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I think that McCain doesn't go two terms regardless, and Obama could but it will depend on whether things get much worse before they get better. If in 4 years, we're still another 3 or 4 years away from a real turn around then I could see someone else having a chance (although I have no idea who). The downfall talk is crazy, either candidate will have an uphill battle but both have nowhere to go but up eventually if they're given the time. Bush has done a ton of the dirty work to make it easy for someone to sweep in and take credit for an eventual turn around.
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