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-   -   COVID-19 - Wuhan Coronavirus (a non-political thread, see pg. 36 #1778) (http://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=96561)

cartman 03-13-2020 11:48 AM

Was supposed to travel to Florida next weekend, but that trip just got cancelled. It was partially for work, but also to go to a celebration of life for my friend's son that suddenly passed away about a month ago. They decided to postpone the gathering until a later date.

henry296 03-13-2020 11:54 AM

I'm not sure if interaction with just one or two people with the virus makes it a certainty you will catch it. Based on the Utah Jazz data, there were 2 people with the virus out of the 58 people they tested who had close contact with them. We know about how long it takes to develop symptoms, but I'm not sure how long after the interaction a negative test is conclusive.

My other question is after you test positive and the symptoms pass are you still contagious. With other viruses, like the flu once you are symptom free for 1 day you can return to work. I think most mild cases only last a couple of days so if you are clear then you could return to work and not have to be isolated for 14 days.

spleen1015 03-13-2020 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by henry296 (Post 3268609)
I'm not sure if interaction with just one or two people with the virus makes it a certainty you will catch it. Based on the Utah Jazz data, there were 2 people with the virus out of the 58 people they tested who had close contact with them. We know about how long it takes to develop symptoms, but I'm not sure how long after the interaction a negative test is conclusive.

My other question is after you test positive and the symptoms pass are you still contagious. With other viruses, like the flu once you are symptom free for 1 day you can return to work. I think most mild cases only last a couple of days so if you are clear then you could return to work and not have to be isolated for 14 days.


Sanjay Gupta was on CNN last night and he said you were still contagious after your symptoms go away. I think he said for a 3-5 day period afterwards. I might have the number of days wrong though.

NobodyHere 03-13-2020 01:38 PM

Ohio is up to 13 people confirmed and 159 with tests pending.

Edward64 03-13-2020 01:44 PM

Delta announcing 40% reduction in capacity over next few months.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/13/busin...uts/index.html
Quote:

Delta Air Lines announced major cuts to its capacity Friday because of the coronavirus. The company said it is facing worse conditions and making deeper cuts than after the 9/11 terror attacks.

"The speed of the demand fall-off is unlike anything we've seen -- and we've seen a lot in our business," CEO Ed Bastian wrote in a memo to employees that was obtained by CNN.

The company will make an "overall capacity reduction in the next few months of 40% -- the largest capacity reduction in Delta's history, including 2001," Bastian wrote. "The situation is fluid and likely to be getting worse."
The cuts include parking up to 300 of its aircraft.

cartman 03-13-2020 01:53 PM

One of the people who tested positive in Austin was the wife of the UT president.

COVID-19 Identified within UT Community | Office of the President | The University of Texas at Austin

Lathum 03-13-2020 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3268604)
Ted Cruz is hopelessly power-driven, and says and does whatever he thinks he needs to say and do in the moment in order to maintain/increase his power. Full stop.

Ted Cruz is also smart--smart enough to understand where this is headed. After things go terribly, being the conservative Republican who said and did all the right things could help him tremendously as his Party attempts to recover/rebuild. Numerous conservative pundits and publications are starting to grumble about the administration's response--not just NeverTrumpers, but some who have been complete bootlickers up to now. My guess is that he's angling for stature among that group.




Cruz also hates Trump and would love to be the one who comes out looking good. He knows the shit will hit the fan soon and a lot of Trumps demographic will be hit hard. He is betting they turn on him.

sterlingice 03-13-2020 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand (Post 3268544)
Credit where it's due... this guy is acting like the adult in the room
.@SenTedCruz extends quarantine. pic.twitter.com/PjBwl7g0MI
Julie Fine (@JulieFineNBC5) March 13, 2020


Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3268589)
#COVID19 is not a Democratic virus or a Republican virus. It is a dangerous virus. This is a serious public health crisis, and we need to take it seriously. pic.twitter.com/24LXuZs0MW
Senator Ted Cruz (@SenTedCruz) March 13, 2020
Hard to believe, but Ted Cruz is saying and doing all the right things.


It's kindof amazing, I know... oh wait, of course:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3268604)
Ted Cruz is hopelessly power-driven, and says and does whatever he thinks he needs to say and do in the moment in order to maintain/increase his power. Full stop.

Ted Cruz is also smart--smart enough to understand where this is headed. After things go terribly, being the conservative Republican who said and did all the right things could help him tremendously as his Party attempts to recover/rebuild. Numerous conservative pundits and publications are starting to grumble about the administration's response--not just NeverTrumpers, but some who have been complete bootlickers up to now. My guess is that he's angling for stature among that group.



SI

sterlingice 03-13-2020 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3268582)
But now Brazil is saying Bolsonaro tested negative.



https://www.theatlantic.com/health/a...avirus/607759/

Of course, the test is only like 60% effective and gives a lot of false negatives:


Quote:

The sensitivity can be less than 100 percent and still be very useful, Ko says, in many cases. But as that number falls, so does the usefulness of any given result. In China, the sensitivity of tests has been reported to be as low as 30 to 60 percentmeaning roughly half of the people who actually had the virus had negative test results. Using repeated testing was found to increase the sensitivity to 71 percent. But that means a negative test still couldnt fully reassure someone like the teacher that he definitely doesnt have the virus. At that level of sensitivity, Ko says, if youre especially risk-averse, do you just say: If you have a cold, stay home?





SI

Lathum 03-13-2020 02:15 PM

Guy on FOX News even saying The White House had to walk back many statements from 2 nights ago and he has to be 100% "pure" with what he says today. Also ctitical of McConnell and the senate about wanting to go on break.

It will be interesting to see if Trump gets turned on at some point by more moderates.

PilotMan 03-13-2020 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268651)

It will be interesting to see if Trump gets turned on.


Dude, what do you think Fox news is for?

JPhillips 03-13-2020 02:21 PM

Almost 100 new cases in NY today. Now that testing is ramping up, I expect these numbers to go much higher.

Lathum 03-13-2020 02:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3268654)
Dude, what do you think Fox news is for?


haha, well played

Thomkal 03-13-2020 02:32 PM

Louisiana postpones its 2020 primary due to the virus

sterlingice 03-13-2020 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomkal (Post 3268658)
Louisiana postpones its 2020 primary due to the virus



I've wondered when these political chips will start falling.


SI

Thomkal 03-13-2020 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 3268662)
I've wondered when these political chips will start falling.


SI



Yeah me too, a lot of complaining about this-that they should do it by mail.

thesloppy 03-13-2020 03:02 PM

Karlie Kloss's father asked Facebook group for coronavirus recommendations for Jared Kushner: report


sterlingice 03-13-2020 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arles (Post 3268490)
So, if Rudy Gobert doesnt get the virus yesterday, do we still have all sports playing today? I think we do. Im not saying its wrong either, its just crazy if you think about it.

In a weird way, Gobert and his selfish, stupid actions may have saved lives. I think we were still a week ahead of a lot of these cancellations and quarantines and the announcements of him and then the NBA cancelling (and Tom Hanks) may have saved lives (or at least delayed things).



SI

Lathum 03-13-2020 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 3268709)
In a weird way, Gobert and his selfish, stupid actions may have saved lives. I think we were still a week ahead of a lot of these cancellations and quarantines and the announcements of him and then the NBA cancelling (and Tom Hanks) may have saved lives (or at least delayed things).



SI


Totally agree. It also helps that it was a player from the league with the most progressive commish.

Lathum 03-13-2020 04:16 PM

Did the doctor lady say when that website would be live?

miami_fan 03-13-2020 04:44 PM

All Florida schools are now closed for two weeks.

Brian Swartz 03-13-2020 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miked
I am going to avoid most restaurants at all costs. When there is an epidemic, I'm going to avoid the places where potentially unhygienic people are touching my food, let alone people who are more likely to work sick because they need the money. No danke! I would imagine most restaurants will have to temporarily close over the next few weeks and then apply for bailouts.


Thanks for everyone who reported in on what's happening in your areas. I think the above quote here is entirely the appropriate response for the grater good and is likely what will end up happening. I'm not encouraged by the early returns on how my particular company is reacting (or more accurately, not reacting) but there is precedent in the past from the upper levels - they've paid everybody reasonable amounts of hours in single restaurants when there was a fire to stay home until the store was rebuilt, etc. Whether that kind of thing will happen in this situation for a much larger group for the length of time required? All of that is still very much up in the air.

molson 03-13-2020 05:29 PM

It's been fun to get an email from every business that has my email address to assure me that their employees wash their hands a lot.

thesloppy 03-13-2020 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3268747)
It's been fun to get an email from every business that has my email address to assure me that their employees wash their hands a lot.


I think I wagered $20 each at Fan Duel & Draft Kings like 3 years ago, but I got email blasts from both of them letting me know that they would still be providing me with ways to win during these uncertain times, which has been reassuring.

JPhillips 03-13-2020 06:06 PM

About that website Trump promoted...


Vegas Vic 03-13-2020 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3268747)
It's been fun to get an email from every business that has my email address to assure me that their employees wash their hands a lot.


I got several of those, plus this one from Supercuts that included

We kindly request that if you are not feeling well, please reschedule your visit for when you are feeling better for the safety of our team and other customers.

cartman 03-13-2020 06:11 PM


Lathum 03-13-2020 07:04 PM

My kids school closed next 2 weeks. Looks like I am homeschooling. They sent home a huge packet of work.

PilotMan 03-13-2020 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3268747)
It's been fun to get an email from every business that has my email address to assure me that their employees wash their hands a lot.



I can call the car dealership and it might be possible to have my test drive brought to me at home. That's a time killer and a half!

rjolley 03-13-2020 07:26 PM

Kids are home for 4 weeks...3 weeks off plus spring break. No work was sent home. We have a few ideas to keep them doing school work.

I'm tired of getting the emails about what X company is doing to combat coronavirus. It's starting to make me wonder if they'll keep with these measures after this is over or if they'll go back to the not so clean practices they were following before.

ColtCrazy 03-13-2020 07:32 PM

My school district is shutting down next week. A week of e-learning and, thanks to a mild winter, 2 weeks of spring break. Gives us 3 weeks of no students and a chance to ride out the worst of it (hopefully). Today was a lot of stress for teachers to prepare and support staff to wonder about getting paid. Thankfully, my district opted to have support staff come in and work so they can get paid. Will find some creative ways to use them!

JAG 03-13-2020 07:50 PM

Governor of Minnesota stated they are keeping schools open for now, declared a peacetime emergency and recommended no 250+ gatherings but did not ban them. MN is up to 14 cases, supposedly all from travel rather than community spread. The additional 5 cases from yesterday were from 250 tests conducted in the past 24 hours.

JPhillips 03-13-2020 08:46 PM

Diners at restaurants in Seattle are down almost 60% from this time last year.

GrantDawg 03-13-2020 09:12 PM

My son's school is closed for an indefinite time. It will be at least two weeks. They are doing some online course work.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Edward64 03-13-2020 09:21 PM

Not confirmed this is the final version but best I could find on details on the agreement.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/13/coro...each-deal.html
Quote:

When Pelosi announced the agreement, she said the legislation includes:
  • Free coronavirus testing for all who need it, including those without insurance
  • Up to two weeks of paid sick leave and up to three months of paid family and medical leave
  • Stronger unemployment insurance for furloughed workers
  • Buttressing SNAP and other food programs for school children and seniors
  • More money for Medicaid, the joint federal and state insurance program for low-income Americans


So the obvious question is how is treatment going to be paid? I assume I'll do the 20% copay but do we have reassurances that (1) treatment will be taken care of by my insurance and (2) the 20% copay of X, that X is a reasonable amount.

Lathum 03-13-2020 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3268760)
Diners at restaurants in Seattle are down almost 60% from this time last year.


Good friends of mine own a bar in Belltown. They said a lot of restaurants are considering closing.

Brian Swartz 03-13-2020 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips
Diners at restaurants in Seattle are down almost 60% from this time last year.


Thanks for this. Seattle seems to me to be a reasonable baseline for where things may end up before they get better.

miami_fan 03-13-2020 09:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3268578)
Observations upon my return from the local Publix.

1. A bit more crowded than usual but nowhere near as crowded as hurricane prep time.

2. An older lady demanded that she wipe down the cart handle before she would allow me to take back her cart for her. She had just finished sanitizing her hands

3. Sandwich line was empty. As in I could have walked straight up and ordered. I have never seen that before after 11am

4. Still no TP, hand sanitizer and alcohol wipes. Plenty of Bounty paper towels. I am assuming they just got a shipment in or else people hate Bounty.

5. Message to the guy who on Monday was ripping the Little League for being "snowflakes" after the banning of high fives in the "good game" line. YOU can't be the guy now requesting to bump elbows as a greeting!

5. Passed by McDonald's on the way. Parking lot and drive thru pretty empty for this time of day.


I went back up to Publix to get the wife some coffee creamer.

OMFG! What a difference ten hours made! I guess everyone is taking it seriously now. Empty shelves galore. They did have the coffee creamer though.

I talked with a cashier I know and she said the last fours hours was worse than anything she has during the hurricane season.

tarcone 03-13-2020 09:48 PM

Went to Sams club. Busy. Stocked up. Got 5 containers of disinfectant wipes and 120 Slim Jims.

Im ready.

thesloppy 03-13-2020 10:02 PM


bhlloy 03-13-2020 11:47 PM

My wife's employees dad thinks he has it and was tested, but didn't tell his daughter who lives with him who continued to go to work the next day. We were planning on social distancing but looks like that might become enforced quarantine... he gets his results on Monday or Tuesday.

As of around 9pm, supermarkets in the LA area appear to be completely cleaned out according to a few of my coworkers who shopped around a bit. The panic is well and truly here folks.

MrBug708 03-13-2020 11:54 PM

My district and pretty much all the local districts in Los Angeles are shutting down.

A lot of stuff off the aisles. A lot of stuff still around. But no toilet paper to be found.

My SIL's roommate tested positive for it up in Seattle. She's been sick the last couple of days, so Im sure she has it.

molson 03-14-2020 12:11 AM

Norm Macdonald still out there killing, with brand new coronavirus material.

Norm Macdonald does standup about coronavirus - YouTube

Brian Swartz 03-14-2020 12:39 AM

It occurs to me that while we'll never know probably how hard they are hit, this might be one time when North Korea's super-paranoid approach actually works to their benefit.

Edward64 03-14-2020 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3268777)
It occurs to me that while we'll never know probably how hard they are hit, this might be one time when North Korea's super-paranoid approach actually works to their benefit.


FWIW

Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
Quote:

The U.S. is fairly certain that there are coronavirus cases in North Korea, despite denials by Pyongyang, because of a lack of military activity, according to a senior American army commander.

North Koreas military has fundamentally been on lockdown for almost a month and didnt fly a single aircraft for 24 days before resuming its routine training, Commander of the U.S. Forces Korea Robert Abrams told reporters in a teleconference briefing on Friday.

You know, youve seen the public statements by North Korea that they claim that they have no Covid-19 cases, he said. It is a closed-off nation, so we cant say emphatically that they have cases, but were fairly certain they do.

miami_fan 03-14-2020 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rjolley (Post 3268756)
I'm tired of getting the emails about what X company is doing to combat coronavirus. It's starting to make me wonder if they'll keep with these measures after this is over or if they'll go back to the not so clean practices they were following before.


This. Like I get it, everyone has their own standards for cleanliness and there is inherent risk in going out to eat, going to the gym, etc. Most of us have either been in these service businesses or know someone who has and know the horror stories. Some of these establishments are telling on themselves when they talk about the extra cleaning that they have begun to do. Especially when they end up side by side with a similar establishment and a comparison can be made.

GrantDawg 03-14-2020 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miami_fan (Post 3268783)
This. Like I get it, everyone has their own standards for cleanliness and there is inherent risk in going out to eat, going to the gym, etc. Most of us have either been in these service businesses or know someone who has and know the horror stories. Some of these establishments are telling on themselves when they talk about the extra cleaning that they have begun to do. Especially when they end up side by side with a similar establishment and a comparison can be made.

"We at Jimbo's Grill and Gator Wrestling Circus are very concerned about the Corona virus. So much concerned in fact we actually went out and bought hand soap! Now we are requiring our employees to wash their hands once a day (or at least once between two shifts)...."

Toddzilla 03-14-2020 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3268777)
It occurs to me that while we'll never know probably how hard they are hit, this might be one time when North Korea's super-paranoid approach actually works to their benefit.

Well, they did pull out everyone's teeth during world war z

Edward64 03-14-2020 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toddzilla (Post 3268788)
Well, they did pull out everyone's teeth during world war z


I was about to say the same thing!

Good to know there is another fan here.

Lathum 03-14-2020 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toddzilla (Post 3268788)
Well, they did pull out everyone's teeth during world war z


exactly what I thought of

tarcone 03-14-2020 09:13 AM

Illinois shutters all schools.

4 cases in Missouri now. 2 near St. Louis (East), 1 in Springfield (SW), 1 in Jefferson City (Central).

Only a matter of time.

I wonder how many cases Missouri has had that went undetected. Or the world for that matter.

kingfc22 03-14-2020 10:20 AM

I thought Trump guaranteed the US cases would be at zero by now.

spleen1015 03-14-2020 10:30 AM

I think this is worth a read.


Edward64 03-14-2020 11:50 AM

Yeah Fauci, you go. Doing a great straight talk at the news conference.

Person of the Year for me.


Ben Carson ... WTF? The surgeon general arguably and definitely you are redundant and waste of news conference time.

BishopMVP 03-14-2020 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spleen1015 (Post 3268797)
I think this is worth a read.


Interesting that he's publicly questioning whether to close schools in that thread Andy Slavitt on Twitter: "From every expert I have talked to, I am less convinced that schools should be closed. Either way, open or closed, there are about 8-10 items that need to be considered including meals, childcare (keep granny away), parent sanity😐, etc. I recommend giving parents the option. 14/"

Oh well, meanwhile Boston Public Schools announced they're closed until April 27, I imagine the rest of that state won't be too far behind. Down here Charlotte just moved spring break from April to next week - I don't doubt they'll close longer, but I don't hate that move to buy some time instead of making a snap decision with all the uncertainty. In less comforting news the county of 10 million people has 3 test kits (and the state says when we use those 3 they can send 3 more!) https://www.charlotteobserver.com/ne...241163021.html (Obviously there's a lot of hospitals here that have a higher stockpile, but that kinda puts a hard data point on just how badly that was bungled.)

MIJB#19 03-14-2020 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MIJB#19 (Post 3266448)
It was just a matter of time until it reached within the borders of our country. The virus is now about 60 miles away, an hour drive by car.

Hard to believe that post was just 14 days before the semi-lockdown from 2 days ago. In those 14 days it went from: "we have 1 case there, everybody in near contact will be tested" to 800+ positive tests, with roughly 20% of the positives being hospital employees. Today, testing strictly reserved for those with at least a fever. 12 fatalities have been reported on 959 positive tests, 136 of them have been hospitalized, all 12 said to be "already very sick, this virus destroyed their chances of survival." Surely we'll hit the 1k mark (on a population of 17M) by tomorrow. I'm fully expecting more restrictions to be announced in the upcoming week.

The higher standards for testing will be very misleading towards whether there's an increase or decrease of positive cases. Those restrictions appear to be happening all over the globe. Also, looking at some maps of infected places, seeing Iceland, Malta and Hawaii (to name a few) and recent days the Caribbean getting infected, global traveling has clearly helped this virus spread fast. (It surely has been the case within the boundaries of Northern America as well.)

Edward64 03-14-2020 12:34 PM

Good news conference overall considering the lack of info and the oblivious Trump show on Wed. A couple irrelevant speakers, some premature & exaggerated info (e.g. Google flub) but overall a good trajectory ... keep it up and get better on accuracy re: what you say others are doing.

Testing is the big one for me, when they start providing daily metrics and showing real progress there.

cartman 03-14-2020 12:46 PM

Quote:

keep it up and get better on accuracy

Have you not paid attention at all to this administration?

Edward64 03-14-2020 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cartman (Post 3268810)
Have you not paid attention at all to this administration?


You don't see any progress from the Wed oblivious Trump show?

thesloppy 03-14-2020 12:55 PM

Mother Nature helping to push the apocalypse hype, as it's snowing pretty heavily in Portland, Oregon in the middle of March.

BYU 14 03-14-2020 01:47 PM

Salt Lake PD FTW
SLC Police Dept. on Twitter: "Due to the confirmed case of #COVIDー19 from community spread, SLCPD is asking all criminal activities/nefarious behavior to cease until further notice. We appreciate your anticipated cooperation in halting crime & thank criminals in advance. #SocialDistancingNow #behaveyourself… https://t.co/mvS7Iz8JvH"

Brian Swartz 03-14-2020 01:55 PM

I'm not even sure how much the increased testing helps, since I've heard multiple places that the test for it isn't very reliable and gives a lot of false negatives. I mean every person quarantined helps flatten the curve here, but it doesn't catch all of it.

PilotMan 03-14-2020 02:09 PM

Aviation is feeling fucked right now.



Our April bids were supposed to be completed this morning, but the company and Union agreed to resubmit the trip packets for April. The news about Delta cutting 40% of it's flights was big news, and I'm sure we are next to follow now with those same numbers. Far more than post 9/11.


There is beginning to be a firm understanding that layoffs are coming. One estimate said that this could cost the industry as a whole over 100 billion dollars. Just to aviation.



It's not going to happen tomorrow, but the drawdown will have an accordion effect and you're going to see some of the weaker carriers possibly head into bankruptcy or disappear altogether.



This is quite a shock needless to say.

Lathum 03-14-2020 02:17 PM

Honest Government Ad | Coronavirus: Flatten The Curve - YouTube

cartman 03-14-2020 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3268811)
You don't see any progress from the Wed oblivious Trump show?


Considering he sent a signed copy of Friday's stock market chart, no.

cartman 03-14-2020 03:23 PM

Just found out that the father of a friend of mine in Milan passed away from the coronavirus.

Edward64 03-14-2020 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cartman (Post 3268827)
Considering he sent a signed copy of Friday's stock market chart, no.


We are using 2 different criteria I guess on these news conferences. You judge based on Trump. I judge based on overall content.

GrantDawg 03-14-2020 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3268832)
We are using 2 different criteria I guess on these news conferences. You judge based on Trump. I judge based on overall content.

He still lied multiple times, and took credit for things he didn't do. So, no.

Edward64 03-14-2020 03:37 PM

This is pretty cool. Not sure if it'll happen in Manhattan if there is a lockdown. Probably too busy tik tok, facetime etc.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/14/coro...balconies.html
Quote:

Videos have been shared on social media of Italian citizens singing and dancing during a nationwide lockdown amid the coronavirus pandemic.

The videos, from various cities and towns, show people singing from balconies and windows in an attempt to boost morale, with all non-essential shops and services still closed in the country.

Italy is one of the worst affected countries in the world by COVID-19, with 17,660 confirmed cases and 1,266 deaths, according to the latest data from Johns Hopkins University. That’s the largest outbreak outside of China.

EDIT: tbf, Manhattan probably doesn't have as many balconies.

stevew 03-14-2020 03:48 PM

Just In Time* inventory is proving to be a colossal failure.

Ben E Lou 03-14-2020 04:49 PM

All NC Schools closed for two weeks by order of the governor.

Young Drachma 03-14-2020 05:03 PM

Portland schools out until the end of the month, but some private schools have announced 3 week breaks with "online learning" before the breaks themselves. No school sports until at least April, if at all. Have noticed a slow down of folks for sure in the streets, but restaurants are either slow or packed as normal depending on which ones.

Hard to judge here since it's a rare snow day, too. Will be interesting to see how it evolves.

QuikSand 03-14-2020 05:39 PM

I fear we are still not doing enough. Have friends out barhopping, our legislators are weighing finishing the last 3 weeks of their session, and so forth. Our obvious model is Italy (not South Korea) and in ten days much of the US could look like Italy does now and we’ll have a lot of people with profound regret over what they did up until they realized what was happening.

Ben E Lou 03-14-2020 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand (Post 3268847)
I fear we are still not doing enough. Have friends out barhopping, our legislators are weighing finishing the last 3 weeks of their session, and so forth. Our obvious model is Italy (not South Korea) and in ten days much of the US could look like Italy does now and well have a lot of people with profound regret over what they did up until they realized what was happening.

If what the medical folks are saying regarding the speed of the spread, I agree with you 100%. A pretty big swath of the populace is heeding no warnings at all.

IlliniCub 03-14-2020 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3268823)
Aviation is feeling fucked right now.



Our April bids were supposed to be completed this morning, but the company and Union agreed to resubmit the trip packets for April. The news about Delta cutting 40% of it's flights was big news, and I'm sure we are next to follow now with those same numbers. Far more than post 9/11.


There is beginning to be a firm understanding that layoffs are coming. One estimate said that this could cost the industry as a whole over 100 billion dollars. Just to aviation.



It's not going to happen tomorrow, but the drawdown will have an accordion effect and you're going to see some of the weaker carriers possibly head into bankruptcy or disappear altogether.



This is quite a shock needless to say.

I imagine a lot of industries are going to be in similar circumstances before it's all said and done, sadly. I hope things work out for you and by some miracle this crisis is shorter than we anticipate.

JPhillips 03-14-2020 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand (Post 3268847)
I fear we are still not doing enough. Have friends out barhopping, our legislators are weighing finishing the last 3 weeks of their session, and so forth. Our obvious model is Italy (not South Korea) and in ten days much of the US could look like Italy does now and well have a lot of people with profound regret over what they did up until they realized what was happening.


This.

Normally my daughter dances at all sorts of St. Patrick's Day events. She's not going to dance, but so far all the indoor events are still going on.

GrantDawg 03-14-2020 06:15 PM

Georgia's primary had now been delayed until May. The governor is also calling up 2,000 National Guardsmen to support medical services.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

JPhillips 03-14-2020 06:18 PM

Almost 10K new cases globally today.

Lathum 03-14-2020 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand (Post 3268847)
I fear we are still not doing enough. Have friends out barhopping, our legislators are weighing finishing the last 3 weeks of their session, and so forth. Our obvious model is Italy (not South Korea) and in ten days much of the US could look like Italy does now and well have a lot of people with profound regret over what they did up until they realized what was happening.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Ben E Lou (Post 3268848)
If what the medical folks are saying regarding the speed of the spread, I agree with you 100%. A pretty big swath of the populace is heeding no warnings at all.


I am floored at how little people care about this. We are so selfish as a nation. Will it kill you to stay in on a Saturday night.

Lathum 03-14-2020 06:38 PM

Times reporting Trump tested negative for the virus

Edward64 03-14-2020 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268862)
Times reporting Trump tested negative for the virus


Let's wait a couple days to see if MSM digs anything up and Admin has to clarify.

tarcone 03-14-2020 07:10 PM

I have swung way around to this all hype. Is it deadly? Yes. But it is killing the old that are weks. Is that insensitive? Yes.

But at what point do we go back to living our lives? When does the hype stop?

Think of the hysteria if we gave this much time to the flu?

Call me callous. Call me an asshole. I own it.

NobodyHere 03-14-2020 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268862)
Times reporting Trump tested negative for the virus


Damn

stevew 03-14-2020 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268862)
Times reporting Trump tested negative for the virus


Improbable but on brand for the new normal here in the USSA.

Also likely he’s been vaccinated against basically anything but they could never confirm that. Would also likely apply to Biden as well

MIJB#19 03-14-2020 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268860)
I am floored at how little people care about this. We are so selfish as humanity. Will it kill you to stay in on a Saturday night.

Fixed that for ya. This isn't just a thing in the USA, it's humanity at it's best or worst.

BYU 14 03-14-2020 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268862)
Times reporting Trump tested negative for the virus


This should surprise nobody. as we will be hearing soon he has the strongest, best immune system ever!!

tarcone 03-14-2020 07:33 PM

JOE BIDEN HAS IT

NobodyHere 03-14-2020 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3268877)
JOE BIDEN HAS IT


link?

Thomkal 03-14-2020 08:04 PM

RNC chairwoman Ronna McDaniel is quarantining at home awaiting test results after showing flu-like symptoms

molson 03-14-2020 08:06 PM

My girlfriend works at Whole Foods. Basically the front lines right behind the medical providers. That makes us both very vulnerable. On the bright side, her job is certainly safe. I feel bad for the people in restaurants, especially those relying on tips. The RAM brewery restaurant in town is taking 50% off everything.

Neither of us has ever had the regular flu. So the whole, "don't touch anything, flee when people cough, keep distances" is all pretty new to us, I've never been close to a germaphobe, and I've never had an experience in life where I got sick from some clearly distinct source, like from someone else I knew to be sick. But I'm taking every easy precaution so I don't feel like a dumbass if I get it.

Grocery stores are holding up OK aside from toilet paper. Much better than the photos I'm seeing from back home in Massachusetts.

Home Depot was packed with people buying regular Home Depot stuff. I think people are looking to knock out some home improvement projects they've been putting off.

Edit: I keep reading people saying we're not doing enough, but, I'm still stunned that we're doing so much. Nobody predicted all this just a few days ago. We are not merely reacting to illness and its impact in the United States, we are preparing based on what health professionals are telling us can happen and what has happened in other countries (which, if you dig below some of the worst stories and read about what regular people are doing - is not quite as catastrophic as you might think). I'm honestly kind of impressed. And I know it's easy to be cynical about corporations but the airlines, travel companies, stubhub, shit like that, have all been remarkably easy to deal with for all the plans I had to cancel in the last few days. I know Amazon has offered extra paid leave to any Whole Foods employee who gets sick or has a sickness in their household. And I'm seeing and hearing about so much kindness around town. People on my neighborhood facebook group offering to do shopping for people who feel too vulnerable to leave the house, people giving up toilet paper to others who were too late in getting it, people patronizing local stores who need some help getting through this. I think we're doing pretty good, all things considered.

JPhillips 03-14-2020 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tarcone (Post 3268865)
I have swung way around to this all hype. Is it deadly? Yes. But it is killing the old that are weks. Is that insensitive? Yes.

But at what point do we go back to living our lives? When does the hype stop?

Think of the hysteria if we gave this much time to the flu?

Call me callous. Call me an asshole. I own it.


Over half the ICU cases in France are under 60. I hope you and your loved ones stay safe.

Atocep 03-14-2020 08:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3268882)
My girlfriend works at Whole Foods. Basically the front lines right behind the medical providers. That makes us both very vulnerable. On the bright side, her job is certainly safe. I feel bad for the people in restaurants, especially those relying on tips. The RAM brewery restaurant in town is taking 50% off everything.

Neither of us has ever had the regular flu. So the whole, "don't touch anything, flee when people cough, keep distances" is all pretty new to us, I've never been close to a germaphobe, and I've never had an experience in life where I got sick from some clearly distinct source, like from someone else I knew to be sick. But I'm taking every easy precaution so I don't feel like a dumbass if I get it.

Grocery stores are holding up OK aside from toilet paper. Much better than the photos I'm seeing from back home in Massachusetts.

Home Depot was packed with people buying regular Home Depot stuff. I think people are looking to knock out some home improvement projects they've been putting off.



We're on round 2 of the grocery store apocalypse. We had the initial craze a couple of weeks ago and then with schools getting canceled for 6 weeks we're going through it all over again. Toilet paper, water, cleaning products, and soups are sold out at Safeway again. The toilet paper and water thing still blows my mind. I have no idea why people are buying these like there's going to be a shortage.

I'm waiting for mandatory testing at work. It will be interesting to see if I pop a positive after likely getting it 2-3 weeks ago.

molson 03-14-2020 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3268886)
It will be interesting to see if I pop a positive after likely getting it 2-3 weeks ago.


You may have posted about it here, but how long were you sick for?

I think there's a good chance it went through my office at about the same time (I'm one state over from you). About 50% of my supervisors and the support staff were out at some point over a period of a week or so, with a fever and coughing. They're all back, and the office is at fuller capacity now than it was then.

Atocep 03-14-2020 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by molson (Post 3268887)
You may have posted about it here, but how long were you sick for?

I think there's a good chance it went through my office at about the same time (I'm one state over from you). About 50% of my supervisors and the support staff were out at some point over a period of a week or so, with a fever and coughing. They're all back, and the office is at fuller capacity now than it was then.


So I started feeling some slight shortness of breath around the 26th of Feb, the 29th I developed a cough, the 1st I had a fever and the cough was getting worse, and then the headache hit. The headache was what really stuck out to me (it was awful) and after reading about other people's experience with it that's what made me nearly certain I had it. I missed work the 2nd and that's the day the fever finally broke. The 3rd was the first day since the 29th that I actually got up and started moving around.

I did go back to work on the 4th, but I work IT and it's easy for me to isolate myself and not have contact with others where I work. When I got back I found out that someone I work with started showing the same symptoms a couple of days before me and had been out as well.

My son ended up showing symptoms on the 3rd, but it was a much milder version. His cough cleared up after a couple of days and although he had a higher fever (102.5) it lasted less than 24 hours. The fact that his was more mild than mine further convinced me that it's what I had. Typically whenever we pass something between us I end up with the milder symptoms.

I'd say 2 weeks is roughly how long I was sick. My son for about a week. I started feeling light symptoms on the 26th and they ramped up from there. Last weekend was when actually started to feel myself again.

Ben E Lou 03-14-2020 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268860)
I am floored at how little people care about this. We are so selfish as a nation. Will it kill you to stay in on a Saturday night.

This one takes the cake. The co-owner of a local private daycare facility posted pics this evening from a bar crawl. She was in close proximity to dozens of people tonight. Just checked her daycares web site and FB page, and as of right now, theyre still planning to open on Monday. So she and her hubby will go home, interact with their kids, and then on Monday, she and her kids will be in close proximity to dozens of other kids.

panerd 03-14-2020 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3268860)
I am floored at how little people care about this. We are so selfish as a nation. Will it kill you to stay in on a Saturday night.


Yeah it really pisses me.off too. Especially people sharing on social media that they are out doing things and having a good time. Fuck you I dont want you to die but how about you get really fucking sick? It's so seffish.

panerd 03-14-2020 08:50 PM

A friend of mine is with her kids at like an amusement center with bounce houses. And she will be the first one all over facebook if her kids get sick or they give it to grandma. Just so irresponsible but they also go out to parties at friends and drink excessively normally. Just dont understand humanity sometimes.

Edward64 03-14-2020 08:53 PM

Dropped by Kroger just to get some additional meals/food (son & roommate coming back).
  • Potatoes, tomatoes, some fruits are gone. Still quite a lot of fresh vegetables
  • Meats are noticeably low (but we did 2 racks of ribs). Lots of frozen shrimp, fish
  • Lots of canned food but many of my favorites are gone e.g. Chunky Steak & Potatoes
  • Pasta was very low but still decent amount of pasta sauce
  • Toilet paper gone, paper towels still available
  • Eggs gone, milk still around, bread available but low
  • Lots of cereal, flour, sugar, cooking oil
  • Frozen pizza noticeably low supply
  • Lots of water, soda, beer, wine
  • Lots of Ice cream, frozen vegetables, low frozen breakfast biscuits

I think toilet paper is herd mentality but I don't blame anyone. The problem is lack of communication from the businesses to reassure people that more is on the way, can meet the demand etc. (same with hand sanitizers etc.)

Lathum 03-14-2020 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by panerd (Post 3268893)
Yeah it really pisses me.off too. Especially people sharing on social media that they are out doing things and having a good time. Fuck you I dont want you to die but how about you get really fucking sick? It's so seffish.


My wife was supposed to do a girls night tonight organized by one of our good friends. Our friend cancelled it for obvious reasons, ans one of the other girls apparently got all bent out of shape. Said she was going to live her life, overreaction, even if she gets sick she isn't an at risk group, etc...

The kicker, her 70 year old mother with emphysema lives with her. Our friend tried to explain and she just didn't care.

QuikSand 03-14-2020 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand (Post 3268314)
That seems likely, yes.

It's dawning on the political class less "well known" as well... I work in public policy, and the likelihood of multiple people I know professionally dying from this seems very real.


The NY state legislature now has two confirmed cases. They're shutting down the state capitol building.

Meanwhile, here in MD, ours are still working long days and have no plan how to finish up. Of our 47 Senators, 13 are 68 or over. This is not some sort of fucking joke. In your effort to finish up some goddamned dog licensing bill, you're going to get somebody fucking killed out here.


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