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Cronin, care to share a little more on the hypothesis?
I think the risk/reward ratio on voting for Barkeep to be tested today is pretty good, but if he is telling the truth (and I believe he is) then we are basically forfeiting our chances to get a Thing today.
Lets say that we started with two things, and that they do get to convert every day:
Night 0: 14-2 ratio
Day 1: test JeeberD, revealed scientist (14-2)
Night 1: Barkeep kills Thing, Things convert (13-2)
Day 2: test Barkeep, revealed scientist (13-2)
Night 2: Things convert again (12-3)
POSITIVES:
At that point we are in better shape than we were if Barkeep didn't kill a Thing, plus we have knowledge about two people starting as scientists. Heck, more when you take the "brilliant" thing into play as original scientists.
NEGATIVES:
We are basically forfeiting our chance to be up 13-1 or win the game outright at the end of today's action.
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