Front Office Football Central - View Single Post - Big 10 Expansion Thread -Big Ten ready for a playoff .. finally?

kcchief19 · 05-06-2010, 04:14 PM

Most of the prognostication is based on two major assumptions: 1) the Big 10 and Pac-10 want to expand to 12 teams to add a title game; and 2) the next trend for the BCS conference is to move toward 16-team leagues.

I think the Big Ten will set the tone on both. If the Big 10 adds a title game the Pac 10 is going to feel obligated simply to keep up with the Joneses. A title game is going to add $1-2 million per team to the bottom line.

If the Big 10 expands by more than one team, other conferences will feel the same motivation. If the Big 10 adds 3-5 teams those are going to be at the expense of the Big East and the Big 12. Those conferences are going to need to add teams to keep up. The SEC, ACC and Pac 10 will feel pressure to gobble up some of the better teams before they go elsewhere. There are way too many knowledgeable sources who will tell you that the conferences are headed toward a four-conference, 16-teams each super league that will break off from the FBS and create their own league with a plus-one title game.

If the Big 10 expands by one team, the movement will probably be minimum. Since Missouri seems to be the hot name right, let's assume they move to the Big 10. I think Colorado and Utah would be added to the Pac 10. The Big 12 needs two new teams and I think they call TCU and BYU first.

If the Big 10 goes to 16 teams, katy bar the door. In that case, I think the Big East and the Big 12 will be closed by the end of the decade, at least as far as football is concerned. The Big 12 will likely lose three teams and I think BYU would rather go to the Pac 10 than the Big 12. The Big 12 might pickup TCU but it's going to be slim pickings to find two more teams.

But the biggest problem is that I don't know why anyone would want to join the Big 12, and the fact that Missouri, Colorado, Nebraska and maybe KU/KSU are campaigning to bail out should be evidence of that. The Big 12 doesn't share TV revenues equally, which means Texas and OU get almost twice as much as places like KU, MU and even Baylor. But to change the Big 12 constitution you have to have to have nine votes, which means the state of Texas essentially has completely control and veto power over the Big 12. The Big 12 isn't going to win a bidding war for any school -- the only schools that will join the Big 12 will be because they don't have another option. The Big 12 will get the leftovers.

However, if the SEC decides to raid the Big 12, the league is done. The SEC could peel off four Texas schools and be done, or maybe take Texas and A&M along with OU and OSU. If that happens, suddenly the Big 12 is looking for seven new teams. Yikes.

05-06-2010, 04:14 PM	#550
kcchief19 Pro Starter Join Date: Oct 2000 Location: Kansas City, MO	Most of the prognostication is based on two major assumptions: 1) the Big 10 and Pac-10 want to expand to 12 teams to add a title game; and 2) the next trend for the BCS conference is to move toward 16-team leagues. I think the Big Ten will set the tone on both. If the Big 10 adds a title game the Pac 10 is going to feel obligated simply to keep up with the Joneses. A title game is going to add $1-2 million per team to the bottom line. If the Big 10 expands by more than one team, other conferences will feel the same motivation. If the Big 10 adds 3-5 teams those are going to be at the expense of the Big East and the Big 12. Those conferences are going to need to add teams to keep up. The SEC, ACC and Pac 10 will feel pressure to gobble up some of the better teams before they go elsewhere. There are way too many knowledgeable sources who will tell you that the conferences are headed toward a four-conference, 16-teams each super league that will break off from the FBS and create their own league with a plus-one title game. If the Big 10 expands by one team, the movement will probably be minimum. Since Missouri seems to be the hot name right, let's assume they move to the Big 10. I think Colorado and Utah would be added to the Pac 10. The Big 12 needs two new teams and I think they call TCU and BYU first. If the Big 10 goes to 16 teams, katy bar the door. In that case, I think the Big East and the Big 12 will be closed by the end of the decade, at least as far as football is concerned. The Big 12 will likely lose three teams and I think BYU would rather go to the Pac 10 than the Big 12. The Big 12 might pickup TCU but it's going to be slim pickings to find two more teams. But the biggest problem is that I don't know why anyone would want to join the Big 12, and the fact that Missouri, Colorado, Nebraska and maybe KU/KSU are campaigning to bail out should be evidence of that. The Big 12 doesn't share TV revenues equally, which means Texas and OU get almost twice as much as places like KU, MU and even Baylor. But to change the Big 12 constitution you have to have to have nine votes, which means the state of Texas essentially has completely control and veto power over the Big 12. The Big 12 isn't going to win a bidding war for any school -- the only schools that will join the Big 12 will be because they don't have another option. The Big 12 will get the leftovers. However, if the SEC decides to raid the Big 12, the league is done. The SEC could peel off four Texas schools and be done, or maybe take Texas and A&M along with OU and OSU. If that happens, suddenly the Big 12 is looking for seven new teams. Yikes.