[larrymcg421]

Originally Posted by Vegas Vic

What's going on there is that Obama doesn't stand much of a chance now in North Carolina.

So you're just going to skip past your smarmy "outlier" comment because you realized you didn't know what you were talking about? That's fine, but I would have preferred a real answer to the question. I'm wondering why we have two polls with +3 and +4 and two other polls with +17 and +20. That seems strange to me, but I understand if you just want to believe the latter two polls.

There just isn't a big enough coalition of African Americans statewide and elitist liberals and college students in Charlotte and the Research Triangle Park area to pull it off.

Okay, but that's not really true if the Republican poll that shows a 3pt difference in NC is correct. I mean it's certainly possible that the Republicans just don't have a fucking clue and are actually 14-17 pts off in their polling.

John Edwards didn't even carry win his own precinct for John Kerry in 2004, and North Carolina has been a solid Republican state in modern presidential elections, with the lone exception being Jimmy Carter over Gerald Ford in 1976.

Again, this doesn't mean much if, as I've said, the Republican poll is accurate. I could be wrong, but at least I'm trying to analyze the data instead of just throwing out generalities.