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The race will tighten up significantly after the conventions -- especially when some of the 527s out there start running racially-tinged ads in currently competitive states where that kind of crap plays.
The biggest question in my mind is how that stuff will influence the electorates in MI, PA and OH. NC and GA are sideshows for the most part. This election will be won in those three big states. It is difficult to see how Obama wins without taking all 3.
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