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Old 07-18-2008, 09:52 AM   #465
st.cronin
General Manager
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: New Mexico
Quote:
Originally Posted by larrymcg421 View Post
electoral-vote.com has Obama with 325 electoral votes right now. Even if you take Ohio away, then 305 is more than enough.

Even if you discredit the possibly suspect polls in Indiana, Montana, and Virginia, that still leaves him with 278.

I think McCain is going to have to take 2 of 3 from MI, OH, and PA.

Maybe not Michigan - Colorado + New Mexico + Nevada (which I think all 3 will go to McCain) more than equal MI. But, yes, if OH and PA both go blue, there is no way Obama can lose. Likewise if 1 of them goes red, it will be tough for Obama to win. That's the way I've always understood this race.
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