NBA:
TOR -3 (.5u) WIN GSW +14 (.5u) LOSE BOS +6 (.5u) WIN CBB: Georgia -5.5 LOSE- last second half court buzzer beater from GT to lose by 4 instead of 7... |
CBB:
Bryant +4 @ Drexel, LOSS St. John's / Belmont / Memphis / Northern Illinois parlay, -118, WIN San Diego +7' v. SDSU, LOSS NBA: ORL / TOR O207, WIN CFB: Mia O -17' 1H v. Akron, LOSS Live bets: FGCU ML +245, WIN Akron TT O3.5, +110, WIN Akron ML +1000, LOSS |
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I just saw the end of that game. I'm sorry. |
Yea. That was unfortunate.
It was my only solid play yesterday. I should have been more confident with how I saw the Toronto game. |
CBB:
St. Joe's +13' v. Florida, WIN (also throwing 0.15u on ML which is +775, in Charleston, SC, LOSS) Charlotte +4' @ App. St., LOSS Parlay +123:, LOSS Utah Valley Drake Akron Washington State Also betting a total of 1/4 unit on the following in round robins and parlays, no single bets, potential win of 13u, WIN 0.06u Loyola Marymount +135 v. Air Force (in Bahamas), W Coastal Carolina +170 v. Utah, W Towson +375 v. Xavier (in Charleston), L Indiana St. +215 v. Duquesne (in Bahamas), L Wofford +145 @ S. Florida, L CFB: Georgia Tech ML -125 v. NC State... GT came down to EVEN odds like 2 hours later, which effing sucks, WIN |
Not sure this exactly belongs here -- since I don't know of any legal way to bet on high school football -- but ...
Entering the 2nd round of the Georgia HS playoffs, the Maxwell Ratings Monte Carlo simulation gives Brookstone (Skydog's alma mater IIRC) 21,725,486:1 odds of winning the Class A/Private title. (they'll visit Athens Academy tomorrow) For some perspective, the next longest odds for any of the other 103 remaining teams alive for eight titles are 10.5m:1 (North Forsyth in 7A) and 8.5m:1 (Mt Paran also in A/Private). |
CBB:
Florida/St. Joes u147.5 WIN CMU/Minnesota u153 WIN 7-team 10-pt Teaser (+195): LOSE Coastal Carolina +15 WIN Xavier +.5 WIN Hofstra +24 WIN Stanford -1 WIN Wisc Green Bay/Wisc u152 LOSE Tenn St +35.5 WIN Minnesota +.5 WIN |
CFB this weekend:
Minnesota -13' @ Northwestern, WIN Cal ML +110 @ Stanford, WIN Ohio St. -20.5, +105 v. Penn St., LOSS Texas / Baylor U57.5, WIN SMU +3', LOSS Va Tech -3', WIN East Carolina -13', -140, LOSS ML parlay +106, LOSS Notre Dame / Ohio St. / Georgia / Miami FL / Oklahoma / UVa / Memphis ML parlay +150, LOSS East Carolina / Notre Dame / Georgia / USC / Cincinnati / Oregon / Utah Tennessee ML -105, WIN Boise St. -4' |
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There are at least a couple of books that do HS FB in Texas and California. Never bet on that myself |
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Really? I never knew. I just assumed that'd be off-limits due to regulatory stuff. |
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Just like the big games and / or playoffs. |
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If they ever legalize sports gambling in Georgia, look out. This would do significant action in some parts of the state. |
CBB today:
Valpo ML -105 v. Grand Canyon (at Virgin Islands), WIN Oregon -7' v. Houston, WIN Nevada -5' v. Fordham (at Virgin Islands), WIN UNC Wilmington -7 v. Cleveland St. (at Washington DC), LOSS Nicholls St. -9' v. NC A&T (at Jamaica), LOSS |
CBB:
Buffalo -5 USC -9 Houston/Oregon o136.5 Temple/USC u145..5 Texas/Cal o124 NBA: LAL/OKC u210.5 |
Added onto CFB card.
CBB: DePaul -2 @ BC, WIN SE La. +11 @ Austin Peay, LOSS Sacramento St. +10 @ Pepperdine, WIN SMU / Cal Baptist / Portland St. parlay, +395, LOSS Soccer: Liverpool / Arsenal parlay +115, LOSS Add Everton / Leicester, +510, LOSS |
NFL:
10 pt teaser at +275, LOSS
Falcons -3', LOSS Lions -4, LOSS SEA ML -105, WIN OAK -3, LOSS PIT -6', LOSS Parlay +640, LOSS DET / PIT / OAK / CHI / SEA NE PK / U50.5, -120 (teaser), WIN GB / SF O48 In game: CIN / PIT 1H U10.5, WIN NO TT O30.5, WIN CIN ML -110, LOSS NYJ TT O33.5, WIN JAX / TEN 1H U17.5, WIN NO -2', WIN Not a very good weekend. Would've been a freaking nightmare if not for today's live betting. I will bounce back. Live CBB: Duquesne 1H ML +190, WIN St. Joe's +6', LOSS North Texas ML +350, LOSS Clemson +11', WIN |
Northeastern -2 v. S. Alabama (Gulf Coast Showcase-Estero, FL), LOSS
Dayton -2' v. Georgia (Maui), WIN Bradley -2 v. Northwestern (Fort Myers Tip-off), LOSS Virginia Tech +11 v. Mich. St. (Maui), WIN Illinois St. ML -120 v. Grand Canyon (Virgin Islands), LOSS Bowling Green -2 v. Nevada (Virgin Islands), LOSS Added: Florida St. -40 v. Chicago St., WIN CBB season singles total: 27-35 Also going to hit the Ravens tonight... 1H -1.5 WIN, game for -4 WIN, and alt. spread at -12' for +250, WIN. Rams haven't had a good win all year... closest they got was beating the Saints but that was the game Brees got hurt. Maybe today changes that, but it would be pretty out of the blue. |
I can get Bama 25-1 to win the title. As long as they get in I can guarantee a profit by hedging against them.
Here is how I see it. UGA will lose in the SEC title game to LSU and that will eliminate them leaving LSU, Clemson, and tOSU. I say the odds of tOSU getting bounced is slim. Zero chance Clemson gets bounced. Lets assume Bama beats Auburn. That leaves one spot between Bama, Oklahoma, and Utah. Lets say everyone wins out, does the committee take a one loss Bama who didn't even play in their title game, or OK/Utah who won their conference tournament. I'm thinking the $100 is worth it. If they make it I lock in a profit, if they don't it cost me $100 to not have to see Bama in the playoffs. Would love some input on this. |
Go for it. I think there is a decent chance they lose to Auburn though. But I agree that if they win, they're in if LSU beats Georgia.
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UEFA Champions League:
All for 0.6u bet or to win: Spurs / Man City / Bayern Munich -133, LOSS Lokomotiv Moscow ML +290 v. Bayer Leverkusen, LOSS Galatasaray / Club Brugge U2.5, EVEN, WIN Real Madrid / Paris SG U3.5, LOSS Dinamo Zagreb +0.75 (half at +0.5, half at +1), +115, LOSS Parlay at +287, LOSS Dinamo Zagreb TT O0.5 / Juventus-Atl. Madrid O1.5 / Man City -1.5 / Spurs TT O1.5 Live: Galatasaray / Club Brugge U3.5, -155 to win 1u, WIN Small bets tailing some other CBB folks since I can't pick a game to save my life. Largest bet is like 0.5u... going to get this narrowed down in future so as not to take 15 bets a day and get to a couple with high confidence. Still figuring it out! BYU +10, LOSS Richmond +9', LOSS Belmont 1H -3, LOSS S. Alabama -1', WIN Michigan St. 1H -7', WIN Loyola-Chi -4, LOSS Ball St. -16', LOSS then bet Ball St. ML +115 down 11 at halftime, LOSS Ariz. St./Princeton U142', WIN ETSU -11', also App. St./ETSU U134', LOSS / LOSS Wichita St. -3, WIN No. Colo. / Boston U128', also No. Co. ML -115, LOSS, WIN Colgate -1', WIN DePaul -12, WIN Portland St. -5', WIN Murray St. / Weber St. O127', WIN USF / NMSU O122, LOSS WVU / UNI U127 and UNI +6, WIN, WIN Bryant ML -115, LOSS Mt. St. Mary's +2, WIN 12-11, with all the juice down on the day. We'll narrow it down on Wednesday. |
UEFA Champions League:
Genk / Salzburg O3.5, WIN Inter ML +140 @ Slavia Prague, WIN RB Leipzig -1.5, +120 v. Benfica, LOSS RB Leipzig TT O4, +700, LOSS CBB: Mississippi Valley +20', LOSS Southern Miss +24', LOSS Drake -2, WIN CS Fullerton -3', WIN Portland St. +8, LOSS S. Dakota St. -3, WIN St. Louis +3, WIN UNC -9, PUSH SCar Under 126', LOSS Dayton +4', LOSS Weber State +5', LOSS |
NBA:
SAC +9.5 WIN POR -2.5 WIN CBB Parlay (.25u): LOSE Oregon ML WIN Virginia Tech ML LOSE OK St ML WIN W. Virginia ML WIN |
NFL:
DET +6 WIN CBB: UNC -3.5 LOSE Texas Tech -7.5 LOSE San Diego St -3 WIN 4-Team Parlay + Round Robin (1.25u to win 6.5u) Iowa State ML LOSE Wake Forest ML WIN Gonzaga ML WIN Texas A&M ML WIN CFB: Mississippi St. -2.5 LOSE brutal final drive of the game |
CBB:
Michigan +4.5 WIN Texas A&M +4 LOSE DePaul +4 WIN USC +4.5 LOSE Penn State -2.5 WIN San Diego St -3 WIN VCU +3 PUSH Utah State +3 LOSE NBA: MIL -11 LOSE GSW +11.5 LOSE OKC -4 WIN MEM +7 LOSE SAS +7 WIN LAL -11.5 WIN CFB: New Mexico +11 LOSE UAB -3 WIN Nevada -6.5 LOSE NFL: CIN +3 WIN PHI -9.5 LOSE GB -6.5 WIN KC -10 WIN NE -3 LOSE NFL 5-Team ML Parlay + Round Robin (1.5u to win 29.4u): LAC LOSE ARZ LOSE PIT WIN CIN WIN SF LOSE |
A wise person told me that this is one of the worst weeks of the year for recreational bettors. I guess I'm testing that theory out today.
CBB: Fresno St. -7, LOSS Oakland +12, WIN UNC-Greensboro +7, WIN Idaho +12', LOSS CFB: Took a bunch of Clemson lines, 1H -16, WIN, 1H O27.5, LOSS, full game at -25', WIN and -28, WIN UK / L'Ville U52, LOSS Indiana / Purdue U56, LOSS LSU TT O38', WIN Ohio St. -9, WIN SMU -3, WIN Minny +3, LOSS Notre Dame -17, WIN Small singles, parlay, and round robins on:
AND these first half lines:
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CBB:
Ark Little Rock +4.5 WIN |
Good day at college football yesterday.
Hopefully not giving half of it back on NFL today. CBB: Montana +11, WIN Tulane -14, WIN FAU -6, LOSS Loyola Marymount PK, WIN Jackson St. +12, LOSS NFL: ML parlay, LOSS Packers / Eagles / Panthers -115 Half unit each, then small parlay at +1300: TEN ML EVEN, WIN CIN ML +140, WIN TB ML -150, WIN CLE ML -135 (for full unit), LOSS 7 pt. Teaser +450, LOSS
10 pt. Teaser +110, LOSS
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Added NFL:
NE/HOU o46.5 WIN CBB: USC -1.5 WIN Temple -2 WIN Maryland -3.5 WIN NBA: TOR -2 WIN BOS -7 WIN GSW +8.5 WIN MEM +11.5 WIN WAS +12 LOSE LAL -6 LOSE |
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Nice day. I got Houston ML last night for +165 to go slightly positive for the day. Gotta stop playing the teasers, really. That's my takeaway from yesterday. |
Got totally shitfaced last night. Went to dinner with friends. Drank a bunch of red wine. came home and drank almost a bottle of titos. Started playing three card poker online with live dealer. Got a little juice and started upping my bets. Ran 200 up to 2K. They go until 3 AM. Last hand of the night I double my bets. They deal my hand. A of diamonds, K of diamonds, q of diamonds. Last hand of the night win 6K. Worth staying up until 3AM for.
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Let's see if we can keep the hot hand going:
NBA: UT/PHI o208.5 LOSE GSW/ATL o223 LOSE NY/MIL o220.5 LOSE PHX -4.5 WIN CHI +5.5 WIN CBB: Clemson +3 LOSE South Florida +4 WIN CBB ML Parlay (.25u to win 1.85u): LOSE Clemson LOSE South Florida WIN Washington WIN Illinois LOSE |
CBB:
S. Dakota +13, LOSS Stony Brook -5', WIN FAMU +25', WIN Navy +3', LOSS N. Florida -15, WIN Illinois -8, LOSS Elon -6', WIN Furman -3, LOSS Also put in a future before the weekend of Clemson winning national title at +300. OSU is +150, and LSU/Clemson are now same odds at +250. |
Lost a lot of juice yesterday, going 4-4. Also missed on 2 in game bets, and hit on 2 others, so treading water.
CBB: George Mason -8', LOSS Boston Coll. -2, LOSS Butler +1', WIN Creighton -13, LOSS Incarnate Word +17, LOSS Illinois St. +14 for half unit, WIN Missouri St.-4' for half unit, LOSS Michigan -2, +265 for half unit, LOSS Also going to take Dayton team total if it is under 100. Houston Baptist is #1 in tempo, and #337 in defensive efficiency. They have played 3 teams in the top-50 in offensive efficiency (Texas Tech, Michigan, Houston) who have scored 103, 111, and 112. Dayton is #5 in off. eff., the best offense they've faced so far. The only drawback is Dayton is playing it's first game as a ranked team in 4 years and first game since a very good Maui showing, which are usually negative performance indicators. Right now, spread and O/U indicate that Dayton TT should be around 97.5 when released. Edit: Got Dayton TT at Over 97, WIN |
Excellent call on Dayton. Coasted to the first half over 78.
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Glad you got the first half. Dayton got to 93 with 5 minutes left and it took a walk on dunk with 5 seconds left to squeak them to 99 total points. Quite a sweat. |
Starting my CBB record from yesterday, as I haven't really been tracking up to now.
CBB, 3-6, -2.54u Bets to win half unit unless noted Followed plays Notre Dame +9' for 1u, LOSS NC State -5' for 1u, WIN Oklahoma St. -11 for 1u, LOSS UNC Central +22' for 1u, LOSS UMKC +18' for 1u, WIN Akron -3, WIN Yale -5 for 1u, WIN Portland -5 for 1u, LOSS Follow record: 4-4, -0.9u My own plays St. Francis PA -5. WIN Loyola Marymount +17, WIN Western Illinois +11', WIN Ohio St. +3', WIN N. Alabama +1, LOSS Robert Morris +7', LOSS Florida Atlantic -4', LOSS San Jose St. +23, WIN Florida Int'l -12', WIN San Diego St. -5', WIN Delaware St. +14', WIN Idaho +14, WIN FAMU +30, WIN Georgetown / Okie St. O145, WIN Iona +13, LOSS Cleveland St. +13, LOSS Green Bay +17, WIN Texas St. +12', WIN Own record: 13-5,+3.75u Record: 17-9 Gain / Loss: +2.85u As usual, that's too many games. We'll see what happens as the bets are already in. 26 games. Jesus. I separated them by system/follower. If I do this again, it'll be on paper and not with actual bets. But once I started betting, as they say, you have to bet the whole system or it doesn't work. I feel good about avoiding the 0-26. In game: NCSU / Wisc 1H U52, LOSS DePaul -1', WIN NCSU / UVU / SDSU parlay +135, 1u to win 1.35u, LOSS Above with Houston and UNC, +335, 0.6u to win 2u, LOSS |
The first half total in the Virginia -Purdue game is 48 and the game total is 102. Thats insane.
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Kenpom posted this about this year's UVa team, and yesterday's UVa / Purdue game (which went over by almost 10 points).
No game should be expected to have less than 100 points | The kenpom.com blog Then Bart Torvik, who's website is the source of one my systems (the one that went 11-3 yesterday) posted this on Twitter: Bart T🏀rvik on Twitter: "After reading this Kenpom blog post, I looked up what would be the lowest scoring projected game of all the games in my database (using end of season numbers). https://t.co/OYfQA0xNQE" |
CBB
Own record: 13-5, +3.75u Followed plays: 7-10, -3.44u Own plays Tonight: 2-3, -1.3u Northern Illinois +15, WIN St Francis +3.5, WIN SEMO +4, LOSS Abilene Christian / SEMO U135, LOSS St Francis / Hartford U137, LOSS Followed plays Tonight: 0-2, -0.6u Oklahoma -6, LOSS Elon / High Point U131.5, LOSS in OT EPL: As a pure fade of Arsenal: Brighton (Draw No Bet) +315 for half unit, WIN Sheff. Utd. OR Newcastle to win by score of 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1. +115 odds if Sheff Utd. wins, +225 odds if Newcastle wins on total outlay of 0.6u., WIN at +225 |
CBB:
Furman/Auburn u148 LOSE NFL: CHI +3 WIN DAL/CHI o43 WIN |
Just lucked my way into the first quarter under 7.5 and doubling down on the second quarter over 12.5. Both teams moving the ball well.
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Thought it may not get there |
MAn I find creative ways to lose.
Had 3rd quarter over 7.5 in the Cowboys game. Bears score to put it at 7. Cowboys have the ball down 17 with 90 seconds left in the quarter and run three straight times up the middle and let the quarter run out. Any incomplete pass and I get a crack at it, any completed pass likely a TD, and how about some urgency down 17? Here is the better one. Parlay in game with the under 237.5 in the rockets game, which had already got there, and the under 261.5 in the Pels game. Pels outscore the suns by 18 in the 4th and the game ends 125-125 and I lose in OT. So Gross. |
OT in the Furman game is likely going to kill my under and 3-0 night :(
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I've been restricted on Bovada, so some of my units are lower because that is the max I can bet right now... I am looking into moving out of there, but in the meantime, I'm still playing as much as they'll let me, which is only 20 dollars on certain games, but up to 200 on others. It makes no sense.
The reason why I was restricted is a story for another time, after I get money out of there. Unit sizing listed if other than 1 unit. CBB System record: 15-8, +2.45u Followed plays: 7-12, -4.04u Own plays Tonight: 2-4, -3.18u Alabama -10', 0.8u. LOSS Pepperdine -14, LOSS Tennessee St. -21, LOSS Pepperdine / Idaho St. O147', LOSS SFA / Alabama U160, 0.4u, WIN MVSU / MOSU O139', 0.4u, WIN Followed plays: Tonight: 2-1, +1.12u Rhode Island -2', WIN Louisville -14, WIN Bryant -2', 0.8u, LOSS |
CFB
LSU -7, WIN App St. -6 WIN Boise St. TT O38.5, LOSS Clemson 1H -17, WIN Parlay +590, LOSS App St -9' / Clemson -34' 1u each and 1.95u total on round-robins and parlays on below: Baylor +3', +180, LOSS Utah -13', +200, LOSS App St -9', +150, LOSS LSU -13', +175, WIN Clemson -34', +175, WIN Added 1/2 unit on Cincy ML +265, LOSS |
NBA:
DEN/BOS o205 LOSE BOS -3.5 WIN CFB: Utah -6.5 LOSE CBB: VT +7 LOSE Rhode Island +2 WIN |
CBB:
Providence -1.5 CFB: Oregon +7 (just got it at -115 off shore) |
CBB:
Nevada -3 WIN New Mexico St -3.5 LOSE Indiana -1 LOSE Arkansas -1.5 LOSE Temple -3 LOSE E. Tenn St -4.5 LOSE Georgetown +4 WIN Colorado/Kansas u138.5 WIN CFB Round Robin (1u total to win 4.53u): Boise State -16 WIN Ohio State -16.5 LOSE Clemson -30.5 WIN |
CBB
All bets are for 1/2 unit unless listed. System record: 17-12, -0.73u Followed plays: 9-13, -2.92u Own plays Today: 11-7, +1.47u Detroit +3', LOSS S. Carolina St. -1', WIN Towson +8', LOSS Pacific +1', WIN Arizona St. -16', LOSS N. Florida +3', LOSS Gardner Webb +7', WIN Chas. So. -4, WIN Alabama A&M +9', WIN Ark. Pine Bluff +26, WIN Robert Morris +3, WIN Colorado +10', LOSS All total bets for 0.4u unless listed: FIU / Kennesaw St. O142, WIN Bethune Cookman / Jacksonville U134, LOSS G'town / SMU O141, WIN Jax St. / Alabama A&M U138, WIN Robert Morris / FGCU U128, WIN Ark Pine-Bluff / UTEP O122', LOSS Followed plays: Today: 5-1, +2.52u St. Francis PA ML -125 for 0.4u, WIN Butler -2 1H for 0.8u, WIN Temple -3 for 0.8u, LOSS Coastal Carolina +6 for 0.6u, WIN Georgetown +4 for 0.6u, WIN Nevada -3' for 1u, WIN |
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