Quote:
Originally Posted by Barkeep49
DOLA: BTW another faulty reasoning, which is true now but not when CR posted his analysis, is that the odds of discovering Pass's auroa for today are 0. Tomorrow we get a 20% chance again. But at this point, by Day 5, we'll only have a 73% chance of finding ONE person's aura.
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That's not true. It's a 20% chance for each player every night. So we'll find out each player's identity an average of 2.5 days after their jailed.
It's possible (not likely, but possible) that by Day 5 we find out the identity of every player in jail.