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Old 10-31-2008, 01:23 PM   #9209
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Kansas City, MO
Quote:
Originally Posted by larrymcg421 View Post
I declare the weightings are off on the results that are good for McCain and the weightings are accurate on the results that are good for Obama.

Your wild sarcasm is noted, but does not mirror my points in any way. My discussion regarding the weighting of polls is simply meant to point out that people should be very wary of using those polls as a predictor given their methodology. I make no claim that what I'm pointing out will make McCain or Obama a winner. The poll weights generally favor the Democrat candidate thus far (with the exception of the one that Fozzie pointed out yesterday). It's easy to say that means that it's conservative bias, but the statistics lean that way regardless of the bias of the analyst.
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