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Samdari 09-22-2005 09:41 AM

WWLG? (Where Will Leinart Go)
 
I am giddy to see actual football topics on the front page of this forum.

I will add my own. Lets assume that Heisman Matt ends the year as he began, the obvious #1 NFL pick. Who do you see ending up at the top of the draft, and do they need a QB? The niners are an excellent candidate to finish with the worst record in the draft, but obviously, they would not take him.

We cannot appear to go with the ever reliable "Bengals" as an answer, so I'll go with that other reliable answer.

The Cardinals. I think Kurt Warner will have a fine year, but is obviously not going to be around long enough for the Cardinals to ascend to the playoffs (their O-Line needs too much work). They just cannot seem to run either, so I cannot see him lasting the year with defenses able to just tee off on him.

I'll go so far as to predict a top 5:

1) Arizona, Leinart
2) Houston, D'Brickashaw Ferguson
3) San Francisco, Jimmy Williams, CB, VPI
4) Tennessee, RB DeAngelo Williams
5) Detroit, WR Santonio Holmes, Ohio St

In deference to TroyF, let me say I really wanted to put the Packers on the list. Just cannot see them not getting a few cheap wins from playing division games.

henry296 09-22-2005 09:43 AM

I think Cleveland is another possibility despite their win over Green Bay. The AFC North is very solid and they might only win 1 division game this year. They did draft Charlie Frye, but I don't think they would pass on Leinhart.

Honolulu_Blue 09-22-2005 09:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samdari
5) Detroit, WR Santonio Holmes, Ohio St


Heh!! This is a joke, right? Not the Lions finishing up as the 5th worst team in the league (a strong possibility), but them drafting ANOTHER wide receiver in the first round.

WSUCougar 09-22-2005 09:49 AM

Cleveland

Samdari 09-22-2005 09:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by henry296
I think Cleveland is another possibility despite their win over Green Bay. The AFC North is very solid and they might only win 1 division game this year. They did draft Charlie Frye, but I don't think they would pass on Leinhart.


I forgot Cleveland (like most Browns fans are trying to do). They should be 3rd/4th on that list. They won't take a running back, that much we know.

Mustang 09-22-2005 09:59 AM

Well, not alot of teams will look to draft a QB high. Teams with potential needs that probably aren't going to be good this year - Cleveland, Baltimore, Tennessee, Arizona... then you have your teams like Miami, Dallas and Detroit...

I'm going to say Cleveland but, to tell you the truth, it would not surprise me if Baltimore had a top 3 pick...

WSUCougar 09-22-2005 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mustang
it would not surprise me if Baltimore had a top 3 pick...

No way, not with that defense. I think Akili Smith could play QB for them and they'd still not be a Top 3 pick. ;)

Anthony 09-22-2005 10:10 AM

Miami will trade up to get Leinhart - if they don't suck on their own to begin with to earn the #1 overall.

Samdari 09-22-2005 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honolulu_Blue
Heh!! This is a joke, right? Not the Lions finishing up as the 5th worst team in the league (a strong possibility), but them drafting ANOTHER wide receiver in the first round.


Do I think they might finish in the top 5? Yes, although I do think Cleveland is a much more likely possibility.

Is them taking another WR with a top pick a joke? Gosh, I certainly hope so.

Mustang 09-22-2005 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WSUCougar
No way, not with that defense. I think Akili Smith could play QB for them and they'd still not be a Top 3 pick. ;)


D gave up what, 49 points total last 2 games.. If the defense doesn't hold up their end of the deal, that offense isn't scoring squat. Especially since it doesn't seem Lewis is right...

flere-imsaho 09-22-2005 10:36 AM

It'll be funny if SF gets the #1 two years in a row. :)

I do like the Arizona angle, but I think it's probably safer to say that someone's going to trade into #1 to get Leinart. I think Baltimore & Miami are very good candidates there. Cleveland's a possibility, but I think Dilfer's going to do just fine and they'll decide the price for Leinart isn't worth it.

BigJohn&TheLions 09-22-2005 10:43 AM

If SF does get the #1 pick, and Smith shows nothing, would SF be tempted to go with the guy they would have taken if he was there and trade Smith, or would they trade down? I know the cap would kill them.

Hey, then they could use the top pick in '07 on a QB too!

Samdari 09-22-2005 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flere-imsaho
It'll be funny if SF gets the #1 two years in a row. :)

I do like the Arizona angle, but I think it's probably safer to say that someone's going to trade into #1 to get Leinart. I think Baltimore & Miami are very good candidates there. Cleveland's a possibility, but I think Dilfer's going to do just fine and they'll decide the price for Leinart isn't worth it.


Why wouldn't Arizona just draft Leinart if they got #1. He is considered the best of the QB prospects since (I think) Peyton Manning, better than all the #1 QB's since. With no young QB of note there, I just could not see Green passing on Leinart.

I would find it highly amusing if SF got the #1. I thought Smith was the riskiest #1 QB pick ever. He had great intangibles, yes, but his physical skills were not overwhelming, and QBs who excel in "gimicky" college offenses tend to have trouble adjusting to the NFL. Meanwhile, even if Smith was the sure thing, had to be #1 last year, his NFL potential was rated below Leinart's by everyone. So they in essense would have to pass up Leinart for Smith.

PackerFanatic 09-22-2005 10:56 AM

Watch Leinart pull a Ryan Leaf.

WSUCougar 09-22-2005 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mustang
D gave up what, 49 points total last 2 games.. If the defense doesn't hold up their end of the deal, that offense isn't scoring squat. Especially since it doesn't seem Lewis is right...

Well, they gave up 24 to Indy but held what many consider to be the best offense in the league in relative check for most of the game. The Ravens gave up 25 to Tennessee, but nine of that is on the offense (INT + safety). I still think the defense is good enough to keep them from sinking as low as a Top 3 pick, but we can agree to disagree. :cool:

Bearcat729 09-22-2005 11:21 AM

I don't think Cleveland will draft him. I tend to lean towards them drafting defense or a OL.

I would love to see someone like AJ Hawk playing in Cleveland next season.

pennywisesb 09-22-2005 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic
Watch Leinart pull a Ryan Leaf.


I hope you are joking. Leinhart is so much better than Ryan Leaf. I think Alex Smith is much more likely to do something like that than Leinhart

BigJohn&TheLions 09-22-2005 11:36 AM

I'd like to see Mike Williams catching passes from Lion-art!

rkmsuf 09-22-2005 11:41 AM

Line Art

BigJohn&TheLions 09-22-2005 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rkmsuf
Line Art

Not when he's winning Super Bowl's in Detroit. :D

TroyF 09-22-2005 11:45 AM

I'm still hoping Washington collapses and gives Denver that top pick. We NEED Leinhart. :)

I doubt Tennessee would draft a RB. They have too many other needs, espcially on the defensive side of the ball. Also we have the wild card here. If Vince Young leaves Texas, he'll be picked high, possibly as high as #2, depending on the team. He just has too much natural ability for someone not to take a chance on him.

I agree with you though. . . of the "bad" teams, Leinhart fits Arizona the best.

Mustang 09-22-2005 11:50 AM

Although, the big question might be do you give up a top pick for Leinart OR do you give up a top pick for Rivers if SD decides to go with Brees...

RedKingGold 09-22-2005 11:59 AM

That's another interesting question.....Leinart's great,...but I LOVE Vincent Young (especially after the Rose Bowl and the OSU game).

If I have the number one overall, I think I'm going Vincent Young over Leinart.

And the Niner's will get Reggie Bush somehow

RendeR 09-22-2005 12:11 PM

Baltimore WILL trade up to get Leinert. Right it down in stone, its going to happen.

rkmsuf 09-22-2005 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RendeR
Baltimore WILL trade up to get Leinert. Right it down in stone, its going to happen.


They might not have to!

RendeR 09-22-2005 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rkmsuf
They might not have to!




*CACKLES* so true, so amazingly WONDERFULLY true =)

Samdari 09-22-2005 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RedKingGold
That's another interesting question.....Leinart's great,...but I LOVE Vincent Young (especially after the Rose Bowl and the OSU game).

If I have the number one overall, I think I'm going Vincent Young over Leinart.

And the Niner's will get Reggie Bush somehow


I don't think you guys realize how highly rated Leinart is. There is NO WAY Vince Young goes ahead of him (although I agree if he continues to play like he is, he's a top 5 pick). There is NO WAY anyone trades a pick that would be Leinart for Phillip Rivers. I am pretty sure Leinart is thought of more highly than any QB since Peyton, with the possible exception of Carson Palmer.

Troy, you are probably right about Tennessee and the RB. I had to pick someone though, and it seems that everyone is really high on ILB's, and the UCLA TE. Both positions tend not to go in the top 10. They drafted about 9 DL the past few years, and have young, high draft picks at the corners. I think they are more likely to go OL, but we shall see. I just did not see a good fit for them here, except at ILB, and don't think they'd go there in the top 5.

I wonder about Reggie Bush. He is dynamic and makes as many game breaking plays as anyone in college football. But, is he an NFL tailback? Has never been the primary running back for USC, and has never demonstrated the ability to run between the tackles, and grind out yards. I guess with his speed, someone will take him high and figure out how to use him when he gets there.

Ryche 09-22-2005 12:34 PM

Maroney from the Gophers will be the top RB in the draft. 4.3 speed, enough size and he has run on everyone he's faced.

My prediction is Denver. They'll see visions of obtaining the golden boy from the west coast just like they did a couple decades ago and deal whatever is necessary to get him.

Samdari 09-22-2005 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryche
Maroney from the Gophers will be the top RB in the draft. 4.3 speed, enough size and he has run on everyone he's faced.

My prediction is Denver. They'll see visions of obtaining the golden boy from the west coast just like they did a couple decades ago and deal whatever is necessary to get him.


Everything I see has Bush and DeAngelo Williams ahead of Maroney.

Ryche 09-22-2005 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samdari
Everything I see has Bush and DeAngelo Williams ahead of Maroney.


Yep, all the projections I've seen have indicated the same thing. I should amend what I said with Bush, who will probably go ahead of Maroney. Didn't think of him for whatever reason, maybe because it's questionable what his role will be in the NFL.

But by the time draft day is here, I'm positive Maroney will go ahead of Williams. I think Williams is ranked ahead of Maroney because he's a senior and he put up huge numbers as the feature back last year while Maroney was splitting time.

This coming week will be good for comparison purposes. Maroney put up 203 yards on 21 carries at Tulsa. We'll see what Williams does there.

WSUCougar 09-22-2005 12:53 PM

Damn...I'm going to have to see much more consistent, quality passing from Vince Young before I'd take him any where near that high. Are draft experts putting him in the Top 5 already?

Raiders Army 09-22-2005 12:54 PM

I'd put Bush at WR.

TroyF 09-22-2005 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WSUCougar
Damn...I'm going to have to see much more consistent, quality passing from Vince Young before I'd take him any where near that high. Are draft experts putting him in the Top 5 already?



He's as polished as Vick was. Young just has so much natural athletic ability that someone will jump at the pick.

Leinhart goes #1, no questions asked. The only way that pick is traded is if the team who has the pick already has a young QB. The Niners would deal the pick, but that's about it.

Leinhart is simply rated too high.

As for Bush, someone will draft him and figure out how to use him.

Now, if the Niners get the pick and decide to deal, Denver is most certainly a likely destination. They have two first round picks. They actually have some cap room opening up next year. The only way Jake Plummer stays here is if the Broncos somehow win a couple of playoff games.

Plus, Denver has some depth at positions teams would have interest in. (a lot of young secondary players, a fairly deep defensive line and LB core)

I could easily see them trading for him.

I'd look for some teams to make a play for Ferguson as well. He's a solid player and there hasn't been a true franchise type tackle in the last couple of drafts.

Also, don't forget about the other Bush at running back. Michael Bush is a junior, but NFL scouts have to be drooling at the guy. 6'3", 240, fast as hell and can even catch the ball out of the backfield. One last guy to look at:

Brady Quinn. He's a junior and I'd guess he comes back, but he's got just about everything scouts look for in a QB. Strong arm, tall (6'4") and you know they'll love that he played under Weiss. He comes out, we could potentially have three QB's go in the top ten.

PackerFanatic 09-22-2005 02:10 PM

Yeah, although Young is great...Leinhart will go #1. I mean he was slated to go #1 this year before he commited back to USC...and unless he has a complete breakdown this year, he should be #1 no matter what. And I would probably put Young in the top 5 too. Looks just as good, if not better, than Vick was at that time.

scooper 09-22-2005 02:24 PM

Sure, Vince Young has his athleticism going for him, but after a semester of nothing but ballroom dancing class, Leinhart should be pretty agile.

PackerFanatic 09-22-2005 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scooper
Sure, Vince Young has his athleticism going for him, but after a semester of nothing but ballroom dancing class, Leinhart should be pretty agile.


Haha...touche salesman.

HomerJSimpson 09-22-2005 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PackerFanatic
Yeah, although Young is great...Leinhart will go #1. I mean he was slated to go #1 this year before he commited back to USC...and unless he has a complete breakdown this year, he should be #1 no matter what. And I would probably put Young in the top 5 too. Looks just as good, if not better, than Vick was at that time.



Vick probably still has better raw physical talent, I agree that Young has probably more actual QB skill than Vick did. Shoot, he may have more than Vick has now. :eek:

st.cronin 09-22-2005 04:50 PM

There are probably at least 10 college qbs who are better passers than Ron Mexico; which isn't to say he can't play QB, just that he's quite a bit overhyped, and HORRIBLY misused.

HomerJSimpson 09-22-2005 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by st.cronin
There are probably at least 10 college qbs who are better passers than Ron Mexico; which isn't to say he can't play QB, just that he's quite a bit overhyped, and HORRIBLY misused.



Overhyped? Probably. Misused? No. His winning percentage suggest otherwise. They call the offense he plays in "West Coast", but it actually completely tailored around Vick. He just may never be a pocket passer, which means his career is probably going to be a short one.

Schmidty 09-22-2005 05:10 PM

Detroit is not the 5th worst team in the league. All you Lion fans jumping off the bandwagon because of one admittedly horrendous game (but still one game) make me nauseuous. I've suffered with the Lions as long as anyone on this board and I am as jaded as anyone, but to say that they are one of the worst 5 teams in the league, or even one of the worst 10 teams is totally asinine. If they continue to look this bad the next 3-4 games, go ahead and stick a fork in them, but until then, back the fuck off.

ISiddiqui 09-22-2005 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by st.cronin
There are probably at least 10 college qbs who are better passers than Ron Mexico; which isn't to say he can't play QB, just that he's quite a bit overhyped, and HORRIBLY misused.

Remember in Vick's last year at VTech he missed qualifying for the passer rating rankings by a few passes, but if he did, he would have led 1-A in passer rating that year.

So players that look great passing in college may not be able to duplicate the same level of ability in the pros.

bhlloy 09-22-2005 05:28 PM

Bush put on 10-20 pounds in the offseason reportedly to make himself look more like a NFL RB, and his carries are way up on last year. He's taking carries away from LenDale White (another first round pick?) which is a very good sign. As long as he holds up and doesn't get injured this season I think he's going to be drafted right behind Williams as the second runningback.

As for the first pick would I be completely stupid to say I can see Green Bay in that mix? Favre looks poor, the defence and O-Line are horrid and now Walker gone for the year.
That brings up a potentially sticky situation - stick with Aaron Rogers who in my opinion looks like a bust already, or take Leinart?

Young Drachma 09-22-2005 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Raiders Army
I'd put Bush at WR.


Yeah, that's what I always figured he'd be in the NFL.

ISiddiqui 09-22-2005 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bhlloy
As for the first pick would I be completely stupid to say I can see Green Bay in that mix? Favre looks poor, the defence and O-Line are horrid and now Walker gone for the year.
That brings up a potentially sticky situation - stick with Aaron Rogers who in my opinion looks like a bust already, or take Leinart?

How in the WORLD can Aaron Rogers look like a bust already?! If you are basing it on the Tedford lineage, then they knew that before they picked him.

st.cronin 09-22-2005 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui
How in the WORLD can Aaron Rogers look like a bust already?! If you are basing it on the Tedford lineage, then they knew that before they picked him.


Well, reports on Rogers from camp were poor/unimpressive. I think he's #3 on the depth chart.

bhlloy 09-22-2005 05:48 PM

Yeah I'm jumping the gun and he'll probably turn out to be the second coming of Montana or something now. But for me slipping that far in the draft past teams with clear needs at QB + Tedford's history + apparently a very poor training camp points in a certain direction.
Just my opinion. You certainly can't argue that Leinart isn't twice the prospect that Rogers is, even if he doesn't bust. Earlier in the thread people have been suggesting that they would take Leinart and trade Alex Smith to accomodate him.

ISiddiqui 09-22-2005 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by st.cronin
Well, reports on Rogers from camp were poor/unimpressive. I think he's #3 on the depth chart.

Yeah, but he's a rookie. Most rookies don't shine their first year and Sherman's system is fairly complicated, IIRC.

TazFTW 09-22-2005 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honolulu_Blue
Heh!! This is a joke, right? Not the Lions finishing up as the 5th worst team in the league (a strong possibility), but them drafting ANOTHER wide receiver in the first round.





:p

PilotMan 09-22-2005 09:30 PM

I say that Leinart will bypass the NFL in search of his true dream of a career on the professional ballroom dancing circuit.

Thomkal 09-22-2005 09:47 PM

Kurt Warner has only a one year contract, so I have to think he's out the door if my beloved Cards don't have a good season. But the Cards have passed on the opportunity to draft a quality QB the last two, three seasons, so I have my doubts they would even take Leinart with the #1 pick.

BigJohn&TheLions 09-22-2005 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Schmidty
Detroit is not the 5th worst team in the league. All you Lion fans jumping off the bandwagon because of one admittedly horrendous game (but still one game) make me nauseuous. I've suffered with the Lions as long as anyone on this board and I am as jaded as anyone, but to say that they are one of the worst 5 teams in the league, or even one of the worst 10 teams is totally asinine. If they continue to look this bad the next 3-4 games, go ahead and stick a fork in them, but until then, back the fuck off.

I'm not sure who is worse: The bandwagon fans who jumped off after the Bears loss, or the ones who jumped on after the Green Bay win.

Are the Lions the 5th worst team in the league? No. Are they in the top 3rd? No. I felt going into the season they were a 7-9, 8-8, or 9-7 team, just because of inconsistancy. They are not a playoff team. For the Lions there is nowhere to go but down. Injuries and karma could destroy this team.

The injury bug hit with Bryant going down. He may not have been playing that well, but Goodman has shown nothing since coming into the league. This Bears loss I think could implode the team. Joey takes no blame for anything. He never has, he never will. It may be true that the line hasn't protected him for shit, but I don't think that Joey has helped matters much. Some guys make you want to go to war with them. Some you don't. I don't think that many of the Lions feel that Joey is a guy who has their backs, and therefore I think they aren't going to give their all to protect him either. Not that I think anyone would miss a block intentionally, it's just that they have talent, but they seem to be going thru the motions.

I now see 7-9 as their ceiling. And that's because the division looks real weak right now.

The best thing for Detroit, and for Harrington, is for the two to part ways in the offseason. Maybe the Lions can get a QB that can hit a receiver in stride. Maybe Joey can go somewhere where he can grow as well. (He needs an offense that is willing to air it out and attack.) A season or two in Oakland as the backup would be good for him. If Collins would go down Joey has the arm to just chuck it deep and let Moss go get it.

Schmidty 09-22-2005 11:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigJohn&TheLions
I'm not sure who is worse: The bandwagon fans who jumped off after the Bears loss, or the ones who jumped on after the Green Bay win.

Are the Lions the 5th worst team in the league? No. Are they in the top 3rd? No. I felt going into the season they were a 7-9, 8-8, or 9-7 team, just because of inconsistancy. They are not a playoff team. For the Lions there is nowhere to go but down. Injuries and karma could destroy this team.

The injury bug hit with Bryant going down. He may not have been playing that well, but Goodman has shown nothing since coming into the league. This Bears loss I think could implode the team. Joey takes no blame for anything. He never has, he never will. It may be true that the line hasn't protected him for shit, but I don't think that Joey has helped matters much. Some guys make you want to go to war with them. Some you don't. I don't think that many of the Lions feel that Joey is a guy who has their backs, and therefore I think they aren't going to give their all to protect him either. Not that I think anyone would miss a block intentionally, it's just that they have talent, but they seem to be going thru the motions.

I now see 7-9 as their ceiling. And that's because the division looks real weak right now.

The best thing for Detroit, and for Harrington, is for the two to part ways in the offseason. Maybe the Lions can get a QB that can hit a receiver in stride. Maybe Joey can go somewhere where he can grow as well. (He needs an offense that is willing to air it out and attack.) A season or two in Oakland as the backup would be good for him. If Collins would go down Joey has the arm to just chuck it deep and let Moss go get it.


I think you are totally wrong and look forward to seeing the Lions run toward a mediocre 9-7 record this season. Mark it down.

The funny thing is, I agree with most of your post. Joey is shit. Garbage. A jazz pianist playing QB. But he should/will still be able to complete enough passes (to an emmensely talented recieving corpse) and hand off enough (to an uber-back like Jones) to be decent. I still believe in the defense (although I wonder if Jauron isn't the worst D.C. in the league) enough to think that it can help the offense just enough to eek out a winning record and a play-off berth.

I've believed in this team long before the G.B game, and I'll believe in them long after the shitty Bears game. If they falter, I'll look dumb, but at least I've stayed faithful.

BigJohn&TheLions 09-23-2005 12:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Schmidty
I've believed in this team long before the G.B game, and I'll believe in them long after the shitty Bears game. If they falter, I'll look dumb, but at least I've stayed faithful.

I look at the team realistically. The only time I really rooted against them was in that Niner's game (I think it was Wayn's last stand) and Mitchell was sacked on 1st, sacked on 2nd, then threw a pick on 3rd that was ran back for a score ON THE FIRST POSESSION OF THE GAME!!! I laughed my ass off.

AZSpeechCoach 09-23-2005 01:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal
Kurt Warner has only a one year contract, so I have to think he's out the door if my beloved Cards don't have a good season. But the Cards have passed on the opportunity to draft a quality QB the last two, three seasons, so I have my doubts they would even take Leinart with the #1 pick.


Plus, the Cards have the knack of trading down when their pick gets too high so that they won't have to pay signing bonuses and other perks to the rookie. The Bidwells are cheap, and will continue to be cheap.

Galaxy 09-23-2005 01:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan
I say that Leinart will bypass the NFL in search of his true dream of a career on the professional ballroom dancing circuit.


Next on "Dancing with the Stars"....

Samdari 09-23-2005 07:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan
I say that Leinart will bypass the NFL in search of his true dream of a career on the professional ballroom dancing circuit.


Don't change the rules of the game.

Which (ballroom dancing) team will draft him then?

scooper 09-23-2005 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal
Kurt Warner has only a one year contract, so I have to think he's out the door if my beloved Cards don't have a good season. But the Cards have passed on the opportunity to draft a quality QB the last two, three seasons, so I have my doubts they would even take Leinart with the #1 pick.


Denny had the luxury of Randy Moss and Cris Carter in Minny, along with Robert Smith to keep them honest. All he needed was a QB with an arm strong enough to get it there. He plugged a few different guys in and had success. I can almost see this thought process creeping back in with his young talented WR corps in Zona. "It doesn't matter who the QB is." Well, I think it does. Imagine that group of WR's maturing with a talented young QB. That offense has many of the parts in place. If it's still not working, maybe it's time to admit why.

flere-imsaho 09-27-2005 09:48 AM

Given the news on Pennington, here's my current thinking:

1. Jets
2. Arizona
3. Detroit

Thomkal 09-27-2005 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scooper
Denny had the luxury of Randy Moss and Cris Carter in Minny, along with Robert Smith to keep them honest. All he needed was a QB with an arm strong enough to get it there. He plugged a few different guys in and had success. I can almost see this thought process creeping back in with his young talented WR corps in Zona. "It doesn't matter who the QB is." Well, I think it does. Imagine that group of WR's maturing with a talented young QB. That offense has many of the parts in place. If it's still not working, maybe it's time to admit why.


Didn't see this till now Scooper. I completely agree with you that the Cards have a potentially potent offense with three young good receivers. They should have a good quality young QB to grow with them. McCown as much as I like him is not it. He didn't look good when he replaced Warner in the Seattle game, so it should be interesting to see how he does against the weak Niners defense this week.

SnDvls 09-27-2005 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal
Didn't see this till now Scooper. I completely agree with you that the Cards have a potentially potent offense with three young good receivers. They should have a good quality young QB to grow with them. McCown as much as I like him is not it. He didn't look good when he replaced Warner in the Seattle game, so it should be interesting to see how he does against the weak Niners defense this week.



It doesn't matter who is throwing the ball, if the o-line can't protect your QB will get killed. If your RB and o-line can't run the ball then all the D has to do is cover the WR. The Cruds have great WRs, but no line to help them have a better O.

st.cronin 09-27-2005 11:47 AM

I think it's 50/50 that New Orleans gets the first pick. They're going to have a very long, hard season.

Ryche 09-27-2005 11:50 AM

If Green handles his quarterbacks the same way he did in Minnesota, he'll keep throwing retreads in there for a few more years before investing a high draft pick in a young quarterback. He had Rich Gannon when he first came to Minnesota and sent him out of town very quickly without giving him much of a chance. I'm not sure what finally drove him to draft Culpepper, but it took him several years to trust a young QB. Even then he tried to bring in Marino to be his quarterback during Culpepper's second season.

He won't draft Leinart.

Anthony 09-27-2005 11:54 AM

AZ needs an RB more than they need a QB. they should trade for one, then draft a monster O-Lineman.

not a hulking brute of an O-lineman - i mean an actual monster.

Honolulu_Blue 09-27-2005 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Schmidty
I think you are totally wrong and look forward to seeing the Lions run toward a mediocre 9-7 record this season. Mark it down.

The funny thing is, I agree with most of your post. Joey is shit. Garbage. A jazz pianist playing QB. But he should/will still be able to complete enough passes (to an emmensely talented recieving corpse) and hand off enough (to an uber-back like Jones) to be decent. I still believe in the defense (although I wonder if Jauron isn't the worst D.C. in the league) enough to think that it can help the offense just enough to eek out a winning record and a play-off berth.

I've believed in this team long before the G.B game, and I'll believe in them long after the shitty Bears game. If they falter, I'll look dumb, but at least I've stayed faithful.


I'm certainly not off the band-wagon. Hell, I've been on the band wagon for years. I've witnessed many worse games than the Bears game, but that doesn't mean I can't be down on the team and criticize them. They flat out sucked. The Bears game and that pre-season Monday Night game against the Rams just goes to show that, despite all the promises to the contrary, this team is no different than the team we have fielded the last three years. The same team that has won only 16 games over that span. In fact, they are just a more talented version of those crap teams which makes it even more depressing.

Joey isn't great and has only showed flashes of even being an adequate QB, but our "immensely talented recieving corps" has been pathetic the first two weeks of the season. They barely get open. They appear to give up on routes. They don't fight through jams at the line. C-Rog sulks. They have been far from impressive. It's no surprise as to why Kevin Johnson and Pollard seem to get so many passes thrown their way.

While Jones may be an "ubder-back" he can't do shit when there are 3 defensive guys in the backfield when he gets the hand-off. The Lions haven't been able to run the ball for squat all season. I don't blame Jones, I blame the line. They have been abysmal. They can't muscle anyone off the line and they can't seem to be able to pick up blitzes. Jones has no space to run and Joey rarely has time to throw the ball.

The defense puts no pressure on the quarterback. The linebackers haven't made any plays at all. Jauron's style is as bland as white toast. There is absolutely no identity there. None. At all.

It's only two weeks into the season and, in fact, the Lions are still in sole possession of first place in the suckiest division in football, so all is not lost and there is plenty of time for improvement. By my complaints with this team aren't focused just on this year, they go back to the last three seasons. We've been seeing the same old, same old crap year in and year out.

The next three games will be huge. They are going up against three very physical, but I think beatable teams: Tampa, Carolina, and Baltimore. If they can stick around in these games, put up a fight, maybe even win one or two, the Lions should be in good shape. If they get slapped around like a bunch of pussy cats, I think the writing will be on the wall for Mooch.

st.cronin 09-27-2005 11:58 AM

Whoever has the #1 pick WILL draft and keep Leinart; nobody with the potential to rack up the worst record in the league would trade that pick away.

I think only these teams, if they somehow earned the #1 pick, would think about trading it: Philadelphia, Indianapolis, New England, Atlanta, NY Giants.

ISiddiqui 09-27-2005 05:24 PM

If it's San Fran again, they'll have to do something creative to get rid of Alex Smith, though.

bhlloy 09-27-2005 06:25 PM

If the salary cap hit was too big for the Chargers to get rid of Rivers (4th overall), it's almost certainly too big for the Niners to get rid of Smith (1st overall a year later) no matter how creative they get.

Doesn't look like it will happen unless they suffer a huge meltdown - there looks to be a couple of teams worse than them. If they do get first overall, they could either go RB (Williams or Bush) or trade down. Because of Leinart the value of the first pick is going to skyrocket this year.

I still think the most interesting scenario is the first overall going to Green Bay and them having to make a choice between ditching Rogers already (not such a huge cap hit) or trading out of getting the most NFL ready and most hyped QB prospect since Manning. Personally I think it's a no brainer to chuck Rogers.

Samdari 10-04-2005 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bhlloy
If the salary cap hit was too big for the Chargers to get rid of Rivers (4th overall), it's almost certainly too big for the Niners to get rid of Smith (1st overall a year later) no matter how creative they get.

Doesn't look like it will happen unless they suffer a huge meltdown - there looks to be a couple of teams worse than them. If they do get first overall, they could either go RB (Williams or Bush) or trade down. Because of Leinart the value of the first pick is going to skyrocket this year.

I still think the most interesting scenario is the first overall going to Green Bay and them having to make a choice between ditching Rogers already (not such a huge cap hit) or trading out of getting the most NFL ready and most hyped QB prospect since Manning. Personally I think it's a no brainer to chuck Rogers.


There is no way the Niners get rid of Smith. They try to trade down somewhere else in the top 3-5 and get Reggie Bush (for the fans) or D'Brickashaw Ferguson (the football choice). Not sure I can find any teams worse than them talent wise than the niners though.

The Pack certainly look like a candidate to finish with the #1. Having Rodgers, a late first rounder, is very different than having last year's #1 overall pick, or a top 10 guy even. I am not sure they need to ditch him if they happen to get #1 and take Lineart. Rogers would not be happy, but them's the breaks.

I still see SF or Arizona (my favorite) getting it at this point, as Favre is probably worth a few wins.

A new, little discussed entry into the fray - the Houston Texans. Carr, still looks like the same guy he did as a rookie. When a 4th year guy still has potential as his biggest asset, you have to start to suspect he may never develop. I would find it extremely interesting to see what they would do if they earned the #1, especially since the player Carr needs the most to be successful is the likely #2 pick. If Houston is #1, and SF #2, what does Houston do?

Ryche 10-17-2005 08:58 AM

Time for an update bump:

Looks like Houston is making a strong case for that number one pick. The question is, do they bail on Carr to take the next golden boy or go offensive line for their first pick (or maybe all 7 picks wouldn't be a bad idea).

After Houston, we also have Green Bay, Minnesota, Arizona, San Francisco and Oakland win 1 win. I hate to say this, but if Minnesota manages to lose next week, I think they may become the favorite in the sweepstakes. They can't keep putting Culpepper out there playing the way he is. And with a new coaching regime most likely installed next year, if not sooner, maybe they start with a clean slate.

mauchow 10-17-2005 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryche
Time for an update bump:

Looks like Houston is making a strong case for that number one pick. The question is, do they bail on Carr to take the next golden boy or go offensive line for their first pick (or maybe all 7 picks wouldn't be a bad idea).

After Houston, we also have Green Bay, Minnesota, Arizona, San Francisco and Oakland win 1 win. I hate to say this, but if Minnesota manages to lose next week, I think they may become the favorite in the sweepstakes. They can't keep putting Culpepper out there playing the way he is. And with a new coaching regime most likely installed next year, if not sooner, maybe they start with a clean slate.

I only wish the coaching situation would change RIGHT THE FUCK now. :) That is all.

If we do for some reason get the 1st pick, then by all means, take Leinart. Get rid of that fat ass who can't run for a damn first down or throw the damn ball away.

Ryche 10-17-2005 09:09 AM

Dennis Green wouldn't give up his number 1 to get Daunte would he? No, of course not...well...

Huckleberry 10-17-2005 09:14 AM

Vince Young 4th in the nation in passing efficiency. Just for everyone's information. ;)

I'd still take Leinart first, of course, and it's not much of a question. Just noting that the difference between Vick and Young hypewise comes down to the fact that Vick was on the east coast.

Samdari 10-17-2005 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ryche
Time for an update bump:

Looks like Houston is making a strong case for that number one pick. The question is, do they bail on Carr to take the next golden boy or go offensive line for their first pick (or maybe all 7 picks wouldn't be a bad idea).

After Houston, we also have Green Bay, Minnesota, Arizona, San Francisco and Oakland win 1 win. I hate to say this, but if Minnesota manages to lose next week, I think they may become the favorite in the sweepstakes. They can't keep putting Culpepper out there playing the way he is. And with a new coaching regime most likely installed next year, if not sooner, maybe they start with a clean slate.


I would find Houston the most interesting of all cases. They have done so poorly at trying to fix the OL that they still do not know what Carr could do if he had a good OL. One of the best OL prospects in years is (right now) the #3 prospect in the draft. It is clear, I think, that Carr will never be a star in the league, and Lineart might. Do they roll out the former golden boy, whos upside now reads good instead of great, but will finally have some chance to be good, or do they put yet another golden boy #1 overall behind a dreadful line? I am rooting for Houston to "win" the pick just to watch this play out. That, or have Minnesota win the pick and run the clock out...

I don't think that Minnesota would be that interesting at all, since Culpepper is so accomplished. I think it would be easy to rationalize this as a bad year (partly attributable to having the most unqualified HC ever) and go forward fooling yourself into thinking you still have one of the top 5 QBs in the game. Its gotta be tempting to take Reggie Bush.

st.cronin 10-17-2005 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Huckleberry
Vince Young 4th in the nation in passing efficiency. Just for everyone's information. ;)

I'd still take Leinart first, of course, and it's not much of a question. Just noting that the difference between Vick and Young hypewise comes down to the fact that Vick was on the east coast.


I have the QB prospects like this:

1. Leinart
2. Young
3. Vick
4. Jacobs
5. Quinn
6. Croyle

Not sure if all those guys will be in the draft this year ... but this is looking like potentially the best class for QBs in a LONG time. Cutler and Leak have to be considered decent prospects as well, possibly Clemens and Besanez too.

Ryche 10-17-2005 09:31 AM

Hell, I thought Culpepper was the third best QB in the NFL just a few weeks ago ;) But he has only looked even decent in one game this year. A bad game here or there is to be expected. But the stretch of football he's playing right now is what I would have expected from him as a rookie. He was on the field with a 4th round draft pick rookie quarterback yesterday and you honestly could not tell which was the rookie.

Realistically, Culpepper is almost certainly the Vikings QB next year. But at some point he has to step up. If he keeps playing like this all year...well, Brad Johnson will be the starting QB before much longer.

Just saw that David Carr is due an 8 million dollar roster bonus next year. That could definitely factor into Houston's decision. Although I think bringing in a veteran and upgrading offensive line is more likely than them putting another rookie to the wolves.

Logan 10-17-2005 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samdari
I would find Houston the most interesting of all cases. They have done so poorly at trying to fix the OL that they still do not know what Carr could do if he had a good OL. One of the best OL prospects in years is (right now) the #3 prospect in the draft.


Is that D'Brickashaw Ferguson, or someone else?

RendeR 10-17-2005 10:46 AM

I'm actually pulling for the Ravens to win a few games. Palmer and big ben in one division is enough top flight QB's thank you very much. We don't need Leinert coming in and adding to the hysteria.

At this point I don't think the Texans pick Leinert, I think they'll either trade down (IF anyone makes a quality offer) or they take the top O-Lineman and go from there.

As for Carr, I honestly believe he CAN be a star in the NFL, but I'm wondering if its going to be for houston or perhaps a team who needs a decent QB like Arizona, Oakland, Baltimore, Cleveland, Minnesota and perhaps a couple others.

What are the odds of Houston taking leinert then turn and deal Carr off for some picks in the future?

interesting stuff this NFL is.

stevew 10-17-2005 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RendeR
I'm actually pulling for the Ravens to win a few games. Palmer and big ben in one division is enough top flight QB's thank you very much. We don't need Leinert coming in and adding to the hysteria.

At this point I don't think the Texans pick Leinert, I think they'll either trade down (IF anyone makes a quality offer) or they take the top O-Lineman and go from there.

As for Carr, I honestly believe he CAN be a star in the NFL, but I'm wondering if its going to be for houston or perhaps a team who needs a decent QB like Arizona, Oakland, Baltimore, Cleveland, Minnesota and perhaps a couple others.

What are the odds of Houston taking leinert then turn and deal Carr off for some picks in the future?

interesting stuff this NFL is.


Yeah, around work we were talking about that, and we hope the Ratbirds go like 8-8 this year, otherwise they might find someone to fix their QB mess(Leinart)

Ryche 11-07-2005 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by st.cronin
I have the QB prospects like this:

1. Leinart
2. Young
3. Vick
4. Jacobs
5. Quinn
6. Croyle

Not sure if all those guys will be in the draft this year ... but this is looking like potentially the best class for QBs in a LONG time. Cutler and Leak have to be considered decent prospects as well, possibly Clemens and Besanez too.


I'm starting to think Cutler is going to go in the first round. Impressive kid, reminds me a lot of Farve coming out of college. Gunslinger coming from an overmatch school. If he has a good combine and does well in the prospect games, I could see a team like Tampa grabbing him. Although I'd prefer if he slipped to the second for Minnesota.

Izulde 11-07-2005 01:16 PM

I say Bush gets drafted before Leinart.

Something just tells me that Leinart is overrated. Can't explain why though, just a hunch.

Izulde 11-07-2005 01:16 PM

Dola,

And I'd probably take Leak first out of all the QBs.

ISiddiqui 11-07-2005 01:21 PM

Leak? Over Vince Young? I can see someone saying Leinhart is overrated (because of the talent around him), but I can't imagine someone saying that Leak is a better NFL prospect than Vince Young.

Izulde 11-07-2005 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui
Leak? Over Vince Young? I can see someone saying Leinhart is overrated (because of the talent around him), but I can't imagine someone saying that Leak is a better NFL prospect than Vince Young.


The fact that Leak is still doing well in a system that doesn't fit him speaks volumes for his potential I think.

Honolulu_Blue 11-07-2005 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Schmidty
I think you are totally wrong and look forward to seeing the Lions run toward a mediocre 9-7 record this season. Mark it down.

The funny thing is, I agree with most of your post. Joey is shit. Garbage. A jazz pianist playing QB. But he should/will still be able to complete enough passes (to an emmensely talented recieving corpse) and hand off enough (to an uber-back like Jones) to be decent. I still believe in the defense (although I wonder if Jauron isn't the worst D.C. in the league) enough to think that it can help the offense just enough to eek out a winning record and a play-off berth.

I've believed in this team long before the G.B game, and I'll believe in them long after the shitty Bears game. If they falter, I'll look dumb, but at least I've stayed faithful.


A mediocre 9-7 is looking like a pipe dream at the moment... Good thing I didn't "Mark it down" as suggested.

As sad as it is for me to say, Schmidty, my man, you're looking like your boy John L. Williams right before halftime against OSU...

ISiddiqui 11-07-2005 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Izulde
The fact that Leak is still doing well in a system that doesn't fit him speaks volumes for his potential I think.


Potential? Because he is passing well in a system that uses the spread option? Meyer isn't a Tom Osborn guy, he does like to air it out.

Even with a system that Leak may not like, I'd be hardpressed to say he's got more potential or is better than Vince Young, who can run it as well as pass it.

Lemme guess.. you are a Florida fan, right? ;)

Izulde 11-07-2005 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui
Potential? Because he is passing well in a system that uses the spread option? Meyer isn't a Tom Osborn guy, he does like to air it out.

Even with a system that Leak may not like, I'd be hardpressed to say he's got more potential or is better than Vince Young, who can run it as well as pass it.

Lemme guess.. you are a Florida fan, right? ;)


Nah, not a Florida fan. More a Wisconsin fan than anything else. I'd be a Wyoming fan, but I hate this town and the university is okay, but not great.

War Memorial stadium is nice, though.

timmynausea 11-07-2005 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by st.cronin
I have the QB prospects like this:

1. Leinart
2. Young
3. Vick
4. Jacobs
5. Quinn
6. Croyle

Not sure if all those guys will be in the draft this year ... but this is looking like potentially the best class for QBs in a LONG time. Cutler and Leak have to be considered decent prospects as well, possibly Clemens and Besanez too.


I have to think Vick's stock dropped some after that Miami game. It was the first time he really faced pressure, and it wasn't pretty.

CHEMICAL SOLDIER 11-07-2005 02:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigJohn&TheLions
If SF does get the #1 pick, and Smith shows nothing, would SF be tempted to go with the guy they would have taken if he was there and trade Smith, or would they trade down? I know the cap would kill them.

Hey, then they could use the top pick in '07 on a QB too!

Paging Brady Quinn Paging Brady Quinn....
Seriously I do see the 49ers drafting Leinart, as much as I dont want them to it is feasable opition.

Samdari 11-07-2005 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CHEMICAL SOLDIER
Paging Brady Quinn Paging Brady Quinn....
Seriously I do see the 49ers drafting Leinart, as much as I dont want them to it is feasable opition.


I really don't think they can use the #1 pick two years in a row on a QB. It basically would be admitting completely blowing the Alex Smith pick (which I think they did, but my opinion is inconsequential). That is a PR/fan confidence nightmare. "We completely blew a rare opportunity at the top pick in the draft, and wasted a lot of your money in the process. But, please, get your season ticket renewals in early, we are sure we made the right choice this time."

They just can't do it. Besides, they sit no better than third right now, and neither Houston nor Green Bay is showing much.

st.cronin 11-07-2005 02:26 PM

I still think New Orleans/San Antonio will end up with Leinart.

Neuqua 11-07-2005 02:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honolulu_Blue
A mediocre 9-7 is looking like a pipe dream at the moment... Good thing I didn't "Mark it down" as suggested.

As sad as it is for me to say, Schmidty, my man, you're looking like your boy John L. Williams right before halftime against OSU...


No no, Schmidty is never wrong.

GrantDawg 11-07-2005 02:53 PM

Will Vick come out this year with no chance of being in the top ten picks? Will Quinn? They have a much better shot of going higher in the next draft than this one. I think they are both good prospects, but I do think they might stay put one more year. You have Lienhart, Young, Croyle, and maybe even Cutler being ranked above one or both of them, not to mention possibily Leak (who might stay for the same reason). It will still be a good class, but so will next year's crop.

Samdari 11-07-2005 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg
Will Vick come out this year with no chance of being in the top ten picks? Will Quinn? They have a much better shot of going higher in the next draft than this one. I think they are both good prospects, but I do think they might stay put one more year. You have Lienhart, Young, Croyle, and maybe even Cutler being ranked above one or both of them, not to mention possibily Leak (who might stay for the same reason). It will still be a good class, but so will next year's crop.


I have heard lots of rumblings about Quinn being in the same breath as Leinart - he'd go top 10, almost certainly, this year or next.

Of course, Aaron Rodgers was a sure top 10 guy not so long ago too.

ISiddiqui 11-07-2005 03:00 PM

If Quinn has a really good bowl game (like Young did last year), I can see him go Top 10.

moriarty 11-07-2005 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ISiddiqui
If Quinn has a really good bowl game (like Young did last year), I can see him go Top 10.


I'm not a Notre Dame fan, but I can see him going top 15, even top 10 with his size and accuracy. I don't see him going pro next year though.

ISiddiqui 11-07-2005 03:04 PM

I think that a team like Arizona would take him. He's a good prospect, and 'Zona would like getting a ND QB to actually get some fans in the building ;).

Young Drachma 11-07-2005 04:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Izulde
Nah, not a Florida fan. More a Wisconsin fan than anything else. I'd be a Wyoming fan, but I hate this town and the university is okay, but not great.

War Memorial stadium is nice, though.


C'mon, Bramlet is amazing. Isn't he? So what the hell was Joe Glenn smoking when he allowed him to throw away the season almost singlehandedly?

Oh well. At least, Jovon Bouknight will be a beast in the NFL to whatever team is smart enough to pick him up. That kid would be a 1st round pick if he played somewhere other than the U-Dub.

bhlloy 11-07-2005 05:18 PM

The media and a lot of so called "experts" are creaming themselves over Brady Quinn. Unless he stinks the rest of the way I can't see anyway he's not coming out this year and going top 10.

The one thing that keeps him in school IMO is if ND get the top 5 recruiting class that they look like they might get, and Weis convinces him they can challenge for the BCS next year.

stevew 11-07-2005 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg
Will Vick come out this year with no chance of being in the top ten picks? Will Quinn? They have a much better shot of going higher in the next draft than this one. I think they are both good prospects, but I do think they might stay put one more year. You have Lienhart, Young, Croyle, and maybe even Cutler being ranked above one or both of them, not to mention possibily Leak (who might stay for the same reason). It will still be a good class, but so will next year's crop.


I would think that "character issues" would keep vick out of the top 10 in any year? Maybe not though.

GrantDawg 11-07-2005 05:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stevew
I would think that "character issues" would keep vick out of the top 10 in any year? Maybe not though.



Not if he has a good year next season without issues. Too much potential, and building a track record of "straightening out." Another issue could kill him though.


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