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-   -   Religious Probability Scenario- Whom? (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=46850)

thealmighty 02-03-2006 08:43 AM

Religious Probability Scenario- Whom?
 
Stupid cryptic sounding title, but after a funeral I went to yesterday where I saw some things, blah, blah...

There is/was a paper/posit/speech/whatever by someone famous (or that's how I remember it, anyway) on how it is better to believe in God than not because there are 4 possibilities and 3 are better if you believe:
  1. no God, believe
  2. no God, don't believe
  3. yes God, believe
  4. yes God, don't believe
3 of the 4, it is a good outcome to believe, etc... I don't have time for the rest. If you have heard it, you know what I mean.

Anyone know who/where this came from?

MalcPow 02-03-2006 09:01 AM

What about all those possibilities where you're believing in the wrong God?

QuikSand 02-03-2006 09:02 AM

Blaise Pascal, most notably.

wiki link

John Galt 02-03-2006 09:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MalcPow
What about all those possibilities where you're believing in the wrong God?


There are so many things wrong with Pascal's gambit that it is almost impossible to know where to start.

thealmighty 02-03-2006 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuikSand
Blaise Pascal, most notably.

wiki link


Perfect. Thanks, QS.

thealmighty 02-03-2006 10:22 AM

...and I didn't ask about the positives/negatives of the gambit, just where it originated.



Feel free to discuss, though, if you feel like it.

Mac Howard 02-03-2006 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by John Galt
There are so many things wrong with Pascal's gambit that it is almost impossible to know where to start.


And you can remove the terms "'s gambit" and it still remains accurate :)

st.cronin 02-03-2006 07:28 PM

I stated this once before, but while Pascal is associated with this theory, the passage in question is actually a very effective DISMISSAL of this 'gambit.' For somebody who makes use of this sort of table to argue in favor of the religious life, you have to look at William James, I think.

AlexB 02-03-2006 07:30 PM

deleted

Raiders Army 02-03-2006 08:12 PM

Just something funny about this thread being started by "thealmighty"

Dutch 02-03-2006 08:50 PM

"I don't know if there is a God or not, but I pray every god-damned day....just in case." - Chris Rock.


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