What VOCL tells us is how much of a fluke last year was and that you still have to play the games. Boston should've run away with it and yet, you had Colorado squeak out over 159 games to beat them and Quad City had no business playing over its head like it did, either.
1973 TEAM VOCL
(Modifier: 323.2)
Code:
ATLANTA 146.0
BROOKLYN 139.2
BOSTON 138.1
VALDOSTA 100.8
BALTIMORE 89.6
COLORADO 74.9
RIO GRANDE 64.4
COLUMBUS 26.9
QUAD CITY 5.6
ANN ARBOR -26.5
NEW ORLEANS -78.1
COMPTON -88.0
HARTFORD -100.8
TORONTO -142.1
TEXAS -153.7
NEW YORK -196.3
VOCL is a stat I created to help teams figure out how close they were to contention and to sharpen their view of their season results.
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VOCL or Value Over Championship Level. (Pronounced VO-CAL) is not that beautiful of a stat, but it works. It's only measure is to help you determine whether your team is at championship level. Doesn't mean you're anymore likely to win or anything like that.
It just means that your team is officially within its "win window" I've seen teams win at a lower rate than championship level. It's just a helpful tool.
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Here are the Win Windows based on last year's numbers:
Code:
Win Window
Atlanta 1.208
Boston .994
Brooklyn .969
Valdosta .823
Baltimore .764
Colorado .603
Rio Grande .379
Columbus .214
Quad City .140
Ann Arbor -.198
New Orleans -.650
Compton -.701
Hartford -.758
Toronto -1.092
Texas -1.232
New York -1.495
What do these tell us? Absolutely nothing.
Win Window isn't really a predictive measure. It's not intended to say "x team is better than y" it's just a tool to allow owners to figure out where their team is.
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To determine a team's Win Window, you calculate the VOCL + Win Differential (W - L) / Number of Games in the season = Win Window
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