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Agree with BrianD on this one - the fact that there was no kill last night strongly indicates a conversion of a fast talking noble. Other explanation is a blocked kill/jailbreak, but there is nothing in Barkeep's night action report to suggest this.
The assassins will want to exercise their kill. In doing so they weaken the ability of another faction to get points. Which makes it easier for them to accumulate their points faster. Taking a night off to put pressure on the guy in jail makes very little sense to me.
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