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Old 07-29-2008, 08:50 AM   #654
flere-imsaho
Coordinator
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Chicagoland
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegas Vic View Post
For some reason, we're not hearing anything about the most recent Gallup Poll of likely voters.

Well, I just read about it today, but both fivethirtyeight.com and electoral-vote.com have commentary on it. I've stated before that I take all polling with a grain of salt, and this just reaffirms my thinking.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SFL Cat View Post
I think this election will be VERY close. I still have no strong feeling about who will win, but barring disaster or serious misstep, I don't think we see a blowout by either side.

Oooo, go out on a limb there....

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vegas Vic View Post
Probably so. We're at the end of July, and Obama is up by about 3 points in the average of all of the current polls. At this point in past election cycles, Dukakis had a 17 point lead over GHWB, and Jimmy Carter had a 33 point lead over Gerald Ford.

Why did you pick those two races in particular?
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