I don't have a lot of time, and I don't feel like I found anything strong in my readings. Fontisian pings me better with her posts tonight, and my vote on her was not based on her but on Jackal's move. I think Mauchow had a weird last second vote switch but otherwise looks good, so I don't think that's a strong vote at this point.

I will move to Abe as the third candidate at this point. I can see the possibility of misdirection that bhlloy points out, and the tunnelling on Font is a typical wolf move of keeping the village fixated on one option. So could be something there. Only other option I'm feeling at this point is cheekimonk if we thought votes would put a fire under his ass.

I was down for the count yesterday. Had a doc appt in the afternoon that turned out needing a bunch of tests and drained me. In my defense, I said my vote on Chief was bait because we hadn't heard much from him. I just wasn't around to change it later.

Delivered in my previous post

An attempt to get a two person race. I don't believe font should be that 2nd person and obviously I don't want it to be me.

If tarcone is just playing quiet villager, that sucks. If he's playuing quiet wolf well, kudos...i guess.

I concur

Sadly, I am at work until the deadline again. Really happy with most of the vote changes, and I think Autumn's joke about halfway buying the scumread on chief was pretty town, lol.

I'm not comfy sticking with font. I'm not sure about Abe, but I like the call earlier on Autumn jumping off Jackal...

What makes you unsure about Abe, either way?

What about players that didn't vote Jackal at all, or have a hand in getting him to where he got voted out?

Thanks for your explanation about the Chief vote, I forgot you did have 'bait' in your post, I just didn't understand it. Sorry about your doc appt, hopefully you're feeling better today.

Same as bhlloy's reasoning in #546. It obviously doesn't convince me 100%.

Thanks for the well wishes. It was just too many blood tests.

Didn't get that late-workday read in; scanned now between trivia rounds don't mind the current tack.

Not really feeling me as a contender today, but I don't have anyone to push, so I guess I can't complain. That said, me moving off of Jackal should be considered along with me being one of the first to push Jackal, IMHO. I agree, I screwed up by moving, but not sure he would have even been in the running without me.

Pretty sure this sequence is why Julio was the NK. Seer hunting.

Here's Autumn an hour before deadline D1 with the vote 4-3-1-1-1 or so (Jackal 4 font 3). He comes off Jackal but he looks like he's doing real work to find another candidate. He was right on his thoughts about Chief too.

Sorry, Brit also had two votes at that time. If he had wanted to help Jackal, he had easier paths to pursue.

Yet to vote: JAG, tarcone

JAG is in - can we replace tarcone if he's inactive for a full 24 hour period?

I've got a couple feelers out to see if someone can step in.

Yeah I think I forgot to refresh the page to check for more posts before I copied EF's vote count and added the "yet to vote".

And I agree.. I don't know why tarcone is absent, but unless this is somehow his game play, I think it could be rather detrimental to the game.

Well I got back before deadline. I don't know that I've ever been one to do the kind of in-depth analysis many here seem to do. I tend to make my spreadsheets, consider the theories others are presented, and then ultimately go with my gut. Day 1 there wasn't much to go on at all.. and then today I didn't have time to do more than quickly read through what had been going on while I was in meetings before I had to leave work at the end of the day.. so haven't really had an opportunity to reflect.

I think I'm getting why people are moving away from mauchow now. I'm currently leaning towards Abe.. mainly because if I'm recalling correctly he was someone that tried to push conversation away from discussion of Jackal's flub about villager PMs. I need to go back and reread to verify that though before I commit and change my vote... but luckily today I actually have time before the deadline!

I'm here but pretty happy with my vote on Abe right now, unless anyone can go back and bring up anything else we may have not already picked up on from day 1?

Nevermind.. it appears my memory isn't all that great. I'm not finding any posts with Abe mentioning the Jackal villager PM discussion. Looks like I was probably conflating Abe with Autumn.

Excerpt from Autumn's post #318:

Excerpt from Autumn's post #353:

I did read his D1 posts. I felt a little uneasy about them. I will say he never did try to sway anyone away Jackal. He was trying to talk Autumn off mau lightly. He went dark from 40 mins before deadline to 12 minutes after.

I read #263-265 as a defense of Jackal and then an immediate vote on somebody else. Is it watertight? No, but it's the best I have to go on

Autumn is a bit more vocal in defense of Jackal but he's also the one who called him out immediately after his post and put the first vote on him. A wolf only does that to build trust and he ruined that by moving his vote off him and leaving it off. I don't see it, but those two are really good players so it's possible. I think it's somewhat unlikely though.

A wolf will never come out strongly in defense of another wolf, they will try to softly introduce doubt and steer the vote elsewhere and that's what I see the Abe posts above doing. Plus I really don't feel Font (I'm sure something is going on but the play is the same since day 0 when she couldn't have been a wolf yet) or Mau who were the other two options, after looking through yesterday in detail.

Well, if Abe shows up, clearly he moves to me, and that leaves things up to Britrock, if he's around, or someone to switch. Better me than a tie. And maybe better me than Abe if he's not around to defend himself or reveal anything.

The posts deflecting attention from Jackal are the one thing really pinging my radar right now. That angle is what started tingling in the back of my mind as I was catching up on posts this evening. And as I mentioned above, I tend to go with more gut reasoning than the hard analysis many others here manage to do. Yes I have my spreadsheets, but they're primarily geared towards tracking votes, and I don't think there's been enough days of real voting for there to be a lot to learn from that yet. But I have to vote one way or another, right? So I'm going with what popped out at me.

Quiet.

Worryingly quiet

Ummm, who the what?

DOLA - never mind, for some reason didn't see him there in the character list

Vinton Harper - Not the brightest bulb in the box. His abilities are unknown, maybe even to him.

Dayum... whoever is Vinton just absolutely crushed it. If he even knew he was doing it, based on the role description

Lol, awesome.

Well that was an impressive play by Autumn, gotta give him credit.