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Lathum 09-01-2009 11:00 AM

Football betting discussion thread
 
I know we have some bettors here. And even if you don't bet and want to comment on the lines that would be great.

Mizzou B-ball fan 09-01-2009 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2106632)
I know we have some bettors here. And even if you don't bet and want to comment on the lines that would be great.


I placed a $20 bet before I left Vegas last week that Mizzou would win the BCS title. Pays off $1,520 on the $20 bet if it happens. :D

Lathum 09-01-2009 11:14 AM

The lines that jump out at me this week are

Navy at OSU. OSU -21.5

San Jose at USC. USC -34- Freshman QB worries me a bit, but they are a machine and are going to want to make a statement before going into OSU week 2.


Buffalo at UTEP. Buffalo +8. They may not win but they will keep it close.


LSU at Washington. LSU-17.5. Sadly my first game as a UW student will be a slaughter. I can't believe this line is only 17.5. UW loses by 35.

molson 09-01-2009 11:19 AM

Syracuse +6 v. Minnesota seems really low. I would be stunned if the Orange don't lose by more than a TD.

Cuckoo 09-01-2009 01:02 PM

Only just started to look at a few of the games with teams I know fairly well. I'm taking OSU -5 1/2 against Georgia, I think. And I'm intrigued by that Oregon/Boise State game. I'd love to hear thoughts from the more experienced bettors on it.

Lathum 09-03-2009 02:54 PM

Anyone taking games tonight?

I like Utah st +22.5
Under 46 in the NC State-USC game
Over 64 in Boise-Oregeon
Boise -4

LastWhiteSoxFanStanding 09-03-2009 04:44 PM

Which betting service and online bank do you use?

Lathum 09-03-2009 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LastWhiteSoxFanStanding (Post 2108535)
Which betting service and online bank do you use?


I use Bodog and the all access pre paid visa card

CU Tiger 09-03-2009 05:51 PM

I Like SC getting points against NCSU. I see this as a backwards line.

Over in BSU OU

lynchjm24 09-03-2009 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2108570)
I use Bodog and the all access pre paid visa card


I used to love bodog but read all the horror stories online now.... but you've had good luck?

Recoil 09-03-2009 08:28 PM

Tonight I have...

North Texas +17
Oregon +3

Haven't made my Saturday bets yet, but I'm leaning hard on UGA +4 1/2 and Wake Forest -2.

Lathum 09-03-2009 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24 (Post 2108665)
I used to love bodog but read all the horror stories online now.... but you've had good luck?


never had any issues

lynchjm24 09-03-2009 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2108718)
never had any issues


I never did back in the day either. I did a little research and it sounds like they have fixed the issues around February of this year and now pay very well. They had an 18 month or so stretch that had a 40 business day wait if you were lucky.

I pretty much just make $25 and $50 bets, so it's not like they would end up having a reason not to pay me. I did hit 7 parts of a $10 8-team parlay once and missed the over/under on the 8th game by 2 points. It paid some ridiculous amount like $7,000.

Recoil 09-03-2009 10:05 PM

Right now I'm glad I jumped on the BSU/Oregon Under 64 at the last minute.

Lathum 09-04-2009 09:30 AM

Off to a good start going 33/4. I should have known better than to buy the over Kool Aid. Early games never get that high.

I am looking at Tulsa tonigh -14. IIRC they smoker Tulane last year and can score in bunches

JeeberD 09-04-2009 10:20 AM

Tulsa's also starting a brand new QB, FWIW...

Cuckoo 09-04-2009 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2108971)
I am looking at Tulsa tonigh -14. IIRC they smoker Tulane last year and can score in bunches


Yeah, as Jeeber said, Tulsa's starting a new QB. I think they'll win, but instead I put a bit on the under at 62. I also think I'm going with that LSU -17 too.

dervack 09-04-2009 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24 (Post 2108665)
I used to love bodog but read all the horror stories online now.... but you've had good luck?

Payout takes a long time, especially if you use CC. I requested a payout. It said it would take up to 20-25 business days. They mailed it on the 23rd business day.

lynchjm24 09-04-2009 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dervack (Post 2109293)
Payout takes a long time, especially if you use CC. I requested a payout. It said it would take up to 20-25 business days. They mailed it on the 23rd business day.


How long ago? This thread is showing some quick payments. I saw other boards where the payments sound quick, the biggest issue they have had is 9 days to clear from a Canadian bank.

Official Bodog payout thread for US players - Page 132 - Internet Poker - Online Poker Forum

dervack 09-04-2009 07:42 PM

A while ago. It seems that it's gotten a lot better.

Vegas Vic 09-04-2009 08:08 PM

It's a long season, but my first major bet is Minnesota -6.5 over Syracuse. The line has moved to -7 at most places.

Syracuse has a new coach, new system, and barely enough players to fill their roster after new head coach Doug Marrone dismissed 16 players from last year's team. Additionally, they are starting basketball player Greg Paulus at QB, who hasn't taken a snap in live action in four years.

I think there's good value with Minnesota, who lost a lot of public support with five consecutive losses to end the 2008 season. They have superior talent in this matchup, and I think they'll get the cover.

Lathum 09-04-2009 08:46 PM

LSU -17 will be my first big bet. Jake hasn't played in a long time and UW just can't match up.

lynchjm24 09-04-2009 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vegas Vic (Post 2109350)
It's a long season, but my first major bet is Minnesota -6.5 over Syracuse. The line has moved to -7 at most places.

Syracuse has a new coach, new system, and barely enough players to fill their roster after new head coach Doug Marrone dismissed 16 players from last year's team. Additionally, they are starting basketball player Greg Paulus at QB, who hasn't taken a snap in live action in four years.

I think there's good value with Minnesota, who lost a lot of public support with five consecutive losses to end the 2008 season. They have superior talent in this matchup, and I think they'll get the cover.


I'm going to get back on the gambling horse with Vic's lock of the week.

mckerney 09-04-2009 10:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vegas Vic (Post 2109350)
It's a long season, but my first major bet is Minnesota -6.5 over Syracuse. The line has moved to -7 at most places.

Syracuse has a new coach, new system, and barely enough players to fill their roster after new head coach Doug Marrone dismissed 16 players from last year's team. Additionally, they are starting basketball player Greg Paulus at QB, who hasn't taken a snap in live action in four years.

I think there's good value with Minnesota, who lost a lot of public support with five consecutive losses to end the 2008 season. They have superior talent in this matchup, and I think they'll get the cover.


If Minnesota doesn't win this game by at least 10 it will bring serious question to if this team can accomplish what is expected of them this year. Looking at the Syracuse team is reminds me of the 2007 Minnesota team with the number of players lost and coming off a bad season with a new coach. Add to that the major question that is Paulus playing QB and Adam Weber should be able to go out and get you your money.

Vegas Vic 09-05-2009 12:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24 (Post 2109385)
I'm going to get back on the gambling horse with Vic's lock of the week.


I appreciate the support, but just to set the record straight, there's no such thing as a lock. Based on historical results, I expect to win about 60% of my plays, which means that I lose about 40% of the time.

Lathum 09-05-2009 01:10 AM

4/5 to start the season

Lathum 09-05-2009 02:20 PM

So I bit on USC -34.5. I also took the under 57 in the Georgia-OSU game. I also took the over 59 in the Illini-Mizzou game

Vegas Vic 09-05-2009 05:39 PM

Well, I was totally wrong on Paulus, as he played a hell of a game, with Syracuse getting the cover.

I also lost on Penn State -27, after they scored 31 in the first half and didn't score in the second half. I did cash with Notre Dame -14, and Oklahoma State/Georgia under 62 is looking good late in the 4th quarter.

mckerney 09-05-2009 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vegas Vic (Post 2109983)
Well, I was totally wrong on Paulus, as he played a hell of a game, with Syracuse getting the cover.

I also lost on Penn State -27, after they scored 31 in the first half and didn't score in the second half. I did cash with Notre Dame -14, and Oklahoma State/Georgia under 62 is looking good late in the 4th quarter.


Paulus played better than I'd thought he would, but Minnesota played horrible today. Didn't help that on top of all the other mistakes Weber played the worst game I've ever seen from him.

Cuckoo 09-05-2009 09:38 PM

It's been a very good day for me. I'm 4/4 so far with Oklahoma State -5 1/2 over Georgia, Missouri +6 1/2 against Illinois, under 60 1/2 Nevada/Notre Dame and Texas A&M -14 1/2 over New Mexico. Not too shabby to start the football season.

Still have LSU and the spread tonight.

lynchjm24 09-05-2009 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vegas Vic (Post 2109459)
I appreciate the support, but just to set the record straight, there's no such thing as a lock. Based on historical results, I expect to win about 60% of my plays, which means that I lose about 40% of the time.


I read this after we lost. :)

I had UConn -4 to get back even for the day.

Don't worry, I'm kidding. Minnesota had a chance to put them away early and didn't. Either Paulus is pretty good or Minnesota is pretty bad.

Bigsmooth 09-06-2009 01:38 PM

I really like Ole Miss tonight at -18. That said, my only impression of them is the bowl game last year versus Texas Tech (Cotton?) and I was really impressed. I think they will come out and make a statement versus Memphis. I'm probably going to do a 6 point teaser like so:

Ole Miss -12
Miami +12.5

Lathum 09-06-2009 01:44 PM

I'm running with Ole Miss tonight also.

Bigsmooth 09-06-2009 02:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2110465)
I'm running with Ole Miss tonight also.


Just noticed this game kicks off in a half hour. Sweet.

larrymcg421 09-06-2009 02:10 PM

I know I'm biased, but 12.5 points seems like an awfully lot to give Miami in a series that hasn't had a final score of that margin since 2001, and you have to go all the way back to 1997 when FSU won by that much.

Recoil 09-06-2009 02:33 PM

Got Ole Miss -10 for the 1st half.

Lathum 09-06-2009 05:49 PM

Looks like Ole Miss' prevent defense is gonna fuck us here

Lathum 09-06-2009 06:07 PM

nice late cover with the turnovers

Lathum 09-06-2009 06:16 PM

Threw in a late bet for the over on the Colorado-CSU game, over 51. Have a feeling it's gonna be a barn burner.

Bigsmooth 09-06-2009 08:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by larrymcg421 (Post 2110481)
I know I'm biased, but 12.5 points seems like an awfully lot to give Miami in a series that hasn't had a final score of that margin since 2001, and you have to go all the way back to 1997 when FSU won by that much.


Yeah, technically I'm saying that I don't think Miami will lose by 13. I actually didn't tease it. Went with a parlay of Ole Miss -18 and Miami +6.5. So far so good...

lynchjm24 09-07-2009 07:31 AM

Doesn't seem like Rutgers should be laying 5 to Cincinnati. Although I see that +170 on the money line for the Bearcats and i'm interested.

lynchjm24 09-07-2009 10:52 AM

What is more American then spending Labor day wagering on exciting baseball action while waiting for the late football games?

I like that a simple parlay on Tampa in Game 1 with Toronto -1.5 brings back 6.5:1.

Lathum 09-07-2009 11:32 AM

I'm waiting forthem to post the CFL lines

lynchjm24 09-07-2009 11:57 AM

I checked out the tennis lines because I had on the US Open Mix channel for a few minutes. $100 on Federer today brings back $2.40.

Lathum 09-07-2009 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lynchjm24 (Post 2110980)
I checked out the tennis lines because I had on the US Open Mix channel for a few minutes. $100 on Federer today brings back $2.40.


lol

sterlingice 09-07-2009 02:41 PM

Anyone with a decent Rutgers-Cincy preview from a "betting" standpoint? I'm thinking of going with Rutgers (just to win- no points or anything) in ESPN's Streak for the Cash as they look like a pretty hefty favorite at anywhere from 4.5 to 6.5. Is there some reason I should stay away from the game?

SI

Bigsmooth 09-07-2009 02:50 PM

From what I've read, Cincy only has 1 starter back on a D that is switching from a 4-3 to a 3-4. Meanwhile, Rutgers is breaking in a new QB but has all 5 monster Olineman and 3 returning RB's. Cincy has studs returning at QB and WR. I like the OVER (47.5). So, I teased (6 pointer) with OVER 41.5 and Cincy +10.5. We shall see...

lynchjm24 09-07-2009 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sterlingice (Post 2111045)
Anyone with a decent Rutgers-Cincy preview from a "betting" standpoint? I'm thinking of going with Rutgers (just to win- no points or anything) in ESPN's Streak for the Cash as they look like a pretty hefty favorite at anywhere from 4.5 to 6.5. Is there some reason I should stay away from the game?

SI


Cinci is breaking in 10 new starters on defense and Rutgers is breaking in a new Quarterback plus others at key positions.

Kelly is a better gameday coach then Schiano.

I'm going with Cincinnati on the money line at +170.

I honestly don't know who is going to win, but I don't think Rutgers should be so heavily favored.

lynchjm24 09-07-2009 03:22 PM

I ended up with Cinci on m/l parlayed with over. I liked that first drive.

Bigsmooth 09-07-2009 03:33 PM

Yeah this is going exactly as I imagined it would, thus far. Sweet.


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