Quote:
Originally Posted by Flasch186
According to which polls?
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Poll margin minus Bradley Effect I would imagine.
FWIW, I personally think the final margin will be somewhere between the two points, with the effect reduced by increased black turnout & a lower than expected likely-GOP-voter turnout in states where the race is already lost, but I believe the math works out about right to get things to around 3% give or take.