Quote:
Originally Posted by ISiddiqui
Reagan beat Mondale by 512 electoral votes. In 1988, Bush beat Dukakis by 315.
So what you are saying is that Obama will win by more than 315 Electoral votes. Is that the bet you want to make?
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Winning by 315 might be a stretch, but I don't think it's beyond the realm of possibility. The R's were comprehensively beaten in the mid-terms, failing to pick up a single seat and haven't shown me any reason to think that trend won't continue this year. Today I would not make that bet but check back in September.
Thinking some more, whoever mentioned Idaho going R is almost certainly right, but the other four (VA, CO, TN and AR) will all end up D or very close to it.