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"Barkeep as a Thing" scenario (using same numbers from above):
Night 0: 14-2 ratio
Day 1: test JeeberD, revealed scientist (14-2)
Night 1: Things kill Qwikshot, no conversion (13-2)
Day 2: test someone besides Barkeep who is revealed as scientist (13-2)
Night 2: Things convert for first time (12-3)
We are in the same place going this route as if we test Barkeep, except we don't have the information if he was telling the truth about killing a Thing on Night 1.
But, why would Barkeep make this play? There doesn't seem to be much reason for him to fake a role reveal from the outset of the game, particularly if it seems like a role that might actually be assigned to another player in the game. I don't think that he has bought himself all kinds of clearance through this play. Would he put himself in the limelight like this as a Thing? Put yourself in the position of playing as a "Thing" - under what circumstances would you make a play like this on Day 1?
I can only see it if they start with 3+ players and get to convert every night. Perhaps by being a lightning rod for conversation early he buys time and possibly flushes out a role reveal while the Things mount silent conversions every night. But I don't think Schmidty would set the game up with those parameters.
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