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Old 03-27-2009, 12:33 AM   #1282
adubroff
High School JV
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Quote:
Originally Posted by Radii View Post
If you asked me tonight? I 100% take the under. If Syracuse and Louisville both win tomorrow, then I'll take the over. But only if both win.

You are right, I worked the math a bit, and I think it's something like a 40% chance to get three in if you make Louisville an 80-20 favorite tommorrow (which they are right now) and consider Cuse a toss up (1 pt line right now, I couldn't find a money line). If you then assume that both UConn and Louisville would be 60/40 favorites, and the Cuse would be a a 75/25 dog(If they see NC, they would be a favorite over Zaga I think), then you'd get 3 of them in ~41% of the time.

Last edited by adubroff : 03-27-2009 at 12:34 AM.
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