Quote:
Originally Posted by AENeuman
I agree the frustration and disappointment. But I am still not convinced of the one term thing. If the economy improves (more or less unemployment significantly down) i do not see how he can lose. from what i hear most say the economy will improve somewhat sometime next year. Which means, if it continues, by 2012 campaign he will have a lot to gloat about.
while obama is certainly not as dramatic/intentional as reagan (the big squeeze) i think he will be able to successfully argue that he turned the economy around. which or course would be as true as saying bush caused it.
on the other hand, if there still is no recovery in 2 years i think the big choice we will face is fork or chopsticks
|
I agree. I think Obama is pretty well positioned to be re-elected (unless the fork or chopsticks scenario really does come to fruition). For all his missteps, it is still all about the economy and this recession was always projected to last for a couple of years. It would have been nice if it had been cut short, but hoping for that is wishful thinking for the most part. Obama will have a solid resume to run on if (obviously a huge IF) the economy gets straightened out.
The GOP winning the house (increasingly likely) and/or senate (probably unlikely) this year probably plays in his favor, as well. If the GOP and Obama work well together and the country thrives, Obama will look good. If not, the GOP will be the party in power that wasn't able to help. I suspect the economy will rebound and both the GOP house and Obama will look better.