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Old 06-27-2009, 09:05 PM   #493
Flasch186
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Join Date: May 2002
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mizzou B-ball fan View Post
This is much different than a western world protest. The 1979 revolution went this way as well. There would be anywhere from 3-7 days in protests followed by a 20-25 day lull and then it would start all over again. Don't forget that the mourning protests were a big part of that movement and of most movements in Iran. We haven't even got to the 40th day following the deaths yet. I'd expect more major uprisings in another 30-35 days as the 40th day mournings begin. The 40th day after Neda's death will be especially explosive. In 1979, the government was dumb enough to kill people at the 40th day protests, which would repeat the cycle and more protests and uprisings would begin 40 days after that.

Don't confuse the relative lull for a government victory. Things in Iran work MUCH differently than they do in the western world. Also, the nightly rooftop protests have continued without end since the elections. If anything, they've gained strength with the daytime crackdowns.

no offense but so far youve been off on this...as well. Much of what you said hasn't materialized and has simply been speculative, inaccurate, and assumptive. I'll believe what I see from the News reporters and while the information is sparse at best it seems to be more in line with what 'we' are seeing. The fever has died down and at 99.2 degrees, a fever doesnt accomplish much. Wanna make a bet about what happens in 30 to 45 days? This has nothing to do with Partisanship if you plan on throwing the martyr card and has everything to do with speculative misses and inaccurate directions...

to further prove my point:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090628/..._iran_election

Clashes today in Mousavi's hotbed of support...3000 protestors now. Down by a lot, is that #. Its a shame really but you cant blame them when theyre outgunned.
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Last edited by Flasch186 : 06-28-2009 at 01:09 PM.
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