[larrymcg421]

Fox News/Rasmussen (LV)

PA: Obama 50-42
OH: McCain 48-47
FL: Tie 47-47
VA: Obama 50-47
CO: Obama 49-48

For Obama, it's looking pretty good. He has to hold PA (and the rest of the Kerry states) and just win one of these other four states. (This is assuming he's already gonna steal IA and NM, which seems very probably at this point.)

For McCain, not looking quite as good. He's got to win those bottom four states or find a Kerry state to pick off. NH is looking possible at this point, but that won't be enough (the best it will do is give him a 269-269 tie.)

Of course, I expect things to shift wildly over the next few days as the public reacts to the financial crisis and then the VP debate on Thursday.