Quote:
Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan
As was pointed out earlier, the statistics cited in regard to this included partisan Obama voters, which is obviously not reflective of the overall effect. Many wouldn't have voted for McCain no matter what. We don't have a poll to compare what effect the other options would have had in comparison, so information in that regard is subjective at best.
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Sigh.
"(ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Does (Obama’s/McCain’s) choice of (Biden/Palin)
for vice president make you more likely to vote for (Obama/McCain), less likely, or won’t it make any difference in your vote? "
Date, Likely/Registered/All, More/Less/Indifferent
Obama’s choice of Biden:
11/1/08 LV 28 14 58
9/29/08 LV 26 14 60
9/4/08 RV 22 11 66
McCain’s choice of Palin:
11/1/08 LV 17 46 37
9/29/08 LV 24 32 43
9/4/08 RV 25 19 55
Compare to:
Kerry’s choice of Edwards:
7/25/08 RV 24 9 66
Gore’s choice of Lieberman:
8/7/00 All 15 10 73
Bush’s choice of Cheney:
7/29/00 RV 14 6 78
Dole’s choice of Kemp:
8/15/96 RV 18 6 75
For recent VP picks other than this year, people haven't historically cared, and the ones who have were roughly 2/1 in support of said VP pick. Palin is roughly 3/1 against. I know this is one poll, but there's no logical way you can conclude Palin is the reason the race is as "close" as it is.