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Old 07-21-2010, 05:54 PM   #208
EagleFan
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Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Mays Landing, NJ USA
Lynching me is wrong. You will find that out tonight if the vote stays this way and I come back vanilla. You won't lose a role at least but you will be in a dangerous position.

A couple theories, however...


Schmidty seems to have been Darth's enemy, based upon the speculation (which really puts me in a bind with today's votes).

Granted it says the allegiance isn't associated to the side someone is on but do we think that a wolf would be an enemy of a wolf, or cultist? That theory actually is a good sign for Darth (not that it is in anyway gospel).

Why would hoops push so heavily for me today? He is obviously playing based solely on my being his enemy.

I suspect we had villager/villager/cultist yesterday. I accept that it makes sense to sort this out for certain today.



Let's break down the enemy possibilities:

Wolf with villager as enemy - 2
Cultist with villager as enemy - 1
Villager with Wolf as enemy - 2
Villager with Cultist as enemy - 1
Villager with Villager as enemy - 5



We already know that DT (villager) had hoops as his enemy
It seems obvious that I (villager) am hoops' enemy

5/11 * 5/11 = 20.6% chance that hoops is a villager who not only had a villager as his enemy but was the enemy of another villager
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