came in. Warnock up by 20k and Ossoff down by 20k |
Quote:
He got to win no matter what. That die was cast on Election Day when it was close enough that the Dems will spend the next 2 years screwing things up. They can point to having a "majority", he gets to play resistance fighter for 2 years, and then they clean up in the midterms SI |
Quote:
What will absolutely kill him, if this holds, is Dems will be able to get judges through. |
|
A few mail Fulton votes and Ossoff is behind by only 3k now. Warnock up by 30k.
Mail in votes in Atlanta metro is started to come in |
Ossoff now only 500 votes back
|
Warnock projected winner by Decision Desk HQ.
Ossoff within 1000 votes. Democrats waiting to see how many votes they need has really paid off |
So if trump had conceded and thrown his support behind these two candidates they likely win right?
|
Quote:
I would say most likely. |
|
Quote:
Awesome! |
Welp.
|
The racist history of Georgia's runoff election system
Since we have a lot of history lovers here, I didn't know until today that runoff elections in the south primarily exist explicitly as a form of white supremacy and to suppress the black vote. This article suggests that in states like Georgia it can't really do that successfully anymore, but that it can in places like Alabama and Mississippi. Quote:
|
Quote:
Even without his support, I'm shocked they seriously might lose. |
| All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:40 PM. |
Powered by vBulletin Version 3.6.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.