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Old 10-31-2008, 05:13 PM   #9222
lordscarlet
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Washington, DC
Quote:
Originally Posted by cartman View Post
Don't forget that he also said THE ACTUAL ELECTION RESULTS have no basis in reality.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan View Post
Your wild sarcasm is noted, but does not mirror my points in any way. My discussion regarding the weighting of polls is simply meant to point out that people should be very wary of using those polls as a predictor given their methodology. I make no claim that what I'm pointing out will make McCain or Obama a winner. The poll weights generally favor the Democrat candidate thus far (with the exception of the one that Fozzie pointed out yesterday). It's easy to say that means that it's conservative bias, but the statistics lean that way regardless of the bias of the analyst.

So, MBBF, just to make it clear to everyone. If the election results are within the margin of error of the polls your are disputing, will you concede that the weighting was indeed accurate?

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