Front Office Football Central

Front Office Football Central (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//index.php)
-   Dynasty Reports (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//forumdisplay.php?f=8)
-   -   FBCB: Zeroed Out/All 1 Prestige Conferences/All Auto-Bids except Independents (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=99398)

Izulde 07-22-2024 10:39 PM

FBCB: Zeroed Out/All 1 Prestige Conferences/All Auto-Bids except Independents
 
Yes, I went through and set all schools to 0 prestige and all conferences to 1 prestige. What is this actually going to look like? Who knows!

I've created 34 year old Izulde Jestor as a Level 0 coach with the usual 50 Recruiting/10 Scouting/10 Coaching Offense/30 Coaching Defense buuuut I'm going to let him sit out the first 5-10 years while some history gets established first. Let's go!

Well, not quite. I also went and deleted all of the preseason tournaments except 1, since it insists on having at least one preseason tournament. Fine. 16 teams, 1 prestige, no host school: the Midnight Madness Tipoff.

We might follow (or attempt to follow) a few specific high schools if I'm able to access that data easily.

I actually had to redo the start, because somehow I missed that Hofstra had 40 prestige and Penn State 9. The Pride was crushing everyone and actually had a Yellow/Yellow and Yellow/Green player.

2013
No recruits to follow from any of our selected focus schools. Wisconsin got hit hard - highest recruit is a 3*.

5* Recruits
California: 3
Tennessee: 3
New Jersey: 2
Pennsylvania: 2
Texas: 2
Alabama: 1
Arkansas: 1
Iowa: 1
Indiana: 1
Illinois: 1
Florida: 1
Georgia: 1
Michigan: 1
Minnesota: 1
Spain: 1
Washington D.C.: 1

New York is shut out, and apparently the Volunteer State is the place to be if you want to see elite high school hoops action this year.



Gotta love parity

After November:

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Jacksonville State          (31)    6-0    1201    1  Ohio Valley Conference                                     
  2.  Charleston Southern          (1)    4-1    949  NR  Big South Conference                                       
  3.  Youngstown State            (8)    4-0    929  NR  Horizon League                                             
  4.  Howard                      (6)    4-1    881  NR  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                           
  5.  Liberty                      (1)    4-0    871  NR  Big South Conference                                       
  6.  SIU Edwardsville            (1)    3-1    852  NR  Ohio Valley Conference                                     
  7.  Creighton                            3-1    792  NR  Missouri Valley Conference                                 
  8.  Xavier                              3-1    732  NR  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  9.  UAB                                  3-1    715  NR  Conference USA                                             
  10.  Pepperdine                  (10)    2-1    681  23  West Coast Conference                                     
  11.  Norfolk State                        3-0    641  NR  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                           
  12.  Stanford                            2-1    593  NR  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  13.  Providence                          2-0    522  NR  Big East Conference                                       
  14.  Maryland                    (1)    3-1    503  NR  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  15.  Southeastern Louisiana              2-1    481  NR  Southland Conference                                       
  16.  Florida State                        2-1    404  20  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  17.  Northern Colorado            (1)    2-0    397  14  Big Sky Conference                                         
  18.  St. Peter's                          2-2    391  NR  Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
  19.  Butler                      (1)    2-0    368  NR  Horizon League                                             
  20.  Seattle                              2-2    318  NR  Independent                                               
  21.  Hartford                    (1)    3-0    317  NR  America East Conference                                   
  22.  USC                                  2-1    301  NR  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  23.  Oregon                      (2)    4-0    278  NR  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  24.  Purdue                              2-2    262  NR  Big Ten Conference                                         
  25.  Austin Peay                          2-2    251  NR  Ohio Valley Conference                                     
                                                                                                                         
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                             
      Michigan State                      2-1    250      Big Ten Conference                                         
      Santa Clara                          2-1    239      West Coast Conference                                     
      Elon                                3-1    233      Southern Conference                                       
      Missouri State                      3-0    225      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      North Dakota                        3-1    220      Big Sky Conference                                         
      Boston University                    4-0    219      America East Conference                                   
      North Texas                          4-0    218      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      San Jose State                      2-0    208      Western Athletic Conference                               
      UNC Greensboro                      3-1    207      Southern Conference                                       
      Pacific                              3-0    194      Big West Conference                                       
      James Madison                        2-1    193      Colonial Athletic Association                             
      Toledo                              4-0    187      Mid-American Conference                                   

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Florida International                3-1    187      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      Gonzaga                              2-2    187      West Coast Conference                                     
      Tennessee Tech                      2-2    183      Ohio Valley Conference                                     
      Mississippi                          3-2    176      Southeastern Conference                                   
      Chicago State                        2-2    164      Great West Conference                                     
      Wichita State                        2-1    162      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      Georgetown                          3-0    158      Big East Conference                                       
      Oklahoma State                      3-0    152      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Binghamton                          2-1    149      America East Conference                                   
      Washington                          2-0    149      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Belmont                              3-1    146      Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
      Portland State                      1-2    145      Big Sky Conference                                         
      Army                                2-1    140      Patriot League                                             
      Texas                                2-1    139      Big 12 Conference                                         
      UNLV                                2-1    139      Mountain West Conference                                   
      San Diego State                      1-1    138      Mountain West Conference                                   
      Temple                              3-0    134      Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
      Columbia                            2-1    131      Ivy League                                                 
      UCLA                                1-1    127      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Kansas State                        3-0    125      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Mercer                              2-1    121      Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
      Auburn                              1-1    118      Southeastern Conference                                   
      Saint Mary's                        1-1    116      West Coast Conference                                     
      Houston                              2-1    114      Conference USA                                             
      Fairleigh Dickinson                  2-2    114      Northeast Conference                                       
      Utah                                1-1    107      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      San Francisco                        1-1    105      West Coast Conference                                     
      Colorado                            1-1    104      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Ohio                                1-2    102      Mid-American Conference                                   
      Texas Tech                          2-2    101      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Harvard                              1-0      91      Ivy League                                                 
      Georgia Tech                        3-0      90      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      East Carolina                        2-0      85      Conference USA                                             
      Yale                                2-1      84      Ivy League                                                 
      Massachusetts                        2-1      83      Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
      Florida Gulf Coast                  2-1      83      Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
      Colorado State                      2-0      81      Mountain West Conference                                   
      Maryland-East Shore                  2-0      80      Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                           
      Bowling Green                        2-1      77      Mid-American Conference                                   
      St. Francis-NY                      2-0      75      Northeast Conference                                       

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      High Point                          2-1      72      Big South Conference                                       
      Lafayette                            3-0      69      Patriot League                                             
      Wyoming                              1-1      65      Mountain West Conference                                   
      Connecticut                          2-0      63      Big East Conference                                       
      UNC-Charlotte                        1-1      58      Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
      Clemson                              2-1      53      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Oklahoma                            2-0      53      Big 12 Conference                                         
      West Virginia                        1-1      53      Big East Conference                                       
      Jackson State                        2-1      47      Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
      Texas State                          2-0      46      Western Athletic Conference                               
      Drake                                2-1      43      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      Mississippi State                    1-1      43      Southeastern Conference                                   
      Mississippi Valley State            2-0      41      Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
      Sam Houston State                    2-0      39      Southland Conference                                       
      Texas A&M-CC                        1-1      37      Southland Conference                                       
      North Carolina State                2-1      36      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Texas Southern                      1-1      35      Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
      St. Francis-PA                      2-0      33      Northeast Conference                                       
      Texas-San Antonio                    0-0      33      Western Athletic Conference                               
      Western Illinois                    3-1      29      Summit League                                             
      Pennsylvania                        2-0      26      Ivy League                                                 
      Marquette                            2-1      24      Big East Conference                                       
      Central Michigan                    2-0      24      Mid-American Conference                                   
      Denver                              1-0      23      Western Athletic Conference                               
      Richmond                            2-0      22      Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
      Illinois                            3-0      22      Big Ten Conference                                         
      South Alabama                        2-1      22      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      Pittsburgh                          2-1      17      Big East Conference                                       
      UW-Green Bay                        1-2      15      Horizon League                                             
      New Mexico State                    1-0      14      Western Athletic Conference                               
      Mount St. Mary's                    1-1      12      Northeast Conference                                       
      Florida Atlantic                    2-1      12      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      Rutgers                              2-0      11      Big East Conference                                       
      North Dakota State                  0-1      10      Summit League                                             
      Western Kentucky                    2-0      8      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      Monmouth                            1-1      5      Northeast Conference                                       


This is what parity gets you. The voters are strongly split on everything. Hilariously enough, there's two Green players in the universe right now and neither Akron nor UNC-Wilmington have so much as a single vote. Even funnier? Jacksonville State is #1 despite having one Orange guy and two players on academic suspension.

December should normalize things one would hope.

Izulde 07-23-2024 12:33 AM

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Southeast Missouri State    (48)    11-2    1732    2  Ohio Valley Conference                                     
  2.  Florida Gulf Coast          (14)    11-1    1715    4  Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
  3.  Boston University            (8)    10-1    1631    1  America East Conference                                   
  4.  Illinois                    (1)    10-1    1545    8  Big Ten Conference                                         
  5.  Temple                              11-1    1520  10  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  6.  Richmond                    (1)    10-1    1493    3  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  7.  Georgia Tech                        10-1    1413    6  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  8.  Harvard                              8-1    1324  13  Ivy League                                                 
  9.  Marist                              10-3    1195  14  Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
  10.  Texas A&M                            9-2    1130  11  Big 12 Conference                                         
  11.  Portland                            9-2    1079    9  West Coast Conference                                     
  12.  USC                                  8-2    1024  12  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  13.  Oklahoma State                      8-2    949    7  Big 12 Conference                                         
  14.  Wyoming                              8-2    880  NR  Mountain West Conference                                   
  15.  Utah                                8-2    792  NR  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  16.  Virginia                            9-3    508  NR  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  17.  Gardner Webb                        9-3    436  NR  Big South Conference                                       
  18.  James Madison                        8-3    378  17  Colonial Athletic Association                             
  19.  SIU Edwardsville                    9-3    375  15  Ohio Valley Conference                                     
  20.  St. Francis-PA                      7-3    263  NR  Northeast Conference                                       
  21.  North Carolina                      8-3    243  NR  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  22.  Oklahoma                            7-3    218  NR  Big 12 Conference                                         
  23.  Memphis                              8-3    146  NR  Conference USA                                             
  24.  Akron                                8-3    137  NR  Mid-American Conference                                   
  25.  Houston Baptist                      9-3      87  NR  Great West Conference                                     
                                                                                                                         
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                             
      San Francisco                        7-3      87      West Coast Conference                                     
      Maryland-East Shore                  8-4      81      Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                           
      Northern Colorado                    7-3      80      Big Sky Conference                                         
      Youngstown State                    9-3      80      Horizon League                                             
      Middle Tennessee                    9-3      77      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      Texas-Arlington                      8-4      72      Southland Conference                                       
      Maryland                            8-3      64      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Hawaii                              6-3      63      Big West Conference                                       
      Pacific                              7-3      63      Big West Conference                                       
      Coastal Carolina                    9-3      61      Big South Conference                                       
      Connecticut                          7-3      46      Big East Conference                                       
      UAB                                  8-3      46      Conference USA                                             

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Texas                                8-3      45      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Mount St. Mary's                    7-3      44      Northeast Conference                                       
      Oregon                              7-3      42      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Dartmouth                            6-4      40      Ivy League                                                 
      Creighton                            8-3      40      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      VCU                                  8-3      31      Colonial Athletic Association                             
      Michigan State                      8-3      29      Big Ten Conference                                         
      Butler                              7-3      19      Horizon League                                             
      Samford                              8-3      19      Southern Conference                                       
      Colorado                            6-4      15      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Texas State                          7-3      13      Western Athletic Conference                               
      Colorado State                      7-3      12      Mountain West Conference                                   
      Northwestern                        7-3      9      Big Ten Conference                                         
      George Mason                        7-3      7      Colonial Athletic Association                             
      Mississippi State                    6-4      2      Southeastern Conference                                   


Things are starting to smooth out now as of the New Year. Boston University is the first All-Red team in the Top 25, and like a lot of teams in the Top 25, they have yet to play a conference game. Southeast Missouri State is 3-0 in conference, Florida Gulf Coast is 5-0.

7 of the top scorers in the country are seniors and the only one averaging 20+ points is a chucker at sub-40% shooting (he's at 21.5 points by the way).

Sure wish I could see where the top recruits committed, but there's no way for me to access that information without a human coach, so on we go to February.

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Temple                      (71)    18-1    1799    2  Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
  2.  Boston University                  17-4    1664    1  America East Conference                                 
  3.  Southeast Missouri State    (1)    18-4    1628    3  Ohio Valley Conference                                   
  4.  Georgia Tech                        14-5    1553    8  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  5.  Portland                            15-5    1462    7  West Coast Conference                                   
  6.  Illinois                            15-4    1402    9  Big Ten Conference                                       
  7.  Richmond                            14-5    1400  10  Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
  8.  James Madison                      17-4    1285  12  Colonial Athletic Association                           
  9.  Florida Gulf Coast                  17-5    1206  14  Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
  10.  Virginia                            13-6    1135    6  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  11.  Oklahoma State                      14-6    1079    5  Big 12 Conference                                       
  12.  Southeastern Louisiana              13-6    985  16  Southland Conference                                     
  13.  Hawaii                              14-5    922  18  Big West Conference                                     
  14.  Creighton                          16-4    867  19  Missouri Valley Conference                               
  15.  Houston Baptist                    15-4    813  15  Great West Conference                                   
  16.  USC                                13-6    751  22  Pacific-12 Conference                                   
  17.  Elon                                17-5    594  NR  Southern Conference                                     
  18.  Texas                              14-6    459  11  Big 12 Conference                                       
  19.  Northern Colorado                  14-6    372    4  Big Sky Conference                                       
  20.  Sacred Heart                        13-7    357  NR  Northeast Conference                                     
  21.  St. Francis-PA                      15-5    276  NR  Northeast Conference                                     
  22.  Texas A&M                          15-5    230  NR  Big 12 Conference                                       
  23.  Mount St. Mary's                    14-6    227  NR  Northeast Conference                                     
  24.  Florida A&M                        15-5    218  NR  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                         
  25.  Louisiana Tech                      13-6    118  NR  Western Athletic Conference                             
                                                                                                                       
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                           
      Michigan State                      13-6      89      Big Ten Conference                                       
      Alabama                            13-6      80      Southeastern Conference                                 
      LSU                                14-5      66      Southeastern Conference                                 
      Mississippi Valley State            13-7      66      Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
      Wyoming                            14-5      59      Mountain West Conference                                 
      Oregon                              13-6      48      Pacific-12 Conference                                   
      High Point                          15-7      38      Big South Conference                                     
      Akron                              15-6      37      Mid-American Conference                                 
      Harvard                            11-6      28      Ivy League                                               
      Arizona                            14-5      22      Pacific-12 Conference                                   
      Oklahoma                            13-7      17      Big 12 Conference                                       
      Missouri                            12-8      15      Big 12 Conference                                       

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      New Mexico State                    12-7      15      Western Athletic Conference                             
      Cal Poly                            13-6      11      Big West Conference                                     
      South Alabama                      15-6      4      Sun Belt Conference                                     
      Middle Tennessee                    16-6      2      Sun Belt Conference                                     
      Sam Houston State                  12-7      1      Southland Conference                                     


Boston University takes the #1 spot and then January 15th, they have two starters go out over 40 days with injury in the same game. The Terriers have now lost 3 of their last 4 games. Hard to feel bad for them though - they literally have an all-100s 34 year old coach. That's one thing I've noticed is somewhat annoying about this game - how many wunderkind young coaches there are who will win everything and gobble up all the records so no one else has any shot at beating them. Temple? 100 Coaching Offense/100 Coaching Defense and a much more reasonable 48 years old.

Irony: Albert Hamlin, that senior from Michigan State whom I mentioned was a chucker? He finally is shooting north of 40% (barely at 40.4).. annnd... he drops below 20 PPG, now at 19.4. Still good enough to lead the country, but the lack of overall talent is indeed showing itself on the national stage.

Year 1 seems to literally be about "Did you get lucky in the random coach distribution?" If yes, HAWK TUAH! JUST SPIT ON THOSE THANGS! That makes it a much less interesting exercise. I've moved on to March 1st, and 6 of the Top 25 teams have a coach who is not rated 80 or higher in coaching on one side of the ball or the other - many with both - which is 24%.

I'm not going to zero out the coaches, though. That would take literally hours and hours of work, and I'd have to zero out the new coaches as they came in each year and that would be just too much hassle.

But who knows? We'll see what the tournament brings when we get there.

Izulde 07-23-2024 03:31 PM

As of March 1st:

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Temple                      (72)    24-2    1800    1  Atlantic 10 Conference                                 
  2.  Houston Baptist                    23-4    1699    4  Great West Conference                                   
  3.  Texas A&M                          21-6    1609    6  Big 12 Conference                                       
  4.  Creighton                          22-5    1530    2  Missouri Valley Conference                             
  5.  Wyoming                            21-5    1442    8  Mountain West Conference                               
  6.  St. Francis-PA                      21-6    1392    5  Northeast Conference                                   
  7.  Florida A&M                        20-6    1370    7  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                         
  8.  Elon                                21-6    1252    9  Southern Conference                                     
  9.  Southeast Missouri State            22-6    1250  10  Ohio Valley Conference                                 
  10.  Florida Gulf Coast                  21-8    1139  13  Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
  11.  Maryland-East Shore                20-6    1045  17  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                         
  12.  UAB                                19-7    1021  18  Conference USA                                         
  13.  Illinois                            20-6    944  16  Big Ten Conference                                     
  14.  James Madison                      21-7    895    3  Colonial Athletic Association                           
  15.  Virginia                            18-8    810  20  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  16.  Georgia Tech                        19-7    728  21  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  17.  Army                                21-7    635  23  Patriot League                                         
  18.  Boston University                  20-8    563  11  America East Conference                                 
  19.  Oklahoma                            19-8    419  NR  Big 12 Conference                                       
  20.  Richmond                            17-9    407  14  Atlantic 10 Conference                                 
  21.  Hawaii                              18-8    266  19  Big West Conference                                     
  22.  Texas                              18-8    253  NR  Big 12 Conference                                       
  23.  Middle Tennessee                    20-8    215  NR  Sun Belt Conference                                     
  24.  Mount St. Mary's                  17-10    141  NR  Northeast Conference                                   
  25.  Savannah State                      20-8      97  15  Independent                                             
                                                                                                                     
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                         
      Michigan State                      17-9      84      Big Ten Conference                                     
      Santa Clara                        19-8      77      West Coast Conference                                   
      Miami                              18-8      60      Atlantic Coast Conference                               
      South Alabama                      19-9      41      Sun Belt Conference                                     
      Georgetown                          17-9      37      Big East Conference                                     
      Akron                              18-10      37      Mid-American Conference                                 
      George Mason                        18-9      29      Colonial Athletic Association                           
      Montana                            19-8      18      Big Sky Conference                                     
      USC                                17-9      18      Pacific-12 Conference                                   
      Dartmouth                          17-8      17      Ivy League                                             
      Arizona                            18-8      14      Pacific-12 Conference                                   
      Southern Illinois                  17-10      13      Missouri Valley Conference                             

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Kennesaw State                    17-10      9      Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
      Pittsburgh                          17-9      7      Big East Conference                                     
      Drake                              17-10      6      Missouri Valley Conference                             
      Boston College                    16-10      3      Atlantic Coast Conference                               
      High Point                        18-10      3      Big South Conference                                   
      Cal Poly                          16-10      3      Big West Conference                                     
      Youngstown State                  18-10      1      Horizon League                                         
      Pennsylvania                        16-8      1      Ivy League                                             


The Owls of Temple have to be the odds-on favorites to win the whole thing. They're #24 nationally in offense, #12 in defense, and Top 5 in both fewest turnovers allowed and most turnovers forced. Point differential is also tops in the country. Also the first consensus #1 we've seen profiled, after they just missed out on the February 1st rankings.

Bubble watch is brutal to Florida Atlantic. They have the #2 toughest schedule in the country, are 17-11... but their 8-7 conference record is dooming those lesser Owls. Also out is 16th strength of schedule Austin Peay, who are are 16-12 (10-7). SOS only gets you so far. But we'll see what happens.

Oh, side note: The Big Dance is 64 teams, the NIT expanded to 40. I don't like the play-in game format personally, and like an NCAA ticket to really mean something. CBI and CIT are jokes, so they're not allowed.

Some Conference Tournament Notes
Temple is shocked, 46-45 by George Washington in the second round of the Atlantic 10 tournament and the Colonials are perfectly .500 at 16-16 (7-7) when they go up against UNC-Charlotte. They're promptly crushed by the 49ers and are out of postseason consideration.

#1 seeds winning:
Oklahoma (Big 12)
Georgetown (Big East)
Fairfield (MAAAC) (vs 2 seed)
Akron (MAC)
Maryland-Eastern Shore (MEAC) (vs 2 seed)
Creighton (MVC)
Santa Clara (WCC) (vs 2 seed)

Conference USA had 1 seed Memphis against 2 seed UAB, with the Dragons winning 51-49, the exact same result of 1 seed Houston Baptist against 2 seed Utah Valley in the Great West, save that HBU scored 1 less point. UT-Chattanooga as a 2 seed beats top seed Elon in the Southern final. Makes me wonder if the Mocs will pull one of the 5* talents.

Austin Peay advances to the conference tournament final, and though they lose, it's enough to punch their ticket to an at-large bid as a 12 seed. Poor Florida Atlantic. The lesser Owls get to the Sun Belt semi-finals and lose to the top seed, but they're still put as a 4 seed in the NIT.

Albert Hamlin finishes as the national scoring leader at 19.6 points a game. No 20 PPG scorer this year. His Michigan State Spartans make it as a 12 seed though.

NCAA Tournament Brackets


Yes, that's an Eastern seaboard team #1 in the West region. Hilarious. Hawks are #2 overall in the country. I really like Middle Tennessee here. The Blue Raiders have excellent coaching and were a combined 8-2 in Q1 and Q2 games.



Creighton gets a very tough draw. UAB is woefully underseeded and has a Top 25 defense, offense just outside the Top 100 (106), and are ranked #24 in the country. Should have been a 5-6 seed rather than 9.

Senior Justin Talbert is one of the Green guys thanks to his 88/84 Passing/Handling and is the country's leading assists at 6.7 per game (no elite scoring talent = harder to get assists), and Akron was a perfect 4-0 in Quad 1 games.

I foresee either the Blue Jays, Blazers, or Zips making it out of the quadrant.



UNC-Charlotte is my pick for the 12-5 Upset. 12th ranked defense in the country and a 100/100 coach (also 100 Recruiting fwiw). Nicholls State is another upset pick. #2 defense and a surprisingly solid record in all four quadrants. I actually think I like Richmond to come out of here, but overall, this feels like the softest region in the tournament.



Temple is still the easy money on who wins this whole thing, but a dangerous second round matchup with Pennsylvania awaits. Boston College/Lafayette and St. Francis (PA)/Austin Peay are great first round matchups to watch featuring four good teams. George Mason is the first 2 seed I've really liked and wouldn't be surprised to see in the Final Four. Elon was Top 90 on both sides of the ball and is a trendy upset pick. Savannah State has the #1 offense in the country at 68.6 points a game.

All of which is to say, they stuffed the East with a lot of great teams and the committee is going to make the Best Owls earn their shot at the Final Four. Kind of sucks to be the top overall seed and then get put in the Region of Death, but it is what it is.

Izulde 07-23-2024 05:40 PM

West Region
My pick, Middle Tennessee gets upset in the first round. 14 seed Valpo and 11 seed San Francisco also provide upsets. It's now looking like Maryland-Eastern Shore's cakewalk to the Final Four.

Second round sees Maryland-Eastern Shore advance, Indiana continue its Cinderella run by surprising 5 seed Southern Illinois, Oklahoma ensuring a chalk Elite 1-2 is still in play, and San Francisco manhandling Valpo in an all-Cinderella game.

Big school bias as 13 seed Indiana throws out Maryland-Eastern Shore and 11 seed San Francisco (the only actual Western team in the West region) ejects 2 seed Oklahoma. Our only shot at chalk is pissed away. Disgusting.

Midwest Region
First season, first 16 over 1 as Creighton goes down at the hands of the Lobos. Didn't see that coming at all. Only five players total scored double-digits, and three of them were Blue Jays! Weird game. UAB's offense disappears in a 43-53 loss, and my only pick to advance was Akron. Michigan State lost to to Texas, which I figured. Boston College is the only other upset other than 16/1, the 11 seed stunning Wyoming.

A degree of order was restored as South Alabama sent New Mexico home and will face Akron. Hofstra upsets Texas A&M, while Illinois restores the state's pride by advancing to the Sweet 16. Somewhere between a 3 and 8 seed will represent the region and go in as sizable underdogs most likely.

Akron and Illinois restore geographical purity and ensure a Midwestern team will represent the Midwest, as well as an actual damn single digit seed.

South Region
16 seed Quinnipiac takes down top seed James Madison, which doesn't shock me. What does is Richmond losing by 10 points to 14 seed Montana State. Not pulling off the upset: UNC-Charlotte.

The South continues to prove my point about weakest region: 8 seed Northern Iowa, 5 seed Hawaii, 7 seed Kennesaw State, and 14 seed Montana State make up the regional semi-finals, as the Owls barely beat back the 2 seed Hurricanes 57-55, and the Bobcats are just going buck wild in besting 6 seed Northeastern.

Hawaii you're our only hope as the Rainbow Warriors advance to face the 14 seed Bobcats after Montana State massacres those lone remaining Owls in another upset win.

East Region
Lafayette upsets Boston University by 20 (not a surprise to be honest), and Austin Peay continues their hot streak in their own upsetl. And of course George Mason is knocked out by 15 seed UNC-Asheville. At least my called Elon upset came in, and Pennsylvania's squash of Florida A&M was as expected.

Remember how I said Pennsylvania was a dangerous matchup? They stun everyone but me in knocking out tournament favorite Temple 58-50. Lafayette leapfrogs Austin Peay in their All-Cinderella matchup, 15 seed UNC-Asheville shocks Elon and me, while 3 seed Georgia Tech ends the country's best-scoring offense in sending out Savannah State.

Did Graham Sims start coaching Lafayette early? Because the 13 seed Leopards just stunned Pennsylvania, while 15 seed UNC-Asheville guarantees at least two double-digit teams in the Final Four in taking the sting out of the Yellow Jackets.

Final Four
West: San Francisco (11)
Midwest: Akron (4)
South: Hawaii (5)
East: Lafayette (13)

Honestly, the best result the committee could have hoped for. Montana State lost by just 2 points to the Rainbow Warriors.

It's Hawaii vs San Francisco and Akron vs Lafayette. A Best Coast team is going to be in the championship, while the committee is praying for an Akron/Hawaii championship.

They get it, and neither game was all that much in doubt.

Championship Game




You look at the Rainbow Warriors' roster and you're just like, "...How did the team make it this far?" Frankly, a lot of luck. Upsets galore happening along the way Sure they won their conference on tiebreakers but the Big West was awful. The next-highest RPI to Hawaii's (#1 somehow) was 70th, and only one other team in the conference had an RPI in the Top 100.

Digging deeper into the data:

Code:

#16 AKRON ZIPS TEAM INFO

Current Performance
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Team Prestige:        0  Record Vs 1-50:      7-0  Poll Rank:          #16 
Season Record:    29-10  Record Vs 51-100:    5-3  RPI Rank:            #2 
Conference Record:  11-5  Record Vs 101-200:  7-5
Home Record:        7-5  Record Vs 200+:    10-2


Team Stats        CR  NR  Opp. Stats        CR  NR  Margin            CR  NR 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Points      64.4  1  2  Points      57.7  11 297  Points        6.7  1  8 
O.Reb        7.5  9 306  O.Reb        11.5  12 334  O.Reb        -4.0  12 342 
D.Reb        21.9  2  91  D.Reb        19.8  3  59  D.Reb        2.1  1  36 
Rebounds    29.4  7 215  Rebounds    31.3  8 247  Rebounds    -1.9  8 245 
Assists      14.8  1  1  Assists      9.9  8 272  Assists      4.9  1  1 
Steals        4.6  4  94  Steals        4.0  4 104  Steals        0.6  4  71 
Blocks        1.8  3  66  Blocks        1.4  5 128  Blocks        0.4  2  60 
Turnovers    11.1  1  13  Turnovers    13.2  4  83  Turnovers    -2.1  1  19 
Fouls        20.2  10 248  Fouls        19.5  7 174  Fouls        0.7  9 228 
FG%          .500  1  1  FG%          .415  3  96  FG%          .085  1  1 
FT%          .727  2  13  FT%          .649  1  57  FT%          .078  1  6 
3P%          .268  7 138  3P%          .264  6 173  3P%          .004  7 146 
PPS          1.35  1  7  PPS          1.19  3 119  PPS          .154  1  10 
Adj. FG%    .516  1  1  Adj. FG%    .443  2 115  Adj. FG%    .073  1  3 


Code:

HAWAII RAINBOW WAHINE TEAM INFO

Current Performance
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Team Prestige:        0  Record Vs 1-50:      5-2  Poll Rank:            NR 
Season Record:    25-10  Record Vs 51-100:    6-3  RPI Rank:            #1 
Conference Record:  13-5  Record Vs 101-200:  8-3
Home Record:        15-1  Record Vs 200+:      6-2


Team Stats        CR  NR  Opp. Stats        CR  NR  Margin            CR  NR 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Points      56.8  3  78  Points      53.2  5 112  Points        3.6  1  45 
O.Reb        8.4  8 239  O.Reb        8.2  3  84  O.Reb        0.2  5 153 
D.Reb        22.3  4  65  D.Reb        20.2  1  85  D.Reb        2.0  1  39 
Rebounds    30.7  7 129  Rebounds    28.5  1  74  Rebounds      2.2  3  75 
Assists      9.7  5 119  Assists      9.6  5 214  Assists      0.1  6 152 
Steals        4.1  7 204  Steals        4.1  3 117  Steals        0.0  4 168 
Blocks        1.3  8 199  Blocks        1.7  5 264  Blocks      -0.3  7 266 
Turnovers    12.6  5 169  Turnovers    13.1  4 101  Turnovers    -0.5  4 137 
Fouls        19.9  6 225  Fouls        20.9  2  32  Fouls        -1.0  2  81 
FG%          .448  1  25  FG%          .413  5  77  FG%          .035  2  25 
FT%          .691  2  79  FT%          .654  2  79  FT%          .037  2  55 
3P%          .235  5 236  3P%          .261  8 150  3P%        -.026  5 212 
PPS          1.30  1  21  PPS          1.19  5 114  PPS          .111  2  34 
Adj. FG%    .463  1  82  Adj. FG%    .441  6 101  Adj. FG%    .022  3  76 


Yeah, there's just no reasonable way Hawaii should even be here. Of course that means they'll probably win by like 20 or something stupid like that.

Akron wins 62-61 to claim the first championship! Hawaii's junior C Jarvis Okelley should have won PotG (10 points, 11 rebounds, 5 assists, and a steal), but they award it to Akron's redshirt freshman reserve Jerry Lodge who only had 7 points, 6 rebounds, and a steal. Makes absolutely no sense unless it's a clutch plays factor.

On to Year 2.

Izulde 07-23-2024 11:36 PM

Code:

2013 OVERALL AWARDS

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Player of the Year:

SR SG Albert Hamlin  Michigan State  19.6 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 1.7 APG 1.1 SPG, 0.1 BPG

Freshman of the Year:
FR SF Henry Slocum  Illinois  9.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.4 APG 0.6 SPG, 0.1 BPG

Coach of the Year:
Nolan Guevara  Temple  27 - 5 (12 - 2)

All-league 1st Team:
C  JR Clarence Suttles  North Carolina  13.7 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 1.3 APG, 0.4 SPG, 1.1 BPG
PF JR Pierre Mitchell  Temple  13.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.1 APG, 0.8 SPG, 1.1 BPG
SF SR Robert Marable  Savannah State  16.2 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 1.5 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SG SR Albert Hamlin  Michigan State  19.6 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 1.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.1 BPG
PG SR Justin Talbert  Akron  8.3 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 6.8 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG

All-league 2nd Team:
C  SR Joseph Caston  Texas A&M  15.6 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 1.3 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.2 BPG
PF SR Marvin Gwinn  Texas  11.4 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.4 SPG, 0.6 BPG
SF SO Parker Lovely  Virginia  14.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.7 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SG SR Sterling Gatto  Coppin State  16.6 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 1.5 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.1 BPG
PG SR Chas Melanson  UNC Wilmington  15.0 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.4 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.1 BPG

All-league 3rd Team:
C  SR Chuck Galvez  Marquette  10.1 PPG, 10.7 RPG, 1.2 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.9 BPG
PF SR David Jameson  Binghamton  8.9 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 0.8 APG, 0.7 SPG, 2.5 BPG
SF SR Rey Emmert  Nebraska  13.5 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 1.7 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SG SR Lucius Bonilla  Wyoming  14.1 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 1.8 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.2 BPG
PG SR Phillip Branham  Middle Tennessee  9.2 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.2 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.2 BPG

All-freshman Team:
C  FR John Portis  Missouri  7.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 1.1 APG, 0.5 SPG, 0.6 BPG
PF FR Kristopher Shuman  Siena  7.2 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 0.6 APG, 0.7 SPG, 0.4 BPG
SF FR Henry Slocum  Illinois  9.8 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.4 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.1 BPG
SG FR Douglas Dixon  Central Michigan  10.8 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 1.6 APG, 0.4 SPG, 0.1 BPG
PG FR Frances Rice  USC  6.7 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 2.1 APG, 0.5 SPG, 0.1 BPG


The awards are fine. Just noting for them for posterity. I'm really eager to see the recruiting classes and prestige movements, though.

Code:

2013 Recruiting Rankings

      # Team                            Conference            Best Player    Rtg  5*  4*  3*  2*  1*
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1. Hawaii                            Big West        SF Fred Hargett  *****  1  0  2  0  1
    2. Cornell                          Ivy League        PG Josiah Maggio  *****  1  1  1  0  1
    3. Cal State Bakersfield          Independent        SF Dante Morton  *****  1  0  1  0  2
    4. North Dakota State                  Summit        PG Rayford Maxon  *****  1  1  0  0  1
    5. Mercer                        Atlantic Sun        PG Sanford Boyd  *****  1  0  0  1  1
    6. DePaul                            Big East        PF Bobby Wilbur  *****  1  0  1  1  0
    7. Georgia State                          CAA        SG Albert Casias  ****  0  1  1  0  2
    8. New Mexico State                        WAC        SF Bertram Gross  *****  1  0  1  2  0
    9. VCU                                    CAA          SG Jere Holmes  ****  0  2  1  0  0
    10. Tennessee State                Ohio Valley        C  Jess Harville  ****  0  2  0  0  1
    11. Texas A&M-CC                      Southland        SG James Pagano  *****  1  0  1  0  0
    12. Southern Methodist          Conference USA      PG Bradley Tindle    ***  0  0  3  0  1
    13. Jacksonville State              Ohio Valley        PG James Jensen    ***  0  0  3  0  1
    14. Arkansas-Pine Bluff                    SWAC      PF Robert Darnell  ****  0  1  1  0  0
    15. Northern Illinois                      MAC          SG Ahmed Fuqua  *****  1  0  0  0  1
    16. Wichita State                          MVC        C  Tristan Egger  ****  0  1  1  1  1
    17. East Tennessee State          Atlantic Sun          PF Douglas Cho  ****  0  1  2  0  0
    18. Charleston Southern              Big South            PF Joe Mason  ****  0  1  1  0  2
    19. Delaware                                CAA    SG Richard Hernandez  ****  0  1  1  0  1
    20. Florida International              Sun Belt        PF Walter Veloz  ****  0  1  1  0  0
    21. Kent State                              MAC          PF Marvin Gale  ****  0  1  1  1  0
    22. Rice                        Conference USA          SG Alvin Pound  ****  0  1  1  1  0
    23. Western Carolina                  Southern          PF Dusty Davis  *****  1  0  0  0  1
    24. Loyola Marymount                        WCC          PF Thad Brown    ***  0  0  4  0  0
    25. San Diego                              WCC          SG Don Holmes  ****  0  1  1  1  0
    26. Howard                                MEAC    PF Kristopher Benner  ****  0  1  1  0  0
    27. Mississippi Valley State              SWAC      SG Andres Knutson  ****  0  1  1  1  0
    28. American                    Patriot League            PF Gary Jung  *****  1  0  1  0  0
    29. UAB                          Conference USA      SF Charles Meadors  *****  1  0  0  0  2


According to this, 12 of the 23 5* committed. But when you look at the top player rankings...

Code:

2013 Recruiting Rankings

    #  Player              Pos    Ht  Team                                                Conference
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1  Sanford Boyd          PG  6-3  Mercer                                Atlantic Sun Conference
    2  Dante Morton          SF  6-7  Cal State Bakersfield                              Independent
    3  Fred Hargett          SF  6-7  Hawaii                                    Big West Conference
    4  Ahmed Fuqua          SG  6-4  Northern Illinois                      Mid-American Conference
    5  Bobby Wilbur          PF  6-5  DePaul                                    Big East Conference
    6  Dusty Davis          PF  6-7  Western Carolina                          Southern Conference
    7  Robert Guyer          SF  6-4                                                               
    8  Louis Deacon          PF  6-7  Robert Morris                            Northeast Conference
    9  Richard Geist        PF  6-8  NON-QUALIFIER                                               
  10  Rayford Maxon        PG  5-9  North Dakota State                              Summit League
  11  James Pagano          SG  6-3  Texas A&M-CC                              Southland Conference
  12  Arthur Kirksey        SG  5-10                                                               
  13  Albert Casias        SG  6-2  Georgia State                    Colonial Athletic Association
  14  Pepe Velasco          C  6-7                                                               
  15  Charles Meadors      SF  6-7  UAB                                            Conference USA
  16  Gary Jung            PF  6-7  American                                        Patriot League
  17  Robert Darnell        PF  6-7  Arkansas-Pine Bluff          Southwestern Athletic Conference
  18  Joe Mason            PF  6-6  Charleston Southern                      Big South Conference
  19  Bertram Gross        SF  6-6  New Mexico State                  Western Athletic Conference
  20  David Woodland        SF  6-5                                                               
  21  Eloy Baker            SF  6-6                                                               
  22  Harold Drummond      SF  6-5  Belmont                                Atlantic Sun Conference
  23  Josiah Maggio        PG  6-0  Cornell                                            Ivy League


...17 committed. And then I realize the problem - not all the 5* players were ranked in the Top 23 - some 4* players snuck in.

That doesn't seem to square right with me - 4* should not be ranked higher than 5* or what even is the point of the system?

Anyway, hell of a steal by Hawaii to land the #1 class after lucking into the Finals appearance. They yanked one of the California guys. Outside of that, biggest move away from home? A couple guys who have four drives (Texas to New Mexico; Minnesota to North Dakota) or about what the driving time is across the state of Wisconsin from Lake Michigan to the Minnesota border.

In other words, those that failed to academically qualify said skip the terrible talent level in American college basketball - I'll just go play overseas.

Next question is going to be conference prestige changes and movement. I have them both turned off as I prefer to do them manually. From my last Zeroed Out dynasty, too much wonkiness happens if you let things be set automatically.

Izulde 07-24-2024 01:20 AM

Because it's only one year of data, I don't want to be excessive in changing Conference Prestiges. A cap at an increase to 2, and only if a conference is worthy.

Notable Conferences
ACC: 5 teams with 10+ Prestige
Big 12: 3 teams ranked in the Top 10 at the end of the season
CAA: 5 teams with 10+ Prestige, 2 teams ranked in Top 10 at end of season

Seems pretty obvious here the the CAA deserves a bump up to 2 prestige. I'll hold off on the other two for now.

CAA: 1 Prestige to 2

Movement
Akron with 23 Prestige (highest in the country) is the only team in the MAC with 10+ prestige. Lafayette is in the same boat in the Patriot League. It's a simple swap to move the Leopards into the CAA and kick Old Dominion down to the Patriot League. And the Monarchs' recruiting class was ranked #300, so it makes a lot of sense. Done.

But if the Zips move out, the MAC is no longer balanced and the lone divisions split in the country is destroyed. There's also the question of where to move Akron to. The Big 10 makes sense regionally, but the team getting booted out is Ohio State, which doesn't play at all football-wise, so it's a no go.

The Missouri Valley has 3 teams with 10+ prestige and no one will complain about Wichita State moving to the MAC, except a Kansas team doesn't fit geographically with the rest of the conference.

The Ohio Valley Conference can't resist the opportunity to add an actual Ohio team and is quite willing to kick out Morehead State. Perfect. The Eagles even slot neatly into the East Division, so I don't have to rearrange things there.

School Movement
Lafayette: Patriot to CAA
Old Dominion: CAA to Patriot
Akron: MAC to Ohio Valley
Morehead State: Ohio Valley to MAC


Coaching Movement
9 jobs open up, ranging from 0 prestige Maine and Boise State at the bottom to 10 prestige Coppin State.



Maine is the only reasonable demands opening at .500 in conference play. Everyone else is aspirational as hell. But I nope out when I see just about every coach in the conference is 100/100 Offense/Defense. Moving on!

Everyone hires an assistant, including St. John's who ends up with a Level 0 coach.

Midnight Madness Tipoff Teaser
The top seeded team is 10 Prestige Chattanooga, but everyone is hyped to see CSU-Baskerfield's SF Dante Morton, the #2 recruit who is a Blue/Blue junior juco transfer.

Izulde 07-25-2024 12:52 AM

2014

5* Recruits
New York: 3
Pennsylvania: 3
Texas: 3
Florida: 2
Illinois: 2
Maryland: 2
Arizona: 1
Germany: 1
Kansas: 1
Michigan: 1
Minnesota: 1
New Mexico: 1
Utah: 1
Washington: 1
Washington D.C.: 1
Wyoming: 1

25 5* Recruits, two more than last season.

Streak of 2+ 5* Players: Pennsylvania, Texas (2)
Streak of 1+ 5* Players: Illinois, Florida, Michigan, Minnesota (2)

Interesting to see New York and California trade places. And how rich a hoops state is Pennsylvania? Texas you expect because it's the 2nd biggest state in population, but Pennsylvania is comparatively modest at 5th biggest in population. Minnesota and Washington D.C. are the two biggest surprises to have a streak going - 22nd and 50th in population respectively.

No recruits from our featured high schools yet.

Dante Morton Watch
His Division I collegiate debut is 20 points, 14 rebounds, and a steal in CSU-Bakersfield's 65-55 Midnight Madness Tipoff first round win over Air Force. The single-game record for points scored is 36, by the way. But not even his 26 points, 17 rebounds, and block can save the Roadrunners against Florida Atlantic in the second round. Interesting that they've got him lined up at PF.



Remember last year when the 16 seed upset everyone and won the tournament? Didn't happen here. The Owls rode unheralded freshmen PF Dallas Pierce (3* - #345) and [b]SG Brian Call (1* - #922 with a wicked 3 point shot) to the title. Both Red/Yellow freshmen, to boot.

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Florida Atlantic            (36)    6-0    1625    1  Sun Belt Conference                                     
  2.  Bradley                      (9)    6-0    1502    7  Missouri Valley Conference                               
  3.  Southeast Missouri State    (1)    4-0    1323    3  Ohio Valley Conference                                   
  4.  Mississippi Valley State    (1)    4-0    1313  NR  Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
  5.  Miami                                4-0    1213    9  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  6.  Northeastern                (5)    4-0    1202  13  Colonial Athletic Association                           
  7.  Pittsburgh                  (2)    4-0    1200  18  Big East Conference                                     
  8.  Mercer                      (1)    4-0    1152    5  Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
  9.  Houston Baptist              (1)    4-0    1074    4  Great West Conference                                   
  10.  Utah Valley                          4-0    945    8  Great West Conference                                   
  11.  California                  (7)    4-0    941    6  Pacific-12 Conference                                   
  12.  North Dakota                        4-0    853  NR  Big Sky Conference                                       
  13.  Hawaii                      (2)    3-0    826  NR  Big West Conference                                     
  14.  Michigan State              (1)    4-0    820  NR  Big Ten Conference                                       
  15.  Jacksonville                        4-0    705  NR  Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
  16.  Virginia                    (1)    3-0    625  11  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  17.  UNLV                                4-0    585  NR  Mountain West Conference                                 
  18.  Grambling State              (1)    3-0    575  21  Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
  19.  South Dakota                        3-0    457  15  Summit League                                           
  20.  Southeastern Louisiana              3-0    454  NR  Southland Conference                                     
  21.  Oregon State                (2)    3-0    359  NR  Pacific-12 Conference                                   
  22.  Rutgers                              3-0    343  NR  Big East Conference                                     
  23.  Winthrop                    (1)    3-0    308  NR  Big South Conference                                     
  24.  San Jose State                      3-0    287  NR  Western Athletic Conference                             
  25.  Indiana State                        3-0    240  20  Missouri Valley Conference                               
                                                                                                                       
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                           
      Washington                          3-0    239      Pacific-12 Conference                                   
      UNC Wilmington                      3-0    222      Colonial Athletic Association                           
      Jackson State                        3-0    218      Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
      South Carolina                      2-0    182      Southeastern Conference                                 
      Nebraska                            3-0    173      Big Ten Conference                                       
      LSU                                  2-0    168      Southeastern Conference                                 
      Fordham                              3-0    158      Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
      Ball State                          3-0    156      Mid-American Conference                                 
      Michigan                            2-0    140      Big Ten Conference                                       
      Delaware State                      2-0    130      Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                         
      Providence                          2-0    125      Big East Conference                                     
      Miami-Ohio                          2-0    125      Mid-American Conference                                 

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Towson                              2-0    116      Colonial Athletic Association                           
      Georgetown                          2-0    111      Big East Conference                                     
      Texas Christian                      2-0    110      Big 12 Conference                                       
      Wichita State                        2-0    100      Missouri Valley Conference                               


Much more tame December 1st Top 25 polling than the first season. We're already starting to see a landscape develop after just one year. Intriguing data: Mercer at #8 is the first school to have a 5* recruit, though #3 Mississippi Valley State had a Top 29 class with no 5*. Very interesting indeed.

But let's see how things look come January 1st.

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                          test  test  test  test 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Mercer                      (63)    12-0    1791    1  Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
  2.  Bradley                      (9)    13-0    1737    2  Missouri Valley Conference                                 
  3.  Elon                                10-1    1637    7  Southern Conference                                       
  4.  Mississippi Valley State            9-1    1563    5  Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
  5.  Illinois                            9-2    1495    9  Big Ten Conference                                         
  6.  Rutgers                              9-1    1411  11  Big East Conference                                       
  7.  Grambling State                      8-2    1395  12  Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
  8.  Cornell                              8-3    1294  13  Ivy League                                                 
  9.  Southeast Missouri State            10-2    1091  17  Ohio Valley Conference                                     
  10.  UAB                                  9-2    1086    4  Conference USA                                             
  11.  North Dakota State                  10-2    940  21  Summit League                                             
  12.  Siena                              10-2    911  16  Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
  13.  Virginia                            10-2    852  19  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  14.  Ball State                          8-3    823    8  Mid-American Conference                                   
  15.  Winthrop                            10-2    801  NR  Big South Conference                                       
  16.  La Salle                            11-2    660  23  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  17.  Kent State                          9-2    637  20  Mid-American Conference                                   
  18.  UNC Greensboro                      11-2    585  NR  Southern Conference                                       
  19.  Hofstra                              8-3    465    6  Colonial Athletic Association                             
  20.  Northern Colorado                    8-2    393  NR  Big Sky Conference                                         
  21.  Oklahoma                            8-3    364  NR  Big 12 Conference                                         
  22.  Dayton                              8-3    272  NR  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  23.  Louisiana Tech                      7-3    226  NR  Western Athletic Conference                               
  24.  Texas-Pan American                  9-3    187  NR  Great West Conference                                     
  25.  Central Florida                      7-3    164  10  Conference USA                                             
                                                                                                                         
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                             
      San Jose State                      8-3    152      Western Athletic Conference                               
      USC                                  8-2    149      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Utah                                7-3      90      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      UMBC                                8-3      86      America East Conference                                   
      Michigan State                      7-3      80      Big Ten Conference                                         
      Georgetown                          7-2      46      Big East Conference                                       
      Florida Atlantic                    10-3      10      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      Miami                              10-3      6      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Houston Baptist                    10-3      1      Great West Conference   


Mercer not only landed the #1 overall recruit in Sanford Boyd, they lucked into a 3* Green/Green Walk-On who was rated #465 in his class - Bobby Blakeney, who was a junior juco transfer who scared teams off with his complete lack of defense. Oh, and 2* Damian Stitt (#529) was a gem of a find - already Yellow/Green and an absolute unit as a shooter. IOW, the Bears have an ungodly talented roster well-deserving of their #1 ranking and undefeated record.

How is Bradley also doing so great? Two underrated 3* PGs just outside the Top 100 giving them solid point guard player for the current level of this league for 40 straight minutes. Kris Fillmore is the starter and leading scorer at 16.5 points per game; [b]Kim Holmes[/b[ is the 6th man combo guard. Both are Orange/Blue.

8 guys are averaging 20+ points per game, and the leader shockingly isn't Dante Morton. It's true freshman Joseph Brack - a 2* walk-on at DePaul who is averaging 24.3 points and shooting 52.5% from 3 point range. Ridiculous. Just ridiculous.

Even more ridiculous: there's a 4* New Jersey All-State player who was ranked #34 who walked on at Rutgers. HOW DOES THIS HAPPEN? I could understand maybe some 3* guys and sure some 2* guys walking on, but there's zero excuse for this. Which means the 5* guys who didn't commit? Maybe they fucked off to Europe, but they're probably hiding on a roster somewhere and I just haven't found them.

Incredibly frustrating. And I found it because David Gregory is of course leading the country in blocks per game at this stage. So that's two major counting stats categories being led by walk-ons. Yes, I know. It's a function of the zeroed out prestige that HOPEFULLY SHOULD CORRECT ITSELF this year... but I'm not confident prestige levels are high enough to prevent it.

Izulde 07-26-2024 01:48 AM

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                          FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Mercer                      (63)    18-2    1785    1  Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
  2.  Army                          (5)    19-3    1682    5  Patriot League                                             
  3.  Rutgers                              17-2    1604    4  Big East Conference                                       
  4.  Mississippi Valley State      (1)    17-3    1574    7  Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
  5.  Miami                                16-3    1484  10  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  6.  UNC Greensboro                (1)    18-3    1415    9  Southern Conference                                       
  7.  Kent State                    (2)    16-3    1331  12  Mid-American Conference                                   
  8.  Virginia                            16-3    1287  13  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  9.  Siena                                18-4    1207    6  Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
  10.  Montana                              17-4    1116    8  Big Sky Conference                                         
  11.  North Dakota State                  17-4    1056  15  Summit League                                             
  12.  Pittsburgh                          15-4    981  16  Big East Conference                                       
  13.  Winthrop                            17-4    966    2  Big South Conference                                       
  14.  Illinois                            15-4    861    3  Big Ten Conference                                         
  15.  USC                                  15-4    843  11  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  16.  UNC-Charlotte                        15-4    767  19  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  17.  Savannah State                      16-5    677  22  Independent                                               
  18.  Florida Atlantic                    17-6    560  20  Sun Belt Conference                                       
  19.  UAB                                  14-5    504  14  Conference USA                                             
  20.  Wichita State                        16-5    433  NR  Missouri Valley Conference                                 
  21.  Loyola-IL                            15-6    340  NR  Horizon League                                             
  22.  North Florida                        14-6    246  NR  Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
  23.  Utah State                          14-6    153  NR  Western Athletic Conference                               
  24.  Arkansas-Pine Bluff                  13-6    124  NR  Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
  25.  Northeastern                        15-6      59  NR  Colonial Athletic Association                             
                                                                                                                         
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                             
      San Jose State                      14-6      57      Western Athletic Conference                               
      Ball State                          13-6      51      Mid-American Conference                                   
      Fairfield                            14-7      39      Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
      Hawaii                              13-6      35      Big West Conference                                       
      Central Florida                      13-6      30      Conference USA                                             
      Baylor                              13-6      29      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Houston Baptist                      14-6      17      Great West Conference                                     
      Georgia Tech                        13-6      16      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Pepperdine                          14-7      16      West Coast Conference                                     
      UL-Lafayette                        14-7      14      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      San Diego                            14-7      9      West Coast Conference                                     
      Troy                                14-7      7      Sun Belt Conference                                       

    #  Team                          FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Elon                                14-7      6      Southern Conference                                       
      Charleston Southern                  14-7      4      Big South Conference                                       
      Bradley                              15-7      4      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      Purdue                              13-6      3      Big Ten Conference                                         
      Central Connecticut State            13-7      3      Northeast Conference                                       
      California                          12-7      2      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Hartford                            14-8      1      America East Conference                                   
      Temple                              13-6      1      Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
      Central Michigan                    13-6      1      Mid-American Conference


The wheels really fell off on Bradley in January. The Braves went 2-7 and there were no injuries at all. They just flat-out sucked. Mercer continues to be the class of the country. Army got a buttload of great walk-on freshmen, including 4*, #24 ranked Kelly Blessing who is Yellow/Blue. Stupid, yes. Can't wait for prestige to grow enough that we don't see that bullshit anymore.

Anyway, Dante Morton has assumed command of scoring average lead with 22.3 PPG, Joseph Brack is second at 21.1, and Youngstown State junior juco transfer John Wilmot is right on the cusp at 20.2 points a game (He's Green/Green).

Nothing appreciably insane in the first Bubble Watch this year. Akron and Lafayette are regretting their moves as they're bottom-tier right now in their respective conferences while Old Dominion is #2 in the Patriot behind lucky ass Army. Morehead State is a literal .500 MAC team, so the Eagles appear correctly positioned.

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Mississippi Valley State    (69)    24-3    1797    1  Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
  2.  Virginia                    (1)    23-4    1724    2  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  3.  UNC Greensboro              (1)    24-4    1617    5  Southern Conference                                       
  4.  Savannah State                      22-5    1607    3  Independent                                               
  5.  North Dakota State          (1)    23-5    1484    6  Summit League                                             
  6.  Mercer                              23-6    1421    8  Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
  7.  Montana                            23-6    1312  12  Big Sky Conference                                         
  8.  Army                                23-6    1259  13  Patriot League                                             
  9.  Hawaii                              21-6    1228  15  Big West Conference                                       
  10.  Illinois                            21-6    1151    4  Big Ten Conference                                         
  11.  USC                                21-6    1091    9  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  12.  Miami                              20-7    1033    7  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  13.  Loyola-IL                          22-7    896  17  Horizon League                                             
  14.  Siena                              22-7    845  14  Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
  15.  Troy                                21-8    785  21  Sun Belt Conference                                       
  16.  Winthrop                            22-7    698  19  Big South Conference                                       
  17.  Kent State                          20-7    633  11  Mid-American Conference                                   
  18.  UAB                                19-8    609  24  Conference USA                                             
  19.  Rutgers                            20-7    451  10  Big East Conference                                       
  20.  Marquette                          20-7    440  18  Big East Conference                                       
  21.  Temple                              20-7    414  16  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  22.  Ball State                          19-8    302  NR  Mid-American Conference                                   
  23.  Pepperdine                          20-8    260  25  West Coast Conference                                     
  24.  Houston Baptist                    19-8    165  22  Great West Conference                                     
  25.  Texas A&M                          19-8      77  NR  Big 12 Conference                                         
                                                                                                                         
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                             
      Florida Atlantic                  21-10      44      Sun Belt Conference                                       
      North Florida                      19-9      23      Atlantic Sun Conference                                   
      Long Island                        20-9      12      Northeast Conference                                       
      Georgia Tech                        18-9      9      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Northeastern                        20-9      6      Colonial Athletic Association                             
      Elon                              18-11      3      Southern Conference                                       
      Bradley                            20-9      2      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      California                        17-10      2      Pacific-12 Conference                                     


Rough month for Mercer as they fall with some losses. The big story here is the Rainbow Wahine of Hawaii rising to the Top 10 for the first time all season. Evidently they woke up and remembered who they were - the team that made the title game last year (albeit thanks to fluke city) and brought in the #1 recruiting class. The Delta Devils are another team who had some solid walk-on luck, but Mississippi Valley State also pulled off the #27 recruiting class, headlined by 4* All-American Andres Knutson, and they convinced the best Mississippi talent to all stay home and attend their school rather than Ole Miss or Mississippi State.

Dante Morton stands alone at 23.5 points per game. He's a shoo-in for the scoring title and the National Player of the Year for my money. CSU-Bakersfield is 18-10 as an Independent with the 22nd-best RPI and the Roadrunners were a bad 11-17 last season. What a masterful recruiting stroke by Jerry Harvey, who is a good recruiter and an excellent scout.

Morton is also averaging 9.8 boards, so he could be the first 20/10 player. But I want to take a second to spotlight Robert Morris' 4*, #8 in the country (the rankings loved him, the scouts didn't) Louis Deacon, the Pennsylvania All-State freshman who might be the first recorded double-double guy at 15.5 points and 10.2 rebounds. The Colonials won all of 6 games last year, and are 17-12 this season (10-8 in conference play). They'll need a Cinderella conference tournament run to make the Big Dance, but it's still an impressive improvement.

Conference Tournament #1 seeds Winning
Big 12: Texas A&M (beat a 2 seed)
Big East: Marquette
Big West: Hawaii (by 2 points over a 2 seed. Luck continues)
MAAC: Siena
MAC: Miami-Ohio (Beat a 2 seed)
Ohio Valley: Eastern Kentucky (beat a 2 seed by 2 points... said 2 seed beat Akron by 1 point in the semi-finals, dethroning the national champion)
Pac-12: California
SEC: Tennessee
Southland: Southeastern Louisiana
WCC: Pepperdine (beat a 2 seed)

1 vs 2 seed - 2 seed wins
Big Sky: Montana State (Those assholes again)
Big Ten: Purdue
Great West: Texas Pan-American
Patriot: American
WAC: New Mexico State

Much healthier chalk than last season. It's not enough to prevent Akron getting relegated to the 7 seed in the NIT. Oh hey, I didn't record who won the NIT last season. That's because no one cares who the 65th best team in the country is. Still that's better than Lafayette, who finished 2nd to last in the CAA, and San Francisco, who were an even .500.

Yes, that means only Hawaii has a shot at putting together something resembling a dynasty. But we'll get to that in just a second.



Virginia is a paper tiger. #2 ranked offense but their defense is completely garbage. That said, they have a good shot at advancing to the Elite Eight because this region is total ass. That said, I really like Troy. The Trojans have great 3 point shooting wings and are a pretty balanced, efficient squad. North Dakota State is criminally underseeded at #10. They have a High School All-American 5* #10 overall recruit in PG Rayford Maxson and they're Top 50 on offense, Top 100 on defense. The Bison got dinged for a weak schedule - just 3 Quad 1 games, where they were 2-1.California doesn't have elite talent but they were Top 70 in both categories, and the Golden Bears could well walk out with the region.

I'm annoyed to see Wichita State had a High School All-American walk on. Whatever. I'm moving on before I get mad again.



Fred Hargett (Green/Blue), Gene Everett (Yellow/Green), and David Hoke (Yellow/Green) form an elite freshman triumvirate for Hawaii who took a while to get respected, but that's an incredibly talented team, and the Rainbow Wahine boast the #16 offense with just outside the Top 50 defense. Heavy, heavy favorites to get back to the title game and win it this time.

Delaware is without Robin Bowling, who was the nation's leader in steals and that really hurts the Blue Hens' opportunity for a massive upset. New Mexico State has Bertram Gross, the 5* recruit they stole from Texas, and a solid all-freshman backcourt, but I don't see the Aggies pulling off the upset in the second round against Hawaii. This isn't Pennsylvania/Temple from last season.

Fuck USC for having their two best players be walk-ons, including another HS All-American. And Air Force is too inefficient to beat them. How the hell Marquette put together a 2 seed All-Red team with the #4 defense and 6-1 Quad 1 record I'll never know. Oh right. God-tier 100/100 coach. Bradley's PG pair studs should be able to knock them off in the second round, though. Sweetheart draw for Dante Morton's team - I could see them making it to the Elite 8 easily where they'll get squashed by Hawaii.



The committee screws over the #1 overall seed for the second year in a row. And Erich Battle, the Delta Devils' best player (Green/Green and a walk-on of course) is hobbled with an 80% injury. Fortunately it's a soft draw until Pepperdine in the Sweet 16 by my projections, the Waves having walked on the #20 player in the country.

I really like UAB. The Blazers have a 5* recruit in HS All-American Charlie Meadors (#15 in the country), and a 1* Yellow/Yellow gem in Carlo Epifanio from Italy. You already know about Mercer, who should have been a 1 or 2 seed on pure talent. Great matchup against American, who has a 5* recruit in Gary Jung. I could possibly see an upset there, as stacked as the Bears are. Temple is again Top 62 on both sides of the ball, but the Owls' second-best player is out for the tournament, which will prevent their run.

Any number of teams could make it out of this stacked region. It's easily the deepest group. I think I like Mercer most if they can get past American.



I don't blame you if you're like who the hell are these guys outside of Army? UNC-Greensboro worked the juco transfer circuit to bring in stifling defenders that are #6 in the country, and found Joshua Stillman, a 1* Yellow/Green stud there. But the Spartans' starting SF is out, and I still don't know how they have the 63rd best scoring offense in the country. These guys aren't that good.

I swear almost the entire HS All-American team walked on, so fuck Siena for that. The Saints have arguably the best two-way player in the country in Charles Hamman, a juco transfer ranked #29 though. Savannah State went from the #2 offense last year to the #5 offense this year. Their actual talent sucks, though.

Just about everyone in this region is dealing with injuries. It's pretty hilarious. Too bad Southeastern Louisiana has shit coaching that made them winless in Quad 1 games. There's a lot of talent on these Lions and I actually like them to upset the Tigers.

Truth be told, every team in this region pretty much sucks outside of Siena and Southeastern Louisiana. And with all the injuries, this is definitely the worst bracket by far. The No-Name Region is well deserving of its pitiful, pitiful nickname.

Izulde 07-28-2024 12:15 AM

West Region
As predicted, Virginia swept to the Sweet 16, where they'll face off against 13 seed UW-Milwaukee, who upset Illinois, then beat Chattanooga in a second-around All-Cinderella contest.

Remember how I said I really liked Troy and that North Dakota State was criminally underrated? They indeed met in the second round and it was a barnburner that left PilotMan happy, as the Bison advanced on a 56-54 edging. Rayford Maxson has scored 24 and 15 points in the first two games.

California narrowly avoided the upset in Round 1, then got squashed by Baylor in Round 2. Here's to hoping for North Dakota State/Virginia matchup in the Elite 8. But unsung Kyle White has scored 17 and 19 points and won PotG in both the Panthers' wins. Yes, I know. Weird to call a 4* unsung, but he didn't stand out to me in initial team looks.

UW-Milwaukee zooms into the Elite 8 with Kyle White doing his 17/8 thang, but even his 19/9 in the Elite 8 can't beat the far more talented Rayford Maxson and North Dakota State. Happy PM. Angst-ridden committee, which has done a shit job of seeding this tournament.

Midwest Region
Everything was chalk the first round except Dante Morton getting sent home by 11 seed UC-Davis, as he was completely shut down in a rout.

But then chaos broke out when Cincinnati stunned Hawaii in the second round and shattered literally everyone's bracket. Bertram Gross chucked his way to a 4/16 night in New Mexico State's loss to the Bearcats in the first round. Walk-on Douglas Otte wins two straight PotG awards for USC. Marquette continues to win despite their shitty talent, and UC-Davis upsets Texas A&M.

One of my favorite regions is suddenly trash. Can a meteor please hit the Midwest so I don't have to see any of these teams in the Final Four? Maybe Cincinnati would be okay - Pedro Wren is actually a solid player who doesn't get enough press.

And of course the Bearkats bow out to USC, and the All-Red Marquette team somehow justifies their seeding by punching the Final Four ticket. HOW?!

South Region
16 in the Sweet 16 as Radford takes advantage of the injury to knock off Mississippi Valley State and throw out a much more talented Georgia Tech by 2 in a fluke win. 3* SG Scott Pinkston has led the scoring in both stunners for the Highlanders and is having a coming out party.

They'll face off against the team I really liked in UAB on the second weekend, as balanced offense gets the Blazers past the first round, and then Charles Meadors rips Pepperdine's face off for 24 points in the second round.

Southeast Missouri State ensures chalk won't happen at all in eliminating Florida Atlantic, but I'm honestly not surprised. The Owls were vastly overseeded. It's like everyone just said yep they're good after they won the Midnight Madness Tipoff and didn't question it after that. Purdue took care of SEMO in the second round, though.

Temple out-pointed Miami by 1, but lost in the second round for the second year in a row when Mercer, who has been steamrolling everyone and proving my predictions correct, dispatched those Owls with ease.

17 points and 11 rebounds by Scott Pinkston, who has made himself a household name, sends a 16 seed to the Elite 8, but Radford can't compete with stacked Mercer, which has been riding Bobby Blakney the walk-on, while #1 recruit Sanford Boyd, who has had a very quiet tournament.

East Region
Another 1 seed goes down to a 16 seed, but my predictions on Siena are looking good as the Saints smash their first two opponents. Charles Hamman is proving his highlight as he's destroying all comers with 18 points in the first round and a 17/10 double-double in the second.

I'm delighted when UCF upsets Army, but Rutgers with two starters named David, has looked unstoppable the first weekend. I'm even more delighted when Southeastern Louisiana upsets Savannah State in another game where an over-seeded 2 is instantly dismissed, but the Lions fall to 10 seed Boston College, which has had serious horseshoe luck in winning both games by a combined 3 points.

Montana lives up to their 3 seed billing in advancing to the Sweet 16, but nobody really knows who any of these Grizzlies are yet.

The Davids top my favorite in Siena, and then take out still unheralded Montana to send the Scarlet Knights galloping off to the Final Four.

Final Four
10 seed North Dakota State vs 3 seed Mercer
2 seed Marquette vs 4 seed Rutgers


Damn. Wish NDSU and Mercer weren't playing each other. Oh well.

It's All-Red Golden Eagles who beat Rutgers by a bucket against PilotMan's Bison, who crush the Bears on Rayford Maxson's 23 points, 5 assists, and 2 steals.

COME ON BISON!!! I DON'T EVEN CARE THAT A 10 SEED WOULD WIN THE TITLE.

Americo Caballero, a 1* walk-on ranked #1633 - exactly the type of player who SHOULD be a walk-on, went from sunny California to frigid ass North Dakota. He comes off the bench for 24 points, 6 rebounds, and a steal, walking in to Player of the Game honors and ensuring he'll never have to buy a drink in his college town as the Bison finally smash the talentless Golden Eagles 67-55 to be crowned national champions!

Izulde 07-29-2024 02:01 PM

Code:

2014 OVERALL AWARDS

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Player of the Year:

JR PF Dante Morton  Cal State Bakersfield  22.9 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 1.0 APG 0.4 SPG, 1.1 BPG

Freshman of the Year:
FR PF Gene Everett  Hawaii  16.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 1.3 APG 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG

Coach of the Year:
Todd Alba  VCU  23 - 12 (11 - 7)

All-league 1st Team:
C  FR Everett Derose  USC Upstate  18.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 0.9 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.3 BPG
PF JR Dante Morton  Cal State Bakersfield  22.9 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 1.0 APG, 0.4 SPG, 1.1 BPG
SF JR Simon Smith  Houston Baptist  17.6 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.1 BPG
SG JR John Wilmot  Youngstown State  17.9 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 2.9 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.1 BPG
PG JR Bobby Blakney  Mercer  15.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 4.2 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.1 BPG

All-league 2nd Team:
C  FR Michael Lott  Illinois  13.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.4 APG, 0.5 SPG, 1.2 BPG
PF FR Gene Everett  Hawaii  16.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 1.3 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SF FR Johnie Burrows  Virginia  15.9 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SG FR Andres Knutson  Mississippi Valley State  17.4 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 1.4 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.3 BPG
PG JR Charles Hamman  Siena  18.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 2.1 APG, 2.2 SPG, 0.1 BPG

All-league 3rd Team:
C  SR Chris Aguirre  Bucknell  16.2 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 0.9 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.7 BPG
PF FR Louis Deacon  Robert Morris  15.4 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 1.7 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.4 BPG
SF FR Mitchel Andrews  UC Davis  12.4 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 1.8 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SG FR Preston Eastwood  Stony Brook  17.7 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 1.8 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG
PG FR Douglas Otte  USC  18.6 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.8 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.1 BPG

All-freshman Team:
C  FR Everett Derose  USC Upstate  18.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 0.9 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.3 BPG
PF FR Gene Everett  Hawaii  16.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 1.3 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SF FR Johnie Burrows  Virginia  15.9 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 2.2 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.2 BPG
SG FR Andres Knutson  Mississippi Valley State  17.4 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 1.4 APG, 1.2 SPG, 0.3 BPG
PG FR Douglas Otte  USC  18.6 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.8 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.1 BPG


No real shocks here. A couple walk-ons made it which was disgusting. I'm a little surprised Gene Everett won Freshman of the Year. That should have gone to Everett Derose, an unheralded 2* who plays for USC Upstate, a mid-tier Atlantic Sun team that has literally gone 16-14 (11-9) both seasons.

Not a good year for the 5* freshmen. Even Red/Orange Mitchell Andrews, a 1^ recruit in the Top 800, beat them out of the awards showings. Not a single glitzy 18/19 year old recruit cracked the national awards.

Code:

2014 Recruiting Rankings

      # Team                            Conference            Best Player    Rtg  5*  4*  3*  2*  1*
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1. Towson                                  CAA        C  James Binkley  *****  3  0  0  0  0
    2. Lafayette                              CAA      SG Wesley Whitmer  *****  2  2  0  0  0
    3. James Madison                          CAA          SG Keith Vogt  *****  2  2  0  0  0
    4. Hofstra                                CAA      PG Andrew Helmick  *****  1  2  0  0  0
    5. UNC Wilmington                          CAA          SG Ike Negrete  *****  1  1  0  1  0
    6. Louisville                        Big East      PG Jacinto Joslin  *****  1  0  1  0  0
    7. Northeastern                            CAA    C  Carlos Whisenant  *****  1  1  1  1  0
    8. Quinnipiac                        Northeast            PG Len Mayes  ****  0  1  2  0  0
    9. Southern Methodist          Conference USA    PF Michael Rosenblum  ****  0  2  1  0  0
    10. Washington State                Pacific-12      C  Leonard Ridley  *****  1  0  2  0  0
    11. VCU                                    CAA  PG Desmond Swearingen  ****  0  1  2  0  0
    12. Illinois                            Big Ten        SF Ronny Murphy  ****  0  1  1  1  1
    13. Saint Mary's                            WCC          PG Derek Payne  ****  0  1  3  0  0
    14. San Diego                              WCC        PG Charles Boss  ****  0  1  2  0  1
    15. Utah                            Pacific-12        PF Edward Davis  *****  1  0  0  0  3
    16. UC Santa Barbara                  Big West      C  Williams Franz    ***  0  0  3  0  1
    17. Delaware                                CAA        SG Joseph Deluca  ****  0  2  0  0  2
    18. Prairie View A&M                      SWAC        SG Allen Leland  ****  0  1  2  0  0
    19. Oklahoma                            Big 12            PG Joe Meier  ****  0  1  2  0  1
    20. Air Force                    Mountain West      PF Terrell Fecteau  *****  1  0  0  1  0
    21. Alabama                                SEC      C  Clayton McAfee  ****  0  1  2  0  0
    22. Southeastern Louisiana            Southland          PF Galen Duval  ****  0  1  2  0  1
    23. Hawaii                            Big West      PF Neville Gibbons    ***  0  0  3  0  0
    24. NJIT                            Great West      SG Freddy Laplante  ****  0  1  2  0  0
    25. Jacksonville State              Ohio Valley      SG Darryl Zachary  ****  0  1  1  0  0
    26. Missouri                            Big 12          SG Tim Wampler  ****  0  1  1  1  0
    27. Mount St. Mary's                  Northeast      PG Bruce Humphrey    ***  0  0  3  0  1
    28. DePaul                            Big East        PG Joseph Cabral  ****  0  1  1  0  1
    29. Georgia Tech                            ACC        C  Gene Ratliff    ***  0  0  3  0  0
    30. Middle Tennessee                  Sun Belt          C  Ned Edwards  ****  0  1  1  1  0
    31. Buffalo                                MAC          SG Eric Araiza  ****  0  1  1  0  1
    32. Northwestern State                Southland    PF Dominick Macklin  *****  1  0  0  0  1
    33. Denver                                  WAC        PG Edmund Chavez  *****  1  0  0  0  3


Y'all, the CAA ate! That's what happens when you're the only 2 prestige conference in town. I have some hilarious stuff to say about Towson and their class but that will wait until next post because the board tends to freak out over 3+ code entries. It's honestly one of the most mind-blowing things I've ever seen.

Conference Movement
Lots of shifting in prestiges here, so I'll record the conferences total of 10+ prestige teams and 20+ prestige teams.

America East: 2 10+
Atlantic 10: 4 10+, 2 20+
ACC: 5 10+, 4 20+
Atlantic Sun: 5 10+, 1 20+
Big 12: 5 10+, 1 20+
Big East: 6 10+, 1 20+
Big Sky: 4 10+, 2 20+
Big South: 4 10+
Big Ten: 4 10+, 1 20+
Big West: 4 10+, 1 20+ (Hawaii is tops in the country at 29)
CAA: 8 10+, 2 20+
Conference USA: 2 10+, 1 20+
Great West: 3 10+
Horizon: 3 10+, 1 20+
Independents: 3 10+, 1 20+
Ivy: 3 10+
MAAC: 2 10+, 1 20+
MAC: 3 10+
MEAC: 5 10+
Missouri Valley: 5 10+, 1 20+
Mountain West: 3 10+
Northeast: 5 10+
Ohio Valley: 4 10+, 2 20+
Pac-12: 5 10+, 1 20+
Patriot: 2 10+
SEC: 3 10+
Southern: 4 10+, 2 20+
Southland: 2 10+, 1 20+
SWAC: 4 10+
Summit: 4 10+, 1 20+
Sun Belt: 7 10+
WCC: 5 10+
WAC: 3 10+

[u]Conferences Under Consideration[/b]
Atlantic 10: 4 10+, 2 20+
ACC: 5 10+, 4 20+ (Automatically granted)
Big Sky: 4 10+, 2 20+
Ohio Valley: 4 10+, 2 20+
Southern: 4 10+, 2 20+

The ACC automatically gets the bump to 2 prestige because they have more than 2 20 prestige teams that the CAA has, which counterbalances the 8 10+ teams. And don't be surprised if the ACC ends up the first 3 prestige conference, but I want to keep things balanced for now.

That makes Savannah State a very popular team right now and they find a quick fit in the Southern to push them up 2 prestige, too. Appalachian State is orphaned.

The Big Sky gets there by snapping up defending national champion North Dakota State and evicting Northern Arizona, which wasn't a geographic fit with the rest of the conference anyway. It's a little surprising, as the 6 prestige Lumberjacks are by no means the worst. But it is what it is.

Also with a national champion, the Ohio Valley takes on Southern Illinois as a perfect fit for them, the Salukis having won the NIT last year. No one is booted out, as they're fine being a 12 school conference.

Th Atlantic 10 looks and realizes they have 14 schools and decides to put truth in their name, evicting the following:

Dayton
Duquesne
Rhode Island
St. Bonaventure
Saint Louis

Removing Duquesne opens up a slot for them to court a 20+ prestige team and Siena is a natural Catholic fit.

The MAAC kicked out Quinnipiac, Marist, and Rider in the interests of forming a purely Catholic conference and invited Duquesne and St. Bonaventure.

The poor Monarchs once again found themselves homeless, but quickly joined talks with Rhode Island and Appalachian State to form a new public schools conference. NJIT from the geographically stupid Great West volunteers to join, and Longwood from the independents quickly volunteers as well, giving the conference a much-needed 10+ prestige boost. Two 10+ teams were needed to earn an auto-bid, and Stony Brook volunteered to leave the America East to do so, giving the ECC six members to start.

The America East responded by taking on Marist and Rider and swiped Monmouth from the Northeast to restore their auto-bid eligibility

The NCAA ruled initially ruled that the six-member ECC was fine since the Great West only had 5 members initially, but now that it was a 4 team conference, they needed to either expand or dissolve. Dissolution was the option and Houston Baptist quickly convinced the southern Protestant Division I schools to form a new conference

[b]The Southern Ten/b]
Belmont
Campbell
Charleston Southern
Gardner-Webb
High Point
Houston Baptist
Liberty
Oral Roberts
Presbyterian
Samford

After the creation of these new conferences, the NCAA changed its autobid rules again and said that all conferences needed at least 8 members to qualify, in line with the Ivy League. This put the new ECC in need of 2 more members, the Patriot in need of 1, and the Big South completely decimated by the Southern Ten.

Radford and Winthrop, being public schools, quickly jumped the sinking ship to the ECC. Then Coastal Carolina and UNC-Asheville realized they were public schools and the Big South officially passed away after just over 30 years of existence.

East Coast Conference
Appalachian State (NC)
Coastal Carolina (NC)
Longwood (VA)
NJIT (NJ)
Old Dominion (VA)
Radford (VA)
Rhode Island (RI)
Stony Brook (NY)
UNC-Asheville (NC)
Winthrop (SC)

As one journalist noted, "The race for increased prestige by a handful of conferences directly caused the demise of the Great West, which no one missed, and the Big South, which some secular alumni missed, but thrilled the evangelical Southerners who now had a conference of their very own they could root for on cultural and religious grounds."

CSU-Bakersfield and Dante Morton found a home in the Big West, allowing private Pacific to flip to the better-fitting WCC. The Patriot got to 8 and preserved their service academies plus privates by convincing Marist to decline the America East invite and join their league instead.

Conference Changes Not In Southern Ten/Big South Implosion
Savannah State (Independents to Southern)
North Dakota State (Summit to Big Sky)
Northern Arizona (Big Sky to Independent)
Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley to Ohio Valley)
Siena (MAAC to Atlantic 10)
Dayton (Atlantic 10 to Independent)
Duquesne (Atlantic 10 to MAAC)
St. Bonaventure (Atlantic 10 to MAAC)
Appalachian State (Southern to East Coast Conference)
Rhode Island (Atlantic 10 to East Coast Conference)
NJIT (Great West to East Coast Conference)
Stony Brook (America East to East Coast Conference)
Longwood (Independents to East Coast Conference)
Old Dominion (Patriot to East Coast Conference)
Saint Louis (Atlantic 10 to Independent)
Marist (MAAC to Patriot)
Rider (MAAC to America East)
Monmouth (Northeast to America East)
CSU-Bakersfield (Independent to Big West)
Pacific (Big West to WCC)

All that movement left 8 schools as independents, with conferences disinclined to invite any of them until they'd proven themselves.

Head Coach Movement
6 schools had openings after retirements, including former independents Savannah State (21 prestige), Houston Baptist (16 prestige), and NJIT (9 prestige). The other three: North Carolina Central (2 prestige), Syracuse (4 prestige), and Detroit (6 prestige).

Once again sitting out. The Big East is bloated at 16 teams and no interest in the other two schools.

Scott Alacanter was hired by Savannah State from Marquette, the first time a head coach changed schools to get into a higher prestige conference. All the rest were assistant hires again.

Izulde 07-30-2024 12:57 PM

Code:

2014 Recruiting Rankings

    #  Player                Pos    Ht  Team                                                Conference
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1  James Binkley            C  6-9  Towson                                          Conference USA
    2  Jacinto Joslin          PG  6-2  Louisville                                  Big East Conference
    3  Edgar Olson            PF  6-5  Towson                                          Conference USA
    4  Walther Niess          PF  6-5                                                               
    5  Ike Negrete            SG  6-1  UNC Wilmington                                  Conference USA
    6  Judson McCoy            SG  6-1  Towson                                          Conference USA
    7  Terrell Fecteau        PF  6-5  Air Force                                  Northeast Conference
    8  Brad Leslie            PG  5-11                                                               
    9  Edward Davis            PF  6-9  Utah                                            Patriot League
  10  Gerardo Turner          PG  6-2                                                               
  11  Jake Blanco            PG  6-0                                                               
  12  Keith Vogt              SG  6-2  James Madison                                    Conference USA
  13  Andrew Helmick          PG  6-0  Hofstra                                          Conference USA
  14  Tom Troy                PG  6-1                                                               
  15  Wesley Whitmer          SG  6-2  Lafayette                                        Conference USA
  16  Dominick Macklin        PF  6-9  Northwestern State            Southwestern Athletic Conference
  17  Hoyt Gaskin            PF  6-10  James Madison                                    Conference USA
  18  Ross Cano              SG  6-3                                                               
  19  Benito Soler            C  7-0                                                               
  20  Kip White                C  6-9  Lafayette                                        Conference USA
  21  Edmundo Haber          SG  6-5                                                               
  22  Brad Dance              SF  6-6  Lafayette                                        Conference USA
  23  Leonard Ridley          C  6-10  Washington State                                Patriot League
  24  Carlos Whisenant        C  6-10  Northeastern                                    Conference USA
  25  Edmund Chavez          PG  6-1  Denver                                    East Coast Conference


We once again are going to have a number of Top 25 players walk on somewhere, so the problem isn't eliminated yet, or even reduced frankly. Last year, 6 of the Top 25 were walk-ons. This year, it's 8.

Anyway, the funny story about Towson. As you can see, they have the #1, #3, and #6 recruits. Their coach has a Recruiting ability of 5. And their assistant is the same ~30 as everyone else. Hilarious!



You might remember John Wilmot getting a mention last year as a challenger for 20+ PPG early on. His scoring is way down this season, but he's distributing the ball a lot more to start and the Penguins are playing the best they ever have.

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Youngstown State            (26)    7-0    1542    3  Horizon League                                           
  2.  High Point                  (14)    5-0    1443  NR  Southern Ten                                             
  3.  Texas                        (3)    5-0    1392    6  Big 12 Conference                                       
  4.  North Dakota State                  5-0    1344    2  Big Sky Conference                                       
  5.  Air Force                    (9)    5-0    1220    9  Mountain West Conference                                 
  6.  Troy                        (2)    5-0    1141    5  Sun Belt Conference                                     
  7.  Towson                      (6)    4-0    1098  NR  Colonial Athletic Association                           
  8.  Boston College              (4)    4-0    1082  NR  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  9.  Texas-Pan American                  4-0    1039  14  Independent                                             
  10.  Savannah State                      4-0    970  NR  Southern Conference                                     
  11.  Cal State Bakersfield        (2)    4-0    881  NR  Big West Conference                                     
  12.  Wichita State                        4-0    847  NR  Missouri Valley Conference                               
  13.  La Salle                    (1)    4-0    823  NR  Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
  14.  Lipscomb                            4-0    691  NR  Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
  15.  Pittsburgh                          3-0    628  23  Big East Conference                                     
  16.  Loyola Marymount            (1)    4-0    624  NR  West Coast Conference                                   
  17.  Tennessee                            3-0    605  NR  Southeastern Conference                                 
  18.  Texas A&M                            3-0    520  NR  Big 12 Conference                                       
  19.  Mississippi Valley State    (1)    4-0    519  NR  Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
  20.  Providence                          4-0    506  NR  Big East Conference                                     
  21.  Howard                              3-0    498  NR  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                         
  22.  Illinois                    (1)    3-0    420  NR  Big Ten Conference                                       
  23.  UAB                                  3-0    382  11  Conference USA                                           
  24.  Oakland                              3-0    376  NR  Summit League                                           
  25.  Louisiana Tech              (1)    4-0    319  NR  Western Athletic Conference                             
                                                                                                                       
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                           
      Binghamton                          3-1    250      America East Conference                                 
      Northwestern                        3-0    250      Big Ten Conference                                       
      Saint Mary's                        3-1    233      West Coast Conference                                   
      Arkansas-Pine Bluff                  2-0    231      Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
      Gonzaga                              3-0    212      West Coast Conference                                   
      Saint Joseph's                      2-0    197      Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
      Siena                                2-0    191      Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
      New Mexico State                    2-0    177      Western Athletic Conference                             
      Baylor                              2-0    167      Big 12 Conference                                       
      UCLA                                0-1    146      Pacific-12 Conference                                   
      Central Michigan                    4-0    132      Mid-American Conference                                 
      Texas State                          2-0    121      Western Athletic Conference                             

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                     
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Indiana                              2-0    111      Big Ten Conference                                       
      Evansville                          2-0      72      Missouri Valley Conference                               


The Towson Tigers have 2 Green/Blue freshmen and a Red/Green one. They're one of the best 1-2 punches in the country (I haven't checked the other 341 teams of course) and have to be listed as title contenders on pure talent alone. They'll ride that duo for the next four years. Where did they get their 5* recruits? Maryland and DC both make sense, but they pulled Edgar Olson (the R/G) from Michigan somehow.

We'll see if High Point can continue to make the Southern Ten proud in their debut year. Notably absent in the early going is the other new one - the East Coast Conference.

Izulde 07-30-2024 02:13 PM

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Savannah State              (72)    12-0    1800    1  Southern Conference                                     
  2.  Miami                              11-1    1662    8  Atlantic Coast Conference                               
  3.  High Point                          12-1    1657    2  Southern Ten                                             
  4.  Temple                              10-1    1572    7  Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
  5.  Texas A&M                          10-1    1507  11  Big 12 Conference                                       
  6.  Mississippi Valley State            10-1    1475    4  Southwestern Athletic Conference                         
  7.  Siena                                9-1    1400    3  Atlantic 10 Conference                                   
  8.  North Dakota State                  10-2    1224    6  Big Sky Conference                                       
  9.  Akron                                9-3    1110  19  Ohio Valley Conference                                   
  10.  Missouri State                      10-2    1035  17  Missouri Valley Conference                               
  11.  Air Force                            9-2    980  16  Mountain West Conference                                 
  12.  UNC Asheville                        9-3    893  NR  East Coast Conference                                   
  13.  Nebraska                            10-2    830  NR  Big Ten Conference                                       
  14.  Louisville                          10-2    790    9  Big East Conference                                     
  15.  UAB                                  7-3    743  23  Conference USA                                           
  16.  Loyola Marymount                    11-2    673  NR  West Coast Conference                                   
  17.  Purdue                              9-3    658  NR  Big Ten Conference                                       
  18.  Wisconsin                            9-2    618  NR  Big Ten Conference                                       
  19.  Towson                              9-2    538  NR  Colonial Athletic Association                           
  20.  Baylor                              8-2    506    5  Big 12 Conference                                       
  21.  Gonzaga                            10-2    380  12  West Coast Conference                                   
  22.  Providence                          8-3    355  NR  Big East Conference                                     
  23.  Howard                              8-3    267  NR  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                         
  24.  USC                                  8-2    251  NR  Pacific-12 Conference                                   
  25.  Texas State                          8-2    161  NR  Western Athletic Conference                             
                                                                                                                       
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                           
      Michigan State                      8-2    146      Big Ten Conference                                       
      UC Riverside                        8-2    127      Big West Conference                                     
      Texas-Pan American                  11-3      17      Independent                                             
      North Florida                        9-4      10      Atlantic Sun Conference                                 
      Houston Baptist                    12-3      9      Southern Ten                                             
      Marist                              10-3      6      Patriot League   


That Scott Alacanter hire has certainly paid off for the Tigers. Splashy headlines everywhere about "Is this the year Savannah State finally gets through to the second weekend?" Hard to argue that - he not only led an All-Red Marquette team to the championship last year, he took the Golden Eagles to the third round of the NIT in Year 1. Of course he's a 100/100 coach.

Shoutout to Burt Morgan. Mediocre coach on paper (57-67 in all categories), but he helped build Savannah State with two years of high powered offenses and those two appearances before retiring. It's just an HBCU world and we're all living in it.

9 players averaging 20+ points a game right now and Dante Morton isn't one of them. I have to eat a little crow because I said Gene Everett didn't deserve National Freshman of the Year last season, and now he's leading the country in scoring at 23.3 points a game and averaging 9.4 boards besides.

Code:

Top 25

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                         
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  1.  Miami                      (68)    18-1    1796    3  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  2.  Mississippi Valley State    (1)    18-1    1695    2  Southwestern Athletic Conference                           
  3.  Savannah State                      19-2    1681    1  Southern Conference                                       
  4.  Louisville                          17-2    1546    4  Big East Conference                                       
  5.  Houston Baptist              (3)    19-5    1454  21  Southern Ten                                               
  6.  High Point                          18-4    1444    6  Southern Ten                                               
  7.  Missouri State                      17-4    1260    5  Missouri Valley Conference                                 
  8.  Wisconsin                          15-4    1226    8  Big Ten Conference                                         
  9.  Fairfield                          17-4    1127  15  Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference                         
  10.  Michigan State                      15-4    1037  10  Big Ten Conference                                         
  11.  Purdue                              14-5    988  NR  Big Ten Conference                                         
  12.  Central Florida                    15-4    957  18  Conference USA                                             
  13.  Loyola Marymount                    17-4    875  19  West Coast Conference                                     
  14.  Temple                              15-4    823  20  Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
  15.  USC                                15-4    758    7  Pacific-12 Conference                                     
  16.  Nebraska                            15-4    662  11  Big Ten Conference                                         
  17.  Maryland                            15-4    617  23  Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
  18.  North Dakota State                  16-5    509  NR  Big Sky Conference                                         
  19.  Howard                              15-4    509  24  Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference                           
  20.  Radford                            16-5    438  NR  East Coast Conference                                     
  21.  Texas State                        15-4    344  12  Western Athletic Conference                               
  22.  Texas A&M                          15-5    328  17  Big 12 Conference                                         
  23.  VCU                                15-5    321  NR  Colonial Athletic Association                             
  24.  Towson                              15-5    143  16  Colonial Athletic Association                             
  25.  DePaul                              14-5    141  NR  Big East Conference                                       
                                                                                                                         
    Others Receiving Votes:                                                                                             
      Boston College                      14-5    106      Atlantic Coast Conference                                 
      Air Force                          14-5      90      Mountain West Conference                                   
      Washington                          15-5      89      Pacific-12 Conference                                     
      Texas                              15-5      72      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Siena                              14-5      68      Atlantic 10 Conference                                     
      Wofford                            14-6      58      Southern Conference                                       
      St. John's                          14-5      53      Big East Conference                                       
      Texas-Pan American                  16-6      52      Independent                                               
      Baylor                              14-5      39      Big 12 Conference                                         
      Hawaii                              13-6      23      Big West Conference                                       
      UAB                                13-6      18      Conference USA                                             
      Samford                            14-8      18      Southern Ten                                               

    #  Team                        FPV  Record  Points  Prv  Conference                       
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Akron                              15-6      15      Ohio Valley Conference                                     
      Evansville                          14-6      10      Missouri Valley Conference                                 
      California                          13-6      10      Pacific-12 Conference   


You're lauded and next thing you know, you lose a couple games and drop back. Fascinating thing about Miami: Every single player on the roster, whether scholarship or walk-on, is from Florida. Sunshine State pride for real!

The initial Bubble Watch has a couple surprises too:



Yep, three Top 25 RPI teams are currently slated Out. I don't see how Michigan isn't in. The Wolverines have a solid resume, even though they're currently tied for 6th in the Big Ten, which may be what's keeping them out.

Dante Morton has reasserted his scoring title and is averaging 22.5 points a game to lead the country. 9 players at 20+ PPG so there's been immense improvement in the quality of scoring basketball with two recruiting classes in play. He's also #3 in rebounds with 11.2 and has 1.7 blocks. Side note: Louis Deacon of Robert Morris averaged 15.4 points and 10 rebounds exactly last season, becoming the first noted double-double on the season player. He leads the country in rebounding this season so far with 11.7 boards.

David Gregory is chasing the first 3+ blocks a season at 3.3, with original player David Coluombe of Florida A&M also at 3. No likely 3+ steals per game guys yet, but we'll see what happens. Evidently being named David increases your chances of being a Block Gawd.

Trash Panda Conferences (Vast Majority of Teams +1 .500 or Lower
Ivy (Every team is .500 or lower except Harvard, who is 2nd[/b]
MAC (Only Central Michigan is above the .500 or lower mark)
Northeast
Patriot (Only Bucknell exceeds the standard)
SEC (Every team is below .500 except Georgia, much to Jon's chagrin)

The Ivy sucking athletically is on brand. Pennsylvania in the first season is the only team to have ever made it to the Sweet 16. Granted, it's only been two seasons, but yikes on bikes.

Izulde 08-04-2024 06:53 PM

Oops. I just realized I forgot to list the 5* recruit distribution. There's 24 this year.

5* Recruit Distribution Y3
Florida: 4
California: 3
Illinois: 3
North Carolina: 2
Texas: 2
Arkansas: 1
Colorado: 1
Georgia: 1
Iowa: 1
Kansas: 1
New Jersey: 1
Ohio: 1
Oregon: 1
Utah: 1
Virginia: 1

Streak of 2+ 5* Players: Texas (3)
Streak of 1+ 5* Players: Illinois, Florida (3)

I missed Washington D.C. on the streak of 1 5+ players last season. Oops.

Anyway, there have been 26 states, Washington D.C., and two non-US countries represented in the 5* rankings through the first three recruiting classes. I'll update on the leaderboard once we've had our fourth class. I have no doubt we'll see some surprises

Conference Tournament 1 Seed Wins
Big East: Louisville
MAAC: Fairfield (beat 2 seed)
Northeast: St. Francis (PA)
Pac 12: Washington
Southern Ten: Houston Baptist (beat 2 seed)
WAC: Texas State

The worst showing by 1 seeds in universe history. 7 Year 1, 10 Year 2, and just 6 this season. It augurs a crazy Big Dance.

2 Seed Over 1 Seed
ACC: Miami
Big Sky: Montana
Summit: UMKC



There's some serious Big Ten bias in the seedings this year as we'll see. Nothing about Purdue says #1 seed to me, and despite their record of 16-16, Alabama State has the talent to knock them off

Poor Temple. Two straight years they've lost in the second round and they're primed to do so again this year. Top 40 on both sides of the ball the Owls are, and yet just like last season, Hawaii is absolutely stacked with talent and the Rainbow Wahine are my heavy favorites to make it out of the region. Don't discount Boston College and Texas A&M - especially the Aggies. Both schools have strong starting lineups.

Also, fuck UC-Riverside for landing 4* and 5* walk-ons. Oh, and can't disregard Mercer either - Sanford Boyd is a Blue/Blue in just his sophomore season. This is an incredibly stacked region talentwise, and there's no way in hell the Boilermakers are going to drink Final Four success.



Yep, we're 2-2 for in undeserving Big Ten teams earning a #1 seed. The Badgers will have no trouble in their matchup though. Fairfield's weakness at center means Wisconsin has an easy road to the Sweet 16.

Dante Morton's squad has a similar center problem, which is a shame because UMKC is another team blessed with walk-on luck. SMU is a dangerously talented 12 seed held back by a slick rick recruiting god coach who can't actually coach.

Air Force is a 2 seed talent-wise and when everyone is healthy, but their two best players are out with injury and I think DePaul takes them out in the second round. Texas is a solid, but not flashy team that's Top 70 on both sides of the ball. I think the Longhorns can make an Elite Eight run at minimum if they get past Texas State's #2 offense.

Overall this region is really weak. Wisconsin could very well win it due to Air Force's two players being out two weeks. Texas would not surprise as a region winner.



Miami comes in as the top overall seed. Center is a weak point, but at least the dude can play defense, which is fine for a fifth starter. James Madison got a 5* walk-on, so screw the Dukes. They're actually one of the most talented rosters outside of Hawaii, but haven't played like it despite having an excellent coach.

Walk-oon lucky Wichita State gets a tough draw in Chattanooga, though like many teams, the Mocs have a weak center - probably the single worst one I've ever seen as a starter. We're 3-3 for in regions with a vastly overseeded Big Ten team, mediocre Michigan State it. Actually the Spartans aren't terrible, just not amazing.

That Central Florida/Kennesaw State matchup is appointment viewing. Two closely matched, talented teams that have the ability to make some noise in this ho-hum region.

Overall the Canes got a pretty good draw. It's not the Death Region of the West, nor is it the total creampuff of the Midwest. I like them to walk out of here, but there's enough good teams here to give them some potential trouble. Far better than the previous top overall seeds fared.



The Southern Ten are absolutely delighted they got a 1 seed in their first year of existence. But their backcourt is weak - 2 walk-on freshmen who aren't studs are starting for Houston Baptist. Northwestern State has more than enough talent to win in spite of the [b]Demons' terrible coaching.

And even if Houston Baptist gets past the Demons, Savannah State is waiting in the second round. Scott Alacanter has done a masterful job of turning a roster of middling talent into Top 60 on both sides of the ball, and the Tigers are a legitimate Cinderella threat.

Maryland is also Top 80 on both sides of the ball and their Scout Gawd (100) coach who can't recruit (2) has the Terrapins on the title contention list as he's done an amazing job unearthing underrated 3* gems.

Also Top 60 on both ends: Louisville, who boasts the #2 recruit in the country in Jacinto Joslin, whom the Cardinals stole out of Florida. Joslin is Green/Blue as a freshman and an incredibly gifted young man. You already know my thoughts on Towson.

So yes, we're 4-4 on overseeded Big Ten teams because Nebraska can't compete with this murderer's row of talent. This might be the biggest Region of Death I've ever seen. Mississppi Valley State was a 1 seed at some point this season too, I think, and the Delta Devils also have a superior roster.

I honestly don't know who to pick in this region. My gut says Savannah State but I wouldn't Pikachu face at a lot of teams. Houston Baptist would be a surprise, however.

The Tournament
West Region
This might be my most successful region picks yet. I called Alabama State and Mercer as upsets to happen, and that Temple would bow out in the second round to Hawaii.

What I didn't expect: Texas A&M to fall to Montana, or New Mexico toppling High Point.

You have to check out this first round game between the Rainbow Wahine and Creighton, though:

Code:

Hawaii 110, Creighton 101

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Creighton  (18-15, 8-8):
Player            Pos Min Fgm-a Ftm-a Off Reb Ast PF Pts
Rupert Gutshall  C    30  3-4  1-2  3  7  2  5  7
Dennis Nobles    PF  32  1-5  4-4  0  5  3  4  6
Andrew Boynton    SF  34  9-17  6-8  0  3  3  2  24
J.C. Sumner      SG  22  8-13  3-4  4  5  1  3  20
Wilbur May        PG  35  4-7  5-6  1  4  4  4  14
Ruben Loera      SG  32  5-9  4-9  3  5  0  4  14
Art Hernandez    PG    9  1-3  1-1  0  1  1  0  3
Arlie Perez      SG  10  2-4  0-1  0  1  0  2  5
Lee Sexton        PF  11  2-4  0-0  0  0  1  1  4
Dennis Gasaway    PF    1  0-0  2-2  0  0  0  0  2
Michel Schenk    C    7  1-1  0-0  0  1  0  0  2

Turnovers: 14 (R.Gutshall 1, D.Nobles 1, A.Boynton 1,
 J.Sumner 3, W.May 7, M.Schenk 1)
Blocked Shots: 4 (D.Nobles 1, A.Boynton 1, J.Sumner 1,
 A.Perez 1)
Steals: 8 (D.Nobles 1, A.Boynton 2, W.May 1, R.Loera 3,
 L.Sexton 1)
3P FGs: 3-9 (A.Boynton 0-1, J.Sumner 1-3, W.May 1-1,
 R.Loera 0-1, A.Perez 1-3)

Hawaii  (23-10, 13-5):
Player            Pos Min Fgm-a Ftm-a Off Reb Ast PF Pts
Gene Everett      C    21  4-8  7-11  1  1  2  4  15
B. Decourchelle  PF  27  9-13  5-10  4  7  1  3  23
Fred Hargett      SF  31  9-12  0-2  6  11  3  1  21
David Hoke        SG  39  7-18  4-4  2  9  10  0  20
Will Fetter      PG  40  2-4  2-2  2  3  6  4  7
A. Desplancques  C    28  4-11  2-2  2  6  0  4  10
Reggie Stancil    SF  12  1-2  0-0  0  1  1  5  2
George Thompson  C    7  0-0  0-0  0  0  1  4  0
Jonah Pettway    SG    9  2-2  0-0  0  1  1  1  4
James Balzer      C    3  1-1  0-0  0  0  0  2  2
Robert Kropp      SF    9  3-4  0-0  1  4  2  1  6

Turnovers: 13 (G.Everett 1, B.Decourchelle 3, D.Hoke 5,
 R.Stancil 3, R.Kropp 1)
Blocked Shots: 1 (F.Hargett 1)
Steals: 5 (B.Decourchelle 1, F.Hargett 3, W.Fetter 1)
3P FGs: 6-17 (F.Hargett 3-5, D.Hoke 2-9, W.Fetter 1-2,
 R.Stancil 0-1)

Player of Game: SF Fred Hargett (HI)


{b]It's the first time we've had a team break 100 points in the tournament - let alone both teams
. What an epic, epic matchup. Benoit Decourchelle has been an absolute unit this tournament, and the French juco transfer was quite the recruiting find.

Robert Wong may not have the most exciting numbers, but he's consistent and the freshman's steady point guard play has carried Boston College to the Sweet 16, where they face Cinderella Alabama State, who stunned the more talented UC-Riverside.

Hawaii gets the Mercer matchup I expected and you know everyone is going to have butts in the seats to watch that game of two star-studded teams go at it. A damn shame the Bears were so under-seeded. They've won both games by like 20-30 points.

And Mercer keeps right on keeping on, Sanford Boyd putting up 17 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 steals in a 77-69 upset of Hawaii, but the Bears in turn are blitzed by Boston College, the Eagles holding them to 30.8% shooting to head to the Final Four.

Midwest
No good center did not doom Fairfield, as the Stags ran with Denny Linares, the #123 ranked recruit who has exploded for 21 and 15 points in winning Player of the Game both rounds and knocking off top seed Wisconsin in the second. Kid has only averaged a hair over 10 points a game this season, too, so what a time to come alive.

Dante Morton is again a one and done, and it's a shame to see the most talented player in this young universe have nothing to show for it. The bullshit horseshoe walk-on luck backcourt from last season UMKC bounces the Roos past him and SMU (called that upset, too) into the Sweet 16.

Injury woes did indeed send Air Force on the first flight home and Ohio State got the fluke 2-point upset over DePaul in the second round to suddenly find themselves in the Sweet 16.

Texas can't shoot and loses a 47-49 game to Pacific as the Tigers suddenly discover God mode defense despite being mediocre in the regular season and a coach who is trash on the defensive side, knocking away Texas State and setting up a really gross 15/14 second weekend matchup. In fact, 8 seed Fairfield is the lone single digit seed in the Sweet 16. Absolutely disgusting.

UMKC sneaks past Fairfield 62-60 and I don't care when Pacific tops the Roos for the Final Four spot. Awful.

South
A defensive performance that doesn't shock me is St. Francis (PA). The Red Flash were #16 in the country, and it's that calling card that leads them to upsets of Baylor and Wichita State. They'll face Miami in the Sweet 16, where I think the Canes are just too talented with too many weapons to try and cover.

Michigan State's offense sure is a thing of beauty as they power past both opponents (VCU in the second round). I still think the Spartans are overrated as a 2 seed, but they've looked really good, and they draw Howard in the Sweet 16. The Bison narrowly won by 3 points in both contests, powered by studly center Kristopher Brenner. The sophomore had 17 points, 9 rebounds, 6 blocks in the first round and keyed the second round victory over Central Florida with 15 points and 3 blocks.

This is the closest we've ever come to all chalk in a region - the top 3 seeds and a tough 13 seed Cinderella.

Miami has just enough firepower to put away pesky St. Francis (PA), but then can't stop Kristopher Brenner from 19 points, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks, and a steal and that sends Howard to the Final Four.

East Region
I called it. Northwestern State topples Houston Baptist by a single point, then gets knocked out by Savannah State in the second. His numbers aren't flashy but the Tigers' Austin Powell is the type of steady point guard hand who knows how to run the system, and he wins Player of the Game in both contests.

I'm displeased to see USC in the Sweet 16. Not surprised, mind you, but displeased all the same.

Jacinto Joslin is such a god damn stud. 24 and 21 points in the first two rounds to put the Cardinal on his back, including a narrow 2 point win over promising Towson in the second round. The freshman point guard is arguably the most talented player in the country outside of Dante Morton.

You've never heard of Ward Wenger. The 7', 240 pound senior center doesn't light up the scoreboard or post notable stats. But he goes 11/12 in the first two games, scoring 15 points in each to lead Harvard to shocking upsets of Mississippi Valley State and Nebraska in the first two rounds, giving the Ivy League just its second Sweet 16 team.

And then they go further, toppling mighty Louisville through sheer defensive might. And after USC nips Savannah State by 1, the Crimson shock the Trojans, Ward Wenger winning Player of the Game with 9 points, 7 rebounds, 2 blocks, 2 steals, and holding his opposing number to 0 points for an improbable Final Four appearance.

Final Four
Boston College (5) vs Howard (3)
Pacific (14) vs Harvard (11)

Gross. Better hope the Crimson win. Of note: Never has teen an HBCU to make it past the second round in real life, so we're definitely in uncharted territory here with Howard.

27 points, 9 rebounds, and 2 blocks from Kristopher Brenner later, the Bison are in position to be the potential NCAA champions, facing off against Harvard, 1979 the last time an Ivy League team made it to the Final Four incidentally. 11 points, 9 rebounds, and 2 blocks for Ward Wenger in that one, though Michael Espinoza's 18 points was PotG-winning.

Code:

Harvard 81, Howard 77

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Harvard  (26-9, 10-4):
Player            Pos Min Fgm-a Ftm-a Off Reb Ast PF Pts
Ward Wenger      C    31  3-4  1-2  1  4  3  5  7
Augustus Greene  PF  30  7-10  1-1  1  2  1  3  15
Michael Espinoza  SF  23  2-3  0-1  0  1  2  5  4
James Deanda      SG  35  6-12  4-6  2  6  6  5  18
Robbie Collins    PG  33  4-10  3-4  0  4  2  2  14
Henry Fogg        PF  14  1-1  2-4  0  4  2  2  4
James Brooks      C    4  0-0  0-0  0  2  0  0  0
Refugio Bethel    SF  11  3-3  1-2  0  2  0  3  7
Jack Siebert      PG  12  3-6  4-6  0  0  1  2  10
Dana Kelly        PF    1  0-0  0-0  0  0  0  0  0
Lazaro Stout      SG    4  0-1  2-2  0  1  0  0  2
Charles Infante  SF    2  0-0  0-0  0  1  0  0  0

Turnovers: 14 (A.Greene 2, M.Espinoza 2, J.Deanda 2,
 R.Collins 3, H.Fogg 1, R.Bethel 2, J.Siebert 2)
Blocked Shots: 1 (A.Greene 1)
Steals: 9 (W.Wenger 3, M.Espinoza 1, J.Deanda 3, H.Fogg
 1, J.Siebert 1)
3P FGs: 5-14 (J.Deanda 2-5, R.Collins 3-7, J.Siebert
 0-2)

Howard  (32-6, 15-1):
Player            Pos Min Fgm-a Ftm-a Off Reb Ast PF Pts
Kristopher Benner C    36  3-8  7-11  3  8  1  2  13
Tony Purser      PF  35  4-8  5-6  1  13  1  3  13
Nathan Hand      SF  26  4-7  2-4  1  2  2  4  11
Tony Gallman      SG  30  4-8  2-7  2  5  1  4  11
Loyd Gonzales    PG  31  5-9  5-5  0  1  2  5  15
Kip Alvey        SG  16  4-5  2-2  1  1  0  5  13
Robert Chi        PG    9  0-2  0-0  0  1  0  2  0
Ernie Shetler    C    9  0-0  1-3  0  0  0  1  1
Justin Wills      SF    6  0-0  0-0  0  1  0  0  0
Antony Means      SG    2  0-0  0-0  0  0  1  0  0
Jeff Steger      C    1  0-0  0-0  0  0  0  0  0

Turnovers: 19 (K.Benner 4, T.Purser 1, N.Hand 1,
 T.Gallman 4, L.Gonzales 1, K.Alvey 3, R.Chi 1,
 E.Shetler 2, J.Wills 1, A.Means 1)
Blocked Shots: 5 (K.Benner 3, T.Gallman 1, L.Gonzales 1)
Steals: 6 (T.Gallman 1, L.Gonzales 5)
3P FGs: 5-10 (K.Benner 0-1, N.Hand 1-2, T.Gallman 1-2,
 L.Gonzales 0-2, K.Alvey 3-3)

Player of Game: SG James Deanda (HRVRD)


What a hell of a game. Ward Wegner has a Post Defense of 73 and he did a great job containing Kristopher Brenner. The Bison responded by distributing shots to all of their players but they just narrowly missed out as James Deanda took this game over, giving us an Ivy League national champion.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:48 PM.

Powered by vBulletin Version 3.6.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.