Quote:
Originally Posted by Buccaneer
And that is where we differ. Neither candidate conforms to my "world view". In fact, I believe that we will see pretty much the same kind of things we saw in the past. That's the part that really bugs me - people thinking that something brand new will take place in Washington DC. That is only true for those that do not know anything prior to 2000. The Carter presidency (along with a Dem Congress led by Tip O'Neill) happened during my late HS and college years (the age some of you are at right now). I also know, as all of us do, what it was like during a Bush2 presidency with a Rep congress. The Democrat platform is not revolutionary - it is very similar to all of the Democratic candidates since Carter in 1980. It can't be because there is a lot of history, precedent and constituents behind that. It will simply be a shift from a definite Rep politics to a Dem one - which has happened before. An Obama administration will have a lot of familiar faces - people that know how Washington works. It will be a cultural shift but in a long-term view, it won't be anything new (just "new" compared to what we've had the past 8 years). Now if we had a charismatic third-party candidate favored to win this election...
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I'm not one of those people. I can tell you what is going to happen, and it will be history repeating itself. The first two years, Obama is going to push through the most extreme parts of his plan. People (after initially loving him during the homey-moon/Camelot reborn phase), will begin turning on him, and his popularity will drop. After those two years, he'll moderate and begin to move some of the most popular parts of his plans (which will probably have changed since when he was elected). He'll quite possibly be dealing with one side of Congress being controlled by the opposing party by then (probably the house. If not in control, at least holding many more seats), and most things will end up being stagnant/grid-locked (which is right up your alley).
Now, the question will be if he is able to regain popularity and show true leadership in those final two years enough to be relected. It will also depend on who is running against him (Palin would assure his relection). Also, will he win, yet lose more of congress.
But what is not going to happen? He'll not turn the national religion to Muslim, sell nukes to Osama, or make us a communist state.