2010 Football Betting Thread
 

I know we have some gamblers here. Anyone have anything they particularly like this weekend?

I like these games for tonight

OSU -28.5 vs. Marshall- The .5 could screw me but I see OSU rolling here
USC -21.5 vs. Hawaii- I think they play with a chip on their shoulder, at least early on
Minn -1 vs. MTSU- Middle Tenn is getting some talk here and I think Minn may play like they are insulted.
Miami-40 vs Fla A&M- Huge line but Miami feels they are National Title contenders and will want to get out to a good start.

3-1 to start my season, not bad. USCs defense looked absolutely horrid. I hedged my bet with a halftime bet of +28.5 and hit it so that worked out nicely. Off to a good start.

I may need to move this to the dynasty section unless more people contribute, lol.

I like the +59 tonight. Toledo gave up a ton of points last year and Arizona returns key starters on offense. I think they light it up.

Are you suppose to have a bet on it to post. I quit after winning 6 seasons. The last year I went on crazy monkey tilt and only won 200 after almost winning 7k. I got way too wrapped up in it so I quit. I don't keep up with it at all compared to what I used to. I used to just put 10 dollars on a game so I'd watch it. Then later in the year I'd know the teams better and bet more. I won must my money on the dogs. Not knowing much I'd take cinn plus 2 this weekend. Like the thread. The main reason I got into betting was my uncle told me I couldn't win at it. After I got pissed at only winning 200 and them trying to crack down on putting money offshore I realized I've done enough to show I could win so I quit. It was effecting my health.

Lathum, I'm in on that over...only have $100 for the whole football season and Ill only be betting on that so any locks you guys see out there (:) ) lemme know.

I like Cincinnati +2.5. That line has moved 5 points.

I've done reasonably well in the past with betting (only bet on football, and maybe March Madness) but my budget has almost no wiggle room to play around with this year. I was only thinking of betting a very small amount during the football season (similar to Flash's $100) but never settled on a website. Is there one out there offering a good bonus or anything?

Also, with the small amount I want to play around with, I need to find a site that isn't going to eat up any potential winnings in fees when I try to withdraw.

a red zone turn over by each team in the third quarter have pretty much buried the over. Game shoulf have at least 44 points going into the 4th quarter

Early games I am taking

MSU-23.5 vs. WMU- MSU won this matchup last year 49-14 with WMU having a 4 year starter at QB. Now they have a first time starter and I see them struggling to put up points.

Fla -39 vs Miami of Ohio- I think Fla and Brantley want to make an early statement. This game has 35-0 midway through the second quarter written all over it

Texas -31.5 vs Rice- Another team with a new QB replacing a legend. This has 60-3 written all over it.

Nd- Purdue +53- Don't have much faith in either teams defense and Kelly usualy has some offensive tricks up his sleeve.

UConn-Mich -53- Uconn plays good defense and I think they will look to pound the ball and play a possession game.


Clemson -27.5 vs N Texas- This is the type of game Clemson wins 55-7 and gets everyone all fired up about them before they inevitably lay an egg against an inferior opponent

Discuss.

I have very little in depth knowledge of College Football but I enjoy gambling so I always set a small bankroll aside for it.

I have Florida and The ND/Purdue over as well.

Looking for one more nooner to put a wager on.

I use BoDog and so far no line on the FSU game, I am waiting to see if they put one up. I think they win big to get the Jimbo Fischer era underway.

Not to threadjack, but I'm looking hard at leaving Bodog, they post their lines way too late. It gets tedious.

Still waiting on a PSU line 1:22 before gametime.

I agree with you on that point, but I like everything else about them.

FSU line is up, -37. I'm all over that

Following you on FSU just for funsies.

So my lineup on the early games is,

Florida -39
FSU -27
PSU -39

Not in love with the PSU game, very nervous about the combination of them starting a true freshman at QB and them playing Alabama next week and wanting to keep the offense very vanilla

Yeah, I'm just playing that one cause i'll be watching it. I'm more than willing to admit that CFB is my worst sport betting wise, so nobody follow my picks.

Rice +32

Florida -21(1st half)
Oklahome -33.5
TCU -13

Fucking Florida looks dreadful.

ND/Purdue Over 55
Kentucky -3, Love this one.

Arkansas State +31½

Bama -40
UW -2
OK State -17- I love this game, WSU is so bad

Playing Houston -40, cause why the hell not.

It kinda pissed me off the team I posted lost so I was going to look at the games and make my own lines up for the up coming week like I used to. That's when I realized I didn't know anything about them anymore. Sorry. I won right at 50 percent in the pros but was over 60 in College. One year I hit 72 percent but the second best was 68. The last four years I'd say my average week would be 8.5 and 5. It would take 3 years to get close to knowing the teams like I did back then. I took 200 dollars and would bet based on a percentage of my roll. I did win upto 2200 and then loved the pitt odds so I put 200 ml on them against the colts the year they upset them in the playoffs. Then I bet my biggest bet I consider on pit plus the points. Won a touch over a 1k that week also. Bet 40 dollars on seahawks because I had pitt to win the superbowl at 17 to 1. I say consider my biggest bet because I put 1300 hundred on OU ML against Boise State. When I heard AP was going to play I took the other side plus 7 for 400. Then I bet Boise at 20 to 1 right before that miracle play on 3 and 17. I still lost the most ever on a game but I was in love with USC that same day so I won money on the day still. I wasn't comfortable with ARK that day so I didn't bet them, then hit them with the over/under at halftime for a profit of 200. I mention losing down to 200. It was on CB after I won on football. Tha's why I quit, I was stupid. Lost down from 4k to 2k so I just went a little crazy. I know most people don't win or even approach it as winnable so you can think I'm full of shit but I'm not joking around like I was with the elephant slot machine joke. I am curious if anyone would post their win percentage. I'd like see college but if I saw someone won over 60 percent in the nfl than I'd be impressed and I'm more interested in that. I don't know how anyone could win over 60 percent unless they had inside information or something.

Anyone have any thoughts on VT/BSU?

Every time I wanna throw down on VT at home I remember last years Boise St/TCU game. Boise St dominated TCU to finish undefeated. They also beat Oregon last year very easily. They have something like 20 starters back and probably a better coach at the helm. I know Beamer is great but he is not even close to Peterson as a game-planner/innovator. I do think VT should be able to run the ball though, however, Boise St will force Tyrod to throw and I'm not so sure that will work out very well for him. So, long story short, I'm leaning towards the Broncs but prolly not betting on the game.

Also, just read this about VT:

"They return just 4 starters on DEF and must replace 3 of the 4 DL. Their top tackler LB Rivers has a torn quad, and 2 more LBs are on the injured list. In both full scrimmages this fall the offense has dominated the defense, apparently it has been very difficult to plug in bodies on the Front 7......see notes at HokieHaven.com

VT known for it's special teams has a redshirt freshman at both PK and K."


Hmmm, the game is now a pick'em. Boise St had been a 2.5 point favorite all off-season. Starting to think about putting some coin on Boise.

betus is giving Boise 1.5...

Ill put down 10 on them to make the game more interesting to watch.

NFL lines up on Bodog, makes me very nervous the Giants are a 7 point favorite

went 6-5 on Saturday and nailed the over in both games yesterday to go to 8-5 on the weekend.

As for todays games I have no clue what to expect from either of them.

Virginia Tech will have a huge advantage in fan support today.

I like the Hokies -1.5

As for this weeks NFL
Houston +2.5
St Louis +4
Jags -2.5

look nice.

Teased Maryland to +10.5 along with Boise St up to +6.5. Liking what Maryland is showing so far...


edit...of course they throw a pick in the red zone as I post that.

I'm liking Texas -29 vs. Wyoming this week.

Also really liking Under 53 for tonights game.

Bama at home -11 versus Penn St seems like a lock. Frosh QB on the road against that D? Plus McElroy looks like he has taken a step forward.

I'm so confused about this game tonight. Everyone seems heavy on one team or the other and alot of play on the under despite the feeling that both teams will be able to score.

Boise has been +1 at Bodog for an hour or so at least and I was waiting to see if it moved anymore but it went down to a pick. Total moved down too.

Went with Boise pick and Over 53 as two separate bets.

Nice call on that OVER. Amazing game.

TCYJunkie, hxxp://www.covers.com is a real good place to follow public stats for cappers as well as forums where if you sift you can find good guys to either follow or fade.

Only real reason I went with Boise tonight was the most of the posters going with them had solid reasons (players returning for Boise and not for VT, bad special teams for VT) while most of those backing VT were screaming and yelling to the heavens about Boise being a non BCS team and getting whooped and what not.

I had Boise and the over as well.

One thing I always seem to kill myself on is teasing games that I don't need to. Would have won way more just parlaying Maryland and Boise St, obviously. Need to work on that.

If you're betting to win money, dont play teasers. If you're betting for fun, by all means continue.

Anyone who likes the saints better jump on them now. The line has moved from -4.5 to -6 overnight.

Yeah I usually just tease the games I'm not real serious about, makes multiple games more fun to watch. Ya know, since watching a game without something riding on it is no fun...ha.

Carolina didn't score an offensive touchdown all preseason, Thomas Davis is out for the year, in general more losses than gains on defense, lots of questions about whether Matt Moore can be anywhere close to as good as he was in his brief time last year throughout a full season, the continuing decade long failure to provide a #2 receiver behind Steve Smith, etc. There's a lot of questions with the young QB, the 'maybe he breaks out and becomes a star out of nowhere' but everything seems to lean towards the pessimistic side of things.

As far as betting, -7 seems like a lot given the unknowns since so many guys sat out all preseason and I would absolutely stay away from the game, but it seems very hard to imagine this Carolina team having a strong start and winning on the road.

Not to mention that is the new stadium Home opener. Should provide even more of a frenzied atmosphere. I won't be laying 7 but will most likely be taking the Giants in a Survivor Pool.

Finished CFB Week 1 at 4-3-1 and minus bonuses up $40. I'm a high roller!!
That Houston game Saturday night pissed me off.

I stay away from Parlays and generaly teasers but i've done well with Sweetheart Teasers and really like to mix and match NFL & NBA on those once the season starts.

Thanks for that covers site. I always did one 8 team parlay of my best picks for 2 dollars to keep track of my top 8 plays, hit one some how. Told my mom and she thought I said a 18 team parlay.

Take Cal vs Colorado (-7.5 last I saw).

Where are you seeing 6? Its -5 in Vegas.

If I can get the Vikings +6 now and get the Saints at -3/-4 at gametime Id be pretty excited.

Once Joe Public realizes Favre is fine and Harvin is playing it will be back to a 3/4 point spread.

Bodog has it at -6

Thank you!

Do you have a bodog account?

I do but I havent used it since they were having financial problems a few years back. I do like to line shop on the NFL though especially since most of the games end up so close to the spread.

betus has the vikes +5.5

Thinking about jumping all over the +49 for tonights game.

Anyone know any sportsbooks offering an NFL deposit bonus?

Seetheart teased
Saints +7
Over 36 1/2
Temple +6
Auburn +10 1/2

Will probably use the total on the Minn/NO game in a few other teasers.

Another teaser put in tonight

Minn/NO Over 36 1/2
Miami/Buff Under 51 1/2
Packers +10
Packers/Eagles Over 34 1/2

Went with the over 49 plus a few prop bets.

Brees +285.5 yards
Brees +2 TD's thrown
over 10 points in first quarter

i have the saints D in fantasy so no bets tonight.

Goddam. Had Saints -3 1st half. Stupid missed FG.

The season is not off to a good start. Need a 5 TD second half...

I have a feeling alot of people will end up on the wrong side of the total tonight.

yeah, Vegas is going to make a killing on this one.

Got the push at NO -5. Garrett Hartley kills both my bets that sob.

I'm all over Hou/Utep Over 74.

I'm on Houston -20. Nice revenge spot for them on national TV.

So what are people thinking when it comes to the NFL slate? My initial reaction was to pound the Packers and the over in that game but it just looks too easy. As Howard Eskin used to say "the line is telling me something". Everybody and their mother have been all over the Packers all offseason and even though it's on the road they're facing a first time QB and an untested defense that doesn't project to be all that great.

And if you think the Lions are gonna be good, the ML is a strong play I think.

I know UTEP has been slowly getting better but other than peripheral knowledge I have no idea how good they are.

I'm taking OKST -14.5 and the Niners -3.5

The more I look at the NFL lines i'm getting see alot to like. Miami/SF/Jax all look solid plays.

I'm putting a small wager on WV tonight. Public is big on them and it seems like the public has been better than average so far. My spidey sense is telling me that it looks obvious because it is obvious.

Also really liking ECU tomorrow.

Took the over 46 in the WVU game and over 23.5 in first half.

WVU not looking so hot so far.

I wish I would have jumped on Oregon and Cal when the lines first came out. I'm on the fence with Stanford but will more than likely pass.

Taking Houston -21, cause why not.

I drank tho over 74 Kool Aid for the Houston game, I know I'll regret it. I have a feeling it will be something like 10-7 end of the first half.

Would REALLY like to see Houston put some points up with 1:23 left in the half. They get the ball coming out of Half too, I believe.

edit: Love this Houston team.

That score there will help on the quest for the over.

Took the over 38 for first half and minus -11, was a nice late TD.

I added Hawaii +2.5 for tomorrow as well.

Why do I have a feeling that missed extra point is gonna kill me. Christ.

Sweet, nice work by Houston despite losing Keenum. Hawaii is a popular pick tomorrow, what's the reasoning? Thanks.

Uhh, last weeks nationally televised cover against #14USC where they put up more first down, yardage and TOP against the Trojans.

Got Texas A&M -20
USC -20
SC -3
ECU -13 1/2 (Love this one)

Still looking for another early game.

Hawaii traveling that far and starting so early scares me.

Anyone with any action on the Miami v OSU game? Thinking about taking Canes +8, I'm just not a believer in Pryor and think Miami's D will be wayyy faster than Marshall's. Not sold on the bet yet, though. Anyone talk me out of it?

I neither have a feel for it, nor have I seen many opinions on it. I know alot of people thing OSU has a big time defense but I still don't trust the Big10.

As a huge Buckeye fan I'm staying away from this one. The Bucks win but really not sure by how much. This is hopefully the true coming out part for Pryor and gang. I'm thinking Saine is up for a big game - at least that's what I'm hoping for.

Anyhow - my prediction is OSU 20 'Canes 17.

That game versus SC couldn't have been a better scenario for Hawaii, though. Like Suicane said, this is a wayyyy different environment for them on the road and playing very early. Haven't seen Army play but I imagine they can run the ball and play smart.

Early Games


Ga Tech-KU- -50- Is there any reason to think this game goes over 50?

Memphis- ECU- +58- I think the line is high based on what ECU did last week but I'll risk it.

Hawaii +3- Offense looked good last week

Wisconsin-San Jose +53- The Badgers showed they will igive up some points, I'm looking for something like 44-13

FLA- MSU- +56- both teams showed they can score in their first game last week.

Fla-USF +50- I think Fla puts up a lot more points and is much crisper than last week with regards to snapping the ball.

Nebraska -28- I think their defense provides them with great field position all day.

Hawaii +2
East Carolina -15
OK State - 14.5

4 team parlay: SJ State +40, Oregon/Tenn over 52, Texas -28.5, Hawaii +2 (I like to do a small parlay on games I have a hunch on but am unwilling to place an actual single game wager)

I played a 5 (maybe 6, can't remember) point tease ECU-8, Oklahoma-2.

5Dimes has a cool "tie wins" bet on teasers.

Also, looks like a great call on Hawaii. Wish I had rolled with it!

You guys on Hawaii, bravo. I didn't have the balls for that one.

Thanks for brining this one up. I didn't even want to go near ECU as I was not impressed last week. I took a quick look to see why you loved this one and could see why...Memphis is BAD.

Yeah, early games going good so far. Will likely add OKS and Cal later.

If you guys are looking for a sneaky pick tonight, I've got Southern Illinois +11.5 vs Illinois. SIU is #2 in the FCS and always a tough game for FBS teams (almost beat Indiana last year) and Illinois looks to be a mess.

Damn, think we jinxed that Hawaii game.

Afternoon picks

Iowa -14
Cal-Colorado +50
Fl state +7 ( I think they win outright)
Mich-ND -53 ( Heard the weather was pretty bad)
Navy -29
Miami- OSU +47