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Old 10-10-2007, 12:03 PM   #469
Wolfpack
Pro Rookie
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Raleigh, NC
Quote:
Originally Posted by Swaggs View Post
ESPN has the mock BCS standings up... the computers are, apparently, not as kind to Oklahoma and USC as the human voters:

Mock BCS standings
Team Average
1. LSU 1.000
2. California .912
3. Ohio State .907
4. Boston College .827
5. South Florida .826
6. Missouri .683
7. South Carolina .654
8. Virginia Tech .596
9. West Virginia .5902
10. Oregon .5899
Others of note: (12) Oklahoma, (13) USC, (20) Hawaii


Also, Hawaii is destroyed by their strength of schedule. I think they are going to need quite a bit of help to get into the top 14 because, as I mentioned earlier, I think they will have a tough time getting much higher than their voter rankings from the past three weeks (15th to 17th) because the coaches aren't going to want to put them above teams from their conferences:

Hawaii in BCS computers
Ranking SOS
Colley 30th 130th
Billingsley 34th N/A
Anderson & Hester 35th 119th
Sagarin 54th 170th
Massey 76 218

I can confirm those lines of thought somewhat in my computer rankings. Oklahoma is currently 11th, but falls to 18th without scoring margin factored in. USC is 14th, but drops to 24th without the margin factored in.

As for Hawaii, they rate out at 26, but drop to 31 if scoring margin isn't considered and all the way down to 39 if the rating just looks at wins and losses of the opponents. (I treat non D-IA opponents as winless teams in the calculations).

Oddly enough, I can also support the computer rankings' placing of South Florida at or near the top. When margin isn't considered, they actually do get the top spot. They do backslide to 6th when margin-of-victory is put in, though.
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