Thread: Obama versus McCain (versus the rest)
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Old 07-19-2008, 09:04 AM   #485
duckman
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Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Muskogee, OK USA
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegas Vic View Post
I'm surprised that more people here don't cite the Real Clear Politics electoral college analysis more often. In 2004, most of these sites (like electoral-vote.com) were all over the board with their final predictions, while RCP correctly predicted every state except Wisconsin (which Kerry won by 0.4%). RCP also correctly predicted the popular vote outcome within 1%.
Exactly, they have extremely accurate in the past. As a matter of fact, Obama peaked at 7% better than McCain after getting the nomination, but now has slipped to 4.2% since that point. I think Obama wins the election, but I think it'll be much closer than some on the board think.
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