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-   -   "With the first pick in the NFL reallocation draft..." (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=79284)

Honolulu Blue 09-23-2010 09:13 AM

"With the first pick in the NFL reallocation draft..."
 
...who would you pick?

Let's set up a few assumptions:

* All current NFL players are eligible to be reallocated, and there's an agreement that they have to play for the new team that drafts them. Don't worry too much about their feelings. :p
* You're in charge of the draft for the team of your choice
* The draft is NOW, or a few days from now
* Your season starts in September 2011
* You are responsible for the contract rights of your chosen players starting in 2011
* You draft first in every round after this, a total of 53 rounds
* Your team drafts LAST in every round of the upcoming amateur draft
* There's no free agent compensation or anything like that

OK, I don't mean to make this too complicated; this is just a variation of the "if you had a blank franchise, who is the person you would take first?" question that we've had here a few times.

I feel woefully underqualified to answer, so I won't. I will say the guy I would have taken first the past five years or so, I wouldn't take first under these rules. I'm sure most of the people I would consider taking instead will be mentioned here.

With that, I'll get out of the way. Choose now. Choose wisely. Your team thanks you.

Mustang 09-23-2010 09:30 AM

I'd probably lean towards P. Manning, but I'd almost definitely take a QB. If I couldn't take a QB, I would look towards possibly Joe Thomas, Mario Williams or Revis.

Sounds like we need 32 FOFC people and do a mock 22 round draft and vote on the results. :devil:

Lathum 09-23-2010 09:31 AM

Joe Thomas was who I was thinking. Otherwise would have to be someone who can throw on the run, Big Ben maybe.

spleen1015 09-23-2010 09:36 AM

Peyton Manning, no question about it.

Jughead Spock 09-23-2010 09:47 AM

Drew Brees. What he did with and for New Orleans wasn't a fluke or coincidence. I don't know that he's the absolute best talent, but A) he's close, and B) his intangibles are off the charts.

bhlloy 09-23-2010 09:52 AM

I would choose Brees as well. He's 3 years younger than Manning and right now, a better QB IMO.

I think you would almost have to go QB, assuming that's what the majority (or even half) of the other teams in the first round would be looking for. No point in taking Joe Thomas if you get to the start of the second and the best QB left on the board is Matt Cassell.

bhlloy 09-23-2010 09:59 AM

DOLA - wonder how many people would have said Revis before the contract and the start he's had to the season?

Mustang 09-23-2010 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bhlloy (Post 2353467)
No point in taking Joe Thomas if you get to the start of the second and the best QB left on the board is Matt Cassell.


Which is why I said if I can't take a QB. Which, IMHO, is a more interesting discussion. If I want QB discussions, I'll go to the weekly NFL threads. :D

MizzouRah 09-23-2010 10:00 AM

Very tough.. probably Peyton Manning, but Drew Brees is a close 2nd.

Abe Sargent 09-23-2010 10:03 AM

I'd want to go with a young QB who looks to be the next Manning rather than going with one who's 34.

Matt Schaub is 29 and 5 years younger. I'd consider him.

Drew Brees is 31.

Brady is 33

Eli is 29

Big Ben has too many off the field issues.




So, I'd prefer to look at:

Matt Ryan, 25.



He has huge upside, young, and a lot of talent already developed.

Kodos 09-23-2010 10:13 AM

I'd take Manning.

Or Ryan Leaf if Manning was not available.

Scoobz0202 09-23-2010 10:13 AM

Aaron Rodgers (He's what, 25, 26?). Maybe Jake Long.

Abe Sargent 09-23-2010 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scoobz0202 (Post 2353481)
Aaron Rodgers (He's what, 25, 26?). Maybe Jake Long.


I was thinking about Rodgers instead of Ryan, I think that's a really good pick too

JPhillips 09-23-2010 10:47 AM

I'd take Manning.

I don't think you can look to build a dynasty at the expense of taking a player that's currently inferior because football has too many injuries. Take the best chance to get a Super Bowl now rather than hope to win three in a few years.

Eaglesfan27 09-23-2010 10:47 AM

Aaron Rodgers would be my choice as well based on age and potential.

Kodos 09-23-2010 10:50 AM

Plus, Manning has been very durable. I think he could play into his early 40s, like Favre. Only without all the retirement stuff.

chesapeake 09-23-2010 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scoobz0202 (Post 2353481)
Aaron Rodgers (He's what, 25, 26?). Maybe Jake Long.


This would be my choice, too. In my opinion, he is the best QB under 30 in the league.

Aylmar 09-23-2010 11:08 AM

I'm torn between a great young LT (Jake Long, Ryan Clady) or a disruptive force on defense (Mario Williams, Demarcus Ware).

jbergey22 09-23-2010 11:15 AM

I would trade the #1 overall pick to someone that desperately wanted Manning or Brees.

If I kept the pick Id Rodgers because of his youth, mobility(because your line is going to likely suck), and accuracy.

I considered Joe Thomas or Ryan Clady but you just cant win in the NFL without a good QB. If you wait until round 2 you will be stuck with someone like Donovan McNabb as your QB.

BillJasper 09-23-2010 11:26 AM

Ben Roethlisberger or Aaron Rodgers

larrymcg421 09-23-2010 11:26 AM

Brandon Jacobs.

Cmon, someone had to do it.

DeToxRox 09-23-2010 11:30 AM

It's a QB league so you have to go QB first. I'd personally be between Rodgers and Rivers with an edge to Rodgers. People give Rivers a ton of shit but I don't care, the guy is a warrior. His playoffs haven't been awe inspiring but he is going to win a SB one day.

The only other player I'd consider over a QB is Mario Williams since he is just about to enter his prime and an elite 4-3 DE is about the hardest position in the NFL to find besides a QB.

Fonzie 09-23-2010 11:32 AM

Rodgers, for all of the reasons cited above.

Racer 09-23-2010 11:32 AM

Probably either Rodgers or Brees.

Cringer 09-23-2010 11:36 AM

Rodgers, but I'm a Packer fan too so grain of salt and all that.....

Lathum 09-23-2010 11:43 AM

I think I would have to go with rodgers

Sun Tzu 09-23-2010 11:58 AM

JaMarcus Russell

TroyF 09-23-2010 12:05 PM

I love the talent Rodgers has, but I think he takes far to many sacks. I liken him to a more talented version of Rob Johnson in that regard. That impacts my picking of him for two reasons:

1) when he faces a good pass rush in the playoffs, I'm not confident he'll be able to avoid sacks.

2) With all the shots he takes, I can't imagine he'll stay healthy for long. He takes far more shots than any other big name QB.

It is a QB league. I would go with Manning. Yes, he's 34. But he's never had a ton of mobility (so what is age really going to take away?), he's never been hurt, and I think he would last me at least 6 years. (plenty of time to build a Super Bowl contender in today's NFL. I'd also love to have him around to mentor my next QB. If I were to take a QB in the 25-29 age range, I'd probably go with Rivers, even if I'd hate to cheer for the jack ass. (no need to go into the debate again, I think he's a jerk, it doesn't matter what I think, we can end it there)

Now, assuming a QB couldn't be taken, a lot of interesting names appear. Mario Williams, Patrick Willis, Revis, Ware, Thomas, Clady, Long, etc.

My personal choice would be one of those first two Barring injury, you have two hall of fame calibur players, already among the best at their positions in the league and both under the age of 26. Very nice.

NorvTurnerOverdrive 09-23-2010 12:10 PM

trade the pick for the first pick in the ammy draft and take luck/mallet/locker.

MikeVic 09-23-2010 12:15 PM

I saw Matt Ryan listed by someone. I wouldn't even think he'd be an upper-half first round choice, much less in the discussion for #1 overall?

jbergey22 09-23-2010 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TroyF (Post 2353526)
I love the talent Rodgers has, but I think he takes far to many sacks. I liken him to a more talented version of Rob Johnson in that regard. That impacts my picking of him for two reasons:

1) when he faces a good pass rush in the playoffs, I'm not confident he'll be able to avoid sacks.

2) With all the shots he takes, I can't imagine he'll stay healthy for long. He takes far more shots than any other big name QB.

It is a QB league. I would go with Manning. Yes, he's 34. But he's never had a ton of mobility (so what is age really going to take away?), he's never been hurt, and I think he would last me at least 6 years. (plenty of time to build a Super Bowl contender in today's NFL. I'd also love to have him around to mentor my next QB. If I were to take a QB in the 25-29 age range, I'd probably go with Rivers, even if I'd hate to cheer for the jack ass. (no need to go into the debate again, I think he's a jerk, it doesn't matter what I think, we can end it there)

Now, assuming a QB couldn't be taken, a lot of interesting names appear. Mario Williams, Patrick Willis, Revis, Ware, Thomas, Clady, Long, etc.

My personal choice would be one of those first two Barring injury, you have two hall of fame calibur players, already among the best at their positions in the league and both under the age of 26. Very nice.


Did you really just compare Aaron Rodgers to Rob Johnson in some form? Rodgers took all them sacks early last season because his line was absolutely brutal FYI. Manning wouldnt have been able to do much better.

Mustang 09-23-2010 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 2353533)
Did you really just compare Aaron Rodgers to Rob Johnson in some form? Rodgers took all them sacks early last season because his line was absolutely brutal FYI. Manning wouldnt have been able to do much better.


Some of them were him holding the ball too long, alot of it was a crap o-line. He has seemed to rectify the situation in the 2nd part of the season and this year.

jbergey22 09-23-2010 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mustang (Post 2353541)
Some of them were him holding the ball too long, alot of it was a crap o-line. He has seemed to rectify the situation in the 2nd part of the season and this year.


I just remember the game at the metrodome in which Rodgers took 8 sacks and he really didnt even have a chance on most of them. Allen would come in virtually untouched.

DaddyTorgo 09-23-2010 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 2353516)
I think I would have to go with rodgers


:confused:

not eli?

Abe Sargent 09-23-2010 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeVic (Post 2353531)
I saw Matt Ryan listed by someone. I wouldn't even think he'd be an upper-half first round choice, much less in the discussion for #1 overall?


I think Ryan looks great as a QB. Remember he's surrounded by a lot less talent, and has been in the league a lot less. Rodgers is going into his third year as a starter, but was on the bench for three before that. This is Ryan's third season as a starter, but without the benefit of three years growth on the bench behind a Hall of Fame QB. A lot of Pro Bowl level QBs learned the game from Favre as a backup - Hasselbeck, Brunell, Rodgers. Ryan doesn;t have those three years. So, as a QB, I think Ryan is in a really good place development wise for a player who came to a team with a lack of talent, and has looked very good from the start, entering his third year.

jbergey22 09-23-2010 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyTorgo (Post 2353545)
:confused:

not eli?


His team will be so good that he wont be in any close games where he will need Eli's "clutchness."

JPhillips 09-23-2010 01:03 PM

I'm feeling pretty good playing in a league where people take the third or fourth best player available.

DaddyTorgo 09-23-2010 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Abe Sargent (Post 2353546)
I think Ryan looks great as a QB. Remember he's surrounded by a lot less talent, and has been in the league a lot less. Rodgers is going into his third year as a starter, but was on the bench for three before that. This is Ryan's third season as a starter, but without the benefit of three years growth on the bench behind a Hall of Fame QB. A lot of Pro Bowl level QBs learned the game from Favre as a backup - Hasselbeck, Brunell, Rodgers. Ryan doesn;t have those three years. So, as a QB, I think Ryan is in a really good place development wise for a player who came to a team with a lack of talent, and has looked very good from the start, entering his third year.


Yes

jbergey22 09-23-2010 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 2353551)
I'm feeling pretty good playing in a league where people take the third or fourth best player available.


Your not starting with great team. You are starting from scratch in which more than likely it will take a few years to get the pieces in place. If you draft Manning and dont win it in 4 years you will be starting over. Id take my chances with the 26 year old coming into his prime to build around.

Logan 09-23-2010 01:16 PM

I'd take Manning, who has shown he can win without a decent OL, and a bunch of other guys in the latter parts of their prime while others focus too much on getting younger guys who can be relied on for a decade. It's crazy to look beyond 3-5 years.

jbergey22 09-23-2010 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Logan (Post 2353557)
I'd take Manning, who has shown he can win without a decent OL, and a bunch of other guys in the latter parts of their prime while others focus too much on getting younger guys who can be relied on for a decade. It's crazy to look beyond 3-5 years.


So says Al Davis.

DanGarion 09-23-2010 01:18 PM

If Vince Young could bring it all together every game, he would be my pick. But since he still hasn't done that, Brees, Manning, Rodgers in that order.

JPhillips 09-23-2010 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 2353556)
Your not starting with great team. You are starting from scratch in which more than likely it will take a few years to get the pieces in place. If you draft Manning and dont win it in 4 years you will be starting over. Id take my chances with the 26 year old coming into his prime to build around.


Somebody is going to win in 2011 and while you're stocking pieces you hope will mature into a team that can win it all I'm going to pick players that can already win it all. It may not work, but I'll take production over potential eleven days out of ten.

Take the best player, play for today, and worry about tomorrow later. In a high turnover business like the NFL that's the best formula for championships.

DanGarion 09-23-2010 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 2353533)
Did you really just compare Aaron Rodgers to Rob Johnson in some form? Rodgers took all them sacks early last season because his line was absolutely brutal FYI. Manning wouldnt have been able to do much better.


I still remember my first USC game (against the Ducks in the early 90's) and Johnson getting sacked again and again. The fans actually cheered when he threw the ball away. We lost that game.

Logan 09-23-2010 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 2353558)
So says Al Davis.


Yeah, there was no growing period at all required for Jamarcus Russell and Darius Heyward-Bey.

JPhillips 09-23-2010 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 2353558)
So says Al Davis.


You can't compare a college draft to a reallocation draft. You don't know what any college player can do in the NFL. Manning, though, is a known commodity.

NorvTurnerOverdrive 09-23-2010 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Logan (Post 2353557)
I'd take Manning, who has shown he can win without a decent OL, and a bunch of other guys in the latter parts of their prime while others focus too much on getting younger guys who can be relied on for a decade. It's crazy to look beyond 3-5 years.

1996 Carolina Panthers 12-4

1997 Carolina Panthers 7-9

1998 Carolina Panthers 4-12

MajikMan77 09-23-2010 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jbergey22 (Post 2353543)
I just remember the game at the metrodome in which Rodgers took 8 sacks and he really didnt even have a chance on most of them. Allen would come in virtually untouched.


Ah yes the game where our backup rookie tackle came in to replace the replacement (starting LG) because he sucked hard big time.

I'd pick Rodgers first, only because he'd probably cost me less money initially and has more mobility than Manning should the OL be waffer thin.

Vince, Pt. II 09-23-2010 01:44 PM

While this discussion is fairly interesting, I think an even more interesting one is what direction do you go in from there? I'd imagine 90% of us would take a QB first, maybe even more. So what do you do next? Focus on the O-Line? Skill position players on offense? Straight defense? I know a lot of it depends upon who is available, but as a general strategy for the draft, where are you going after QB?

I'd personally focus on offense as long as I could get marquee players. I'd try not to ignore the defense, but since I'm drafting a QB first, I want to protect that investment by providing him with protection and skill position players so he can produce.

jbergey22 09-23-2010 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vince, Pt. II (Post 2353574)
While this discussion is fairly interesting, I think an even more interesting one is what direction do you go in from there? I'd imagine 90% of us would take a QB first, maybe even more. So what do you do next? Focus on the O-Line? Skill position players on offense? Straight defense? I know a lot of it depends upon who is available, but as a general strategy for the draft, where are you going after QB?

I'd personally focus on offense as long as I could get marquee players. I'd try not to ignore the defense, but since I'm drafting a QB first, I want to protect that investment by providing him with protection and skill position players so he can produce.


Id want a left tacke to protect the franchise player.


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